Massive Historic Blizzard!!! 967 mb Major Nor'easter!!! Snow already making its way into Upstate NY... | |
DoorBert User ID: 870568 United States 02/06/2013 03:24 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: Massive Historic Blizzard!!! 967 mb Major Nor'easter!!! Snow already making its way into Upstate NY... Issued by NWS Boston (Southeast New England) Affected Area: Central Middlesex County; Eastern Essex; Eastern Norfolk; Northern Bristol; Southeast Middlesex; Suffolk; Western Essex; Western Norfolk; Western Plymouth A Potential Historic Winter Storm And Blizzard Is Expected To Drop 1 To 2 Feet Of Snow Across Much Of The Region Friday Into Saturday... Blizzard Watch In Effect From Friday Morning Through Saturday Afternoon... [link to www.simpleweatheralert.com] |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 33805659 Portugal 02/06/2013 03:25 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: Massive Historic Blizzard!!! 967 mb Major Nor'easter!!! Snow already making its way into Upstate NY... |
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Anonymous Coward User ID: 33805659 Portugal 02/06/2013 03:27 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
DoorBert User ID: 857877 United States 02/06/2013 03:28 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: Massive Historic Blizzard!!! 967 mb Major Nor'easter!!! Snow already making its way into Upstate NY... NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA 1252 PM EST WED FEB 6 2013 CONFIDENCE IS INCREASING IN THE POTENTIAL FOR A VERY SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM FRIDAY INTO EARLY SATURDAY. THIS STORM SHOULD COME TO AN END LATER SATURDAY WITH DRY WEATHER CONTINUING INTO SUNDAY. .LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/... HIGHLIGHTS... ***WINTER STORM WATCH EXPANDED TO COVER THE ENTIRE REGION FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY MORNING WITH PERHAPS A PERIOD OF BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ALONG THE COASTAL PLAIN FOR A TIME FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING*** A QUICK UPDATE WAS SENT OUT TO EXPAND A WINTER STORM WATCH TO COVER THE ENTIRE REGION. CONFIDENCE CONTINUES TO GROW IN A FOOT OR MORE OF SNOW AFFECTING A LARGE PORTION OF THE REGION. WE HAVE BROUGHT UP SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WITH THE LATEST FORECAST...BUT IT MAY NOT EVEN BE ENOUGH IN SOME LOCALES. BIGGEST UNCERTAINTY IS NEAR THE SOUTH COAST AND HOW FAR NORTH A TEMPORARY TRANSITION TO RAIN MAKES IT FRIDAY AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...EVEN ON THE CAPE AND ISLANDS AREAS THAT CHANGE TO RAIN MAY GET HIT HARD BY THE COLD CONVEYER BELT. NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY SATURDAY ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE COASTAL PLAIN...AND TRAVEL MAY BECOME NEARLY IMPOSSIBLE. WILL HAVE MUCH MORE LATER THIS AFTERNOON. PREVIOUS DISCUSSION: * POTENTIAL FOR A VERY SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM FRI INTO EARLY SAT * STRONG WINDS/COASTAL FLOODING ARE ALSO A CONCERN * PLENTY OF UNCERTAINTY REMAINS IN THE EXACT DETAILS DETAILS... THURSDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY SATURDAY.... THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A VERY SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY SATURDAY. THE EXACT DETAILS REMAIN UNCERTAIN...BUT CONFIDENCE HAS INCREASED ENOUGH TO GO WITH A WINTER STORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND. THE POTENTIAL IS CERTAINLY THERE FOR A FOOT OR MORE OF SNOW IN SOME LOCATIONS...BUT A LOT OF THINGS NEED TO BE WORKED OUT. MOST OF THE 06/00Z GUIDANCE HAS COME INTO BETTER AGREEMENT ON THE GENERAL IDEA OF A WEAK LOW PRESSURE MOVING INTO THE GREAT LAKES LATE THURSDAY NIGHT...WITH A MORE SIGNIFICANT LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING OFF THE MID ATLANTIC STATES AND MOVING NORTHEAST. 