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New Oil Spill figures 70,000 barrels per day

 
Anonymous Coward
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05/13/2010 08:48 PM
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New Oil Spill figures 70,000 barrels per day
[link to content.usatoday.com]

Drill-rig owner seeks to limit liability; Gulf spill reportedly 70,000 barrels a day
06:57 PM

The owner of the drilling rig that burned and sank in the Gulf of Mexico wants a federal court in Houston to limit its liability for the massive oil spill to just $26.8 million, a small portion of the projected damage claims.

Transocean, which owns the Deepwater Horizon rig, said its insurer "demanded that the company file the petition in order to keep intact the insurance coverage on the rest of its fleet of 139 offshore drilling rigs," The Washington Post writes. As plaintiffs' lawyers see it, Transocean, the world's largest offshore drilling contractor, is "trying to consolidate the more than 100 lawsuits in a Houston court because Houston juries would be the most sympathetic to the oil industry." One lawyer said they would try to consolidate the lawsuits in New Orleans or Washington — presumably because juries would be more sympathetic to the plaintiffs.

See The Houston Chronicle for more comments from the lawyers.

BP says that since the Deepwater Horizon rig exploded April 20 and sank two days later it has spent $450 million on the cleanup and efforts to cap the underwater gusher. The company expects to try again to cap the blowout in the next few days.

Here's some of the underwater video BP has released (after being pressured by the government and media outlets):

Today the federal Minerals Management Service said five oil and gas production platforms in the gulf have been shut voluntarily because of the spreading spill. Together they produce 2,300 barrels of oil a day, or 0.14% of Gulf oil production, and 1.2 million cubic feet of gas per day, about 0.02% of gas output in the Gulf.

Update at 7:31 p.m. ET: NPR says it has obtained "sophisticated scientific analysis of seafloor video" showing that the oil gushing from the ruptured pipes is "closer to 70,000 barrels a day," more than 10 times the Coast Guard's earlier estimate of 5,000 barrels. That works out to 2,940,000 gallons of oil a day. (A barrel contains 42 gallons.)

If confirmed by the Coast Guard it would mean the spill long ago eclipsed the 11 million gallons the Exxon Valdez tanker spilled in Prince William Sound in Alaska in 1989.

Today is the 24th day since the blowout, so that would work out to more than 70 billion gallons of crude oil that have poured into the Gulf — 70,560,000 to be exact.
Anonymous Coward (OP)
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05/13/2010 08:53 PM
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Re: New Oil Spill figures 70,000 barrels per day
[link to www.npr.org]

The volume of oil pouring into the Gulf of Mexico from the Deepwater Horizon oil rig may be at least 10 times higher than previously estimated, NPR has learned.

The U.S. Coast Guard has estimated that oil was gushing from a broken pipe on the Gulf floor at the rate of 5,000 barrels a day.

But sophisticated scientific analysis of seafloor video made available Wednesday by the oil company BP shows that the true figure is closer to 70,000 barrels a day, NPR's Richard Harris reports.

That means the oil spilling into the Gulf has already far exceeded the equivalent of the 1989 Exxon Valdez tanker accident in Alaska, which spilled at least 250,000 barrels of oil.

The analysis was conducted by Steve Werely, an associate professor at Purdue University, using a technique called particle image velocimetry. Harris tells Michele Norris that the method is accurate to a degree of plus or minus 20 percent. That means the flow could range between 56,000 barrels a day and 84,000 barrels a day.

Another analysis by Eugene Chiang, a professor of astrophysics at the University of California, Berkeley, calculated the rate of flow to be between 20,000 barrels a day and 100,000 barrels a day.

Even the most conservative of those estimates is much higher than what the Coast Guard has so far said.

But the pipe is spewing both oil and gas and it's not clear in the BP video how much is oil and how much is gas.

BP disputes these results, and maintains there is no reliable way to calculate the flow of oil from a broken pipe.

