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SEVERE WEATHER TONIGHT: New Tornado Watch: Memphis, Paducah KY & Little Rock until 3am CDT. Strong tornadoes possible. Update Pg 5.

 
Lemon
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SEVERE WEATHER TONIGHT: New Tornado Watch: Memphis, Paducah KY & Little Rock until 3am CDT. Strong tornadoes possible. Update Pg 5.
Storm Prediction Center is calling for a risk of some strong to violent tornadoes today across the Missouri Valley, Arkansas, Mississippi Valley, Houston and Louisiana. Possibly into southern Illinois.

Also, threat for tornadoes in Nebraska & Kansas City area. SPC hints at a possible upgrade to HIGH RISK for areas around Shreveport and Little Rock.


DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0730 AM CDT FRI APR 23 2010

VALID 231300Z - 241200Z

...THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING OVER
PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST TX...NORTHERN LA...MUCH OF AR...NORTHERN AND
WESTERN MS...AND WESTERN TN...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER MUCH OF THE ARKLATEX AND
LOWER MS VALLEY...ARCING NORTHWESTWARD INTO NEB....

...REGIONAL SEVERE WEATHER OUTBREAK INCLUDING THE POTENTIAL FOR
STRONG TORNADOES
IS POSSIBLE TODAY OVER PORTIONS OF THE LOWER MS
VALLEY...


..TX/LA/AR/MS/TN THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING

MORNING WATER VAPOR LOOPS SHOW A LARGE UPPER LOW IS IN PLACE OVER
THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES. SEVERAL SHORTWAVE TROUGHS ARE ROTATING THROUGH
THE BASE OF THE LOW INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS...AND EVENTUALLY INTO
THE MS VALLEY. ONE SUCH FEATURE APPEARS TO BE TRACKING ACROSS EAST
TX WHERE SCATTERED SHOWERS HAVE BEEN INCREASING. THIS ACTIVITY IS
FORECAST TO MOVE INTO PORTIONS OF AR/LA BY LATE MORNING/EARLY
AFTERNOON AND INTENSIFY. A COMBINATION OF DAYTIME HEATING AND RAPID
INFLUX OF NEAR 70F DEWPOINTS WILL YIELD AFTERNOON MLCAPE VALUES OF
2000-3000 J/KG...AND HELP TO PROMOTE VIGOROUS UPDRAFTS. THE
SUBSTANTIAL CAPPING INVERSION SHOWN ON THE 12Z LCH SOUNDING IS
EXPECTED TO WEAKEN BY EARLY AFTERNOON DUE TO LARGE SCALE FORCING AND
COOLING...FURTHER HELPING CONVECTIVE COVERAGE. FORECAST SOUNDINGS
FROM SEVERAL MODELS ALSO INDICATE THAT SUBSTANTIAL LOW LEVEL
VERTICAL SHEAR WILL DEVELOP BY AFTERNOON ACROSS THE MODERATE RISK
AREA /ESRH VALUES OF 300-500 M2/S2 SHOWN BY 00Z/. THE COMBINATION
OF DISCRETE INITIATION OF CONVECTION...AMPLE CAPE AND LAPSE
RATES...STRONG EFFECTIVE SHEAR...AND HIGH HELICITY VALUES GIVE
CONFIDENCE IN MAINTAINING THE FORECAST OF MULTIPLE TORNADOES /SOME
STRONG/
TODAY OVER THE MODERATE RISK AREA. THE CORRIDOR OF GREATEST
RISK APPEARS TO EXTEND ACROSS NORTHERN LA/SOUTHERN AR TO NEAR MEM.
NORTHEASTWARD EXTENT OF SEVERE/TORNADO THREAT IS UNCLEAR AND WILL BE
MODULATED BY RETURN SPEED OF SURFACE-BASED INSTABILITY INTO THAT
REGION.