06/00Z ECMWF HAS DRAMATICALLY SLOWED THE TIMING OF ITS LOW PRESSURE...RESULTING IN FAR MORE SIGNIFICANT STORM FOR OUR REGION. GIVEN THIS SHIFT...LEANED AWAY FROM THE 00Z ECMWF AND FOLLOWED A CONSENSUS SOLUTION WHICH INCLUDED THE 05/12Z ECMWF. THIS WAS TO MINIMIZE THE TIMING DIFFERENCES AND TO SMOOTH OUT SOME OF THE DETAILS IN THE FORECAST. THE OVERRUNNING OF THE COLD DOME AT THE SURFACE SHOULD RESULT IN SOME LIGHT SNOW DEVELOPING BY EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. LIGHT SNOW WILL PROBABLY AFFECT MUCH OF THE AREA FRIDAY MORNING...BUT AMOUNTS SHOULD BE RATHER LIGHT. THE MAIN SHOW STILL LOOKS TO OCCUR FRIDAY AFTERNOON INTO EARLY SATURDAY. THERE ALSO IS A STRONG HIGH PRESSURE OVER EASTERN CANADA THAT WILL BE SUPPLYING THE COLD AIR. THIS IS A CLASSIC SETUP FOR A MAJOR WINTER STORM ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND. THE OTHER CONCERN WOULD BE FOR A PERIOD OF VERY STRONG WINDS ON THE COAST WITH THE TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT. SOME TYPE OF WIND HEADLINES WILL PROBABLY BE NEEDED. THERE ARE TWO MAIN THINGS WE ARE A BIT CONCERNED WITH AT THIS POINT... THE FIRST AND PROBABLY THE BIGGEST CONCERN IS WILL THERE BE ANY MIXING ALONG THE COASTAL PLAIN. GIVEN THE CURRENT POSITION OF THE HIGH AND BOMBING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM ON THE MODELS...ODDS FAVOR MAINLY SNOW ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION. THERE COULD BE SOME ISSUES FOR A TIME ALONG THE FAR SOUTHEAST NEW ENGLAND COAST ESPECIALLY THE CAPE/ISLANDS. THAT IS THE SCENARIO THAT THE CURRENT MODELS ARE ADVERTISING...BUT A 50 OR SO MILE SHIFT IN THE TRACK NORTHWEST WILL MAKE A BIG DIFFERENCE. IF THIS WERE TO OCCUR...MIXING ISSUES COULD AFFECT A LARGER PART OF THE COASTAL PLAIN SO SOMETHING WILL HAVE TO WATCH CLOSELY GIVEN THAT WERE STILL 72+ HOURS OUT. THE OTHER ISSUE IS HOW FAR INLAND DOES THE HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION EXTEND. THE CURRENT MODELS INDICATE THAT THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVIEST SNOW WILL BE ALONG THE COASTAL PLAIN. GIVEN THE WELL DEFINED MID LEVEL CENTERS AND LIKELY STRONG DEFORMATION ZONE WE MAY SEE HEAVY SNOW AFFECT EVEN THE DISTANT INTERIOR. HOWEVER...ITS POSSIBLE THAT THE MODEL TRACK COULD SHIFT EAST WHICH WOULD LIMIT THE COVERAGE OF HEAVY SNOW THAT FAR WEST. TO SUM UP...EVERYONE IN SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR THE POTENTIAL OF A VERY SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM FRIDAY INTO EARLY SATURDAY. WHILE ITS TOO EARLY TO TRY TO PIN DOWN SPECIFIC SNOWFALL AMOUNTS AND THEIR LOCATIONS...THE POTENTIAL IS THERE FOR A FOOT OR MORE OF SNOW IN SOME LOCATIONS. [link to forecast.weather.gov] |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 33805659 Portugal 02/06/2013 03:29 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: Massive Historic Blizzard!!! 967 mb Major Nor'easter!!! Snow already making its way into Upstate NY... Updated information from the Boston NWS: URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA 319 PM EST WED FEB 6 2013 ...A POTENTIAL HISTORIC WINTER STORM AND BLIZZARD IS EXPECTED TO DROP 1 TO 2 FEET OF SNOW ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY... CTZ002>004-070430- /O.EXT.KBOX.WS.A.0002.130208T1200Z-130209T1800Z/ HARTFORD CT-TOLLAND CT-WINDHAM CT- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HARTFORD...WINDSOR LOCKS...UNION... VERNON...PUTNAM...WILLIMANTIC 319 PM EST WED FEB 6 2013 ...WINTER STORM WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON... * LOCATIONS...NORTHERN CONNECTICUT. * HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY SNOW. * ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 12 TO 24 INCHES. * TIMING...LIGHT SNOW WILL DEVELOP FRIDAY MORNING. THE SNOW WILL INCREASE IN AREAL COVERAGE FRIDAY AFTERNOON...WITH THE HEAVIEST OCCURRING FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING. * IMPACTS...HEAVY SNOW AND GUSTY WINDS WILL BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS. THE WORST OF THE STORM WILL BE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING. SNOWFALL RATES OF 2 TO 3 INCHES PER HOUR POSSIBLE. TRAVEL MAY BECOME NEARLY IMPOSSIBLE WITH BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. * WINDS...NORTH 