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FAST-GROWING SUNSPOT AR1619 - (updated) 30% chance of X-Class flares!
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[quote:Carshy McCarsh:MV8yMDU5NTQ3XzM0NjU0MDY2X0EwNEFCOEU4] [quote:smileyguy:MV8yMDU5NTQ3XzM0NjU0MDE4XzhCMzAzMjg=] I love the sun and it's power. http://mysolaralerts.blogspot.com/ [/quote] Another outstanding resource, thanks man! :cheers: [/quote]
Original Message
Only a few days ago, sunspot AR1618 was almost invisible. Now it is a behemoth more than 10 times wider than Earth. A movie from NASA's Solar Dynamics Observatory shows the sunspot's development on Nov. 20-21:
[
link to spaceweather.com
]
As the sunspot evolves, so does its intense magnetic field--and this means strong flares are in the offing. Fast-changing magnetic fields on the sun have a tendency to reconnect and erupt. NOAA forecasters estimate a 70% chance of M-class flares and a 15% chance of X-flares during the next 24 hours. Because of the sunspot's nearly central location on the solar disk,
any eruptions will likely be Earth-directed.
[
link to spaceweather.com
]
Updates:
Thread: SUNSPOT AR1618--UPDATE: Sunspot AR1618 has experienced some decay during the past 24 hours, but it is still potent.
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