But, Harris said, the uncertainty could be reduced if BP would share more information with the scientists.
Anonymous Coward (OP)
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05/13/2010 08:58 PM
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Re: New Oil Spill figures 70,000 barrels per day
bump
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 910589
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05/13/2010 08:58 PM
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Re: New Oil Spill figures 70,000 barrels per day
Yep that sounds just about right. Now they can release the information because the public is bored with it.
Anonymous Coward
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05/13/2010 08:59 PM
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Re: New Oil Spill figures 70,000 barrels per day
Pin this please
~fish out of water~

User ID: 966030
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05/13/2010 09:01 PM

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Re: New Oil Spill figures 70,000 barrels per day
bump
Anonymous Coward (OP)
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05/13/2010 09:03 PM
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Re: New Oil Spill figures 70,000 barrels per day
Pin this please
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 910589

bump
Anonymous Coward
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05/13/2010 09:04 PM
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Re: New Oil Spill figures 70,000 barrels per day
bump
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 942322


definitely should be pinned. Good find OP.
Anonymous Coward (OP)
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05/13/2010 09:05 PM
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Re: New Oil Spill figures 70,000 barrels per day
We are absolutely fucked

These fucking assholes...
TooEasyForTheElites
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05/13/2010 09:05 PM
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Re: New Oil Spill figures 70,000 barrels per day
Let the big boys take care of it. Everything will be OK.

If we get another oil spill thread on GLP, the interwebz is going to overload.
Anonymous Coward (OP)
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05/13/2010 09:08 PM
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Re: New Oil Spill figures 70,000 barrels per day
Let the big boys take care of it. Everything will be OK.

If we get another oil spill thread on GLP, the interwebz is going to overload.
 Quoting: TooEasyForTheElites 969885


This was just released

First Posted: 05-13-10 06:02 PM | Updated: 05-13-10 07:55 PM

This is huge!!!

This changes everything...

We are approaching the biggest disaster ever

Big boys will take care of it?

Like they have for the past 24 days?
allenk

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05/13/2010 09:08 PM
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Re: New Oil Spill figures 70,000 barrels per day
Take one down pass it around, 2,939,999 gallons of oil in the sea.
Anonymous Coward
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05/13/2010 09:10 PM
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Re: New Oil Spill figures 70,000 barrels per day
This means an exxon valdez every three days. 8 exxon valdez worth so far and counting.
Anonymous Coward (OP)
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05/13/2010 09:12 PM
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Re: New Oil Spill figures 70,000 barrels per day
Take one down pass it around, 2,939,999 gallons of oil in the sea.
 Quoting: allenk

cheers byekitty
TorontonianGuy
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05/13/2010 09:15 PM
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Re: New Oil Spill figures 70,000 barrels per day
This should be Morally, Ethic'ly, Spiritually, Physically, Positively, Absolutely Undeniably and Reliably



































PINNED !!
Anonymous Coward (OP)
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05/13/2010 09:17 PM
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Re: New Oil Spill figures 70,000 barrels per day
This should be Morally, Ethic'ly, Spiritually, Physically, Positively, Absolutely Undeniably and Reliably



































PINNED !!
 Quoting: TorontonianGuy 794149

rimshot
OICU812

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05/13/2010 09:21 PM
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Re: New Oil Spill figures 70,000 barrels per day
I figured 60,000 bbls/day and posted here last week.

Thread: UK Telegraph says 20k bbl/day conservative estimate... you do the math (challenge)

More interesting stuff. CSTARS, a link to which I've posted on several threads, today produced an animated gif image of the spill.
[link to www.cstars.miami.edu (secure)]
Note the sometimes drastic changes from day to day or within a couple of days, why? The answer is that the portion that makes it to the surface moves in whatever direction the wind, waves and surface currents that day take it. After a few days, because of the dispersant, most of the oil (at the surface) breaks apart and sinks - very slowly. As the oil slowly sinks toward the bottom it moves with the currents which can vary quite a bit at different depths. Anyone who's ever fished offshore knows how the currents vary by depth. To get an idea of what happens you could fill a tub with water and drop some fine dust in it then swirl the water with your hand. The extent of the oil's footprint within the water column, logic dictates, is a multiple (3x, 4x?) of the surface footprint. I'm sure that by now there's oil headed for the Keys (via the loop current [link to www.fla-keys.com] and Mexico.

God help us. I grew up on the Gulf Coast. Fishing, the beaches and water were a huge part of my life. Very sad.
That damn link hasn't worked right this week. Google CSTARS Deepwater Horizon Imagery

Last Edited by OICU812 on 05/13/2010 09:24 PM
"Oh, uh, there won't be any money, but when you die, on your deathbed, you will receive total consciousness." So I got that goin' for me, which is nice.
Anonymous Coward (OP)
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05/13/2010 09:23 PM
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Re: New Oil Spill figures 70,000 barrels per day
[link to blogs.forbes.com]

The oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico continues spreading across the waters southeast of Louisiana. British Petroleum (BP), the company responsible for the spill, and several U.S. federal agencies continue apace with their emergency response and mitigation efforts. So far, the oil has not significantly interrupted any shipping or energy refining and production. In the past 13 days, the oil slick has tripled in size.

