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SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
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[quote:NiNzrez:MV8xMzgyOTUyXzI2MjUxNDQ0X0M2MkFGODdG] [quote:cableguy30] Why are they saying a third is coming? I thought the third cme hit Saturday? but they are saying sometime this week. Would this be the m9 flare or are they all wrong? Tell me [/quote] nothing is coming our way take a peek at the last 2 pages on this thread all 3 of the cme's we were expecting have already came and left by early saturday Aug 6th [b]all the articles are saying NOAA is giving out the warning WELL THEY DID, LAST WEEK! here we all see, NO CURRENT WARNINGS on NOAA[/b] (not yelling at you, just bolding and caping so everyone visiting this thread can see) [b]Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force. Updated 2011 Aug 07 2200 UTC[/b] Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity SDF Number 219 Issued at 2200Z on 07 Aug 2011 IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 06/2100Z to 07/2100Z: Solar activity was low. Only low level C-flares were observed from Regions 1263 (N17W55) and 1267 (S17W00). Region 1263 exhibited motion and growth within its central and trailing spots; merging of trailing spots with the central spots produced an additional delta configuration in the group. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be at moderate levels. M-flares are likely and there is a slight chance for an X-flare and/or proton event with Region 1263 as the most likely source. IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 06/2100Z to 07/2100Z: The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. The solar wind speed increased to 600 km/s at the beginning of the period and has been slowly decreasing since approximately 06/2218Z. The solar sector (phi angle) remained generally positive suggesting the presence of a coronal hole high speed stream. The period ended with solar wind speed around 500 km/s. [b]IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled on 08 August as the effects of the high speed stream weaken. Mostly quiet conditions are expected on 09-10 August.[/b] http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/forecast.html [b]Solar Terrestrial Activity Report[/b] Coronal mass ejections (CMEs): August 5-7: No obviously Earth directed CMEs were observed in LASCO or STEREO imagery http://www.solen.info/solar/ [/quote]
Original Message
Please See Current Events Discussion On Last Page :)
We have just had another huge X flare measuring at a X8.2 originating from sunspot 2673
On September 11, 2017
[
link to legacy-www.swpc.noaa.gov
]
ALL flares recorded ARE Earth facing regardless of where the sunspot is located
-----------
CME FROM X9 HAS ARRIVED!
Issue Time: 2017 Sep 07 2242 UTC
WARNING: Geomagnetic Sudden Impulse expected
Valid From: 2017 Sep 07 2255 UTC
Valid To: 2017 Sep 07 2330 UTC
IP Shock Passage Observed: 2017 Sep 07 2229 UTC
On September 6th we have had 2 X flares! A X2.2 at 09:10 utc & a secend larger flare just a few hours later of X9.3 at 12:02 utc. There is a large widespread Earth directed CME associated with this latest X flare as we can see here
[
link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov (secure)
]
[
link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov (secure)
]
An update as to the arrival time of this CME will be added once all data has been reviewed.
The X9.3 flare is the 14th largest X flare ever recorded!
On September 4th we had 7 M flares from fast growing sunspot 2673, with at least 1 large dense Earth directed CME. This CME will arrive late in the day on Wednesday September 6th.
There is now a 25% chance for X flares over the next 24hrs & 71% chance for M flares
We have a Long Duration M2.4 Solar Flare starting
01:05 UTC July 14th 2017
There was a full halo CME observed with this solar flare. The associated CME is Earth Directed. See discussion on the last page for all updates!
1,000,000 Views hit on July 3, 2012
A big thanks to all the wonderful contributors of
the GLP Solar Watch thread!
Please See Current Events Discussion On Last Page :)
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