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Alert! Earthbound CME to arrive Nov 28. Impact 2154UTC.
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[quote:IRRADIATED IN OREGON:MV8xNzEzNDAwXzI4MzYzNDY1X0U3NjA4RUZG] [quote:Anonymous Coward 4472362:MV8xNzEzNDAwXzI4MzYwNzg4XzE3QTFDRTdC] [quote:OVRANALYZE:MV8xNzEzNDAwXzI4MzU5NjkwXzNCMEIyODY1] [quote:Anonymous Coward 4472362:MV8xNzEzNDAwXzI4MzU5NjM5X0I4Mzg3ODRC] what exactly is the danger of this? [/quote] well the ultimate danger would be something similar to a 1859 carrington event. This CME is not that kind of event. Maybe some auroras, maybe not. We shall see. However, with our technology and power grids we have definitely set ourselves up for an eventual issue when another 1859 style event occurs. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Solar_storm_of_1859 [/quote] What I meant was, is it dangerous to be outside during this (will there be more radiation outside tomorrow than usual?) [/quote] Sunspots and mass excitabilityChizhevsky proposed that not only did geomagnetic storms resulting from sunspot-related solar flares affect electrical usage, plane crashes, epidemics and grasshopper infestations, but human mental life and activity. Increased negative ionization in the atmosphere increased human mass excitability. Chizhevsky proposed that human history is influenced by the eleven year peaks in sunspot activity, triggering humans en masse to act upon existing grievances and complaints through revolts, revolutions, civil wars and wars between nations.[6] He analyzed sunspot records (and approximated records), comparing them to riots, revolutions, battles and war in Russia and seventy-one other countries for the period 500 BCE to 1922 CE. (A process known as historiometry.) He found that a significant percent of what he classified as the most important historical events involving large numbers of people occurred around sunspot maximum. Edward R. Dewey, founder of the Foundation for the Study of Cycles, analyzed and published his data in 1951 in the Foundation's publications.[7] In a 1971 book Dewey described the "four components" of Chizhevsky's eleven year cycle and their approximate lengths: 1) a three year period of minimum activity characterized by passivity and autocratic rule; 2) a two year period during which masses begin to organize under new leaders and one theme; 3) a three year period of maximum excitability, revolution and war; 4) a three year period of gradual decrease in excitability until the masses are apathetic. Dewey questioned Chizhevsky's theory because in Chizhevsey's data, the sunspot cycle height lagged about a year behind his "mass excitability index."[8] [/quote]
Original Message
STEREO A showing a earthbound CME which started around 700UTC on Nov. 26
[
link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov
]
The CME will reach earth on Nov 28 1721UTC(+/-)7hours
[
link to www.spaceweather.com
]
forecast track
[
link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080
]
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