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FAST-GROWING SUNSPOT AR1619 - (updated) 30% chance of X-Class flares!
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[quote:Anonymous Coward 4914062:MV8yMDU5NTQ3XzM0NjYwNTUxX0RCMEE1MUU0] [quote:CanadaIn NIC:MV8yMDU5NTQ3XzM0NjYwMjU3XzM3MjZFMjU0] Doom on! CHANCE OF STORMS: NOAA forecasters estimate a 65% chance of polar geomagnetic storms on Nov. 23rd when a pair of CMEs is expected to hit Earth's magnetic field. The incoming clouds were propelled toward Earth by the recent eruptions of sunspot AR1618. Black Friday might be tinged red and green by the glow of high-latitude auroras. Aurora alerts: text, voice. [/quote] OOOO, WE GET TO SEE SOME PRETTY GREEN AND YELLOW LIGHTS IN THE SKY...HOLY SHIT...THATS TOO MUCH DOOM FOR ME :drama: [/quote]
Original Message
Only a few days ago, sunspot AR1618 was almost invisible. Now it is a behemoth more than 10 times wider than Earth. A movie from NASA's Solar Dynamics Observatory shows the sunspot's development on Nov. 20-21:
[
link to spaceweather.com
]
As the sunspot evolves, so does its intense magnetic field--and this means strong flares are in the offing. Fast-changing magnetic fields on the sun have a tendency to reconnect and erupt. NOAA forecasters estimate a 70% chance of M-class flares and a 15% chance of X-flares during the next 24 hours. Because of the sunspot's nearly central location on the solar disk,
any eruptions will likely be Earth-directed.
[
link to spaceweather.com
]
Updates:
Thread: SUNSPOT AR1618--UPDATE: Sunspot AR1618 has experienced some decay during the past 24 hours, but it is still potent.
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