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SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
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[quote:NiNzrez:MV8xMzgyOTUyXzI2Mjk2NDczXzJCNDRFQkE3] quite a bit going on today on the sun i thought i would give an update on what we see today here is a photo where you can see the regions on the sun so that we can all follow where to look on the following photos http://www.solen.info/solar/images/AR_CH_20110809_hres.jpg sunspot 1263 is about to rotate of the western edge (to the far right) but it is not going quietly here is a few photos of what 1263 loos like right now http://sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov/assets/img/browse/2011/08/10/20110810_104457_1024_0304.jpg http://sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov/assets/img/browse/2011/08/10/20110810_154457_1024_0304.jpg the two dark lines we see in the southern section are filaments that we are watching for any instability as they are earth facing we have a prominance section in the far northern section that has been dancing around all day today http://sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov/assets/img/browse/2011/08/10/20110810_154457_1024_0304.jpg http://sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov/assets/img/browse/2011/08/10/20110810_022957_1024_0304.jpg at region S1159 we can see a small flare that looks to have a CME associated with it http://sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov/assets/img/browse/2011/08/10/20110810_161403_1024_0094.jpg we also have another Coronal Hole that has rotated earth's direction Solar wind flowing from the indicated coronal should reach Earth on or about Aug. 14th (dark area to the left) http://spaceweather.com/images2011/10aug11/coronalhole_sdo_blank.jpg we will see the effects of this CH on the magnetosphere simulation when it reaches earth http://www2.nict.go.jp/y/y223/simulation/realtime/index.html also there is a lot of question about the last 2 CME from 1263 and if they will be geoeffective or not. watch the nict. If we do get one, it will show up on here when it arrives. I suspect we indeed will see some CME effects Coronal mass ejections (CMEs) August 7: No obviously Earth directed CMEs were observed in LASCO or STEREO imagery. August 8: The M3.5 flare in region 11263 produced a fast partial halo CME. August 9: The X6.9 event in region 11263 was associated with a fast full halo CME. http://www.solen.info/solar/ NOAA report from yesterday: IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be predominantly quiet to unsettled for the next three days (10-12 August). Unsettled conditions are expected on Day 1 (10 August) as a weak remnant of the 08 August CME arrives. Currently, a return to mostly quiet conditions is expected on Days 2 and 3 (11-12 August). Analysis of the 09/0906Z CME is presently underway to determine its potential geoeffectiveness. http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/forecast.html [/quote]
Original Message
Please See Current Events Discussion On Last Page :)
We have just had another huge X flare measuring at a X8.2 originating from sunspot 2673
On September 11, 2017
[
link to legacy-www.swpc.noaa.gov
]
ALL flares recorded ARE Earth facing regardless of where the sunspot is located
-----------
CME FROM X9 HAS ARRIVED!
Issue Time: 2017 Sep 07 2242 UTC
WARNING: Geomagnetic Sudden Impulse expected
Valid From: 2017 Sep 07 2255 UTC
Valid To: 2017 Sep 07 2330 UTC
IP Shock Passage Observed: 2017 Sep 07 2229 UTC
On September 6th we have had 2 X flares! A X2.2 at 09:10 utc & a secend larger flare just a few hours later of X9.3 at 12:02 utc. There is a large widespread Earth directed CME associated with this latest X flare as we can see here
[
link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov (secure)
]
[
link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov (secure)
]
An update as to the arrival time of this CME will be added once all data has been reviewed.
The X9.3 flare is the 14th largest X flare ever recorded!
On September 4th we had 7 M flares from fast growing sunspot 2673, with at least 1 large dense Earth directed CME. This CME will arrive late in the day on Wednesday September 6th.
There is now a 25% chance for X flares over the next 24hrs & 71% chance for M flares
We have a Long Duration M2.4 Solar Flare starting
01:05 UTC July 14th 2017
There was a full halo CME observed with this solar flare. The associated CME is Earth Directed. See discussion on the last page for all updates!
1,000,000 Views hit on July 3, 2012
A big thanks to all the wonderful contributors of
the GLP Solar Watch thread!
Please See Current Events Discussion On Last Page :)
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