SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily) | |
shenue User ID: 5263313 United States 01/11/2013 12:58 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Where did you get that idea?......... This past M and the one overnight were the only two today. And they were more than 3 hours apart. [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] That link is to the 1 minute X-ray flux. You can see there is only one of the M flares showing the other was before the beginning of that chart. yes only two M flares! [link to www.n3kl.org] Hey I actually got something right here, for a change. I thought there were only two M's and I was correct-a-mundo. lol Watch your thoughts; they become words. Watch your words; they become actions. Watch your actions; they become habits. Watch your habits; they become your character. Watch your character; it becomes your destiny. |
AR1654 Monster User ID: 30062100 United States 01/11/2013 01:18 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
AR1654 Monster User ID: 30062100 United States 01/11/2013 01:49 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | X-ray flux rising... [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] EDIT: Short lived C flares. But with this spot recently that has meant possibly more coming shortly. Last Edited by AR1654 Monster on 01/11/2013 01:50 PM |
Hugh M Eye User ID: 31662450 United States 01/11/2013 01:51 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 31775728 United States 01/11/2013 01:58 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Looks like it here too. Even the magnetics between 54 & 52 are lit up. [link to lasp.colorado.edu] |
Hugh M Eye User ID: 31662450 United States 01/11/2013 01:59 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | I posted this on Jan. 8th- I'm gonna agree with whoever said at least a Beta-Gamma and I'd estimate a size of at least 700 millionths. And this on Jan. 9th- Every few hours I check and compare images of 1654, and each time it has grown bigger and more complex. This should be a Beta-Gamma-on the threshold of Delta, if it's not there already. My Forecast-Solar Activity will be High to EXTREME sometime in the next 72 hours with a slight chance of a double-digit X-class flare and/or eyebrow-raising CME/SEP event. Be prepared. THIs was when NOAA's forecast was for low activity levels, haha. AR1654 Still Growing Slightly Today- :1/11-SS1654: :ss1654mag: |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 31775728 United States 01/11/2013 02:02 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Hugh M Eye User ID: 31662450 United States 01/11/2013 02:08 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Looks like it here too. Even the magnetics between 54 & 52 are lit up. [link to lasp.colorado.edu] TS 66, of course you were the first to point out the Delta regions. Thanks for your good work. Have you seen the latest GOES X-Ray image? [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 31976638 United States 01/11/2013 02:10 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 31775728 United States 01/11/2013 02:11 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Looks like it here too. Even the magnetics between 54 & 52 are lit up. [link to lasp.colorado.edu] TS 66, of course you were the first to point out the Delta regions. Thanks for your good work. Have you seen the latest GOES X-Ray image? [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] No, but thanks Hugh, it's bookmarked now I think we all knew deep down it was a delta (even the dept of commerce). |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 31894001 Canada 01/11/2013 02:20 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
AR1654 Monster User ID: 30062100 United States 01/11/2013 02:27 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | The flare predictor [link to spaceweather.inf.brad.ac.uk] lol...either this thing is dead/dying or that flare monitor is not accurate. |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 12303344 United States 01/11/2013 02:30 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
#Geomagnetic_Storm# User ID: 1426914 United States 01/11/2013 02:33 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
AR1654 Monster User ID: 30062100 United States 01/11/2013 02:35 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
#Geomagnetic_Storm# User ID: 1426914 United States 01/11/2013 02:37 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Da fuq User ID: 16258666 United States 01/11/2013 02:39 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | It cannot even hit a satellite, of course. wait, it look's like it nicked kepler. Last Edited by Da fuq on 01/11/2013 02:43 PM |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 23231420 United States 01/11/2013 02:42 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Looks like it here too. Even the magnetics between 54 & 52 are lit up. [link to lasp.colorado.edu] TS 66, of course you were the first to point out the Delta regions. Thanks for your good work. Have you seen the latest GOES X-Ray image? [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] No, but thanks Hugh, it's bookmarked now I think we all knew deep down it was a delta (even the dept of commerce). Agreed. reverse umbra magnetism on first appearance jan 09. I am really liking the glassing off on the lower right hand. Shows a large area for future complexity in any future coronal loops; If the differential rotation keeps up and the central umbra hold tight, we may see some cme's as the region contracts... probably 2 days time. I just keep thinking this in hope terms. The penumbra seems to be breaking down (although this could just be the expansion of an future contraction)... |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 31775728 United States 01/11/2013 02:44 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 23231420 United States 01/11/2013 02:49 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Question: was that from a different sunspot? Maybe one that has not turned Earth-facing yet? I'm not sure. I want to wait for someone else to look at this. It's from the prominence eruption in the SE this morning [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] Is this another incoming m? or is this accounted for yet? |
