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***San Andreas Capable of 8.1 Earthquake over 340-mile Swath of Calif.****

 
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10/09/2010 01:08 AM
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***San Andreas Capable of 8.1 Earthquake over 340-mile Swath of Calif.****
San Andreas Fault Capable of 8.1 Earthquake over 340-mile Swath of California

Oct. 8, 2010
By Rong-Gong Lin II
L.A. Times

The "Big One" on the San Andreas fault just got a little bigger.

New research showing a section of the fault is long overdue for a major earthquake has some scientists saying that the fault is now capable of a magnitude 8.1 earthquake that could run 340 miles from Monterey County to the Salton Sea.

Photo: Quake researchers study a portion of the San Andreas fault. Ricardo DeAratanha / Los Angeles Times; Map: U.S. Geological Survey

Whether such a quake would happen in our lifetime had been a subject of hot debate among scientists. That's because experts had believed that a major section of the southern San Andreas, which runs through the Carrizo Plain 100 miles northwest of Los Angeles, would remain dormant for at least another century.

But that rosy hypothesis seemed to be shattered by a recent report in the journal Geology, which said that even that section of the San Andreas is far overdue for the "Big One." Now, according to U.S. Geological Survey seismologist Lucy Jones, it is entirely possible that all 340 miles of the southern San Andreas could be ready to erupt at any time. Such a scenario would trigger a magnitude 8.1 earthquake, said Thomas Jordan, director of the Southern California Earthquake Center, a calculation with which Jones agreed.

"All of it has plenty enough stress for it to be ready to go," Jones said. "The biggest implication of [the report] is that it increases the likelihood that when we do have a big earthquake, it will grow into the 'wall-to-wall' rupture."

Full Article: [link to standeyo.com]
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10/09/2010 01:13 AM
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Re: ***San Andreas Capable of 8.1 Earthquake over 340-mile Swath of Calif.****
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