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Tropical Cyclone Anthony to hit Queensland coast Jan30- 31:Possible Cat3

 
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 1242850
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01/28/2011 02:38 AM
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Tropical Cyclone Anthony to hit Queensland coast Jan30- 31:Possible Cat3
[link to www.goes.noaa.gov]

[link to www.bom.gov.au]

[link to forecasts.bsch.com.au]




A Cyclone WATCH is now current for coastal and island communities from Innisfail
to Sarina.

At 4:00 pm EST Tropical Cyclone Anthony, Category 1 was estimated to be
980 kilometres east northeast of Townsville and 890 kilometres east northeast of
Bowen, moving north northeast at 7 kilometres per hour.

Tropical Cyclone Anthony is moving in a northerly direction and is expected to
move in a southwesterly direction during Saturday.

Damaging winds are expected to develop about coastal and island communities
between Innisfail and Sarina late on Sunday.

People between Innisfail and Sarina should consider what action they will need
to take if the cyclone threat increases.
- Information is available from your local government
- For cyclone preparation and safety advice, visit Queensland's Disaster
Management Services website [www.disaster.qld.gov.au]
- For emergency assistance call the Queensland State Emergency Service [SES] on
132 500 [for assistance with storm damage, rising flood water, fallen trees on
buildings or roof damage].

Details of Tropical Cyclone Anthony at 4:00 pm EST:

.Centre located near...... 15.7 degrees South 155.3 degrees East
.Location accuracy........ within 55 kilometres
.Recent movement.......... towards the north northeast at 7 kilometres per hour
.Wind gusts near centre... 95 kilometres per hour
.Severity category........ 1
.Central pressure......... 988 hectoPascals


Please ensure that neighbours have heard and understood this message,
particularly new arrivals or those who may not fully understand English.
Anonymous Coward (OP)
User ID: 1242850
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01/28/2011 02:40 AM
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Re: Tropical Cyclone Anthony to hit Queensland coast Jan30- 31:Possible Cat3
Cyclone Anthony could intensify from a category one to a category three storm and hit the Burdekin Coast, between Cardwell and Bowen, on Monday, the Bureau of Meteorology (BoM) says.

Meanwhile, it's feared a tropical low about 1500km northeast of Vanuatu could build into a category four cyclone and hit north of Gladstone on Thursday.

"In a worst-case scenario, Queensland could see two tropical cyclones cross the coast in a matter of three or four days," Ms Bligh told reporters in Brisbane.

The premier admitted the BoM advice was grim news as the state was trying to recovering from heavy rains and damaging floods.

"We're battening down the hatches once more, but we hope both these weather formations disappear out at sea somewhere," she said.

"But on all current modelling, the bureau's best advice is that both of these cyclones will cross the Queensland coast next week, and we have to be ready for that possibility."

Ms Bligh said the BoM was more concerned about the second system, which was likely to be named Yasi by the Fijian government.

It likely to bring substantial rainfall and possibly more flooding across the state.

Ms Bligh urged people to remain calm, but to be prepared and secure their property.

A cyclone watch issued on Friday for communities between Cairns and Bowen is likely to be upgraded to a warning on Saturday.

Ms Bligh will hold a meeting with the state disaster management group at the emergency services headquarters in Brisbane at 5pm (AEST) on Friday.

Deputy police commissioner Ian Stewart has been reappointed as the state disaster coordinator.

He said there was no need for panic buying, but people should make sure they are prepared.

"I'm asking people to stock up on essential items," Mr Stewart told reporters in Brisbane.

"Make sure there's fuel in vehicles."

Rains brought by Cyclone Tasha, a category one system that crossed the Queensland coast on Christmas Day last year, led to flooding in an area the size of France and Germany.
Anonymous Coward (OP)
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01/28/2011 02:51 AM
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Re: Tropical Cyclone Anthony to hit Queensland coast Jan30- 31:Possible Cat3
link^
[link to www.news.com.au]


damned
[link to i.picasion.com]
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 1132991
Australia
01/28/2011 02:55 AM
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Re: Tropical Cyclone Anthony to hit Queensland coast Jan30- 31:Possible Cat3
seeming that you forgot to post the link with the full article OP, here you go
[link to www.news.com.au]


brickbats to those in MSM who have upped the fearmongering
i.e. where is ex cyclone wilma now*? WTF knows going by this story and 'photo':
[link to www.brisbanetimes.com.au]

[*actually near Norfolk island]
Anonymous Coward
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01/28/2011 02:55 AM
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Re: Tropical Cyclone Anthony to hit Queensland coast Jan30- 31:Possible Cat3
I stand corrected many apologies!
Anonymous Coward (OP)
User ID: 1242850
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01/28/2011 03:20 AM
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Re: Tropical Cyclone Anthony to hit Queensland coast Jan30- 31:Possible Cat3
I stand corrected many apologies!
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1132991

yeh I forgot the link, cheers mate.. np

thanks


24hr Shear Tendency - East Australia Region
[link to cimss.ssec.wisc.edu]
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 832564
United States
01/28/2011 03:24 AM
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Re: Tropical Cyclone Anthony to hit Queensland coast Jan30- 31:Possible Cat3
bump
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 1246144
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01/28/2011 03:29 AM
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Re: Tropical Cyclone Anthony to hit Queensland coast Jan30- 31:Possible Cat3
O no a cyclone this time of year

So what made you decide the one predicted to hit Townsville is going to be more drastic than the one predicted to hit perth/bunbury sunday?
Anonymous Coward (OP)
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01/28/2011 03:31 AM
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Re: Tropical Cyclone Anthony to hit Queensland coast Jan30- 31:Possible Cat3
[link to img341.imageshack.us]
Hires sat image

