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SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
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[quote:Hugh M Eye:MV8xMzgyOTUyXzM1NTQ5NjQ1X0FBM0EzNzYz] [quote:Spittin'Cesium:MV8xMzgyOTUyXzM1NTQ5NTUyXzJGMDMyREQ4] [quote:Hugh M Eye:MV8xMzgyOTUyXzM1NTQ5NDQ0X0RFQjlEMzlC] [b]AR1654 now measured at 1100 Millionths! [/b]I told ya it was growing....oh, and NOAA doesn't see a Delta either. [b]Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Region Summary[/b] SRS Number 12 Issued at 0030Z on 12 Jan 2013 Report compiled from data received at SWO on 11 Jan I. Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 11/2400Z Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type 1642 S25W70 252 0110 Hsx 03 01 Alpha 1644 N15W58 240 0020 Hsx 01 01 Alpha 1649 S16W21 203 0060 Cao 03 03 Beta 1650 S28W16 198 0110 Cao 05 02 Beta 1652 N19W00 182 0210 Eai 13 16 Beta-Gamma 1653 N09W08 190 0010 Cao 00 02 Beta [b][color=darkred]1654 N08E31 151 1100 Fki 17 36 Beta-Gamma[/color][/b] 1655 S21W24 206 0010 Cro 05 02 Beta [b]1656 N22E52 130 0010 Axx 00 01 Alpha[/b] 1657 S17E23 159 0010 Cro 02 02 Beta http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/ftpdir/latest/SRS.txt AR1656 is obviously a Beta region and larger than 0010 millionths. I suppose it's also growing. AR1657 can't be found by me, so I guess it's invisible now. At 1100 millionths, 1654 may be the largest active region of Cycle 24. If not, it has gotta be close to it. If I find time I'll check back in the old sunspot archives to see. Latest Intensitygram: http://jsoc.stanford.edu/data/hmi/images/latest/HMI_latest_Int_4096x4096.gif NOAA Discussion: [b].24 hr Summary...[/b] Solar activity has been moderate. [b]Region 1654 (N08E31) is the most threatening region on the solar disk. 1654 has shown slight growth throughout the period and maintains a beta-gamma magnetic configuration with an estimated area of 1,100 millionths. [/b] 1654 produced two M-class flares over the past 24 hours, the first was an M1 event at 11/0911 UTC with an associated type II radio sweep of 537 km/s and a type IV, and the second was an M1/2f event at 11/1507 UTC. An impulsive Tenflare was observed at 11/1845 UTC, and peaked at 330 solar flux units. [b]Region 1652 (N19W00) also showed slight growth and maintains a beta-gamma magnetic configuration,[/b] but has not produced an event during this period. Newly-numbered Region 1656 (N22E52) is an Axx type Alpha group while newly-numbered Region 1657 (S17E23) is a Cro type Beta group. We are currently awaiting LASCO and STEREO imagery to determine if a possible coronal mass ejection associated with the 11/0911 UTC M1 flare has an earthward component. .Forecast... Solar activity is expected to be at moderate levels (R1 radio blackouts) over the next three days (12 - 14 Jan) with Region 1654 being the most likely culprit. http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/ftpdir/latest/forecast_discussion.txt AR1652 DID produce an event because I saw it! Lockheed logs a C4.5 flare from 1650 in the southern hemisphere, but their flare movie for that time period focuses on 1654. Looks like the Pros are off their game also, haha. http://www.lmsal.com/solarsoft/latest_events/ [/quote] Thank Hugh! 1652 did Flare and can be seen around half way into this moviehttp://sdodata.oma.be/latest/aia_0094.html 1657 is what was known as S2164(I think)and is to the South-West of 1654 - It's location on the 10th was S16E37,though I may be mistaken : ) http://sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov/assets/img/latest/latest_1024_HMIBpfss.jpg . [/quote] Hey, Sir Cesium, NOAA gave the coordinates of 23 degrees EAST longitude. You may find a faint speck there, but I found no Beta region. [/quote]
Original Message
Please See Current Events Discussion On Last Page :)
We have just had another huge X flare measuring at a X8.2 originating from sunspot 2673
On September 11, 2017
[
link to legacy-www.swpc.noaa.gov
]
ALL flares recorded ARE Earth facing regardless of where the sunspot is located
-----------
CME FROM X9 HAS ARRIVED!
Issue Time: 2017 Sep 07 2242 UTC
WARNING: Geomagnetic Sudden Impulse expected
Valid From: 2017 Sep 07 2255 UTC
Valid To: 2017 Sep 07 2330 UTC
IP Shock Passage Observed: 2017 Sep 07 2229 UTC
On September 6th we have had 2 X flares! A X2.2 at 09:10 utc & a secend larger flare just a few hours later of X9.3 at 12:02 utc. There is a large widespread Earth directed CME associated with this latest X flare as we can see here
[
link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov (secure)
]
[
link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov (secure)
]
An update as to the arrival time of this CME will be added once all data has been reviewed.
The X9.3 flare is the 14th largest X flare ever recorded!
On September 4th we had 7 M flares from fast growing sunspot 2673, with at least 1 large dense Earth directed CME. This CME will arrive late in the day on Wednesday September 6th.
There is now a 25% chance for X flares over the next 24hrs & 71% chance for M flares
We have a Long Duration M2.4 Solar Flare starting
01:05 UTC July 14th 2017
There was a full halo CME observed with this solar flare. The associated CME is Earth Directed. See discussion on the last page for all updates!
1,000,000 Views hit on July 3, 2012
A big thanks to all the wonderful contributors of
the GLP Solar Watch thread!
Please See Current Events Discussion On Last Page :)
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