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH. * VISIBILITIES...ONE QUARTER MILE OR LESS AT TIMES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WATCH IS ISSUED FOR THE POTENTIAL OF ACCUMULATING SNOW OF 6 OR MORE INCHES IN A 12 HOUR PERIOD...OR 8 OR MORE INCHES IN A 24 HOUR PERIOD. ANYONE TRAVELING IN THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO MODIFY TRAVEL PLANS SHOULD WINTER WEATHER DEVELOP. && $$ |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 33805659 Portugal 02/06/2013 03:30 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: Massive Historic Blizzard!!! 967 mb Major Nor'easter!!! Snow already making its way into Upstate NY... AccuWeather.com‏@breakingweather Detroit and Buffalo to be clobbered by snow. Chicago's in for a wintry mix. Find out when: [link to ow.ly] |
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Anonymous Coward User ID: 33805659 Portugal 02/06/2013 03:32 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: Massive Historic Blizzard!!! 967 mb Major Nor'easter!!! Snow already making its way into Upstate NY... LOW PRESSURE WILL PASS SOUTH OF LONG ISLAND FRIDAY AND THEN RAPIDLY INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES INTO THE GULF OF MAINE FRIDAY NIGHT. BASED ON THE LATEST FORECAST...SNOW WILL DEVELOP THURSDAY NIGHT WITH MODERATE ACCUMULATIONS BY FRIDAY MORNING. SNOW WILL CHANGE TO RAIN ON FRIDAY BEFORE CHANGING BACK TO SNOW FRIDAY NIGHT. SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL AND STRONG WINDS WITH NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY FRIDAY NIGHT. |
DoorBert User ID: 857877 United States 02/06/2013 03:32 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: Massive Historic Blizzard!!! 967 mb Major Nor'easter!!! Snow already making its way into Upstate NY... NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA 319 PM EST WED FEB 6 2013 ...A POTENTIAL HISTORIC WINTER STORM AND BLIZZARD IS EXPECTED TO DROP 1 TO 2 FEET OF SNOW ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY... ...BLIZZARD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON... ...WINTER STORM WATCH IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A BLIZZARD WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON. THE WINTER STORM WATCH HAS BEEN CANCELLED. * LOCATIONS...MUCH OF EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS AS WELL AS NORTHERN AND CENTRAL RHODE ISLAND. THIS INCLUDES THE BOSTON TO PROVIDENCE CORRIDOR. * HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY SNOW WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS. * ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 12 TO 24 INCHES. * TIMING...LIGHT SNOW DEVELOPS BY FRIDAY MORNING. SNOW WILL INCREASE INTENSITY DURING FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THE HEAVIEST SNOW WILL OCCUR FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING. * IMPACTS...HEAVY SNOW AND STRONG WINDS WILL BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS. THE WORST OF THE STORM WILL BE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING. SNOWFALL RATES OF 2 TO 3 INCHES PER HOUR POSSIBLE. TRAVEL MAY BECOME NEARLY IMPOSSIBLE WITH BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. * WINDS...NORTHEAST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH. * VISIBILITIES...ONE QUARTER MILE OR LESS AT TIMES. * TEMPERATURES...IN THE MID 20S. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A BLIZZARD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR CONSIDERABLE FALLING AND/OR BLOWING SNOW WITH SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OVER 35 MPH AND VISIBILITIES BELOW 1/4 MILE FOR AT LEAST 3 HOURS. WHITE OUT CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE...MAKING TRAVEL VERY DANGEROUS. BE PREPARED TO ALTER ANY TRAVEL PLANS. [link to www.erh.noaa.gov] |
