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HOLY SHIT! THE SEAFLOOR EXPLODED!

 
TonyTouch

User ID: 1005697
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07/16/2010 07:10 PM
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Re: HOLY SHIT! THE SEAFLOOR EXPLODED!
Kent Wells Technical Briefing, 5:30AM CDT, 2010/07/16

Transcribed by Steve Friedl [SJFriedl] - [email protected]

Note: These are on-the-fly paraphrases, not direct quotes!

* Introduction by Mr. Ordony (sp?), we have 15 mins on this call.
* Kent Wells: Good afternoon/evening everyone. I have to believe that most of you heard Adm. Allen's teleconf earlier today
* Mostly will hear same thing from me
* Close working relationship with 6-hour consulting group
* First relief well finished open-hold ranging run
* pulling stuff, drilling 30 more feet, then another ranging run
* Intercept point at end of july, kill/cement after that
* Continuing with monitoring well, no evidence of no integrity
* Let me talk about how the test is going: it's going as planned, pressure continues to slowly rise as predicted by some of the modeling work
* First, measuring temperature of the casing just below the BOP
* When the well is flowing, the heat that comes up w/ oil+gas from deep down warms up the wellbore, so when there is no flow the temp decreases
* Recording temp while flowing, now when it's stopped
* Temp has stabilized to ambient - this is good
* One thing to look for, stuff coming up and then looping back down the casing. We don't think this is happening
* Acoustic sensors, listening for sounds associated with flow. Don't hear anything
* 2 ROVs around the wellbore, each scanning 180degrees. Watching for any breach - the most sensitive area
* They have yet to see anything
* [Kent wells tech briefing]
* 4 ROVs scanning around 4 quadrants around the well looking for seepage
* Ran seismic runs, this morning second one. Got prelim analysis, haven't seen ANY indication from 1st to 2nd that there is oil or gas escaping
* [emph on ANY]
* No evidence that the well lacks integrity. W'ere monitoring everything
* Working w/ NOAA and others to scan seafloor, coupla other vessels to help
* Need to be careful w/ too many vessels that frequencies don't intefere
* Let me talk about tests and pressures
* Talked over time: if we ran this test and the pressure didn't get to 5kpsi, it would be clear that we had no integrity
* We also said that if pressure >8kpsi (really 7500psi) it would say we do have integrity under any scenario
* Between 6-7.5 pounds there are a coupla scenarious that could explain this, have to analyse
* You heard Adm Allen talk about depetion: when a well flows for some time like this, pressure won't build up as much
* Also, if there is no integrity but no depletion, that could explain it too
* Done modelling under numerous scenarious
* Pressure buildup we've seen is consistent with well integrity and full integrity. But these asre very subtle changes, the longest we monitor these trends the more confidence we have
* The longer we have no sign of no integrity, the more we think we may
* 6720psi
* build 2psi per hour
* that follows the models of a depeleted reservoir
* monitoring it carefully, consulting w/ unified command and govt and ourselves, every 6 hours
* Poised if we need to move immediately if we see something bad
* Start containment in controlled manner can be done quickly [didn't say how quickly]
* initially would involve venting to the gulf, we hope we don't need to
* open to questions
* Q from Times Picayune
* Are you still in a position tomorrow at the 48 hour point to declare that the well had integrity?
* Second, if well is in fact shut in going forward, what does this say about efforts to determine the flow rate
* A: Adm Allen said it: every 6 hours we look at all info, make decisions going forward
* only answering one question each [skipped the good question]
* Q from AP: Anything we can be watchful for this evening? Any major decisions?
* (they keep asking about this 48 hour thing, it's now event based)
* A IF we noticed an anomaly, we would immediately issue a press release
* No news is good news
* Q from KHOU-TV: What's the liklihood of, and what goes into the decision-makiing process, if the test goes to 48 hours and you think the well has integrity. Produce or not produce?
* We will look at every piece of data we have, looking to indicate any lack of integrity in the well, will look at what pressure is doing, what can we learn by leaving the well shut in, won't presuppose what decisions we will make. We'll look carefully
* Q from Hou Chronicle: Understand that every 6 hours is re-evaluation. Is it accurate to say that at 48 hours we could see the well remaining shut in until the relief wells? Is it on the table that the well will remain shut in?
* A We've agreed to do this 48 hour test, what we do from that point forward is made by unified comamnd. Yes, a possibility.
* (they have both answered that a bunch of times)
* Q from CNN: I understand depletion model, but based on what you've seen, what do you think the pressure will max out in this well?
* A Don't want to be too accurate on that, better positioned tomorrow. Building about 2psi/hr
* We should expect that this will decline, less and less buildup, but will continue to build up to final pressure over a number of days or weeks.
* Should be able to extrapolate better in a day or two
* Q Reuters: I just wann be really clear on this 48 hours
* (ugh)
* If results are still inconclusive, test could continue? Do you stop the test and decide to collect or keep shut in?
* A It's a condition-based process, no decision has been made about what will be done at the end of 48 hours
* A No decision has been made about what we do at the end of 6 or 8 hours
* Goals are to minimize polution and minimize risk
* what he SHOULD say: Give up on 48 hours
* Q ABC News: Does this mean that the pressure of 6700 psi means that the flow rate is less than we thought?
* A Dunno what flow rate you're referring to, nor have we been paying attention to flow rates during test. Monitoring pressures
* Want to avoid loss of integirty
* Last question from Bloomburg
* Q - Rise of pressure is consistent with model for depeltion. If this were a breach, how would the pressure curves be different?
* A If this were a real breach, pressure would rise and then flatline. That could happen at different points
* More importantly, you might see a drop - that's what we're
watching for
* Very encouraged when we didn't see that, especially early on
* Just trying to be really extra careful, not jumping to conclusions that we absolutely have integrity
* [that's all]

