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SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
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In accordance with industry accepted best practices we ask that users limit their copy / paste of copyrighted material to the relevant portions of the article you wish to discuss and no more than 50% of the source material, provide a link back to the original article and provide your original comments / criticism in your post with the article.
[quote:whiteangel:MV8xMzgyOTUyXzM2MzE5MDg3X0MzNUQxMzAx] [quote:Spittin'Cesium:MV8xMzgyOTUyXzM2MzE4ODM4XzZCOUUxODY=] [quote:whiteangel:MV8xMzgyOTUyXzM2MzE4Njk3XzY2NzczOTk3] Did find this info which is from Jan 2013\http://ktwop.wordpress.com/tag/dalton-minimum/ *snip The current prediction for Sunspot Cycle 24 gives a smoothed sunspot number maximum of about 69 in the Fall of 2013. The smoothed sunspot number has already reached 67 (in February 2012)due to the strong peak in late 2011 so the official maximum will be at least this high and this late. We are currently over four years into Cycle 24. The current predicted and observed size makes this the smallest sunspot cycle since Cycle 14 which had a maximum of 64.2 in February of 1906. *************** I would copy the image but doesn't seem to be working for me (computer is acting funky right now) but scroll down and take a look at image [color=blue][b]SC24 compared to SC5 in 2011 is shown below:[/b][/color] [/quote] Thank you for that Angel:hf: If you haven't already,scroll to the very bottom of this pagehttp://www.solen.info/solar/ and take a look at the Stats. table for Sunspot Number/Solar Flux and projected values...doesn't look too good from here. :wink: [/quote] Did you give me the right link SC, only see [b]Monthly solar cycle data[/b] at the bottom of the page, though it was interesting to see they have Feb 2012 as possible solar max? [/quote]
Original Message
Please See Current Events Discussion On Last Page :)
We have just had another huge X flare measuring at a X8.2 originating from sunspot 2673
On September 11, 2017
[
link to legacy-www.swpc.noaa.gov
]
ALL flares recorded ARE Earth facing regardless of where the sunspot is located
-----------
CME FROM X9 HAS ARRIVED!
Issue Time: 2017 Sep 07 2242 UTC
WARNING: Geomagnetic Sudden Impulse expected
Valid From: 2017 Sep 07 2255 UTC
Valid To: 2017 Sep 07 2330 UTC
IP Shock Passage Observed: 2017 Sep 07 2229 UTC
On September 6th we have had 2 X flares! A X2.2 at 09:10 utc & a secend larger flare just a few hours later of X9.3 at 12:02 utc. There is a large widespread Earth directed CME associated with this latest X flare as we can see here
[
link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov (secure)
]
[
link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov (secure)
]
An update as to the arrival time of this CME will be added once all data has been reviewed.
The X9.3 flare is the 14th largest X flare ever recorded!
On September 4th we had 7 M flares from fast growing sunspot 2673, with at least 1 large dense Earth directed CME. This CME will arrive late in the day on Wednesday September 6th.
There is now a 25% chance for X flares over the next 24hrs & 71% chance for M flares
We have a Long Duration M2.4 Solar Flare starting
01:05 UTC July 14th 2017
There was a full halo CME observed with this solar flare. The associated CME is Earth Directed. See discussion on the last page for all updates!
1,000,000 Views hit on July 3, 2012
A big thanks to all the wonderful contributors of
the GLP Solar Watch thread!
Please See Current Events Discussion On Last Page :)
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