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Astronomer teams dies! ...coincidences?
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[quote:Wid 22718549:MV8yMDEwMjE2XzMzNzkxMjkwXzQ1RDQ4RTY0] Just a quick look of Wikipedia and US .gov stats says that the average mortality rate was 794 deaths per 100 000 people year 2009 in US. US has about 7000 astronomers who are member of American Astronomical Society. International Astronomical Union has about 10 000 members. (Meaning, most have a university degree of some level in space related stuff) If we use the death statistics from the recent years, it means (counting from 10 000 population of "astronomers") 79.4 astronomers die each year (for any cause). Let's make it 80 (most are men, so precise statistics will go a bit off even in here, as mortality rate of men is higher than women) Percentage of each death cause shows following (for all of population): 6.2 % Unintentional injuries 1.8 % falling, drowning, poisoning (unintentional?) 0.5 % fire accidents 2 % traffic accidents In total, about 10.5% of the population dies in this kind of accidents. From 10 000 astronomers, 80 dies yearly, so about 8 of them "should" statistically die from common "accidents" mentioned earlier. If you take heart diseases and cancers into account, about 45% of the all death cases are related to them. (Mostly older people, of course). This means that of 80 astronomers about 36 dies yearly from "natural" reasons related just to heart and different types of cancer. Of course we can't rule out the possibility for many of those "natural" deaths actually being sophisticated murders with poisons and/or bio weapons, but at least we can compare the number of accidental deaths to population average. If somebody has a reasonable list of all the deaths with their dates and age information showing, it would help. If the number of accidents that happen to astronomers yearly is way over 8/year, it could be worth more detailed search. Some places to check for data: http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/fastats/deaths.htm http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Astronomer I hope the quick calculations are about right, please correct me if wrong. No point making more detailed statistics unless we know the number of actual deaths and other details. [/quote]
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