Godlike Productions - Conspiracy Forum
Users Online Now: 1,353 (Who's On?)Visitors Today: 573,455
Pageviews Today: 739,222Threads Today: 149Posts Today: 2,804
05:08 AM


Rate this Thread

Absolute BS Crap Reasonable Nice Amazing
 

The next flu pandemic - Virulent influenza strain threatens world, expert warns

 
AC 4-Ever
06/13/2005 04:20 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
The next flu pandemic - Virulent influenza strain threatens world, expert warns
[link to www.canada.com]

June 13, 2005

OTTAWA -- The world is facing the threat of unprecedented "viral carnage" from an influenza pandemic and should immediately prepare for a catastrophe that would jeopardize global security and create economic devastation, says an international public health expert.

The warning is contained in the influential journal Foreign Affairs, which is publishing a special section on pandemics in its upcoming July/August issue.

Titled "The Next Pandemic," the section includes four articles by a panel of experts who examine the dire consequences if the H5N1 flu virus now in Asia evolves into a contagion that spreads throughout the world.

One of the articles is written by U.S. journalist Laurie Garrett, a Pulitzer Prize winner and author of the book The Coming Plague: Newly Emerging Diseases in a World Out of Balance.

She notes that the H5N1 virus is highly unpredictable and scientists are frustrated because they can´t predict with certainty when, or even if, it will explode into a pandemic. But she writes that if the strain becomes easily transmissible among people and "maintains its extraordinary virulence, humanity could well face a pandemic unlike any ever witnessed."

In the U.S. alone, the Centers for Disease Control says a "medium-level epidemic" could kill up to 207,000 Americans, while Health Canada says anywhere from 11,000 to 58,000 Canadians could die. "The entire world would experience similar levels of viral carnage, and those areas ravaged by HIV and home to millions of immuno-compromised individuals might witness even greater death tolls," writes Garrett.

"In response, some countries might impose useless but highly disruptive quarantines or close borders and airports, perhaps for months. Such closures would disrupt trade, travel and productivity. No doubt the world´s stock markets would teeter and perhaps fall precipitously.

Aside from economics, the disease would likely directly affect global security, reducing troop strength and capacity for all armed forces, UN peacekeeping operations, and police worldwide."

Garrett writes because the world´s wealth is concentrated in fewer than a dozen nations representing a "distinct minority" of the planet´s population, the capacity to respond to a pandemic is severely imbalanced.

"The majority of the world´s governments not only lack sufficient funds to respond to a superflu; they also have no health infrastructure to handle the burdens of disease, social disruption, and panic. The international community would look to the United States, Canada, Japan, and Europe for answers, vaccines, cures, cash, and hope. How these wealthy governments responded, and how radically the death rates differed along worldwide fault lines of poverty, would resonate for years thereafter."

Foreign Affairs is a respected journal published by the Council on Foreign Relations, an independent group based in New York that fosters public policy discussion. It´s the second major journal in less than three weeks to publish a special section on the flu pandemic. The British journal Nature published 10 articles on the subject in its May 26 issue.
The articles come in the wake of recent warnings by senior officials at the World Health Organization that they are increasingly worried the planet is unprepared for a pandemic. In late May, WHO director-general Dr. Lee Jong-Wook told a special meeting of the World Health Assembly in Geneva that the bird flu is "the most serious known health threat the world is facing today."

"This is a grave danger for all people in all countries," he said, drawing comparison to the Spanish flu pandemic in 1918 which killed between 20 million and 50 million people.

The new H5N1 strain has killed millions of birds in Asia and crossed the species barrier to infect humans. So far, 100 humans in three countries -- Vietnam, Thailand and Cambodia -- are known to have been infected, and 54 of those have died. Experts fear it is slowly mutating and could easily be transformed into a flu which is easily transmissible between humans.

Last Friday, a top WHO official added to those warnings at a news conference in Beijing -- revealing that the flu virus is evolving quickly and the strain which has spread to China appears to have increased in virulence.
BUNDY
12/08/2005 10:14 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: The next flu pandemic - Virulent influenza strain threatens world, expert warns
54 people, we´ve had more die in one traffic accident
NEVER has so much been made of so FUKKIN LITTLEspockbeer2beer2
AC 4-ever
12/08/2005 10:14 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: The next flu pandemic - Virulent influenza strain threatens world, expert warns
I´ve been following H5N1 avian flu for over 6 months. This damn thing is about to hit like a bat out of hell and will change our world for ever. We know that H5N1 is already mutating because it has infected crows ( ://www.recombinomics.com/News/06090501/H5N1_Crows_India.html ) and also cattle in India [link to www.recombinomics.com]

It´s coming and it will hit before Oct., most likely a lot sooner.

