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SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
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In accordance with industry accepted best practices we ask that users limit their copy / paste of copyrighted material to the relevant portions of the article you wish to discuss and no more than 50% of the source material, provide a link back to the original article and provide your original comments / criticism in your post with the article.
[quote:RJsGma:MV8xMzgyOTUyXzI2MTUwNjczXzRFQ0ZGRkJB] [quote:tomasgod1] [quote:El Quisqueyano] [quote:tomasgod1] [quote:El Quisqueyano] [quote:tomasgod1] [quote:El Quisqueyano] [quote:tomasgod1] [quote:El Quisqueyano] [quote:El Quisqueyano] [quote:tomasgod1] [quote:finley] Iwant to know more to maybe Thomas Or Nin will give us their thoughts. I don't think we have a carrington event yet, I've read all I can and have a lot better understanding than I used to, however their are soo many variables we can not tell anything for sure. I'm glad to be alive.:bump: for more info Went on you tube checked solar watchers channel and actually it is earth directed but I don't expect anything major from this cme. What say you?? anyone? [/quote] This was a a fairly good sized CME. It does seem to be positioned to give us a direct blow. Because of the location of Region 1261 I expect this CME will be charged from - to + so it should make a good conection upon it's arrival. I expect this one will give us a good show over a relatively short duration. Just my own opinion from my observations, we will have to wait and see. [/quote] Earthbound M1 Class flare with CME expected to arrive here August 5th; http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080/IswaSystemWebApp/iSWACygnetStreamer?timestamp=2038-01-23+00%3A44%3A00&window=-1&cygnetId=261 [/quote] Notice how much it disturbs the Interplanetary Magnetic Field Line. This one could jerk the Magnetic North to shift a bit. What do you guys think? [/quote] I noticed that as well. I don't know, I guess we will find out. I will be suprised if doesn't arrive a liitle sooner then predicted though. [/quote] They always do. I say by the 4th it would have came and gone. I don't like the way it whips the IMF line like that. That could have possible magnetic disturbance effects. Like a slight shift of the poles. Could mother Earth handle that? [/quote] It was officially 110 here today with a heat index of 114. On the way home from work today the car's outdoor temp was reading 112 and it is usually dead on. The power grid is running at it's peak. There is no relief in sight from this excessive heat wave. If something happend to the power grid I would not be able to drive far eneough away before needing to refuel, and of course gas pumps need electricity. It is after 7:00 and still 107. [/quote] Where the heck you at? Arizona? [/quote] North Central TX. LOL [/quote] I lived in Houston some time back but I never felt temps in the 110 digits. Maybe 100 but that was it. [/quote] This year is extreme. As I was watching the 10:00 news I just found out that we had a grid emergency level 1 today, so here we go! "DALLAS — The operator of the state's electric grid said it is purchasing electricity from [b]Mexico and other states [/b]as record high temperatures force Texas to set new electricity consumption records. Oncor said more than 6,000 customers lost electricity Tuesday evening when a substation failed in North Dallas. Traffic signals went dark in intersections and air conditioners turned off in homes. Oncor told News 8 that the problem is directly related to the excessive heat and added strain on the state's electrical grid. "The high usage is causing people to use more electricity in order to stay safe and comfortable and it's making it harder for our equipment to cool off," said Catherine Cuellar, Oncor spokeswoman. Hours earlier, The Electric Reliability Council of Texas initiated an Energy Emergency Alert Level 1 when reserves dropped below 2,300 megawatts, an ERCOT spokeswoman said. "We are requesting that consumers and businesses reduce their electricity use during peak electricity hours from 3 to 7 p.m. today, particularly between 4 and 5 p.m. when we expect to hit another peak demand record," said Kent Saathoff, vice president of system planning and operations. The emergency was declared over early Tuesday evening after the state set a new power consumption record of 67,729 megawatts, but another record is expected to be set on Wednesday as officials urged customers to conserve power whenever possible. ERCOT is still a couple of steps away from rolling brownouts, Saathoff said." http://www.wfaa.com/news/consumer/Texas-buying-power-from-Mexico-during-record-usage-126615733.html By the way...the forcasted high temp is for 110 - 111 again tomorrow...gesh! They keep changing the forecast and the temps get higher and higher, it was supposed to be 107 today not 110. WFAA Weather Center Forecastby Weather Producer Updated today at 10:30 PM EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH 9PM THURSDAY. TONIGHT: Mostly clear skies and very warm. Low: 84. Winds: S 5-10. WEDNESDAY: Mostly sunny skies and dangerously hot. High: 111. Winds: S 5-10. WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear, very warm. Low: 83. Winds: S 5-10. THURSDAY: Mostly sunny and continued very hot. High: 109. Winds: S 5-10. http://www.wfaa.com/weather [/quote] Be glad you aint in Iraq, 125 there! http://thewatchers.adorraeli.com/2011/08/03/iraq-hit-by-extreme-heat-temperature-reaches-52-degrees-celsius/ [/quote]
Original Message
Please See Current Events Discussion On Last Page :)
We have just had another huge X flare measuring at a X8.2 originating from sunspot 2673
On September 11, 2017
[
link to legacy-www.swpc.noaa.gov
]
ALL flares recorded ARE Earth facing regardless of where the sunspot is located
-----------
CME FROM X9 HAS ARRIVED!
Issue Time: 2017 Sep 07 2242 UTC
WARNING: Geomagnetic Sudden Impulse expected
Valid From: 2017 Sep 07 2255 UTC
Valid To: 2017 Sep 07 2330 UTC
IP Shock Passage Observed: 2017 Sep 07 2229 UTC
On September 6th we have had 2 X flares! A X2.2 at 09:10 utc & a secend larger flare just a few hours later of X9.3 at 12:02 utc. There is a large widespread Earth directed CME associated with this latest X flare as we can see here
[
link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov (secure)
]
[
link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov (secure)
]
An update as to the arrival time of this CME will be added once all data has been reviewed.
The X9.3 flare is the 14th largest X flare ever recorded!
On September 4th we had 7 M flares from fast growing sunspot 2673, with at least 1 large dense Earth directed CME. This CME will arrive late in the day on Wednesday September 6th.
There is now a 25% chance for X flares over the next 24hrs & 71% chance for M flares
We have a Long Duration M2.4 Solar Flare starting
01:05 UTC July 14th 2017
There was a full halo CME observed with this solar flare. The associated CME is Earth Directed. See discussion on the last page for all updates!
1,000,000 Views hit on July 3, 2012
A big thanks to all the wonderful contributors of
the GLP Solar Watch thread!
Please See Current Events Discussion On Last Page :)
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