..NEB/KS/MO THIS AFTERNOON


MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN AGREEMENT THAT A NARROW AXIS OF MODERATE
INSTABILITY WILL DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON ALONG/AHEAD OF COLD FRONT
FROM CENTRAL/SOUTHEAST NEB INTO EASTERN KS AND WESTERN MO.
SUFFICIENT SURFACE HEATING AND DYNAMIC COOLING ALOFT WILL HELP TO
ERODE CAP AND LEAD TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS BY
MID/LATE AFTERNOON. ORIENTATION OF DEEP-SHEAR VECTOR NORMAL TO THE
BOUNDARY SUGGEST THE DISCRETE INITIATION IS LIKELY...WITH SUFFICIENT
LOW LEVEL SHEAR FOR A RISK OF A FEW TORNADOES TODAY.
OTHERWISE...SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF VERY LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS
ARE EXPECTED FOR SEVERAL HOURS THIS EVENING.


..EAST TX/LA/AR OVERNIGHT

THE MAIN SHORTWAVE TROUGH CURRENTLY OVER SOUTHERN AZ IS FORECAST TO
BECOME NEGATIVELY TILTED AND ROTATE INTO TX BY SATURDAY MORNING.
THIS IS LIKELY TO RESULT IN THE RAPID DEVELOPMENT OF INTENSE
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE COLD FRONT OVER EAST TX...WITH STORMS RACING
EASTWARD TOWARD THE LOWER MS VALLEY BY 12Z. LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING
WINDS...AND TORNADOES WILL ALL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.
THIS
ACTIVITY WILL LIKELY BE THE START OF ANOTHER VERY ACTIVE SEVERE
WEATHER DAY OVER PARTS OF MS/LA/TN ON SATURDAY.

..HART/SMITH.. 04/23/2010

Last Edited by Plumas on 04/23/2010 08:04 PM
Lemon (OP)

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04/23/2010 07:52 AM
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Re: SEVERE WEATHER TONIGHT: New Tornado Watch: Memphis, Paducah KY & Little Rock until 3am CDT. Strong tornadoes possible. Update Pg 5.
Stay safe, GLP.
hf

hiding

Last Edited by Plumas on 04/23/2010 08:36 AM
Lemon (OP)

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Re: SEVERE WEATHER TONIGHT: New Tornado Watch: Memphis, Paducah KY & Little Rock until 3am CDT. Strong tornadoes possible. Update Pg 5.
One more thing, found this on Accuweather:
Plains to Mississippi Valley Severe Storm, Tornado Threat Today
Apr 23, 2010; 5:43 AM ET
Share |

As a powerful storm system rolls onto the Plains today, it will ignite dangerous severe storms across portions of the central and southern Plains and the Mississippi Valley. The storms can produce several tornadoes on top of other threats to lives and property.

Violent thunderstorms triggered by the same storm system already ravaged portions of the southern Plains. There were 32 tornado reports in eastern Colorado, western Kansas, and western Texas on Thursday afternoon and evening.

[link to www.accuweather.com]

Last Edited by Plumas on 04/23/2010 07:57 AM
Bugeater

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04/23/2010 07:59 AM
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Re: SEVERE WEATHER TONIGHT: New Tornado Watch: Memphis, Paducah KY & Little Rock until 3am CDT. Strong tornadoes possible. Update Pg 5.
Stay safe, GLP. I'm off to the college.

hf

hiding
 Quoting: Lemon


Time out!