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Anonymous Coward User ID: 33805659 Portugal 02/06/2013 03:35 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: Massive Historic Blizzard!!! 967 mb Major Nor'easter!!! Snow already making its way into Upstate NY... URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA 319 PM EST WED FEB 6 2013 ...A POTENTIAL HISTORIC WINTER STORM AND BLIZZARD IS EXPECTED TO DROP 1 TO 2 FEET OF SNOW ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY... MAZ005>007-013>018-RIZ001>004-070430- /O.CAN.KBOX.WS.A.0002.130208T0600Z-130209T1800Z/ /O.NEW.KBOX.BZ.A.0001.130208T1200Z-130209T2100Z/ CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-WESTERN ESSEX MA-EASTERN ESSEX MA- WESTERN NORFOLK MA-SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA-SUFFOLK MA- EASTERN NORFOLK MA-NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA- NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-WESTERN KENT RI- EASTERN KENT RI- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FRAMINGHAM...LOWELL...LAWRENCE... GLOUCESTER...FOXBORO...NORWOOD...CAMBRIDGE...BOST ON...QUINCY... TAUNTON...BROCKTON...FOSTER...SMITHFIELD...PROVID ENCE... WEST GREENWICH...WARWICK 319 PM EST WED FEB 6 2013 ...BLIZZARD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON... ...WINTER STORM WATCH IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A BLIZZARD WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON. THE WINTER STORM WATCH HAS BEEN CANCELLED. * LOCATIONS...MUCH OF EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS AS WELL AS NORTHERN AND CENTRAL RHODE ISLAND. THIS INCLUDES THE BOSTON TO PROVIDENCE CORRIDOR. * HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY SNOW WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS. * ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 12 TO 24 INCHES. * TIMING...LIGHT SNOW DEVELOPS BY FRIDAY MORNING. SNOW WILL INCREASE INTENSITY DURING FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THE HEAVIEST SNOW WILL OCCUR FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING. * IMPACTS...HEAVY SNOW AND STRONG WINDS WILL BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS. THE WORST OF THE STORM WILL BE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING. SNOWFALL RATES OF 2 TO 3 INCHES PER HOUR POSSIBLE. TRAVEL MAY BECOME NEARLY IMPOSSIBLE WITH BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. * WINDS...NORTHEAST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH. * VISIBILITIES...ONE QUARTER MILE OR LESS AT TIMES. * TEMPERATURES...IN THE MID 20S. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A BLIZZARD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR CONSIDERABLE FALLING AND/OR BLOWING SNOW WITH SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OVER 35 MPH AND VISIBILITIES BELOW 1/4 MILE FOR AT LEAST 3 HOURS. WHITE OUT CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE...MAKING TRAVEL VERY DANGEROUS. BE PREPARED TO ALTER ANY TRAVEL PLANS. && $$ |
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abeliever Members User ID: 17868616 United States 02/06/2013 03:38 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: Massive Historic Blizzard!!! 967 mb Major Nor'easter!!! Snow already making its way into Upstate NY... In '78 they declared martial law. NO ONE could go one the roads without special permits. Prepare for that ahead. City people, put your car off the roads, it will be towed or buried for a month from the plows!! |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 33805659 Portugal 02/06/2013 03:39 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: Massive Historic Blizzard!!! 967 mb Major Nor'easter!!! Snow already making its way into Upstate NY... Luis and DB - Please warn people in blizzard area to really stay off the roads. Trust me - been there, done it in '78! Quoting: abeliever Shop for foodstuffs now. Stay home and watch the snow. folks in the northeast, it looks more and more like a blizzard is going to develop up there friday on..make sure you check on the elderly and make sure they have their meds and supplies, a 1-2 foot snowfall with drifts will close roads etc...stay safe up there ok. |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 33805659 Portugal 02/06/2013 03:40 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: Massive Historic Blizzard!!! 