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BREAKING: Massive Storm Brutus now moving to the East Coast
Ms Sans Serif
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[quote:DoorBert:MV8yMDM4OTU3XzM0Mzg1Mzg0XzIzQjA3ODA2] DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1159 PM CST FRI NOV 09 2012 VALID 101200Z - 111200Z ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE PLAINS STATES/CENTRAL U.S.... ...SYNOPSIS... A LARGE UPPER TROUGH OVER THE WRN U.S. IS PROGGED TO ADVANCE SLOWLY EWD THIS PERIOD...INCREASINGLY AFFECTING THE CENTRAL THIRD OF THE CONUS. AS THIS TROUGH SHIFTS EWD...A SURFACE LOW INITIALLY INVOF CO SHOULD CONSOLIDATE AND SHIFT QUICKLY NEWD WITH TIME...REACHING THE U.S./CANADIAN BORDER INVOF NRN MN LATE. AS THIS OCCURS...A WARM FRONT WILL LIFT NWD ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES REGION...WHILE A STRONG COLD FRONT DRIVES EWD/SEWD ACROSS THE PLAINS STATES THROUGH THE PERIOD. THIS FRONT WILL FOCUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS -- AND SOME SEVERE POTENTIAL -- DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. ...UPPER MS/MID MO VALLEYS SSWWD INTO NWRN TX... RATHER COMPLICATED SCENARIO IS UNFOLDING ACROSS THE CENTRAL U.S. AHEAD OF THE LARGE/ADVANCING WRN TROUGH...AS VERY STRONG FLOW ALOFT SUGGESTS SEVERE POTENTIAL...WHILE AN ONLY MODESTLY UNSTABLE/LIKELY-TO-BE-CAPPED WARM SECTOR WILL LIKELY TEND TO HINDER OVERALL SEVERE POTENTIAL. ATTM...IT APPEARS THAT INITIAL STORM DEVELOPMENT INVOF A PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH/DRYLINE SHOULD OCCUR IN THE 22-23Z TIME FRAME INVOF WRN KS AND ERN PORTIONS OF THE TX/OK PANHANDLES...AS AFTERNOON HEATING PERMITS DEVELOPMENT OF 500 TO 1000 J/KG MIXED-LAYER CAPE. GIVEN CAPPING LIKELY TO BE PRESENT...INITIAL DEVELOPMENT IS LIKELY TO BE ISOLATED...AND THUS -- GIVEN BACKGROUND FLOW FIELD -- LIKELY SUPERCELLULAR. ALONG WITH POTENTIAL FOR HAIL...LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE. WITH TIME...STORMS SHOULD EXPAND NNEWD ALONG THE COLD FRONT AS IT ADVANCES ACROSS THE MID MO VALLEY REGION -- AND PERHAPS NWD INTO MN THOUGH INSTABILITY SHOULD DIMINISH WITH NWD EXTENT. WITH TIME...STORMS SHOULD EVOLVE TOWARD A FORCED LINEAR MODE INVOF THE FRONT -- PARTICULARLY FROM NRN KS NWD...WITH POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS AND MARGINAL HAIL EXPECTED. FARTHER S INTO KS/OK...STORMS MAY REMAIN MIXED IN MODE -- WITH SOME CELLULAR CONVECTION POSSIBLY LINGERING THROUGH THE EVENING UNTIL A MORE LINEAR CONVECTIVE MODE EVOLVES LATE AS THE COLD FRONT DRIVES ACROSS THIS REGION. GENERALLY...EXPECT STORM INTENSITY -- AND ASSOCIATED SEVERE POTENTIAL -- TO DIMINISH SLOWLY FROM LATE EVENING ONWARD. ..GOSS/GARNER.. 11/10/2012 http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html [/quote]
Latest GFS is showing a classic Texas Hooker developing in the Panhandle on Sunday Nov 11 and moving NE and strengthening.
link to weather.rap.ucar.edu
Trough is negative tilted.
link to weather.rap.ucar.edu
These bad girls can be very nasty and bring tornado outbreaks and blizzards at the same time.
link to en.wikipedia.org
Plains and Midwest could get hit hard.
Stay tuned for updates.
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