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US Military - North Korean Missile Launch - Kim Jong-Un intends to walk the walk......
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Enough bluster: Apparently Kim Jong-Un intends to walk the walk.
A prominent arms analyst has told an Australian think-tank that U.S. troop movements west of the peninsula indicate that a North Korean missile launch is imminent.
Australian Foreign Minister Bob Carr said the following about North Korea:
"In terms of military intelligence, it appears the country is almost ready to deploy an intercontinental ballistic missile with a capacity of reaching the United States."
[link to www.lowyinterpreter.org] [link to missilethreat.com]
“The United States, Australia and other allies appear to be taking important policy decisions on the basis of the imminent deployment of the KN-08.
The impending launch comes on the heels of intelligence about missile movements on the western side of the peninsula. Pentagon Press Secretary told reporters yesterday that “test flights” of certain missile systems were possible.
James Martin Center from Washington, DC for his take on that statement. Here's Lewis' response, in full:
"There have been a number of vague official statements and inscrutable leaks that seem to suggest North Korea is taking steps to deploy the KN-08 ICBM"
There’s also talk about the somewhat less terrifying Musudan, which is believed to be a varient of the SCUD — a missile more fit for terrifying soft-targets, like population centers, rather than taking out military targets
This measure from Kim Jong-Un follows significant troop movements on behalf of both the U.S. and China.
Those provinces both align with known nuclear sites inside North Korea
Though Gertz and other analysts tend to believe China’s troop movements are in support of North Korea, recent calls from Defense Secretary Chuck Hagel to top military leadership in China indicate some level of cooperation.
In light of Carr's comments, it is worth re-reading Hugh White's Interpreter post from December 2012, The Prospect of a North Korean ICBM. Key quote:
"Extended deterrence depends on the credibility (to both the adversary and the ally) of US threats to respond to any nuclear attack on the ally with a US nuclear attack on the adversary. Such credibility depends a great deal on whether the adversary has the capacity to hit back at the US. As long as North Korea has no credible capacity to target America itself, a US retaliatory strike on the North carries relatively low risks for the US itself.
But if the North can hit back, the costs for the US go up dramatically, and the credibility of the US threat goes down. In a crisis, everyone will be asking whether stopping North Korea doing whatever it wants to do is important enough to America to risk a nuclear attack on Honolulu or LA."
So the question be..... what if it NOT a "test flight" of a missile Do the US A) shoot it up on the launch pad? B) shoot it down once it lifts off? C) shoot it down once it enters US airspace traveling at mach10? D) its just a "test flight" don't worry ......
Now USA cant even protect the Pentagon from a slow moving 747
So Kim Jong-Un puts up the very creditable missile threat i.e. walks the walk.
The US has to shoot first.... and its game on!!!
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