967 mb Major Nor'easter!!! Snow already making its way into Upstate NY... For those wondering what the 12z ECMWF had to say about snowfall totals, here you are 12z ECMWF Snowfall Total through 96hrs [link to i.imgur.com] image courtesy of weatherbell/Ryan Maue. |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 33805659 Portugal 02/06/2013 03:43 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: Massive Historic Blizzard!!! 967 mb Major Nor'easter!!! Snow already making its way into Upstate NY... possible 50 mph wind gusts..whew..drifting snow for sure.......URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA 319 PM EST WED FEB 6 2013 ...A POTENTIAL HISTORIC WINTER STORM AND BLIZZARD IS EXPECTED TO DROP 1 TO 2 FEET OF SNOW ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY... CTZ002>004-070430- /O.EXT.KBOX.WS.A.0002.130208T1200Z-130209T1800Z/ HARTFORD CT-TOLLAND CT-WINDHAM CT- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HARTFORD...WINDSOR LOCKS...UNION... VERNON...PUTNAM...WILLIMANTIC 319 PM EST WED FEB 6 2013 ...WINTER STORM WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON... * LOCATIONS...NORTHERN CONNECTICUT. * HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY SNOW. * ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 12 TO 24 INCHES. * TIMING...LIGHT SNOW WILL DEVELOP FRIDAY MORNING. THE SNOW WILL INCREASE IN AREAL COVERAGE FRIDAY AFTERNOON...WITH THE HEAVIEST OCCURRING FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING. * IMPACTS...HEAVY SNOW AND GUSTY WINDS WILL BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS. THE WORST OF THE STORM WILL BE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING. SNOWFALL RATES OF 2 TO 3 INCHES PER HOUR POSSIBLE. TRAVEL MAY BECOME NEARLY IMPOSSIBLE WITH BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. * WINDS...NORTH 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH. * VISIBILITIES...ONE QUARTER MILE OR LESS AT TIMES. |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 33805659 Portugal 02/06/2013 03:43 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: Massive Historic Blizzard!!! 967 mb Major Nor'easter!!! Snow already making its way into Upstate NY... PROBABILISTIC HEAVY SNOW AND ICING DISCUSSION Excerpt: THE 12Z RUNS INCREASINGLY POINT TO CENTRAL AND EASTERN NEW ENGLAND RECEIVING THE BRUNT OF THE STORM AS THE CENTRAL PRESSURES OF THE LOW FALL TO THE 970S TO LOW 980S WITHIN THE 12Z RUNS. THE LIKELIHOOD OF GREATER THAN 12 INCHES OF SNOW IS HIGH ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA AND AMOUNTS GREATER THAN 24 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ACROSS EASTERN NEW ENGLAND. MIXED PRECIPITATION MAY HOLD DOWN AMOUNTS ACROSS SOUTHEAST MASSACHUSETTS AND ALONG THE IMMEDIATE SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND COAST. THE GREATEST AMOUNTS ARE FOUND JUST NORTHWEST FROM WHERE THE CYCLONE DECELERATES AND EVEN MAY MAKE A BIT OF A LOOP AROUND ITSELF ON SATURDAY. THE 00Z AND 12Z ECMWF ALSO SHOW THE LOW THEN MAKING A SLOW SOUTHEASTWARD TO EASTWARD MOTION BEFORE PULLING NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE ATLANTIC. THIS IS THE SAME KIND OF BEHAVIOR EXHIBITED BY SOME OF THE MOST INTENSE STORMS...SUCH AS THE MORE RECENT BLIZZARD OF 2005/APRIL FOOLS BLIZZARD OF 1997...THAT THIS STORM MAY ALSO EXHIBIT. NEEDLESS TO SAY...VERY HIGH WINDS WILL RESULT IN MUCH BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW. |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 33805659 Portugal 02/06/2013 03:46 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: Massive Historic Blizzard!!! 967 mb Major Nor'easter!!! Snow already making its way into Upstate NY... There appears to be a developing MCV just off of the Upper Texas Coast. [link to radar.weather.gov] |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 33805659 Portugal 02/06/2013 03:47 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: Massive Historic Blizzard!!! 