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Vesper33 User ID: 25919604 United States 11/24/2012 12:43 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Today's new CME looks like a doozy for the 26th of November! Quoting: Hugh M Eye NASA Prediction: Event Issue Date: 2012-11-23 12:16:36.0 GMT CME Arrival Time: 2012-11-26 22:36:04.0 GMT Arival Time Confidence Level: ± 6 hours Disturbance Duration: 23 hours Disturbance Duration Confidence Level: ± 8 hours Magnetopause Standoff Distance: 6.4 Re My brother's birthday, how apropos, take it it way Michael .... love and miss you. It is also my son Nick's 20th birthday. Got to love those Sags'. :) Perfer et Obdura;Dolor hic tibi proderit olim.Fortes Fortuna Iuvat! (Be Patient & Strong; someday this pain will be useful to you. Fortune favors the brave) |
mtn_mang User ID: 26779253 United States 11/24/2012 08:23 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
mtn_mang User ID: 26779253 United States 11/24/2012 08:24 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Today's new CME looks like a doozy for the 26th of November! Quoting: Hugh M Eye NASA Prediction: Event Issue Date: 2012-11-23 12:16:36.0 GMT CME Arrival Time: 2012-11-26 22:36:04.0 GMT Arival Time Confidence Level: ± 6 hours Disturbance Duration: 23 hours Disturbance Duration Confidence Level: ± 8 hours Magnetopause Standoff Distance: 6.4 Re My brother's birthday, how apropos, take it it way Michael .... love and miss you. It is also my son Nick's 20th birthday. Got to love those Sags'. :) 26th is my b-day, too |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 28336413 United States 11/24/2012 08:58 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 28382292 Portugal 11/24/2012 08:58 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Hi everyone! Another CME arriving? [link to www.n3kl.org] |
shenue User ID: 5263313 United States 11/24/2012 09:00 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Good morning SunPeeps. Looking forward to another action packed day here. (within reason) :-) Watch your thoughts; they become words. Watch your words; they become actions. Watch your actions; they become habits. Watch your habits; they become your character. Watch your character; it becomes your destiny. |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 25154158 United States 11/24/2012 09:03 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Tiny Trink User ID: 26982514 United States 11/24/2012 09:11 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Hello Everyone & DSF, Sorry for the delay this morning. Had a bit of a issue getting on this morning. All better now. Stay Safe and Balanced. Shine Brightly. Much Love, [link to www.youtube.com] Tiny Trink, Double T, Tink Tink, T x 2 "You are responsible for the Energy you bring into a space" ~ Dr. Jill Bolte Taylor Shine Brightly as someone is needing your Inner Light to find theirs. |
mtn_mang User ID: 26779253 United States 11/24/2012 09:11 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | here ya go [link to youtu.be] i can never embed vids, don't know why edit: you beat me, double T! thanks for the embed Last Edited by mtn_mang on 11/24/2012 09:12 AM |
Tiny Trink User ID: 26982514 United States 11/24/2012 09:14 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | here ya go [link to youtu.be] i can never embed vids, don't know why edit: you beat me, double T! thanks for the embed Tiny Trink, Double T, Tink Tink, T x 2 "You are responsible for the Energy you bring into a space" ~ Dr. Jill Bolte Taylor Shine Brightly as someone is needing your Inner Light to find theirs. |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 28336413 United States 11/24/2012 09:15 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Today's new CME looks like a doozy for the 26th of November! Quoting: Hugh M Eye NASA Prediction: Event Issue Date: 2012-11-23 12:16:36.0 GMT CME Arrival Time: 2012-11-26 22:36:04.0 GMT Arival Time Confidence Level: ± 6 hours Disturbance Duration: 23 hours Disturbance Duration Confidence Level: ± 8 hours Magnetopause Standoff Distance: 6.4 Re My brother's birthday, how apropos, take it it way Michael .... love and miss you. It is also my son Nick's 20th birthday. Got to love those Sags'. :) My brother's nickname was Nick, short for Nicholson. Very cool. Warm wishes for your son. If I don't remember on the 26th Happy Birthday MNT MANG. |