So you think I´m a fear monger? ;-)

Wash your hands and stay away from crowds (which means having a few months of groceries stored away)and you´ll be alright... in the short term anyway.

hayseed
AC 4-ever
12/08/2005 10:14 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: The next flu pandemic - Virulent influenza strain threatens world, expert warns
sorry, I missed up on one of those URLs I posted above. The first one should have been: [link to www.recombinomics.com]

cow
5150 - Bill
12/08/2005 10:14 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: The next flu pandemic - Virulent influenza strain threatens world, expert warns
There are so many possible causes for a global catastrophe it is a full time job just trying to stay current on the information. Just to name a few:

War in General.
Nuclear Hazards.
Asteroids.
ACC (Abrupt Climatic Weather Change).
Viruses including bioweapons.
Food Crisis.
Water Crisis.
Organized Religion.

Please, would anyone else like to continue to add to this list ???

I guess it is a sure bet, no one get out of this life alive. Something is going to kill each and everyone of us probably sooner than later.
Witness
12/08/2005 10:14 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: The next flu pandemic - Virulent influenza strain threatens world, expert warns
I hate to say it, but it does look like we may be under threat. There is another Tsunami predicted along the same fault line. That will impact on already weakened economies significantly.

There is global fiscal instability and a pending economic hedge fund impact on an already lacklustre global outlook. This will impact the weaker nations more than the richer nations. However, if the majority of the world´s population is at greater risk of infection thanks to polluted water supplies and devastated landmass as well as impoverished surroundings and financially hindered governments less able to help than they would otherwise be, then the impact for the wealthy nations is truly enormous.

Not only will the flu virus have a firm grip in humans, but bear in mind that nearly all our goods are produced by economic slaves these days. That means that we import by the 100s millions boxes, packages, containers and other items that can and will carry the virus if an infected person handles them.

This excludes the spectre of human infection in this globalised world of easy, frequent jet travel.

And that excludes foodstuffs, livestock and other products for consumption imported or transported across boundaries and borders.

If you stand back and look at the bigger picture, the imbalance of today will guarantee that both rich and poor go down together.

Those who speak so easily of a "cull" will have to bear that in mind as they bury their own or they themselves die.
Anonymous Coward
12/08/2005 10:14 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: The next flu pandemic - Virulent influenza strain threatens world, expert warns
yeah sure it´s coming

just like SARS, Avian, and Marburg

liars
Old Coot
12/08/2005 10:14 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: The next flu pandemic - Virulent influenza strain threatens world, expert warns
Will Collidial Silver work against this bird flu?

Any of you know a good supplier in the USA of Collidial Silver that is medicinal quality and not a rip-off brand?
AC 4-ever
12/08/2005 10:14 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: The next flu pandemic - Virulent influenza strain threatens world, expert warns
A nightmare scenario

Originally published on June 20, 2005

[link to www.nydailynews.com]


Should we sound the alarm for a worldwide epidemic that might not occur? There is no choice with the avian flu emerging from Asia. Last week´s disclosure that an Indonesian man tested positive for the bird flu that has already killed more than 50 people in Southeast Asia was just the latest chilling news about the disease. Should it develop certain genetic changes, international health experts warn, bird flu could spark a global pandemic, infecting as much of a quarter of the world´s population and killing as many as 180 million to 360 million people - at least seven times the number of AIDS deaths, all within a matter of weeks.
This is utterly different from ordinary flu, which kills between 1 million and 2 million people worldwide in a typical year. In the worst previous catastrophic pandemic, in 1918, more than 20 million died from the Spanish Flu. That´s more than the number of people who died from the Black Death in the Middle Ages, and more people killed in 24 weeks than AIDS killed in 24 years.

There are three elements to a pandemic. First, a virus emerges from the pool of animal life that has never infected human beings, meaning no person has antibodies to fight it. Second, the virus has to make us seriously ill. Third, the virus must be capable of moving swiftly from human to human through coughing, sneezing or just a handshake.

For avian flu, the first two elements are already with us. Well over half the people who have contracted it have died. The question now is whether the virus will meet the third condition: mutating so that it can spread rapidly from human to human.

The new flu has already moved from chickens to other birds and on to pigs. The latter often serve as a vessel for mixing human and animal viruses because the receptors on the respiratory cells of pigs are similar to those of humans. This illustrates the dangers we face, because this mixture of bird flu and human flu, in an animal or a person, could cause the viruses to exchange genetic materials and create an entirely new viral strain capable of sustaining efficient human-to-human transmission.

That would be the tipping point to a pandemic.

Nobody knows just how close we might be to such a crisis, but experts are alarmed because we are singularly ill-prepared. Worldwide, we currently produce only about 300 million doses of flu vaccine a year to serve more than 6 billion people. A pandemic that began in Asia could race around the globe in days or weeks, given the number of airliners crisscrossing the oceans from Tokyo, Vietnam and Indonesia to New York, Los Angeles and London.

We should be doing a whole lot more.