I call BS, nobody on GLP has gone or does go or plans on going to college.


cheers
Anonymous Coward
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Re: SEVERE WEATHER TONIGHT: New Tornado Watch: Memphis, Paducah KY & Little Rock until 3am CDT. Strong tornadoes possible. Update Pg 5.
I will be storm chasing in southeast Nebraska today!
Hickory

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04/23/2010 08:17 AM
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Re: SEVERE WEATHER TONIGHT: New Tornado Watch: Memphis, Paducah KY & Little Rock until 3am CDT. Strong tornadoes possible. Update Pg 5.
I will be storm chasing in southeast Nebraska today!
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 950898

How exciting. Hope you find your tornado. hf

Last Edited by Hickory on 04/23/2010 08:55 AM
You have one life. Live it.
You have one voice, use it.
You have one
:Hickory-1:
Anonymous Coward
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04/23/2010 08:26 AM
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Re: SEVERE WEATHER TONIGHT: New Tornado Watch: Memphis, Paducah KY & Little Rock until 3am CDT. Strong tornadoes possible. Update Pg 5.
Its been crazy here in the Denver area:

[link to www.kdvr.com]

Hailstorms the past 3 days, heavy rains , 2 feet of snow expected for the mountains, tornader warning sirens yesterday. verycold
dough dude
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04/23/2010 08:53 AM
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Re: SEVERE WEATHER TONIGHT: New Tornado Watch: Memphis, Paducah KY & Little Rock until 3am CDT. Strong tornadoes possible. Update Pg 5.
Im in Arkansas and you can already feel it in the air. I have been in 2 major tornados. Scary shit as people I know died in both. I think we will see more than one F5.
Anonymous Coward
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04/23/2010 09:11 AM
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Re: SEVERE WEATHER TONIGHT: New Tornado Watch: Memphis, Paducah KY & Little Rock until 3am CDT. Strong tornadoes possible. Update Pg 5.
Stay safe everyone - I'm barely in SE Kansas so don't know if I will miss it or be in it but have family in Oklahoma City as well as Houston, and Longview which is in E. Texas - praying everyone will be ok!! Stay safe GLP'ers - will have to keep an eye on this today!
Doominator
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04/23/2010 09:19 AM
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Re: SEVERE WEATHER TONIGHT: New Tornado Watch: Memphis, Paducah KY & Little Rock until 3am CDT. Strong tornadoes possible. Update Pg 5.
Spent yesterday prepping and stocking the tornado shelter here near Memphis. Got yours ready?
mopar28m
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04/23/2010 09:27 AM

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Re: SEVERE WEATHER TONIGHT: New Tornado Watch: Memphis, Paducah KY & Little Rock until 3am CDT. Strong tornadoes possible. Update Pg 5.
Stay safe, GLP. I'm off to the college.

hf

hiding


Time out!


I call BS, nobody on GLP has gone or does go or plans on going to college.


cheers
 Quoting: Bugeater


I just got done with a college class last month.
vaccinefreehealth.spam

vaccinefreehealth@hushmail.com

Racin​g to end vaccinations.
dough dude
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Re: SEVERE WEATHER TONIGHT: New Tornado Watch: Memphis, Paducah KY & Little Rock until 3am CDT. Strong tornadoes possible. Update Pg 5.
Its 65 outside and im sweating like its 90. I think downtown Little Rock will get hit today. hiding Stay safe
Anonymous Coward
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04/23/2010 09:39 AM
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Re: SEVERE WEATHER TONIGHT: New Tornado Watch: Memphis, Paducah KY & Little Rock until 3am CDT. Strong tornadoes possible. Update Pg 5.
I'm scheduled to roll into LR about 5, Dough Dude. I saw that tornado that hit Sylvan Hills a couple of years ago, from about a block away.
Anonymous Coward
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04/23/2010 09:41 AM
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Re: SEVERE WEATHER TONIGHT: New Tornado Watch: Memphis, Paducah KY & Little Rock until 3am CDT. Strong tornadoes possible. Update Pg 5.
Spent yesterday prepping and stocking the tornado shelter here near Memphis. Got yours ready?
 Quoting: Doominator 162364


