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BREAKING: Massive Storm Brutus now moving to the East Coast
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[quote:DoorBert:MV8yMDM4OTU3XzM0MzY2Mjc2X0U2NjE3RTVE] DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0230 AM CST FRI NOV 09 2012 VALID 111200Z - 121200Z ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM NERN TX...SERN OK INTO A PORTION OF THE LOWER MS VALLEY... ...SYNOPSIS... LARGE UPPER TROUGH WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE PLAINS AND MS VALLEY ON SUNDAY. LEAD VORT MAX EMBEDDED WITHIN THIS FEATURE WILL EJECT INTO SRN ONTARIO EARLY IN THE DAY...WHILE FARTHER SOUTH A SECONDARY VORT MAX WITHIN THE TROUGH BASE ADVANCES THROUGH THE SRN PLAINS AND LOWER MS VALLEY REGION. PRIMARY SURFACE LOW WILL ACCOMPANY THE LEAD SHORTWAVE TROUGH INTO ONTARIO WITH TRAILING COLD FRONT ADVANCING THROUGH THE UPPER GREAT LAKES...MID AND LOWER MS VALLEY AND SRN PLAINS. ...NERN TX...SERN OK INTO THE LOWER MS VALLEY AREA... AS SFC RIDGE AXIS SHIFTS FARTHER EAST...LOW LEVEL TRAJECTORIES OVER THE WRN GULF WILL BECOME A BIT MORE FAVORABLE FOR RICHER LOW LEVEL MOISTURE /LOW 60S DEWPOINTS/ TO ADVECT THROUGH THE PRE-FRONTAL WARM SECTOR ACROSS ERN TX...OK AND THE LOWER MS VALLEY WITH MORE LIMITED MOISTURE FARTHER NORTH. LIKELIHOOD OF MULTILAYER CLOUDS...PARTLY A RESULT OF STRATUS AND CONVECTIVE DEBRIS...SHOULD LIMIT AMOUNT OF BOUNDARY LAYER WARMING AND OVERALL DESTABILIZATION POTENTIAL. NEVERTHELESS...MLCAPE FROM 800-1200 J/KG WILL BE POSSIBLE MAINLY WITHIN ZONE OF RICHER MOISTURE RETURN FROM ERN TX...SERN OK INTO WRN PARTS OF THE LOWER MS VALLEY. STORMS MAY BE ONGOING FROM THE MID MS VALLEY SWWD INTO PORTIONS OF OK...AND POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR STORMS TO REDEVELOP FARTHER SOUTH INTO SERN OK AND NERN TX AS THE COLD FRONT BEGINS TO INTERACT WITH THE MOISTENING BOUNDARY LAYER. STRONGER WINDS ALOFT ACCOMPANYING THE PROGRESSIVE UPPER TROUGH WILL MAINTAIN STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR WITHIN THE FRONTAL ZONE. HOWEVER...PRIMARY CONVECTIVE MODE WILL LIKELY REMAIN LINEAR SUPPORTING POTENTIAL FOR LEWP AND BOWING STRUCTURES. ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND SHOULD BE THE MAIN THREAT AS STORMS DEVELOP EWD...THOUGH A COUPLE OF TORNADOES CANNOT BE RULED OUT GIVEN FAVORABLE SHEAR FOR EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS. ...MID MS VALLEY REGION... A FORCED BAND OF CONVECTION EMBEDDED WITHIN A STRONG KINEMATIC ENVIRONMENT WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE MID MS VALLEY DURING THE DAY. MOISTURE RETURN AND INSTABILITY SHOULD BE MORE LIMITED IN THIS REGION THAN FARTHER SOUTH...AND THIS WILL PROBABLY SERVE TO MITIGATE A MORE ROBUST SEVERE THREAT. HAVE INCLUDED THIS REGION IN LOW SEVERE PROBABILITIES DUE TO AT LEAST MODEST POTENTIAL FOR THE CONVECTIVE BANDS TO TRANSFER HIGHER MOMENTUM AIR DOWN TO THE SURFACE. ..DIAL.. 11/09/2012 http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day3otlk.html [/quote]
Latest GFS is showing a classic Texas Hooker developing in the Panhandle on Sunday Nov 11 and moving NE and strengthening.
link to weather.rap.ucar.edu
Trough is negative tilted.
link to weather.rap.ucar.edu
These bad girls can be very nasty and bring tornado outbreaks and blizzards at the same time.
link to en.wikipedia.org
Plains and Midwest could get hit hard.
Stay tuned for updates.
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