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Watching Another Possible Nor'easter for the East Coast - Thanksgiving Week
Ms Sans Serif
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[quote:Anonymous Coward 27446464:MV8yMDQ1NTUyXzM0Mzk0MjI5X0UyMzI4NEE4] 1. THE SURFACE LOW LOCATED ABOUT 1100 MILES WEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS HAS WEAKENED TO A TROUGH...AND THE ASSOCIATED SHOWER ACTIVITY HAS DIMINISHED. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...NEAR 0 PERCENT... OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMING FROM THIS SYSTEM DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD ABOUT 15 MPH. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. [/quote]
Models have been on this for the last couple days.
So far it is staying pretty far off the US East Coast, but GFS has it as an asymmetric warm core - just like Sandy.
Genesis estimated to be Tuesday.
link to moe.met.fsu.edu
link to mag.ncep.noaa.gov
A lot of changes can happen now until then.
Need to watch the High Pressure ridge in the Atlantic to see if later model runs push this closer to the coast.
NHC currently has a 20% chance of development.
link to www.nhc.noaa.gov
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