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SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
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[quote:Anonymous Coward 2502976:MV8xMzgyOTUyXzI3NDU2ODU5XzQ1NjM5Q0Y3] [quote:IwantToBelieve76:MV8xMzgyOTUyXzI3NDUzNDgzXzJFREMwMkYy] okay some update: this morning a [b]M3.9 [/b]solar flare took place peaking at 0050z from region [b]1305[/b] http://www.lmsal.com/solarsoft/last_events/gev_20111002_0037.html The two largest groups saw region[b] 1302 [/b]decrease in size slightly but is still a FKC, Beta Gamma Delta type group while region 1305 increased in size slightly to a DSO, Beta gamma type group. [b]A new group rotated into view [/b]over the north-east limb yesterday. There is a group on the backside of the Sun which produced a large solar flare yesterday morning, this is still more than a week away before rotating into view. At least two coronal mass ejections appear to be Earthbound and are due late on the 2nd or the 3rd. :newsunspotsoctob: [i]Image shows the collection of groups in the northern hemisphere[/i] [u]Video from Kevin(Solarham)[/u] Several Coronal Mass Ejections are seen in this STEREO Behind COR2 movie. The first one was caused by a long duration M1.2 solar flare on Oct 1 around Sunspot 1305. The second was a farside event. The 3rd was during the early hours of Oct 2nd and resulted from an M3.9 Solar Flare around Sunspot 1305. Also notice the sundiving comet. [youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6nbTfo0s5ik[/youtube] http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6nbTfo0s5ik [/quote] [quote:Anonymous Coward 2159872:MV8xMzgyOTUyXzI3NDU2NzgyXzZDNDM3QzBG] [quote:Hugh M Eye:MV8xMzgyOTUyXzI3NDU2NjUyX0Q4MkY2ODc1] [quote:Hugh M Eye:MV8xMzgyOTUyXzI3NDU2NDYzXzg3ODFERjRF] [quote:NiNzrez:MV8xMzgyOTUyXzI3NDU2MTU2X0RBMERCQUU5] [quote:XP...:MV8xMzgyOTUyXzI3NDUyOTAzXzU2NjE3Q0ND] Couple of real nasty spots on far side now! http://sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov/assets/img/latest/HMIFarsideMap.jpg [/quote] a lot of spots on the far side that we need to watch as they rotate our direction here is the HMI Calibrated Farside Map http://sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov/assets/img/latest/HMIFarsideMap.jpg this is something to keep an eye on for sure [/quote] Giant sunspot #1289, which was so well-behaved while you were hospitalized, has been spewing out large CME's and is now coming over the northeast limb again. http://sidc.oma.be/SOTERIA/FLARE/html/flaretool.html [/quote] Er, ya know I mean northwest limb. Anyway here's the latest bulletin from SIDC on the CME's. They count 3 on the way (of course we know better) and first arrival expected Oct 3 (soon). http://sidc.oma.be/products/meu/index.php Latest solar magnetic field lines seem to indicate a weakening (or at least more chaotic) connecton between 1302 & 1305. However, western hemisphere seems to have intensified connections especially lines reaching from north to south. I wonder what this signifies. http://sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov/assets/img/latest/f_HMImag_171pfss_1024.jpg Any suggestions, conjecture, or analysis is welcome.:wtf: [/quote] I think the two sunspots coming into view are connected magnetically. http://sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov/assets/img/latest/latest_4096_0131.jpg [/quote] [/quote]
Original Message
Please See Current Events Discussion On Last Page :)
We have just had another huge X flare measuring at a X8.2 originating from sunspot 2673
On September 11, 2017
[
link to legacy-www.swpc.noaa.gov
]
ALL flares recorded ARE Earth facing regardless of where the sunspot is located
-----------
CME FROM X9 HAS ARRIVED!
Issue Time: 2017 Sep 07 2242 UTC
WARNING: Geomagnetic Sudden Impulse expected
Valid From: 2017 Sep 07 2255 UTC
Valid To: 2017 Sep 07 2330 UTC
IP Shock Passage Observed: 2017 Sep 07 2229 UTC
On September 6th we have had 2 X flares! A X2.2 at 09:10 utc & a secend larger flare just a few hours later of X9.3 at 12:02 utc. There is a large widespread Earth directed CME associated with this latest X flare as we can see here
[
link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov (secure)
]
[
link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov (secure)
]
An update as to the arrival time of this CME will be added once all data has been reviewed.
The X9.3 flare is the 14th largest X flare ever recorded!
On September 4th we had 7 M flares from fast growing sunspot 2673, with at least 1 large dense Earth directed CME. This CME will arrive late in the day on Wednesday September 6th.
There is now a 25% chance for X flares over the next 24hrs & 71% chance for M flares
We have a Long Duration M2.4 Solar Flare starting
01:05 UTC July 14th 2017
There was a full halo CME observed with this solar flare. The associated CME is Earth Directed. See discussion on the last page for all updates!
1,000,000 Views hit on July 3, 2012
A big thanks to all the wonderful contributors of
the GLP Solar Watch thread!
Please See Current Events Discussion On Last Page :)
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