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BREAKING: Massive Storm Brutus now moving to the East Coast
Ms Sans Serif
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[quote:Luisport:MV8yMDM4OTU3XzM0NDA4MDI3XzlEMEZEQ0NC] DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1027 AM CST SUN NOV 11 2012 VALID 111630Z - 121200Z ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER ERN TX/SERN OK INTO AR AND NRN/WRN LA... ...ERN TX/SERN OK INTO AR AND NRN/WRN LA... HIGH AMPLITUDE UPPER TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING EWD ACROSS THE CENTRAL US THROUGH TONIGHT AS THE STRONGEST WINDS ALOFT ROTATE THROUGH THE ERN PERIPHERY OF THE SYSTEM. AT THE SURFACE...A LOW OVER NWRN ONTARIO WILL MOVE NNEWD TOWARD JAMES BAY AS A STRONG COLD FRONT...CURRENTLY FROM WRN WI INTO CENTRAL MO...SERN OK AND SWRN TX...PROGRESSES EWD/SEWD TO A LAKE HURON/CENTRAL KY/CENTRAL MS/TX GULF COAST LINE BY 12/12Z. AN AXIS OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IS PRESENT AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT FROM ERN TX INTO THE MIDDLE MS VALLEY WITH SURFACE DEW POINTS RANGING FROM THE MID/UPPER 60S OVER TX TO THE MID 50S OVER NRN MO AND ERN IA. THE ERN EXTENT OF THE MOISTURE AXIS HAS BEEN LIMITED BY ANTICYCLONIC TRAJECTORIES ON THE WEST SIDE OF THE ATLANTIC COAST SURFACE RIDGE...AND THE MOIST AXIS IS LIKELY TO GRADUALLY NARROW IN WIDTH AS COLD FRONT ADVANCES EWD WITH TIME. 12Z REGIONAL RAOBS AT FWD/SHV/LZK/SGF EXHIBITED A PRONOUNCED CAPPING INVERSION ABOVE 800 MB THAT HAD LIMITED DEEP CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT IN THE WARM SECTOR UNTIL RECENTLY. HOWEVER...PRE-FRONTAL STORMS ARE NOW EVIDENT OVER NERN TX AND GIVEN THE FAVORABLE LOW LEVEL SHEAR...STORMS WILL BE MONITORED FOR INDICATIONS OF INTENSIFICATION /SEE MD 2117 FOR MORE DETAILS/. WIDESPREAD CLOUD COVER DOWNSTREAM FROM THE COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO INHIBIT DIABATIC HEATING AND STRONG DESTABILIZATION THIS AFTERNOON...BUT SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY EXISTS TO SUPPORT STRONGER CONVECTIVE UPDRAFTS THIS AFTERNOON. CONVECTION-ALLOWING MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES WIDELY SCATTERED STORMS SHOULD CONTINUE TO DEVELOP IN ADVANCE OF THE COLD FRONT WITH ADDITIONAL LINEAR CONVECTION ALONG THE COLD FRONT DURING THE AFTERNOON. STRONG DEEP LAYER AND LOW LEVEL VERTICAL SHEAR ALONG THE SERN EDGE OF THE UPPER TROUGH WILL ENHANCE STORM ORGANIZATION AND INTENSITY WITH POTENTIAL FOR A FEW SUPERCELLS AND BOWING SEGMENTS TO FORM. STRONGER STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WIND...ISOLATED LARGE HAIL...AND POSSIBLY A FEW TORNADOES MAINLY DURING THE AFTERNOON. THE SEVERE THREAT SHOULD GRADUALLY DIMINISH TONIGHT AS BOUNDARY LAYER COOLING COMMENCES AND THE UPPER TROUGH LIFTS NEWD AWAY FROM THE HIGHER THETA-E AIR MASS. ..WEISS/MOSIER.. 11/11/2012 [/quote]
Latest GFS is showing a classic Texas Hooker developing in the Panhandle on Sunday Nov 11 and moving NE and strengthening.
link to weather.rap.ucar.edu
Trough is negative tilted.
link to weather.rap.ucar.edu
These bad girls can be very nasty and bring tornado outbreaks and blizzards at the same time.
link to en.wikipedia.org
Plains and Midwest could get hit hard.
Stay tuned for updates.
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