Hugh M Eye User ID: 31662450 United States 01/11/2013 02:55 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
GeomagneticStorm User ID: 1426914 United States 01/11/2013 02:56 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Question: was that from a different sunspot? Maybe one that has not turned Earth-facing yet? I'm not sure. I want to wait for someone else to look at this. It's from the prominence eruption in the SE this morning Thanks. That's what I thought but I didn't want to be wrong :) |
Isis One User ID: 14343270 United States 01/11/2013 02:57 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | it appears that there is CME activity going on to the southwest of 1654 Quoting: NiNzrez that whole area we have been talking about seeing the southern part of the magnetic conncetion [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] to see this best, watch the movie for all of today on SDO in the AIA 094, 335, 193 [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] Did anyone notice the flare from the spot behind 54? A little spot behind and slightly above. Is that the other part of 54? I set the clock for 0:00 on the 11th, then used the step option to catch it. It happens only two steps in Spread the word, change the collective conscious...... THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me One doesn't discover new lands without consenting to lose sight, for a very long time, of the shore. Andre Gide [link to www.godlikeproductions.com] |
GeomagneticStorm User ID: 1426914 United States 01/11/2013 02:58 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | ... Quoting: AR1654 Monster Question: was that from a different sunspot? Maybe one that has not turned Earth-facing yet? I'm not sure. I want to wait for someone else to look at this. It's from the prominence eruption in the SE this morning [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] Is this another incoming m? or is this accounted for yet? Might be from the coronal hole. Not sure. |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 31775728 United States 01/11/2013 03:00 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | ... Quoting: AR1654 Monster Question: was that from a different sunspot? Maybe one that has not turned Earth-facing yet? I'm not sure. I want to wait for someone else to look at this. It's from the prominence eruption in the SE this morning [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] Is this another incoming m? or is this accounted for yet? Well Bz is wide open, but I'm not aware of any inbound CMEs, or coronal hole streams for today. I'm sure we will, but it takes a couple days, and the prediction models haven't updated yet for today's activity. Temp, density, and wind speed are within the norm. [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 23231420 United States 01/11/2013 03:00 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 31958387 Croatia 01/11/2013 03:04 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 31775728 United States 01/11/2013 03:07 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | ... Quoting: TS66 Looks like it here too. Even the magnetics between 54 & 52 are lit up. [link to lasp.colorado.edu] TS 66, of course you were the first to point out the Delta regions. Thanks for your good work. Have you seen the latest GOES X-Ray image? [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] No, but thanks Hugh, it's bookmarked now I think we all knew deep down it was a delta (even the dept of commerce). Agreed. reverse umbra magnetism on first appearance jan 09. I am really liking the glassing off on the lower right hand. Shows a large area for future complexity in any future coronal loops; If the differential rotation keeps up and the central umbra hold tight, we may see some cme's as the region contracts... probably 2 days time. I just keep thinking this in hope terms. The penumbra seems to be breaking down (although this could just be the expansion of an future contraction)... I see as many as 8 Delta spots on 1654 (where pos & neg umbra are less than 2* of eachother). This magnetic complexity is what increases the chance of flaring, rather than how tight the penumbra is "wrapped " IMHO. |
Isis One User ID: 14343270 United States 01/11/2013 03:21 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | WOW!! wish it were partially cloudy here, we have heavy cover, will watch the rest of the week though, soooo cool. Spread the word, change the collective conscious...... THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me One doesn't discover new lands without consenting to lose sight, for a very long time, of the shore. Andre Gide [link to www.godlikeproductions.com] |
Isis One User ID: 14343270 United States 01/11/2013 03:28 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Looks like it here too. Even the magnetics between 54 & 52 are lit up. [link to lasp.colorado.edu] TS 66, of course you were the first to point out the Delta regions. Thanks for your good work. Have you seen the latest GOES X-Ray image? [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] That's a lot of ENERGY Spread the word, change the collective conscious...... THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me One doesn't discover new lands without consenting to lose sight, for a very long time, of the shore. Andre Gide [link to www.godlikeproductions.com] |