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SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
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[quote:Anonymous Coward 49433581:MV8xMzgyOTUyXzQxMzc5MDIxXzkwRjM5Qzg5] [quote:Hugh M Eye:MV8xMzgyOTUyXzQxMzc4NjgzXzM4MjMwRUY4] [quote:TS66 49433581:MV8xMzgyOTUyXzQxMzc3NTYyXzhCODJCREVG] Great shot of 1899 ... I've never seen that before either ... looks to be almost a "layered effect" Polarities layered rather than side by side ??? The idea or theory, that it takes a large SR to create or has more potential of creating a large flare, passed me by a year or so ago. We've watch so many monsters pass with incredible expectation to see ... nothing, then a flare from what would seem to be an unnumbered or insignificant area of the sun, not worth of even a class A. The size of the SRs are relative. In fact, 1900 is HUGE by some measure (compared to Earth), what is incredible is the very complex mixing of polarities. And that shot of 1899 may be more than just a unique photo-op. There's more to that photo, and maybe a part of the puzzle that proves out that the inner workings of the sun have more to do with what we can observe and measure by current technologies, and what we are missing as the catalyst of flares. If there are loops connecting flares outwardly , that we can see, it stands to reason there are loops inwardly interacting that we can't, don't you think ? [/quote] Howdy, 66:smile_kiss:! You make some interesting points there. Yes, there is a lot of magnetic turmoil going on beneath the photosphere, which is what causes the spots to form. After pondering this particular sunspot's magnetogram, I've come to the conclusion that we're seeing some artifact created by the computer-colorization of the fields. The deep dark colors denote the intensity or strength of the magnetic fields. As the field weakens, the colors appear more 'washed-out'. I notice today the donut-hole is expanding on the color magnetogram, but not changing polarity. http://sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov/assets/img/latest/latest_4096_HMIBC.jpg [b][color=darkred]Notice there is no hole on the traditional B &W magnetogram:[/color][/b] http://sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov/assets/img/latest/latest_2048_HMIB.jpg As far as the sunspot size thing goes, I agree with your observations. This is historically the reverse of what's been observed. Normally the biggest sunspots produce the biggest flares. It takes a giant-sized sunspot to fire off an X5 or stronger flare. I think this 'quiet-giant' thing is one of the big puzzles of Cycle 24, along with the delayed pole-shift. Stay alert for 1899, though, sometimes these large regions erupt big-time when they begin to decay. And this region will be Earth-facing for another week or more. [b]Recent Big Prominence Eruption on SE Limb-[/b] :1117-prom1: :1117-prom2: [/quote] But there is Hugh http://s343.photobucket.com/user/cparmalee/media/bampW_zpscc422310.jpg.html [/quote]
Original Message
Please See Current Events Discussion On Last Page :)
We have just had another huge X flare measuring at a X8.2 originating from sunspot 2673
On September 11, 2017
[
link to legacy-www.swpc.noaa.gov
]
ALL flares recorded ARE Earth facing regardless of where the sunspot is located
-----------
CME FROM X9 HAS ARRIVED!
Issue Time: 2017 Sep 07 2242 UTC
WARNING: Geomagnetic Sudden Impulse expected
Valid From: 2017 Sep 07 2255 UTC
Valid To: 2017 Sep 07 2330 UTC
IP Shock Passage Observed: 2017 Sep 07 2229 UTC
On September 6th we have had 2 X flares! A X2.2 at 09:10 utc & a secend larger flare just a few hours later of X9.3 at 12:02 utc. There is a large widespread Earth directed CME associated with this latest X flare as we can see here
[
link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov (secure)
]
[
link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov (secure)
]
An update as to the arrival time of this CME will be added once all data has been reviewed.
The X9.3 flare is the 14th largest X flare ever recorded!
On September 4th we had 7 M flares from fast growing sunspot 2673, with at least 1 large dense Earth directed CME. This CME will arrive late in the day on Wednesday September 6th.
There is now a 25% chance for X flares over the next 24hrs & 71% chance for M flares
We have a Long Duration M2.4 Solar Flare starting
01:05 UTC July 14th 2017
There was a full halo CME observed with this solar flare. The associated CME is Earth Directed. See discussion on the last page for all updates!
1,000,000 Views hit on July 3, 2012
A big thanks to all the wonderful contributors of
the GLP Solar Watch thread!
Please See Current Events Discussion On Last Page :)
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