Next call, 7:30AM CDT tomorrow
Monster
User ID: 1035714
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07/16/2010 07:11 PM
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Re: HOLY SHIT! THE SEAFLOOR EXPLODED!
was this creature seen on the live feed? I suppose it is photo shopped but we dont know what lives down there, maybe a merman, I dont know if I would scuba dive anymore
Ransom
User ID: 909697
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07/16/2010 07:12 PM
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Re: HOLY SHIT! THE SEAFLOOR EXPLODED!
No cams for me.
JustinCase

User ID: 954822
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07/16/2010 07:13 PM
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Re: HOLY SHIT! THE SEAFLOOR EXPLODED!
All feeds are down??

[link to www.jtnog.org]
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 1038450
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07/16/2010 07:14 PM
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Re: HOLY SHIT! THE SEAFLOOR EXPLODED!
I can't get ANY of the feeds to work.
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 1009698
Portugal
07/16/2010 07:15 PM
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Re: HOLY SHIT! THE SEAFLOOR EXPLODED!
I can't get ANY of the feeds to work.
 Quoting: kat38


I think that the cameras are gone ... for good.


.
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 1036400
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07/16/2010 07:16 PM
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Re: HOLY SHIT! THE SEAFLOOR EXPLODED!
i mentioned this yesterday on an another thread,on camera 3 they were looking over the sea floor,on the left a plume came in view and they quickly turned right,they were following cracks with bubbles rising up.


saw that
they do that a lot



Check out this and go to the other thread.

We are fucked.

[link to news.yahoo.com]

NEW ORLEANS – Pressure readings have been less than ideal from the new cap shutting oil into BP's busted well, but the crude will remain locked in while engineers look for evidence of whether there is an undiscovered leak, the federal pointman for the disaster said Friday.

Retired Coast Guard Adm. Thad Allen said on a conference call that pressure readings from the cap have not reached the level that would show there are no new leaks in the well.
 Quoting: TonyTouch


"Pressure readings have been less than ideal"

Thats Public Relations Code for "SHIT...WTF...WHERES ALL THE PRESSURE GOING??? THERE MUSTA POPPED THOUSAND NEW HOLES UNDER THAT THING!!!DAMN!!!"
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 1032329
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07/16/2010 07:16 PM
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Re: HOLY SHIT! THE SEAFLOOR EXPLODED!
All cams are dead for me ... even with a refresth. Anyone else?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 983640

Same here. :-( God only knows what they're hiding now.
TonyTouch

User ID: 1005697
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07/16/2010 07:16 PM
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Re: HOLY SHIT! THE SEAFLOOR EXPLODED!
All feeds are down??

