BREAKING - Oil Flow is 6.8-38.1 million gal/day - MSM NOW REPORTS FIGURES CLOSER TO THIS AS WELL

This a stupid thread.
If it was flowing that much it would be by far the most humongous gusher in the history oil production.

This particular well has been spoken of several times even in major media sources as between 4-6 BILLION barrels of oil. Gigantic. Largest oil bubble ever drilled.


That's the Tiber oil field, which the rig drilled in 2009. This is a different one. It's only been in the news for three weeks.

No.
This is the Mississippi Canyon, is it not?
In this gov report from 2005, it says that it holds
3.5 Billion barrels.

[link to www.gomr.mms.gov]

News reports put it at 4-6 billion.

Did you read the PDF?

2,854 million barrels over 30 proved and 10 unproved fields = 71.35 million barrels per field average.

I'm sorry.

This seems wrong to me.

Think about the size of the pipe for one moment. Think about the diameter!! Even if the pipe were as big around as a car...

Niagara Falls flows at ~37 million gallons a MINUTE.

Your talking ALOT of oil coming from a very small pipe.

There is one thing we all agree on, that there is to much oil flowing into the sea,now has anyone got any new updates on how much oil there is,photos footage of everything they are doing,what the hell is going on over there,is there not anyone with a cam and make some home made video come on.

Here you go. These are the estimatefrom the Minerals Management Service from 2005 re: the size of the reserve.

Page 8, Mississippi Canyon

3,528 million barrels of oil (at 60 degrees F)
8,956 billion cubic feet of gas (at 60 derees F and 15.025 psia)

Page 16: [link to www.gomr.mms.gov]

From my thread: Thread: 8,956 BILLION CUIC FEET OF GAS etimated to be in Mississippi Canyon Block 252!!!!!!!!!!!!

2,203 million barrels proved oil reserves remaining at Dec 31st, 2005.
651 unproved
2,854 total over 30 proved fields and 10 unproved fields

thats over 1mil barrels a day! never has a well produced so much - BS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!


I don't know where I fall on the math of this, I mean the math is sound, I just don't believe the variables to be accurate. With that being said:

A controlled pressure flow oil rig does not produce an outflow level of oil like that of an uncontrolled release as we are seeing on the seabed. So to say that a controlled platform is supposed to produce the same amount of oil as a wildly raging puncture vent is a ridiculuous statement. An oil rig could not keep up with that level of production, which is why they control the output pressures to a safe level, thereby reducing the outflow per day (by barrel.)

Go back to school, or, better yet, start using the logical side of yer brain more often, because it's seriously lacking.

Damn Crap- I'll call you Shit. Damn "Shit" is there no extreme you won't go to for a pin? Every thread you post is either an outright lie or complete sensationalized shit "SHIT." Guess you always get rewarded with lots of responses Shit- I mean Mr. SHIT.

op, i think it's a zillion bagillion gallon per second.

This a stupid thread.
If it was flowing that much it would be by far the most humongous gusher in the history oil production.



Yes... and you're making the assumption that it isn't? Please lead me to the basis of your conclusion on that.

Are these flow rate calculation results taking the pressure of 5000 feet of water on top of the leak into consideration?

That doesn't really matter. If ambient pressure from the water at the top is 2000 psi and the gusher pressure is 40,000 psi, the difference is 38,000psi, not significantly different from 40,000.

interesting until you realize the total reserve here is 2 billion barrels which means that the by now the reserve would be empty

interesting until you realize the total reserve here is 2 billion barrels which means that the by now the reserve would be empty

No they say its 3.5Billion barrels in the reserve....

480million gallons =Answer: 480000000 gal(US Liq) = 11,428,571.428 bbl(US Oil) 11,428,000 barrles a day.

3,500,000,000 /11,428,000 = 306 DAYS until empty......


BUT THESE FIGURES CANNOT BE RIGHT CAN THEY??? SOMEBODY FOR FUCK SAKE FIND OUT WHAT IS GOING ON... HOW ON EARTH CAN IT BE 480,000,000 GALLONS A DAY.


ixtoc1 = 3,518,000 barrels only a fraction of the OPs estimated barrels PER DAY!.


Sorry OP but your estimation is retardedly high.

This a stupid thread.
If it was flowing that much it would be by far the most humongous gusher in the history oil production.



Yes... and you're making the assumption that it isn't? Please lead me to the basis of your conclusion on that.


I didn't see where they took into account the viscosity of the oil which would be considerable.

And the wellhead is probably still intact, in the early days of the incidence anyway.

I'm sorry.

This seems wrong to me.

Think about the size of the pipe for one moment. Think about the diameter!! Even if the pipe were as big around as a car...

Niagara Falls flows at ~37 million gallons a MINUTE.

Your talking ALOT of oil coming from a very small pipe.


+37,000,000,000

It all depends on the final pressures in the oil reserve. BP said they are anywhere from 15,000 psi to 70,000 psi.



That is a very wide gap in the potential pressure. Doesnt BP know how much pressure theyre dealing with? Wouldnt that have been measured before the mishap?


Either way, thats on the order of maximum instantaneous pressure inside a firearm chamber during firing, just to give some perspective. The low end would be around that of a 45 acp and the high end would be that of the highest pressure rifle cartridges. UNREAL! Thats why a weak metal box just aint gonna cut the mustard unless its made of enormous strength.

fascinating analogies there...
so if this gusher were on land it would be shooting several miles into the air ??

are you sure there is even a wellhead left to calculate from and not a 50 foot hole in the ocean floor spewing out oil?

Are these flow rate calculation results taking the pressure of 5000 feet of water on top of the leak into consideration?

That doesn't really matter. If ambient pressure from the water at the top is 2000 psi and the gusher pressure is 40,000 psi, the difference is 38,000psi, not significantly different from 40,000.


Does material density play a role?

I think 2000psi is significant enough.

I'm sorry.

This seems wrong to me.

Think about the size of the pipe for one moment. Think about the diameter!! Even if the pipe were as big around as a car...

Niagara Falls flows at ~37 million gallons a MINUTE.

Your talking ALOT of oil coming from a very small pipe.


+37,000,000,000

on a rig at the moment and we have been reading this
we all think this is absolutely impossible
sorry OP but we think you are wrong