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SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)

 
AR1654 Monster

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01/12/2013 07:56 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 31834889


Anddddd no further will it go lol
psyoptics

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01/12/2013 08:01 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
2013 01 12 19:16:00 UTC
there was a burst of connection from 1654 to 1657

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

and here too
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: psyoptics


wtf is that bouncing around the sun atmosphere at the 10oclock position
 Quoting: NiNzrez

now it is connecting to 1650 through 1657

seems like it has connected 1654 to 1652
and 1654 to 1657 going on to 1650.
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
WTF

Last Edited by psyoptics on 01/12/2013 08:10 PM
a good video editor can make anyone say anything the editor wants.
Anonymous Coward
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01/12/2013 08:10 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Looks like 1652 is back !!
[link to lasp.colorado.edu]
whiteangel
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01/12/2013 08:19 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Thought it was 1654...??
Isaiah 5:20 KJV
Woe unto them that call evil good, and good evil; that put darkness for light, and light for darkness; that put bitter for sweet, and sweet for bitter!
Thread: Being Prepared - Updated Basic Food List On Page One
Anonymous Coward
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01/12/2013 08:23 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Thought it was 1654...??
 Quoting: whiteangel


Lasp updated already, can't see the signature anymore.
Anonymous Coward
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01/12/2013 08:28 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
[link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov]
Spittin'Cesium

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01/12/2013 08:28 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
1652 [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Anonymous Coward
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01/12/2013 08:35 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
[link to www.lmsal.com]
Anonymous Coward
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01/12/2013 09:18 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
?
[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]
whiteangel
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01/12/2013 09:25 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
 Quoting: TS66


Thank you hon!
Isaiah 5:20 KJV
Woe unto them that call evil good, and good evil; that put darkness for light, and light for darkness; that put bitter for sweet, and sweet for bitter!
Thread: Being Prepared - Updated Basic Food List On Page One
whiteangel
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01/12/2013 09:25 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


And you too SC!!
Isaiah 5:20 KJV
Woe unto them that call evil good, and good evil; that put darkness for light, and light for darkness; that put bitter for sweet, and sweet for bitter!
Thread: Being Prepared - Updated Basic Food List On Page One
Hugh M Eye

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01/12/2013 09:53 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
AR1654 decaying slightly, still a "dominant threat".

Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Region Summary
SRS Number 13 Issued at 0030Z on 13 Jan 2013
Report compiled from data received at SWO on 12 Jan
I. Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 12/2400Z
Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type
1642 S25W84 253 0110 Hsx 03 01 Alpha
1644 N15W72 241 0020 Hsx 01 01 Alpha
1649 S16W35 204 0060 Cao 03 03 Beta
1650 S28W30 199 0060 Cao 03 03 Beta
1652 N19W14 183 0210 Eai 13 16 Beta-Gamma
1653 N09W21 190 0010 Cao 01 02 Beta
1654 N08E18 151 0950 Fkc 17 31 Beta-Gamma
1655 S21W37 206 0010 Bxo 05 02 Beta
1656 N22E39 130 0030 Cro 07 07 Beta

AR1654-
:1/13-1654:
NOAA Discussion-Solar Activity-
.24 hr Summary...
Solar activity has been low. Region 1654 (N08E18) remains the dominant
threat, but showed slight decay in the past 24 hours.
1654 was
classified as an Fkc type spot group with an estimated area of 950
millionths and maintained a beta-gamma magnetic configuration. The
largest event of the period was a C5 flare observed at 12/0224 UTC from
Region 1654. No earthward directed coronal mass ejections were
observed.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

AR1652-M1 Flare-

Solarsoft close-up movie of M1 flare:
[link to sdowww.lmsal.com]

:1/13-Mflare:
Corn Dog

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01/12/2013 10:02 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Saw the report on Drudge but had to come here to get the real facts. Thanks all for the great info, I can always count on getting the real scoop without the hype.
hf
shenue

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01/12/2013 10:49 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Good night all. Peace

:GetInBedSmilie:

Thank you all for the information you bring to this thread every day!!
Watch your thoughts; they become words. Watch your words; they become actions. Watch your actions; they become habits. Watch your habits; they become your character. Watch your character; it becomes your destiny.
Hugh M Eye

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01/12/2013 11:10 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Good night all. Peace

:GetInBedSmilie:

Thank you all for the information you bring to this thread every day!!
 Quoting: shenue


God night and sweet dreams to you, shenue.

The Solar Winds are blowin' a bit stronger tonight.

ACE SW data:
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

GOES Electron flux:
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

GOES Magnetometer:
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Anonymous Coward
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01/12/2013 11:17 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Bradford updated and gave 1654 a 52% for an M and 57% for an X!!

[link to spaceweather.inf.brad.ac.uk]
Anonymous Coward
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01/12/2013 11:18 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Bradford updated and gave 1654 a 52% for an M and 57% for an X!!