Stocking? We keep ours stocked. About 10 gals of water, candles, oil lamp, and about a weeks supply of canned goods.
Doominator
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Re: SEVERE WEATHER TONIGHT: New Tornado Watch: Memphis, Paducah KY & Little Rock until 3am CDT. Strong tornadoes possible. Update Pg 5.
Just click on the storm here and the assoc. watch and warning boxes show on the radar blow up: [link to radar.weather.gov]
Doominator
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Re: SEVERE WEATHER TONIGHT: New Tornado Watch: Memphis, Paducah KY & Little Rock until 3am CDT. Strong tornadoes possible. Update Pg 5.
Looks like it's really tapping into the Gulf moisture now. They're growing by the minute. Look at Louisiana!
Anonymous Coward
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Re: SEVERE WEATHER TONIGHT: New Tornado Watch: Memphis, Paducah KY & Little Rock until 3am CDT. Strong tornadoes possible. Update Pg 5.
Alabama will be a cluster fuck from 12 to 12 on saturday.
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04/23/2010 09:48 AM
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Re: SEVERE WEATHER TONIGHT: New Tornado Watch: Memphis, Paducah KY & Little Rock until 3am CDT. Strong tornadoes possible. Update Pg 5.
Stay safe everyone - I'm barely in SE Kansas so don't know if I will miss it or be in it but have family in Oklahoma City as well as Houston, and Longview which is in E. Texas - praying everyone will be ok!! Stay safe GLP'ers - will have to keep an eye on this today!
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 950930


Galena? Baxter Springs?
Anonymous Coward
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Re: SEVERE WEATHER TONIGHT: New Tornado Watch: Memphis, Paducah KY & Little Rock until 3am CDT. Strong tornadoes possible. Update Pg 5.
I will be storm chasing in southeast Nebraska today!
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 950898

post vids!!!!
Doominator
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04/23/2010 09:50 AM
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Re: SEVERE WEATHER TONIGHT: New Tornado Watch: Memphis, Paducah KY & Little Rock until 3am CDT. Strong tornadoes possible. Update Pg 5.
TWC was giving Omaha, Nebraska a 6 of 10 probability for today, this year's HIGHEST rating so far.
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Re: SEVERE WEATHER TONIGHT: New Tornado Watch: Memphis, Paducah KY & Little Rock until 3am CDT. Strong tornadoes possible. Update Pg 5.
Coming here tomorrow...worried about the Country Music Marathon and then we have massive proms on the party buses tomorrow night. Not gonna be good for those dresses and tuxedos.
T For Texas, T For Tennessee!


The virtue of courage is a prerequisite for the practice of all other virtues, because otherwise one is virtuous only when virtue has no cost. There are times when something needs to be done, and yet we know that if we step up and do this needful thing, we will pay a heavy personal price. -C.S. Lewis
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Re: SEVERE WEATHER TONIGHT: New Tornado Watch: Memphis, Paducah KY & Little Rock until 3am CDT. Strong tornadoes possible. Update Pg 5.
Ill post any videos....I live in Omaha, NE BTW
Doominator
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Re: SEVERE WEATHER TONIGHT: New Tornado Watch: Memphis, Paducah KY & Little Rock until 3am CDT. Strong tornadoes possible. Update Pg 5.
Looks to me like "dough dude" nailed it. Gonna be a rough day in Arkansas
Doominator
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Re: SEVERE WEATHER TONIGHT: New Tornado Watch: Memphis, Paducah KY & Little Rock until 3am CDT. Strong tornadoes possible. Update Pg 5.
Storms are exploding around Shreveport right now.
dough dude
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04/23/2010 10:12 AM
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Re: SEVERE WEATHER TONIGHT: New Tornado Watch: Memphis, Paducah KY & Little Rock until 3am CDT. Strong tornadoes possible. Update Pg 5.
I'm scheduled to roll into LR about 5, Dough Dude. I saw that tornado that hit Sylvan Hills a couple of years ago, from about a block away.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 679335

