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09:09 PM
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SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
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[quote:#Geomagnetic_Storm#:MV8xMzgyOTUyXzM0NDg0MzY2XzVEN0YyQjdE] [quote:madajs:MV8xMzgyOTUyXzM0NDg0MzI5X0E5QUNGM0U4] [quote:#Geomagnetic_Storm#:MV8xMzgyOTUyXzM0NDg0MTQzXzFDQTc2OTFF] [quote:madajs:MV8xMzgyOTUyXzM0NDg0MTMzXzUzRTZGRkQ5] [quote:#Geomagnetic_Storm#:MV8xMzgyOTUyXzM0NDg0MDE2XzEwNzgwM0Uz] [quote:madajs:MV8xMzgyOTUyXzM0NDc5NDczXzQxN0JCNzNB] I interpret Solen's "CME effects" warning to apply to the CME impact that occurred earlier today, not a new CME. Unrelated, I see some people are trying to ascertain the source of the new earth facing CME (won't be due for arrival for days) http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080/IswaSystemWebApp/iSWACygnetStreamer?timestamp=2012-11-14%2020:44:00&window=-1&cygnetId=261 I find it rather hard to find a source considering the best tools for geoeffective CMEs are the Stereo satellites, and their public offerings are plagued by progressively worse data gaps.... as we all well know :( [/quote] Wheres the direct link to this model??? I can never freakin find it. [/quote] Can you elaborate a bit more on what it is you are looking for? [/quote] The CME model you posted. I can find the one on the main integrated space weather website, but I can never actually post the link? Sorry for being so confusing. [/quote] Hi geo. Ok I think I understand now. The way I link to specific model runs of the iswa enlil cygnet is to edit the time stamp of the CME into the link used above. I know you can also link to a specific iswa layout setup (like this http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/IswaSystemWebApp/index.jsp?i_1=261&l_1=40&t_1=270&w_1=640&h_1=410&s_1=0_0_10_3 ), but I don't like that method as much, as it loads slow imo. Cheers :) [/quote] Ok. Thanks :hf: [/quote]
Original Message
Please See Current Events Discussion On Last Page :)
We have just had another huge X flare measuring at a X8.2 originating from sunspot 2673
On September 11, 2017
[
link to legacy-www.swpc.noaa.gov
]
ALL flares recorded ARE Earth facing regardless of where the sunspot is located
-----------
CME FROM X9 HAS ARRIVED!
Issue Time: 2017 Sep 07 2242 UTC
WARNING: Geomagnetic Sudden Impulse expected
Valid From: 2017 Sep 07 2255 UTC
Valid To: 2017 Sep 07 2330 UTC
IP Shock Passage Observed: 2017 Sep 07 2229 UTC
On September 6th we have had 2 X flares! A X2.2 at 09:10 utc & a secend larger flare just a few hours later of X9.3 at 12:02 utc. There is a large widespread Earth directed CME associated with this latest X flare as we can see here
[
link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov (secure)
]
[
link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov (secure)
]
An update as to the arrival time of this CME will be added once all data has been reviewed.
The X9.3 flare is the 14th largest X flare ever recorded!
On September 4th we had 7 M flares from fast growing sunspot 2673, with at least 1 large dense Earth directed CME. This CME will arrive late in the day on Wednesday September 6th.
There is now a 25% chance for X flares over the next 24hrs & 71% chance for M flares
We have a Long Duration M2.4 Solar Flare starting
01:05 UTC July 14th 2017
There was a full halo CME observed with this solar flare. The associated CME is Earth Directed. See discussion on the last page for all updates!
1,000,000 Views hit on July 3, 2012
A big thanks to all the wonderful contributors of
the GLP Solar Watch thread!
Please See Current Events Discussion On Last Page :)
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