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Subject UK WEATHER ALLERT!!!

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Original Message Storm Forecast
Valid: Sat 22 Dec 2012 06:00 to Sun 23 Dec 2012 06:00 UTC
Issued: Fri 21 Dec 2012 18:16
Forecaster: DAHL
A level 1 was issued across Ireland mainly for severe straight-line wind gusts.

SYNOPSIS

The dominant features in the surface analyses are an extensive, cold high-pressure area covering the eastern half of the forecast area, and a large surface low over the eastern Atlantic, which is making slow eastward progress. At upper levels a northwesterly jet is stretching from western Europe into the Mediterranean. A series of short-wave troughs is embedded in this jet, which will become unstable, leading to the development of a pronounced upper trough/low over the northern Ionian Sea by Saturday morning. While digging southeastward into the southern/easten Mediterranean, this upper trough is expected to continue amplifying through the period. At the low levels, this development will be accompanied by cyclogenesis, which will be the main focus for convective development on during this forecast period.

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