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BREAKING: Massive Storm Brutus now moving to the East Coast
Ms Sans Serif
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[quote:DoorBert:MV8yMDM4OTU3XzM0MzkxODY0XzM2NDA0OEU=] MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2109 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0153 PM CST SAT NOV 10 2012 AREAS AFFECTED...ERN NEB...CNTRL KS CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY VALID 101953Z - 102200Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...80 PERCENT SUMMARY...DISCRETE TSTMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG A COLD/QUASI-STATIONARY FRONT AND DRYLINE BETWEEN 21-23Z. THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD BECOME SUPERCELLULAR WITH PRIMARY INITIAL THREATS OF SEVERE HAIL/WIND ALONG WITH A FEW TORNADOES...WITH UPSCALE GROWTH PROBABLE DURING THE EVENING. DISCUSSION...19Z SURFACE ANALYSIS PLACED A SERIES OF CYCLONES ALONG A FRONTAL ZONE FROM E-CNTRL CO E/NEWD INTO NERN NEB. A DRYLINE INTERSECTED THE FRONT NEAR GRI...EXTENDING S/SWWD INTO THE ERN TX PANHANDLE. ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH THE VIGOROUS SHORT WAVE TROUGH IN THE LEE OF THE ROCKIES APPEARS TO BE STRENGTHENING IN THE HIGH PLAINS...INFERRED BY DEEPENING CU DEVELOPMENT W OF THE DRYLINE. THIS LOBE OF ASCENT INVOF CO/NEB/KS BORDER WILL OVERSPREAD THE DRYLINE/FRONT INTERSECTION AROUND 22Z...WHERE SURFACE PRESSURE FALLS ARE CURRENTLY MAXIMIZED. INITIAL TSTM DEVELOPMENT IS PROBABLE HERE WITH ACTIVITY RIDING ALONG AND N OF THE FRONT. ADDITIONAL STORMS WILL FIRE SOUTH ALONG THE DRYLINE BY 00Z. AIR MASS AHEAD OF THE DRYLINE IS CHARACTERIZED BY 20-30 F SURFACE TEMPERATURE/DEW POINT SPREADS...AS MODEST BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE REMAINS THE PRIMARY LIMITING FACTOR TO A MORE ROBUST SEVERE THREAT. EVEN WITH MODEST BUOYANCY...STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND STRENGTHENING DEEP-LAYER SHEAR WILL PROMOTE UPDRAFT ROTATION WITH WIDELY SCATTERED SWATHS OF SEVERE HAIL/WIND PROBABLE. AS A PLUME OF 56-58 F SURFACE DEW POINTS IN S-CNTRL KS TO W-CNTRL OK IS DRAWN NWD...A FEW TORNADOES MAY DEVELOP. OTHERWISE...ACTIVITY SHOULD EVOLVE INTO BOWING STRUCTURES/SHORT-LINE SEGMENTS WITH A PRIMARY RISK OF DAMAGING WIND. ..GRAMS/WEISS.. 11/10/2012 http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md2109.html [/quote]
Latest GFS is showing a classic Texas Hooker developing in the Panhandle on Sunday Nov 11 and moving NE and strengthening.
link to weather.rap.ucar.edu
Trough is negative tilted.
link to weather.rap.ucar.edu
These bad girls can be very nasty and bring tornado outbreaks and blizzards at the same time.
link to en.wikipedia.org
Plains and Midwest could get hit hard.
Stay tuned for updates.
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