[link to www.jtnog.org]
 Quoting: JustinCase



Timely eh?
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 1005378
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07/16/2010 07:16 PM
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Re: HOLY SHIT! THE SEAFLOOR EXPLODED!
Duck 'n cover, bitches.
Ransom
User ID: 909697
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07/16/2010 07:16 PM
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Re: HOLY SHIT! THE SEAFLOOR EXPLODED!
"BP has taken all their underwater live cameras offline. Stream will return when BP resumes streaming."
Anonymous Coward
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07/16/2010 07:17 PM
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Re: HOLY SHIT! THE SEAFLOOR EXPLODED!
Jesus H. Fucking Christ! How could I have missed this? They are trying to release the Kraken!

Run !!!!
Anonymous Coward
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07/16/2010 07:17 PM
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Re: HOLY SHIT! THE SEAFLOOR EXPLODED!
No cams for me.
 Quoting: Ransom 909697


all feeds down wtf
Anonymous Coward
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07/16/2010 07:18 PM
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Re: HOLY SHIT! THE SEAFLOOR EXPLODED!
Hm I got a little video from Skandi-1 just minutes ago.. Still just showing the big glowing tree-looking thing that I think is the BOP with the gain ratcheted to the max. Now tho back to no cams.
TonyTouch

User ID: 1005697
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07/16/2010 07:18 PM
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Re: HOLY SHIT! THE SEAFLOOR EXPLODED!
From tonights technical meeting:

*monitoring it carefully, consulting w/ unified command and govt and ourselves, every 6 hours

* Poised if we need to move immediately if we see something bad

* Start containment in controlled manner can be done quickly [didn't say how quickly]

* initially would involve venting to the gulf, we hope we don't need to

* open to questions


Hope, that is all we have to go on right now people.

Hope.
HereComesTheBoom
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07/16/2010 07:18 PM
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Re: HOLY SHIT! THE SEAFLOOR EXPLODED!
none working for me
JimmyK

User ID: 397865
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07/16/2010 07:18 PM
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Re: HOLY SHIT! THE SEAFLOOR EXPLODED!
LMAO...these fools want bad things to happen, there is something really wrong with that


Most of them don't want doom, they just want transparency and truth. I'm thinking that's not too much to ask from the people bringing the doom. Instead we get nothing but BS while the stock market is listening.


Good point, with 60,000 employees one would think they could spare ONE employee who could update the public on what we are seeing in the cams. Do we have a right to know? Yes, considering they are runing our gulf, beaches and wildlife. Are they actually paying for all of this? NO, because they money came from each of us with the high cost of energy.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 983640



Greetings,

The problem is there is quite a bit of litigation, both current and expected that grants them certain rights on the release of information.

While I am not speaking of Miranda rights that apply in a criminal case, there still remains certain rights accorded to those who are potential litigants with regard to full disclosure.

If our Government would have the courage to declare eminent domain and take over from a National Security standpoint, you still would get spoon fed "need to know" information only. The problem with "need to know" is you lose that right if it can affect a larger group of people. In other words and in simple terms, your right to know, which could save your life is nullified if they can show that there is a potential stampede that could be avoided by your outright death.

This could well be a case where some are simply considered sacrificial lambs for the many.

Regards

JimmyK
bre

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07/16/2010 07:21 PM
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Re: HOLY SHIT! THE SEAFLOOR EXPLODED!
was this creature seen on the live feed? I suppose it is photo shopped but we dont know what lives down there, maybe a merman, I dont know if I would scuba dive anymore
 Quoting: Monster 1035714
i have a file of the image, just zoomed in on it. it is creepy as hell and it does not look photoshopped to me. wasn't the first weird thing i saw caught on vid down there.
Anonymous Coward
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07/16/2010 07:21 PM
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Re: HOLY SHIT! THE SEAFLOOR EXPLODED!
none working for me
 Quoting: HereComesTheBoom 1038611
Kachina

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07/16/2010 07:22 PM
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Re: HOLY SHIT! THE SEAFLOOR EXPLODED!
Kent Wells Technical Briefing, 5:30AM CDT, 2010/07/16

<Snip for space>
Next call, 7:30AM CDT tomorrow
 Quoting: TonyTouch

Thanks TonyTouch!
TonyTouch

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07/16/2010 07:25 PM
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Re: HOLY SHIT! THE SEAFLOOR EXPLODED!
Kent Wells Technical Briefing, 5:30AM CDT, 2010/07/16

<Snip for space>
Next call, 7:30AM CDT tomorrow

Thanks TonyTouch!
 Quoting: Kachina



Direct link:

[link to unixwiz.net]
Prisoner of Technology

User ID: 792783
United States
07/16/2010 07:26 PM

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Re: HOLY SHIT! THE SEAFLOOR EXPLODED!
"BP has taken all their underwater live cameras offline. Stream will return when BP resumes streaming."
 Quoting: Ransom 909697


sherlock
No one has ever seen a perfect circle, nor a perfectly straight line, yet everyone knows what a circle and a straight line are.
Perceived circles or lines are not exactly circular or straight, and true circles and lines could never be detected since by definition they are sets of infinitely small points.
Anonymous Coward
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07/16/2010 07:27 PM
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Re: HOLY SHIT! THE SEAFLOOR EXPLODED!
Way to go guys! You went and exposed the truth for the world to see and now they yanked all the cams and no one gets to see anything. Now where am I supposed to get my doom fix? Zombie Alert threads? lame...
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 1024792
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07/16/2010 07:29 PM
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Re: HOLY SHIT! THE SEAFLOOR EXPLODED!
So anybody wanna see the picture of the ALIEN from last night (read my post on pg 53)? Tell me how to post it and I will. It is very interesting.



last nite they said someone had photoshopped that alien creature into the pic. LOL

I saw it. It had a long tail that went all the way to the ground behind it and its forearms were very clear. It also seemed to have some type of cape like thing over it's head and shoulders.

It was thin like an alien would be, yes.

very odd but you could tell it was superimposed over the pic as in an overlay on film or something.

whose to know for sure, unless you were the guy who posted it.

I was all excited too until someone said the guy said it was photoshopped, so dunno.

anyway, here it is, I bookmarked the still pic of it last nite. That cape like thing sorta looks like wings.

a long, tall, thin, fairy with one helluva tail.

[link to img690.imageshack.us]

ck it out

; )
 Quoting: anonymous coward 1038308


I made that pic. Took a couple minutes. Added in some gaussian blur and motion blur and took out some opacity.

It looks like an underwater "Alien" movie down there. So I added in Alien.

Here is the link to the original image...
[link to scienceblogs.com]

I said in that thread not to worry because the following pic was taken moments later...
[link to img69.imageshack.us]

Predator is on the scene. Alien doesn't stand a chance. Once Predator finishes off Alien he'll use his high powered energy weapons to close the leak.

We are all saved. Thank you Predator.
JimmyK

User ID: 397865
United States
07/16/2010 07:30 PM
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Re: HOLY SHIT! THE SEAFLOOR EXPLODED!
Way to go guys! You went and exposed the truth for the world to see and now they yanked all the cams and no one gets to see anything. Now where am I supposed to get my doom fix? Zombie Alert threads? lame...
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1036400


Come on man, you know how it works.

here ya go..


;)
JustinCase

User ID: 954822
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07/16/2010 07:33 PM
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Re: HOLY SHIT! THE SEAFLOOR EXPLODED!
Feeds are coming back up now.
JimmyK

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07/16/2010 07:34 PM
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Re: HOLY SHIT! THE SEAFLOOR EXPLODED!
Feeds are coming back up now.
 Quoting: JustinCase



Shoot my Pizza is not ready!
Anonymous Coward
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07/16/2010 07:34 PM
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Re: HOLY SHIT! THE SEAFLOOR EXPLODED!
Kent Wells Technical Briefing, 5:30AM CDT, 2010/07/16

<Snip for space>
Next call, 7:30AM CDT tomorrow

Thanks TonyTouch!



Direct link:

[link to unixwiz.net]
 Quoting: TonyTouch

Thanks for taking the time to do this.
Anonymous Coward
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07/16/2010 07:36 PM
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Re: HOLY SHIT! THE SEAFLOOR EXPLODED!
Feeds are coming back up now.
 Quoting: JustinCase


Sweet, I got my popcorn ready! let me know when the doom starts back up
Anonymous Coward
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07/16/2010 07:36 PM
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Re: HOLY SHIT! THE SEAFLOOR EXPLODED!
LMAO...these fools want bad things to happen, there is something really wrong with that


Most of them don't want doom, they just want transparency and truth. I'm thinking that's not too much to ask from the people bringing the doom. Instead we get nothing but BS while the stock market is listening.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1032329

Well if they don't like the way things are done here in the U.S. I'm sure there is plenty of room in Canada or Mexico.





GLP