Although BP plugged one of three leakage points May 5, it does not anticipate the flow to be reduced yet, and BP executives reportedly told the U.S. Congress on May 4 that while the oil is officially estimated to be gushing out at 5,000 barrels per day (bpd) the rate could be as high as 60,000 bpd. In other words, the problem could be far greater and more pressing than previously thought.
Anonymous Coward
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05/13/2010 09:27 PM
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Re: New Oil Spill figures 70,000 barrels per day
Jim Morrison: Hey Mr. Light Man, you've got to turn those lights way down, man!

The Doors - The End (Live)
[link to www.youtube.com]
Anonymous Coward (OP)
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05/13/2010 09:28 PM
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Re: New Oil Spill figures 70,000 barrels per day
Jim Morrison: Hey Mr. Light Man, you've got to turn those lights way down, man!

The Doors - The End (Live)
[link to www.youtube.com]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 815458

hf
Anonymous Coward
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05/13/2010 09:29 PM
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Re: New Oil Spill figures 70,000 barrels per day
you swampers are fucked the only way the south shall rise again is if it blows sky high.
OICU812

User ID: 939568
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05/13/2010 09:32 PM
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Re: New Oil Spill figures 70,000 barrels per day
you swampers are fucked the only way the south shall rise again is if it blows sky high.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 960248

We're all fucked, dude. This ain't no Katrina here. This will affect all of us.
"Oh, uh, there won't be any money, but when you die, on your deathbed, you will receive total consciousness." So I got that goin' for me, which is nice.
TARDER

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05/13/2010 09:33 PM
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Re: New Oil Spill figures 70,000 barrels per day
hiding
Anonymous Coward (OP)
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05/13/2010 09:35 PM
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Re: New Oil Spill figures 70,000 barrels per day
you swampers are fucked the only way the south shall rise again is if it blows sky high.

We're all fucked, dude. This ain't no Katrina here. This will affect all of us.
 Quoting: OICU812


Globally

Not south, not US/Mexico

And anyone care to look into the effects of a massive methane leak on the atmosphere..

Wake up people...There is a reason MSM hasnt been telling you what is going on..
Anonymous Coward
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05/13/2010 09:36 PM
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Re: New Oil Spill figures 70,000 barrels per day
hiding
 Quoting: TARDER

ON the other thread, there is a video of the pipe where the oil is exiting.

I did a guestimate, and I think it is pretty close.

Watching the video, it looks like a barrel of oil per second is gushing out.

60 barrels a minute

3600 an hour

86400 barrels a day are shooting out of that sucker.

Scary stuff, this world is fucked.
OICU812

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05/13/2010 09:38 PM
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Re: New Oil Spill figures 70,000 barrels per day
Check out the features of the ocean floor in the Gulf on Google Earth. It's a great big funnel that will pour all that shit right into the Florida Straits and into the Gulf Stream. Cuba, fucked. East Coast, fucked.
now's the time for "so it begins" and "vomit with fear"
I'll let someone else do the honors.
hiding
"Oh, uh, there won't be any money, but when you die, on your deathbed, you will receive total consciousness." So I got that goin' for me, which is nice.
Anonymous Coward
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05/13/2010 09:40 PM
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Re: New Oil Spill figures 70,000 barrels per day
This story is getting picked up everywhere, the UK Guardian just published it.
Anonymous Coward (OP)
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05/13/2010 09:47 PM
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Re: New Oil Spill figures 70,000 barrels per day
This story is getting picked up everywhere, the UK Guardian just published it.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 969335


Because its a professor and a astro-physicist that came up with the numbers...

Highly credible people..
Anonymous Coward
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05/13/2010 09:47 PM
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Re: New Oil Spill figures 70,000 barrels per day
They knew this would happen when they used the dispersant chemicals- we were talking about here and if we figured it out you know they knew. They knew it would still be there, unable to be tracked. This is just so sad.
OICU812

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05/13/2010 09:48 PM
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Re: New Oil Spill figures 70,000 barrels per day
Cat may be out of the bag on this one. Let's see how the MSM spins this. Rachael Maddow has been doing a lot of stuff on the spill on MNBC; I'll have to check that out tonight. If she reports this, then the rest of the MSM will be right behind. Panic, maybe? At least in Gulf states.
"Oh, uh, there won't be any money, but when you die, on your deathbed, you will receive total consciousness." So I got that goin' for me, which is nice.
Anonymous Coward (OP)
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05/13/2010 09:48 PM
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Re: New Oil Spill figures 70,000 barrels per day







GLP