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SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
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[quote:shenue:MV8xMzgyOTUyXzMyMzkzNDQyX0IzMDk4RkU4] [quote:TS66:MV8xMzgyOTUyXzMyMzkzMTIyX0UzOThFQTg1] [quote:NiNzrez:MV8xMzgyOTUyXzMyMzkzMDI3XzkyMzA3NDNE] [quote:whiteangel:MV8xMzgyOTUyXzMyMzkxOTkzX0QzNzE5QUVC] This all made me think of the Carrington Event. It was suppose to have hit the earth in 17 hours, so it was very fast moving also. No one knows how big the flare was, only a bunch of guesses of around X-50 to X-100. Those guesses are when people forget that a M-flare can let loose a huge CME. Please correct me if I am wrong here, as I am not a scientist in any way, shape or form. If a huge CME from say a M-8 flare, was heading to earth at the speeds of that rare speed event, could it have been the cause of the Carrington Event and not some huge X50+ flare? I know a lot have to be taken into consideration when talking about a solar event that could potentially kill the grid and nothing is ever simple, but just reading what you all are saying makes me wonder. The last X-flare had a few worried about the grid, so we all know it doesn't have to be huge to be a problem. [/quote] my guess on the flare size from the carrington even is a small to mid sized M flare flare size has nothing what so ever to do with the size of a CME some of the largest CMEs seen did not even come from a X flare and there can be CMEs without a flare ever happening at all [b]a flare size is something to take note on and watch but when speaking of the carrington event, or another carrington event, we are speaking of a [u]CME[/u] it matters none at all what size the flare was that the carrington CME came from, cause it was the CME itself that did the damage the carrington CME was large and fast[/b] google "june 7 2011 CME" to see one of the largest blasts of mass ever witnessed on the sun and it came from a small M flare this is why i want to bang my head when there is a big CME from lets say a small M flare, and you see so many running around saying "wake me up when its a X20 or higher" i would almost put money on the new age carrington not even coming from a very large solar flare i would say to watch those M flares that produce CMEs [/quote] :ohyeah: [/quote] I don't understand everything that those in the know here, understand. But I am happy to say that I do understand what you are saying NiN. What makes me a little nuts is when the news reports on a CME (which having the news report on a CME is a fairly rare event) ... anyway it drives me a bit nuts when they say it is a 'flare' heading towards us. You'd think someone that writes the news reports would at least care enough to get the terms correct. *shrugggg* I know, in the big scheme of things, that isn't all that important, but it is just a little pet peeve of mine. [/quote]
Original Message
Please See Current Events Discussion On Last Page :)
We have just had another huge X flare measuring at a X8.2 originating from sunspot 2673
On September 11, 2017
[
link to legacy-www.swpc.noaa.gov
]
ALL flares recorded ARE Earth facing regardless of where the sunspot is located
-----------
CME FROM X9 HAS ARRIVED!
Issue Time: 2017 Sep 07 2242 UTC
WARNING: Geomagnetic Sudden Impulse expected
Valid From: 2017 Sep 07 2255 UTC
Valid To: 2017 Sep 07 2330 UTC
IP Shock Passage Observed: 2017 Sep 07 2229 UTC
On September 6th we have had 2 X flares! A X2.2 at 09:10 utc & a secend larger flare just a few hours later of X9.3 at 12:02 utc. There is a large widespread Earth directed CME associated with this latest X flare as we can see here
[
link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov (secure)
]
[
link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov (secure)
]
An update as to the arrival time of this CME will be added once all data has been reviewed.
The X9.3 flare is the 14th largest X flare ever recorded!
On September 4th we had 7 M flares from fast growing sunspot 2673, with at least 1 large dense Earth directed CME. This CME will arrive late in the day on Wednesday September 6th.
There is now a 25% chance for X flares over the next 24hrs & 71% chance for M flares
We have a Long Duration M2.4 Solar Flare starting
01:05 UTC July 14th 2017
There was a full halo CME observed with this solar flare. The associated CME is Earth Directed. See discussion on the last page for all updates!
1,000,000 Views hit on July 3, 2012
A big thanks to all the wonderful contributors of
the GLP Solar Watch thread!
Please See Current Events Discussion On Last Page :)
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