mtn_mang User ID: 26779253 United States 11/24/2012 09:17 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 25154158 United States 11/24/2012 09:22 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 28382292 Portugal 11/24/2012 09:34 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | and we just hace a c flare too... [link to www.n3kl.org] |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 28336413 United States 11/24/2012 09:37 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | and we just hace a c flare too... [link to www.n3kl.org] Quoting: Luisport That'sthe one I was referring to as the trailing edge of 1618. Smilie hasn't been approved yet |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 28336413 United States 11/24/2012 09:38 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | and we just hace a c flare too... [link to www.n3kl.org] Quoting: Luisport That'sthe one I was referring to as the trailing edge of 1618. Smilie hasn't been approved yet Here it is.... finally ! |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 28382292 Portugal 11/24/2012 09:39 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | and we just hace a c flare too... [link to www.n3kl.org] Quoting: Luisport That'sthe one I was referring to as the trailing edge of 1618. Smilie hasn't been approved yet sorry i doesn't see your post... |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 28336413 United States 11/24/2012 09:42 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | and we just hace a c flare too... [link to www.n3kl.org] Quoting: Luisport That'sthe one I was referring to as the trailing edge of 1618. Smilie hasn't been approved yet sorry i doesn't see your post... I may have to rethink that however lmsal is saying 1615 ... ??? |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 28336413 United States 11/24/2012 09:47 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Hugh M Eye User ID: 24287942 United States 11/24/2012 10:06 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | There was a radio emission from that last C3 flare. We may have another CME to look out for> Space Weather Message Code: ALTTP2 Serial Number: 832 Issue Time: 2012 Nov 24 1428 UTC ALERT: Type II Radio Emission Begin Time: 2012 Nov 24 1335 UTC Estimated Velocity: 685 km/s Description: Type II emissions occur in association with eruptions on the sun and typically indicate a coronal mass ejection is associated with a flare event. |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 6568391 Bulgaria 11/24/2012 10:10 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Hugh M Eye User ID: 24287942 United States 11/24/2012 10:45 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | All in all, a very weak impact from the CMEs. The Bz was South for a bit but changed to North around 08:00z. Density in the first wave peaked at near 35 p/cu.cm. In the past several hours the density went up to near 50p/cu.cm., but Bz has remained North. ACE Solar Wind data plot: [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] SOHO Solar Wind data: [link to umtof.umd.edu] We could still experience storm levels if the Bz flips South again. With the large number of CMEs out there, I would expect unsettled conditions possible for the next few days. Geomagnetic Indices: [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] For noobies, here's a great, concise history and explanation of the K, Kp, and A indices from Lief Svalgaard's site: [link to www.leif.org] Before the Bz went North, I captured this aurora-cam shot from Alaska (via NICT)-NICT, Japan : [link to slamon.nict.go.jp] :aurora11/24: |
Hugh M Eye User ID: 24287942 United States 11/24/2012 11:14 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | How is it that the sun can time its CMEs almost to the minute that STEREO shuts down for the day? There was definitely a CME from the C3.3 flare and probably a big one. Here's the Solarsoft-SDO close-up movie of the flare. The ejecta and shockwave makes it appear more powerful than C3.3 to my eyes. [link to sdowww.lmsal.com] The very first flash of the CME can be seen Earth-side in this last STEREO A image. One of these days the one we never see is gonna slam us good. [link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov] |
Hugh M Eye User ID: 24287942 United States 11/24/2012 11:37 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 28336413 United States 11/24/2012 11:59 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Space Weather Message Code: ALTTP2 Serial Number: 832 Issue Time: 2012 Nov 24 1428 UTC ALERT: Type II Radio Emission Begin Time: 2012 Nov 24 1335 UTC Estimated Velocity: 685 km/s Description: Type II emissions occur in association with eruptions on the sun and typically indicate a coronal mass ejection is associated with a flare event. |
