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Winter Storm Rocky!!! Snowfall accumulations expected to be greater than 2 feet...
Ms Sans Serif
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[quote:Texan Buckeye:MV8yMTQ5NDE2XzM2MzE4NDAxXzM2QkQwQTdF] THE NEXT UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM THAT WILL AFFECT US IS CURRENTLY OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. A PIECE OF THIS SYSTEM WILL DIG SOUTHEAST INTO THE FOUR CORNERS AREA AND CUT OFF BY MIDDAY SUNDAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL THEN TRACK INTO TEXAS DURING THE DAY MONDAY. ALMOST ALL OF THE MODEL SOLUTIONS ARE FARTHER SOUTH THAN THEY WERE 24 HOURS AGO. THE ECMWF AND GEM SOLUTION INDICATE THAT THE UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL TREK EAST CLOSE TO THE I-20/I-30 CORRIDOR ACROSS TEXAS. ON THE OTHER HAND...THE 00Z GFS SHOWS A WEAKER SYSTEM THAT WILL SLIDE ACROSS THE TEXAS PANHANDLE INTO OKLAHOMA. THE DIFFERENCES IN THE MODEL SOLUTIONS POSE A FORECAST PROBLEM. THE ECMWF SOLUTION BRINGS A CHANCE OF AT LEAST A RAIN/SNOW MIX TO THE NORTHERN THIRD OF NORTH TEXAS MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT WHEREAS THE GFS SOLUTION WOULD RESULT IN ALL RAIN. BELIEVE THAT FOR NOW THE BEST THING TO DO IS TO DO A COMPROMISE BETWEEN THE ECMWF/GEM AND THE GFS...LEANING MORE TOWARD THE FORMER THAN THE LATTER. THUS HAVE INTRODUCED RAIN/SNOW MIX ACROSS THE NORTHERN MOST COUNTIES. GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY...WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED TO SEE SOME WINTRY PRECIPITATION FARTHER SOUTH...BUT CONFIDENCE IS NOT HIGH ENOUGH TO WARRANT MENTIONING IT IN THE OFFICIAL FORECAST YET. BEYOND MONDAY NIGHT...THE WEATHER PATTERN LOOKS PRETTY QUIET. A COUPLE OF SHORT WAVES WILL SLIDE ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...BUT NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED WITH THESE SYSTEMS. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE BELOW SEASONAL NORMALS TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. Here's part of the discussion from the Fort Worth site. The euro model has the bull's-eye of the storm over the Kansas/Oklahoma border. Yesterday, it was in the middle of Kansas. I guess it's true...if you don't like the weather, wait a bit. It'll change!LOL edit* Sorry, forgot the link. It WILL update. http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=FWD&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1 [/quote]
Winter storm watches have been issued across Oklahoma and Kansas in preparation of Winter Storm Rocky. This system is expected to be as significant, if not even worse, than Winter Storm Q two days ago. The NAM and GFS are putting out snowfall accumulations of greater than 2 feet in isolated areas of Kansas. [
link to forecast.weather.gov
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