967 mb Major Nor'easter!!! Snow already making its way into Upstate NY... AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA 324 PM EST WED FEB 6 2013 .LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/... HIGHLIGHTS... ***WINTER STORM WATCH EXPANDED TO COVER THE ENTIRE REGION FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY MORNING WITH PERHAPS A PERIOD OF BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ALONG THE COASTAL PLAIN FOR A TIME FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING*** A QUICK UPDATE WAS SENT OUT TO EXPAND A WINTER STORM WATCH TO COVER THE ENTIRE REGION. CONFIDENCE CONTINUES TO GROW IN A FOOT OR MORE OF SNOW AFFECTING A LARGE PORTION OF THE REGION. WE HAVE BROUGHT UP SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WITH THE LATEST FORECAST...BUT IT MAY NOT EVEN BE ENOUGH IN SOME LOCALES. BIGGEST UNCERTAINTY IS NEAR THE SOUTH COAST AND HOW FAR NORTH A TEMPORARY TRANSITION TO RAIN MAKES IT FRIDAY AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...EVEN ON THE CAPE AND ISLANDS AREAS THAT CHANGE TO RAIN MAY GET HIT HARD BY THE COLD CONVEYER BELT. NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY SATURDAY ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE COASTAL PLAIN...AND TRAVEL MAY BECOME NEARLY IMPOSSIBLE. WILL HAVE MUCH MORE LATER THIS AFTERNOON. PREVIOUS DISCUSSION: * POTENTIAL FOR A VERY SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM FRI INTO EARLY SAT * STRONG WINDS/COASTAL FLOODING ARE ALSO A CONCERN * PLENTY OF UNCERTAINTY REMAINS IN THE EXACT DETAILS DETAILS... THURSDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY SATURDAY.... THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A VERY SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY SATURDAY. THE EXACT DETAILS REMAIN UNCERTAIN...BUT CONFIDENCE HAS INCREASED ENOUGH TO GO WITH A WINTER STORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND. THE POTENTIAL IS CERTAINLY THERE FOR A FOOT OR MORE OF SNOW IN SOME LOCATIONS...BUT A LOT OF THINGS NEED TO BE WORKED OUT. MOST OF THE 06/00Z GUIDANCE HAS COME INTO BETTER AGREEMENT ON THE GENERAL IDEA OF A WEAK LOW PRESSURE MOVING INTO THE GREAT LAKES LATE THURSDAY NIGHT...WITH A MORE SIGNIFICANT LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING OFF THE MID ATLANTIC STATES AND MOVING NORTHEAST. 06/00Z ECMWF HAS DRAMATICALLY SLOWED THE TIMING OF ITS LOW PRESSURE...RESULTING IN FAR MORE SIGNIFICANT STORM FOR OUR REGION. GIVEN THIS SHIFT...LEANED AWAY FROM THE 00Z ECMWF AND FOLLOWED A CONSENSUS SOLUTION WHICH INCLUDED THE 05/12Z ECMWF. THIS WAS TO MINIMIZE THE TIMING DIFFERENCES AND TO SMOOTH OUT SOME OF THE DETAILS IN THE FORECAST. THE OVERRUNNING OF THE COLD DOME AT THE SURFACE SHOULD RESULT IN SOME LIGHT SNOW DEVELOPING BY EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. LIGHT SNOW WILL PROBABLY AFFECT MUCH OF THE AREA FRIDAY MORNING...BUT AMOUNTS SHOULD BE RATHER LIGHT. THE MAIN SHOW STILL LOOKS TO OCCUR FRIDAY AFTERNOON INTO EARLY SATURDAY. THERE ALSO IS A STRONG HIGH PRESSURE OVER EASTERN CANADA THAT WILL BE SUPPLYING THE COLD AIR. THIS IS A CLASSIC SETUP FOR A MAJOR WINTER STORM ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND. THE OTHER CONCERN WOULD BE FOR A PERIOD OF VERY STRONG WINDS ON THE COAST WITH THE TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT. SOME TYPE OF WIND HEADLINES WILL PROBABLY BE NEEDED. THERE ARE TWO MAIN THINGS WE ARE A BIT CONCERNED WITH AT THIS POINT... THE FIRST AND PROBABLY THE BIGGEST CONCERN IS WILL THERE BE ANY MIXING ALONG THE COASTAL PLAIN. GIVEN THE CURRENT POSITION OF THE HIGH AND BOMBING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM ON THE MODELS...ODDS FAVOR MAINLY SNOW ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION. THERE COULD BE SOME ISSUES FOR A TIME ALONG THE FAR SOUTHEAST NEW ENGLAND COAST ESPECIALLY THE CAPE/ISLANDS. THAT IS THE SCENARIO THAT THE CURRENT MODELS ARE ADVERTISING...BUT A 50 OR SO MILE SHIFT IN THE TRACK NORTHWEST WILL MAKE A BIG DIFFERENCE. IF THIS WERE TO OCCUR...MIXING ISSUES COULD AFFECT A LARGER PART OF THE COASTAL PLAIN