I grew up in Sylvan Hills. In Little Rock now. Stay safe! May be bad At 5. Humidity is awful right now.
dough dude
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Re: SEVERE WEATHER TONIGHT: New Tornado Watch: Memphis, Paducah KY & Little Rock until 3am CDT. Strong tornadoes possible. Update Pg 5.
Looks to me like "dough dude" nailed it. Gonna be a rough day in Arkansas
 Quoting: Doominator 162364

I hope im wrong, but ive had this feeling before. No wind at all right now. Just sticky outside.
Chawlee

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Re: SEVERE WEATHER TONIGHT: New Tornado Watch: Memphis, Paducah KY & Little Rock until 3am CDT. Strong tornadoes possible. Update Pg 5.
Its 65 outside and im sweating like its 90. I think downtown Little Rock will get hit today. hiding Stay safe
 Quoting: dough dude 922960


It's 70 here in Hot Springs and the breeze makes it feel kinda cool
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Re: SEVERE WEATHER TONIGHT: New Tornado Watch: Memphis, Paducah KY & Little Rock until 3am CDT. Strong tornadoes possible. Update Pg 5.
I can't wait I hope we get hit where I am
2012 the new Y2K

I live my life with no pain just some rage and three kinds of yes-Interpol

with one hand you calm me with one hand I'm steel-Editors

Oh how I'd like to diffuse your time bomb anger-It's screaming danger danger-311

Through God all things are possible

I'm calmer than you are!

live laugh love and never give up

It's hard to remember that our lives are such a short time-It's hard to remember to live before you die-It's hard to remember it's hard to remember-Modest Mouse

"I pledge allegiance to the flag but I'll take it back when I see fit. To the Republic for which it stands; I'm getting tired of your shit. One nation under God still uses His name in vain to bleedem. There's Liberty and Justice if you got the cash to pay for freedom."-chris chenoweth
Doominator
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Re: SEVERE WEATHER TONIGHT: New Tornado Watch: Memphis, Paducah KY & Little Rock until 3am CDT. Strong tornadoes possible. Update Pg 5.
There's a bad one heading straight for Hot Springs and Little Rock now: [link to radar.weather.gov]
~Amber~

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04/23/2010 11:01 AM
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Re: SEVERE WEATHER TONIGHT: New Tornado Watch: Memphis, Paducah KY & Little Rock until 3am CDT. Strong tornadoes possible. Update Pg 5.

here's some of the tornadoes from yesterday
2012 the new Y2K

I live my life with no pain just some rage and three kinds of yes-Interpol

with one hand you calm me with one hand I'm steel-Editors

Oh how I'd like to diffuse your time bomb anger-It's screaming danger danger-311

Through God all things are possible

I'm calmer than you are!

live laugh love and never give up

It's hard to remember that our lives are such a short time-It's hard to remember to live before you die-It's hard to remember it's hard to remember-Modest Mouse

"I pledge allegiance to the flag but I'll take it back when I see fit. To the Republic for which it stands; I'm getting tired of your shit. One nation under God still uses His name in vain to bleedem. There's Liberty and Justice if you got the cash to pay for freedom."-chris chenoweth
ZTE

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04/23/2010 11:03 AM

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Re: SEVERE WEATHER TONIGHT: New Tornado Watch: Memphis, Paducah KY & Little Rock until 3am CDT. Strong tornadoes possible. Update Pg 5.
Its 65 outside and im sweating like its 90. I think downtown Little Rock will get hit today. hiding Stay safe


It's 70 here in Hot Springs and the breeze makes it feel kinda cool
 Quoting: Chawlee



I wasn't a huge fan of Arkansas after several visits, but Hot Springs is a real diamond in the state. (I've been diamond hunting several times in Arkansas also). I haven't been to every single town, but I'd definitely go back to Hot Springs as long as a tornado doesn't take it away. Do they still have duck boat tours there?
If you can justify killing one man, you can justify killing every man.

The Greatest Lie is the one never told, but assumed.

History isn't a measure of our successes, but the compilation of our mistakes.