[link to spaceweather.inf.brad.ac.uk]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 25323670


Sorry, 62% of an M (57% for X is correct)
Anonymous Coward
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01/12/2013 11:20 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)

67%M/69%X
I have never seen it that high.
#Geomagnetic_Storm#

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01/12/2013 11:26 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Here you guys go :)


Geoshill


Link to my Gaming Channel….
[link to m.youtube.com (secure)]
AR1654 Monster

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01/12/2013 11:27 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Bradford updated and gave 1654 a 52% for an M and 57% for an X!!

[link to spaceweather.inf.brad.ac.uk]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 25323670


I wonder if those are based on older images though. Maybe those probabilities are based on imagery from before the M flare earlier.
Anonymous Coward
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01/12/2013 11:33 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Bradford updated and gave 1654 a 52% for an M and 57% for an X!!

[link to spaceweather.inf.brad.ac.uk]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 25323670


I wonder if those are based on older images though. Maybe those probabilities are based on imagery from before the M flare earlier.
 Quoting: AR1654 Monster


It was updated about an hour ago (03:30 UTC)
Anonymous Coward
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01/12/2013 11:36 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Here you guys go :)


 Quoting: #Geomagnetic_Storm#


AWESOME!!! Thanks! hf

I was going to ask you if you filmed it but I just saw the thread you made. So cool!
Isis One

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01/12/2013 11:56 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Here you guys go :)


 Quoting: #Geomagnetic_Storm#


Woowhoooo, good job Geo, nice to see a little homegrown!!! Can make out filaments and everything, thanks.
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me

One doesn't discover new lands without consenting to lose sight, for a very long time, of the shore. Andre Gide
[link to www.godlikeproductions.com]
Isis One

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01/13/2013 12:00 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Hi Everyone, been offline most of the day, except for checking spaceweather.com couple times. Nin, the sunspot archive link was interesting, had some big spots 1946-1950. Thanks everyone for the excellent work today.

good
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me

One doesn't discover new lands without consenting to lose sight, for a very long time, of the shore. Andre Gide
[link to www.godlikeproductions.com]
#Geomagnetic_Storm#

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01/13/2013 12:15 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Here you guys go :)


 Quoting: #Geomagnetic_Storm#


Woowhoooo, good job Geo, nice to see a little homegrown!!! Can make out filaments and everything, thanks.
 Quoting: Isis One


Thanks
Geoshill


Link to my Gaming Channel….
[link to m.youtube.com (secure)]
NiNzrez
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01/13/2013 12:51 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
1654 and 1652 loose size, but NOAA increases the % chance for both M & X flares

Event % probabilities
Jan 13 - Jan 15
65% Chance for M Flares
10% Chance for X Flares
NiNzrez
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01/13/2013 12:54 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Bradford updated and gave 1654 a 52% for an M and 57% for an X!!

[link to spaceweather.inf.brad.ac.uk]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 25323670


I wonder if those are based on older images though. Maybe those probabilities are based on imagery from before the M flare earlier.
 Quoting: AR1654 Monster


fromdirectly below the solar flare model on the site

"How does flare monitor work?
Our agent program "SPIDER" connects to the SDO website every two minutes to search for the new HMI images and download them to our server.

These images are then processed using "ASAP" to automatically detect, group and then classify the sunspot groups and calculate their flaring probabilities.

[link to spaceweather.inf.brad.ac.uk]
Anonymous Coward
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01/13/2013 12:56 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Hi Everyone, been offline most of the day, except for checking spaceweather.com couple times. Nin, the sunspot archive link was interesting, had some big spots 1946-1950. Thanks everyone for the excellent work today.

:good:
 Quoting: Isis One


:)
AR1654 Monster

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01/13/2013 01:08 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Bradford updated and gave 1654 a 52% for an M and 57% for an X!!

[link to spaceweather.inf.brad.ac.uk]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 25323670


I wonder if those are based on older images though. Maybe those probabilities are based on imagery from before the M flare earlier.
 Quoting: AR1654 Monster


fromdirectly below the solar flare model on the site

"How does flare monitor work?
Our agent program "SPIDER" connects to the SDO website every two minutes to search for the new HMI images and download them to our server.

These images are then processed using "ASAP" to automatically detect, group and then classify the sunspot groups and calculate their flaring probabilities.

[link to spaceweather.inf.brad.ac.uk]
 Quoting: NiNzrez 28232082


Perfect! Thanks. I need some coffee :)
Anonymous Coward
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01/13/2013 01:16 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Bradford updated and gave 1654 a 52% for an M and 57% for an X!!

[link to spaceweather.inf.brad.ac.uk]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 25323670


I wonder if those are based on older images though. Maybe those probabilities are based on imagery from before the M flare earlier.
 Quoting: AR1654 Monster


fromdirectly below the solar flare model on the site

"How does flare monitor work?
Our agent program "SPIDER" connects to the SDO website every two minutes to search for the new HMI images and download them to our server.

These images are then processed using "ASAP" to automatically detect, group and then classify the sunspot groups and calculate their flaring probabilities.

[link to spaceweather.inf.brad.ac.uk]
 Quoting: NiNzrez 28232082


They retrieve the images every two minutes but they only run the model periodically (and not on a set schedule). The ASAP model run time-stamp is in the beige bar below the sun. You will notice that the flare probabilities only change when the time-stamp changes.





GLP