Hugh M Eye User ID: 24287942 United States 11/24/2012 12:18 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | There was a radio emission from that last C3 flare. We may have another CME to look out for> Quoting: Hugh M Eye Space Weather Message Code: ALTTP2 Serial Number: 832 Issue Time: 2012 Nov 24 1428 UTC ALERT: Type II Radio Emission Begin Time: 2012 Nov 24 1335 UTC Estimated Velocity: 685 km/s Description: Type II emissions occur in association with eruptions on the sun and typically indicate a coronal mass ejection is associated with a flare event. Space Weather Message Code: ALTTP2 Quoting: TS66 Serial Number: 832 Issue Time: 2012 Nov 24 1428 UTC ALERT: Type II Radio Emission Begin Time: 2012 Nov 24 1335 UTC Estimated Velocity: 685 km/s Description: Type II emissions occur in association with eruptions on the sun and typically indicate a coronal mass ejection is associated with a flare event. Beat ya, hahaha. Just to make me a liar, STEREO has updated for an extra hour today...latest image shows that suspected CME to be a small dud. Oh, well, let's wait for SOHO's 12 missing hours.... STEREO A image of small cme: [link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov] SIDC Comments: COMMENT: Solar activity has been low, C-class flares are expected and NOAA AR 1618 remains capable of producing M-Class flares. A long filament in the south east of the solar disc erupted on November 23, producing a CME with a component in the direction of the Earth, seen first at 13:54 UT by COR2 on STEREO Ahead and at 14:10 UT on STEREO-B with a calculated speed of 533 km/s. An arrival and corresponding geomagnetic storm at Earth can be expected late on November 26. A halo CME was seen at 23:36 UT on November 23 by LASCO/C2, but this event is backsided and will not affect the Earth. The CME from November 20 arrived to the Earth with a shock at 21:22 UT on November 23 (with speed around 400 km/s and magnetic field magnitude of 15 nT) and produced so far two periods of Kp=4 and three of KDourbes=4 starting at 21:00 UT. Later today, the arrival of the CME from November 21 is expected, active to minor storm levels (with possible isolated major storm levels) can be expected. [link to sidc.oma.be] |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 28336413 United States 11/24/2012 12:31 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | There was a radio emission from that last C3 flare. We may have another CME to look out for> Quoting: Hugh M Eye Space Weather Message Code: ALTTP2 Serial Number: 832 Issue Time: 2012 Nov 24 1428 UTC ALERT: Type II Radio Emission Begin Time: 2012 Nov 24 1335 UTC Estimated Velocity: 685 km/s Description: Type II emissions occur in association with eruptions on the sun and typically indicate a coronal mass ejection is associated with a flare event. Space Weather Message Code: ALTTP2 Quoting: TS66 Serial Number: 832 Issue Time: 2012 Nov 24 1428 UTC ALERT: Type II Radio Emission Begin Time: 2012 Nov 24 1335 UTC Estimated Velocity: 685 km/s Description: Type II emissions occur in association with eruptions on the sun and typically indicate a coronal mass ejection is associated with a flare event. Beat ya, hahaha. Just to make me a liar, STEREO has updated for an extra hour today...latest image shows that suspected CME to be a small dud. Oh, well, let's wait for SOHO's 12 missing hours.... STEREO A image of small cme: [link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov] SIDC Comments: COMMENT: Solar activity has been low, C-class flares are expected and NOAA AR 1618 remains capable of producing M-Class flares. A long filament in the south east of the solar disc erupted on November 23, producing a CME with a component in the direction of the Earth, seen first at 13:54 UT by COR2 on STEREO Ahead and at 14:10 UT on STEREO-B with a calculated speed of 533 km/s. An arrival and corresponding geomagnetic storm at Earth can be expected late on November 26. A halo CME was seen at 23:36 UT on November 23 by LASCO/C2, but this event is backsided and will not affect the Earth. The CME from November 20 arrived to the Earth with a shock at 21:22 UT on November 23 (with speed around 400 km/s and magnetic field magnitude of 15 nT) and produced so far two periods of Kp=4 and three of KDourbes=4 starting at 21:00 UT. Later today, the arrival of the CME from November 21 is expected, active to minor storm levels (with possible isolated major storm levels) can be expected. [link to sidc.oma.be] |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 28336413 United States 11/24/2012 02:59 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Isis One User ID: 14343270 United States 11/24/2012 04:18 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Where is SS 1615? Around the western limb going toward the backs? So the C3 was not geoeffective? Spread the word, change the collective conscious...... THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me One doesn't discover new lands without consenting to lose sight, for a very long time, of the shore. Andre Gide [link to www.godlikeproductions.com] |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 28336413 United States 11/24/2012 04:27 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |