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Subject Repubs WAY Ahead Of Dems 2008 Total In Ohio Early Voting!
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Original Message Repub voter enthusiasm is WAY above Dem Enthusiasm levels, based on a comparison of Absentee ballot requests for 2012, vs 2008

2012 2008 % of 2008
Total 601208 740725 81%
Democrat 177155 288270 61%
Republican 145560 144300 101%
Cuyahoga 159572 231497 69%
D Cuyahoga 86274 119891 72%
R Cuyahoga 38134 35067 109%
Hamilton 61253 102796 60%
D Hamilton 9793 16763 58%
R Hamilton 18304 23677 77%
Summit 39056 92941 42%
D Summit 9581 43524 22%
R Summit 7525 12857 59%

The above shows first the total absentee/early ballot requests of all counties currently reporting*, for both 2008 and 2012; followed by the current totals for three of the top five most populous counties in Ohio (full information is not yet available in [Republican] Franklin and [Democratic] Montgomery counties). So, in 2008 the total absentee/early ballots for all counties currently captured by the linked spreadsheet was just under 741 thousand; the 2012 equivalent so far is currently 601 thousand, or 81% of 2008′s total.

And when you look at the partisan breakdowns… simply put, the Democrats are not requesting absentee ballots at the same rate as Republicans are.

What also needs to be mentioned is that many of those ballot requests were not made by individual Democrats, but Democrat operatives, which probably indicates an even lower enthusiasm amongst the Democrats.

what we know of early/absentee ballot requests in Ohio does not support the current narrative that Ohioan Democratic voters are as enthusiastic about voting in 2012 as they were in 2008. This in turn does not support the current narrative that the Democrats will do better in Ohio in 2012 than they did in 2008.

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