First: We need operational blueprints to get various populations through one to three years of a pandemic. We must coordinate the responses of the medical community, of food providers, of transportation and of care for first responders from public health, law enforcement and emergency management at the international, federal, state and local levels.

Second: We must strengthen the World Health Organization so that it can be an accurate clearinghouse of information about the scope and location of the disease, should it begin to spread, and quell false rumors that could lead to global panic.

Third: We must track the human cases already documented so as to gain the very earliest warning of any transformation of the disease, and thus of an emerging pandemic. Days would be critical.

Fourth: The Bush administration must think of this as terrorism to the nth degree and immediately set up a senior-level emergency task force to develop a strategy. It could serve as a permanent framework for curtailing the spread of future infectious diseases.

Fifth: We must prioritize research money to develop a vaccine, expand the production of flu vaccine and stockpile antiviral medications. It would be irresponsible to begrudge time and money.

A pandemic could well bring global, national and regional economies to an abrupt halt in a world that relies on the speed and distribution of so many products. It could also lead many countries to impose useless but highly destructive quarantines that would disrupt trade, travel and production - something that has never happened with AIDS, malaria or tuberculosis. At home, many venues of human contact - schools, movie theaters, transportation hubs and businesses - would have to be shuttered.

Imagine the chaos. These killer viruses simply can´t be isolated in any part of the world. If avian flu were allowed to develop into a pandemic, it would be a direct threat to our health, security and prosperity.

The word influenza derives from the Latin influentia, reflecting the belief at the time that epidemics were due to the influence of the stars. Today, we have moved far beyond that fantasy, but even so, the world is clearly not ready for an avian-flu pandemic. With the scientific consensus already shifting from if to when the next global outbreak takes place, we have no time to lose.
Anonymous Coward
12/08/2005 10:14 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: The next flu pandemic - Virulent influenza strain threatens world, expert warns
Are these the same experts that were telling us how West Nile Virus was going to end civilization.

What next?

Fear de jour.
Trac
12/08/2005 10:14 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: The next flu pandemic - Virulent influenza strain threatens world, expert warns
If you want to know where foreign affairs is going, just read the magazine of the same name. It´s pretty much the plan, not speculation.
bundy
12/08/2005 10:14 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: The next flu pandemic - Virulent influenza strain threatens world, expert warns
ITS just that people keep waiting for this thing to mutate to a human form but it hasnt YET, those who have died have caught the avian form,or so I hear.
With all of the probs in the world we dont really need to be creating NEW ones, do we?spock
Anonymous Coward
12/08/2005 10:14 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: The next flu pandemic - Virulent influenza strain threatens world, expert warns
It´s already happening. The depopulation of the planet have began already.

Be very afraid. War and chaos are coming along as well.

damned
Anonymous Coward
12/08/2005 10:14 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: The next flu pandemic - Virulent influenza strain threatens world, expert warns
Those who speak so easily of a "cull" will have to bear that in mind as they bury their own or they themselves die."

yes, I gues that doesn´t factor into their thinking.
Anonymous Coward
12/08/2005 10:14 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: The next flu pandemic - Virulent influenza strain threatens world, expert warns
"expert warns"

expert at what?

doom and gloom?
Anonymous Coward
12/08/2005 10:14 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: The next flu pandemic - Virulent influenza strain threatens world, expert warns
Korea Bans Poultry Import From New York

South Korea has halted the import of poultry products from New York state after the United States reported a suspicious case of bird flu in the region, the Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry said on Tuesday.

The U.S. Agriculture Department informed the World Organization for Animal Health on June 10 of the outbreak of a low-pathogenic bird flu case on a duck farm in Sullivan, New York, the ministry said.

The virus is known as the H7N2 strain, but it can develop into a high-pathogenic one and infect humans, the ministry said, adding the U.S. farm authorities are conducting further tests.

``We¡¯ve suspended quarantine procedures for poultry from New York,¡¯¡¯ a ministry official said. ``The meat infected by low-pathogenic meat is normally not subject to the halt of global trade, but we have to think about the worst-case scenario. The virus can develop into a highly dangerous one.¡¯¡¯

The country¡¯s quarantine halt is limited only to poultry from the state of New York and that it will be lifted once the influenza is confirmed to be low pathogenic.

South Korea banned imports of U.S. poultry February last year, citing dangers of avian influenza infection, but later reopened the market last month. There yet have been no reported poultry imports from the U.S. since the resumption.

In December, South Korea reported the outbreak of a bird flu case in Kwangju, halting exports of poultry. Trade resumed after the H5N2-strain infection, was found later to be a low pathogenic one.


[link to times.hankooki.com]
Anonymous Coward
12/08/2005 10:14 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: The next flu pandemic - Virulent influenza strain threatens world, expert warns
Funny how %99 of people piss their pants about a plague and yet more than %50 love a good war, could it be that deaths OK as long as you know you´re not a target. I love a good plague, best way to cull the herd.

News