SO SOMETHING WILL HAVE TO WATCH CLOSELY GIVEN THAT WERE STILL 72+ HOURS OUT. THE OTHER ISSUE IS HOW FAR INLAND DOES THE HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION EXTEND. THE CURRENT MODELS INDICATE THAT THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVIEST SNOW WILL BE ALONG THE COASTAL PLAIN. GIVEN THE WELL DEFINED MID LEVEL CENTERS AND LIKELY STRONG DEFORMATION ZONE WE MAY SEE HEAVY SNOW AFFECT EVEN THE DISTANT INTERIOR. HOWEVER...ITS POSSIBLE THAT THE MODEL TRACK COULD SHIFT EAST WHICH WOULD LIMIT THE COVERAGE OF HEAVY SNOW THAT FAR WEST. TO SUM UP...EVERYONE IN SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR THE POTENTIAL OF A VERY SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM FRIDAY INTO EARLY SATURDAY. WHILE ITS TOO EARLY TO TRY TO PIN DOWN SPECIFIC SNOWFALL AMOUNTS AND THEIR LOCATIONS...THE POTENTIAL IS THERE FOR A FOOT OR MORE OF SNOW IN SOME LOCATIONS. |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 33805659 Portugal 02/06/2013 03:48 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: Massive Historic Blizzard!!! 967 mb Major Nor'easter!!! Snow already making its way into Upstate NY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BINGHAMTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. * LOCATIONS...ALL OF CENTRAL NEW YORK...AND THE FAR NORTHERN TIER OF PENNSYLVANIA. * HAZARDS...POSSIBLE HEAVY SNOW. * ACCUMULATIONS...POTENTIAL FOR 8 TO 12 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY GREATER THAN A FOOT POSSIBLE NEAR AND NORTH OF THE THRUWAY CORRIDOR...AND ALSO IN SECTIONS OF THE CATSKILLS. * TIMING...SNOW WILL DEVELOP FRIDAY MORNING...WITH THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL PERHAPS OCCURRING DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. SNOW SHOULD TAPER OFF LATE FRIDAY NIGHT OR EARLY SATURDAY. * TEMPERATURES...IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S FRIDAY...FALLING INTO THE UPPER TEENS AND 20S FRIDAY NIGHT. * WINDS...NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH...WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. * IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS. |
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Anonymous Coward User ID: 33805659 Portugal 02/06/2013 04:09 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: Massive Historic Blizzard!!! 967 mb Major Nor'easter!!! Snow already making its way into Upstate NY... 344. LargoFl09:08 PM GMT em 06 de Fevereiro de 2013 Quoting mikeylikesyouall: If they maybe looking a t a foot or more snow forecast for New England especially Cape Cod and Southern Maine i wonder what the potential snow amounts for Nova Scotia, and Eastern P.E.I would be. the Euro model is now predicting more than 24 inches for the boston area [link to www.wunderground.com] |
DoorBert User ID: 870568 United States 02/06/2013 04:09 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: Massive Historic Blizzard!!! 967 mb Major Nor'easter!!! Snow already making its way into Upstate NY... Winter Storm Watch just issued for NYC metro Issued by The National Weather Service New York City, NY 4:01 pm EST, Wed., Feb. 6, 2013 ... WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH... WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON. * LOCATIONS... NEW YORK CITY METRO AND LONG ISLAND. * HAZARD TYPES... HEAVY SNOW. * ACCUMULATIONS... SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 6 TO 10 INCHES. * WINDS... NORTH 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH. * TEMPERATURES... IN THE LOWER 30S. * VISIBILITIES... ONE QUARTER MILE OR LESS AT TIMES. * TIMING... FRIDAY EVENING INTO EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. * IMPACTS... HEAVY SNOW WILL MAKE FOR DANGEROUS DRIVING CONDITIONS. IN ADDITION... THE HEAVY SNOW AND STRONG WINDS COULD RESULT IN NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS... BRING DOWN SOME TREE LIMBS... AND CAUSE SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW... SLEET... OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS. [link to www.weather.com] |