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UPDATE Dec 10: Damn...its time to start paying attenion to Patrick Geryl (i hate saying that). M7.4 in Guatemala...just like he said...again.
Ms Sans Serif
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[quote:MatrixLNIN11:MV8yMDQyODQ1XzM0NTgwMzM0XzIwOEYzRDk2] [quote:doomie girl:MV8yMDQyODQ1XzM0MzcyNDUxX0ZERjBDNDVE] On average the number of earthquakes that will strike each year include: 1 earthquake of magnitude 8 or larger; 17 earthquakes of magnitudes ranging from 7 to 7.9; 134 earthquakes of magnitudes ranging from 6 to 6.9; and 1,319 earthquakes of magnitudes 5 to 5.9. Statistically speaking we are still "due" another six 7-7.9 magnitude earthquakes in the next 7 wks…by the end of the year if we want to keep in the "average" range . Actually by looking at the USGS website we actually have a lower count of earthquakes in all but one of the magnitudes this year than in the past several years and that one is still within "average" range! http://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/eqarchives/year/eqstats.php [/quote] the statistics are based on MONTHLY averages, so statistically NO in that context. [/quote]
So the first time I heard Geryl talk it was in regards to Dec 21, 2012, and I thought he was out to lunch. His expectations were waaaayyy too doomish, even for an everyday GLPer.
However, since then I've been reading up on his on-going EQ perdictions associated with different planetary allignments, and holy shit has he been accurate.
This M7.4 today was the final straw for me. He called it, and once again was dead on the money of both timing and size.
link to quakes.globalincidentmap.com
Just freakin' me out a little as I live close to the ocean (very close) and we are only 43+ days until Dec 21st.
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