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989 mb Explosively Developing Low over Chicago early Wed!!! TWO DEATHS CONFIRMED!!!! Compared with cleveland superbomb
Ms Sans Serif
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[quote:Luisport:MV8yMTIwMTkyXzM1ODIwODQxX0Q2MkNGOTBF] AREAS AFFECTED...NERN TX...SERN OK...WRN AR CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...TORNADO WATCH LIKELY VALID 291546Z - 291745Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...95 PERCENT SUMMARY...STORMS SHOULD CONTINUE TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE ACROSS NERN TX...SERN OK...AND WRN AR...WITH A THREAT OF TORNADOES AND DAMAGING WINDS. DISCUSSION...A MOIST AIR MASS IS IN PLACE ACROSS THE REGION WITH DEWPOINTS RISING INTO THE MID 60S F. ALTHOUGH HEATING WILL REMAIN LIMITED...FORCING FOR ASCENT WILL BE ON THE INCREASE THROUGH THE DAY. ASIDE FROM THE COLD FRONT WHICH CURRENTLY EXTENDS FROM OKC TO SPS...CONFLUENCE FLOW WITHIN THE MOIST AXIS AND BENEATH A 65 KT LOW LEVEL JET SHOULD RESULT IN ADDITIONAL CONVECTION ACROSS THE WARM SECTOR. WIND PROFILES ARE VERY STRONG WITH VWP AND PROFILER DATA INDICATING 0-1 SRH IN EXCESS OF 400 M2/S2. FURTHER....THE 12Z FWD SOUNDING SHOWED STEEP MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES IN PLACE. WHILE INITIAL ATTEMPTS AT NEW STORMS MAY BE SLOW DUE TO MARGINAL CAPPING...SUPERCELLS ARE EXPECTED TO MATERIALIZE ONCE DEEP CONVECTION IS REALIZED AND TORNADOES AS WELL AS DAMAGING WINDS WITH BOWS ARE LIKELY. ..JEWELL/THOMPSON.. 01/29/2013 [/quote]
GFS 12z uncorks another historical strength extratropical cyclone, this time over Quebec. Remember the Cleveland SuperBomb?
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