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BREAKING: Massive Storm Brutus now moving to the East Coast
Ms Sans Serif
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[quote:DoorBert:MV8yMDM4OTU3XzM0MjkzMDU0XzQ3MEYxRERC] DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0236 AM CST TUE NOV 06 2012 VALID 091200Z - 141200Z ...DISCUSSION... MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT DEPICTING A LARGE TROUGH WHICH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE WRN STATES ON FRI/D4...WITH AN INTENSIFYING JET CORE NOSING INTO CO BY 12Z SAT. LOW PRESSURE WILL DEEPEN AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT...EXTENDING FROM WRN MN SWWD ACROSS CNTRL NEB AND INTO WRN KS BY LATE AFTERNOON SAT. SUBSTANTIAL HEIGHT FALLS AND COOLING ALOFT WILL ACCOMPANY THIS COLD FRONT...AND STORMS WILL EASILY ERUPT ALONG IT. HEATING IS EXPECTED TO HELP DESTABILIZE THE AIR MASS FROM KS INTO NEB...WITH LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATE PLUME POSSIBLY EXTENDING AS FAR N AS SWRN MN. WITH DEWPOINTS ONLY IN THE UPPER 50S F...INSTABILITY LEVELS ARE FORECAST TO BE MARGINAL WITH AROUND 1000 J/KG MUCAPE. CAPPING SHOULD HAMPER DEVELOPMENT AWAY FROM THE FRONT DUE TO COOL BOUNDARY LAYER TEMPERATURES. ALL THIS SUGGESTS A LINEAR STORM MODE IS LIKELY. WHILE DEEP SHEAR WILL BE ORIENTED ALONG THE BOUNDARY...SUGGESTING CELLS MERGING...HODOGRAPHS WILL FAVOR EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF DAMAGING WINDS AND MARGINAL HAIL. WITH SUCH STRONG SHEAR...A FEW BOWING SEGMENTS MAY PRODUCE PARTICULARLY DAMAGING WINDS. SAT NIGHT...THE MAIN ENERGY WITH THIS TROUGH WILL EJECT NEWD INTO THE UPPER MS VALLEY...WHILE THE COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO MOVE SEWD ACROSS INTO IA...MO...AND OK. ALTHOUGH NUMEROUS STORMS ARE LIKELY TO EXTEND SWWD INTO OK SAT NIGHT...THE OVERALL THREAT WILL BE LIMITED BY MARGINAL INSTABILITY. SOME SEVERE THREAT IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST INTO SUN/D6...FROM ERN OK INTO AR...NERN TX AND NRN LA. DAMAGING WINDS WILL AGAIN BE THE MOST LIKELY THREAT WITH A SQUALL LINE...BUT VERY POOR LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES ARE FORECAST AND INSTABILITY WILL BE MARGINAL. IN ADDITION...MODELS ARE IN RELATIVELY POOR AGREEMENT WITH THIS PORTION OF THE TROUGH WHICH WILL PRECLUDE ANY FURTHER AREAS. ..JEWELL.. 11/06/2012 http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/exper/day4-8/ [/quote]
Latest GFS is showing a classic Texas Hooker developing in the Panhandle on Sunday Nov 11 and moving NE and strengthening.
link to weather.rap.ucar.edu
Trough is negative tilted.
link to weather.rap.ucar.edu
These bad girls can be very nasty and bring tornado outbreaks and blizzards at the same time.
link to en.wikipedia.org
Plains and Midwest could get hit hard.
Stay tuned for updates.
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