I hope the aftermath spares some of the folk cleaning up after the last flood..
Anonymous Coward (OP)
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01/28/2011 03:34 AM
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Re: Tropical Cyclone Anthony to hit Queensland coast Jan30- 31:Possible Cat3
O no a cyclone this time of year

So what made you decide the one predicted to hit Townsville is going to be more drastic than the one predicted to hit perth/bunbury sunday?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1246144

TC Bianca looks bad too.. don't you worry about that.
after it is finished with you lot no doubt it will be heading for the already flooded SE
Anonymous Coward (OP)
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01/28/2011 03:49 AM
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Re: Tropical Cyclone Anthony to hit Queensland coast Jan30- 31:Possible Cat3
I have been saying they will have another cyclone up on the north east coast on this forum for the last two weeks..
Anonymous Coward (OP)
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01/28/2011 04:04 AM
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Re: Tropical Cyclone Anthony to hit Queensland coast Jan30- 31:Possible Cat3
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 18.4S
157.8E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.7S 153.3E, APPROXIMATELY 435 NM EAST
OF CAIRNS, AUSTRALIA. THE SYSTEM HAS BEEN SLOW TO RE-CONSOLIDATE
DESPITE IMPROVED UPPER LEVEL CONDITIONS. AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS
HAS REPLACED A TROUGH ALOFT AS FORECAST. AS A RESULT VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR HAS RELAXED CONSIDERABLY ALLOWING FOR DEEP CONVECTION TO
DEVELOP OVER THE CENTER. THE UPPER TROPOSPHERE IS ALSO HIGHLY
DIFFLUENT WHICH HAS HELPED TO SUSTAIN THIS DEEP CONVECTION. THE
CONVECTION IS ALSO GETTING A BOOST DIURNALLY. A PARTIAL 271113Z
ASCAT PASS VALIDATES REISSUANCE OF THIS PRODUCT AS WELL WITH SURFACE
WINDS APPROACHING 30 KNOTS ON THE SOUTH SIDE OF THE LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY HIGHLIGHTS A DEARTH OF
CONVECTIVE BANDING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT
25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR
998 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL
CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS GOOD.
Anonymous Coward (OP)
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01/28/2011 04:29 AM
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Re: Tropical Cyclone Anthony to hit Queensland coast Jan30- 31:Possible Cat3
I guess this isn't news until it fucks things up... it could also turn out to be a weak cyclone but still have a huge amount of rain with it creating similar conditions to the floods earlier this month.
Anonymous Coward (OP)
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01/28/2011 07:01 AM
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Re: Tropical Cyclone Anthony to hit Queensland coast Jan30- 31:Possible Cat3
hello?
<ambiguous>

User ID: 1063570
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01/29/2011 03:14 AM

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Re: Tropical Cyclone Anthony to hit Queensland coast Jan30- 31:Possible Cat3
Been at work all bloody day so haven't had a chance to go panic buying yet...there better be a can of baked beans at shops tomorrow.

BOM predicting a 4.00 am coast crossing - great - can't these things cross at a normal hour.
Anonymous Coward (OP)
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01/29/2011 03:19 AM
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Re: Tropical Cyclone Anthony to hit Queensland coast Jan30- 31:Possible Cat3
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Brisbane

Tropical Cyclone 3-day outlook for The Coral Sea
Issued at 2:46pm EST on Saturday the 29th of January 2011 and valid until end of
Tuesday

Existing Cyclones:
Tropical Cyclone Anthony is situated over the central Coral Sea and is moving
slowly. It is likely to turn southwest tonight and move towards the tropical
Queensland coast. Likelihood of Tropical Cyclone Anthony remaining at cyclone
strength in the Eastern Region on:

Saturday: High
Sunday: High
Monday: High

Potential Cyclones:
No other significant lows are expected to develop or move into the region during
the next two days. *A low currently northwest of Fiji is forecast to develop into
a tropical cyclone and move west into the region on Tuesday. Likelihood of a new
tropical cyclone occurring in the Eastern Region on:

Sunday: Very Low
Monday: Low
Tuesday: High


NOTE: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a
tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.
Very low: less than 5% Low: 5% - 20%
Moderate: 20% - 50% High: Over 50%

The area of coverage for this outlook is the Coral Sea and Northern Tasman Sea
west of 160E.

Further information on Tropical Cyclones is available at:
[link to www.bom.gov.au]


[link to img841.imageshack.us]


[link to rammb.cira.colostate.edu]

*SH902011 - INVEST
[link to rammb.cira.colostate.edu]
Anonymous Coward (OP)
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01/29/2011 03:33 AM
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Re: Tropical Cyclone Anthony to hit Queensland coast Jan30- 31:Possible Cat3
Been at work all bloody day so haven't had a chance to go panic buying yet...there better be a can of baked beans at shops tomorrow.

BOM predicting a 4.00 am coast crossing - great - can't these things cross at a normal hour.
 Quoting: <ambiguous>
LOL... I would get an early night and not wait up for it.. it is moving really slow, that could be off by a few hrs at this point ;)

Take care up there mate..this week looks pretty dangerous for the areas affected earlier this month

cheers
Anonymous Coward (OP)
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01/29/2011 03:46 AM
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Re: Tropical Cyclone Anthony to hit Queensland coast Jan30- 31:Possible Cat3
[link to www.abc.net.au]
Queensland battens down ahead of cyclone



Cyclone Anthony is predicted to cross the coast early on Monday morning.

Towns in north Queensland are on high alert for the second time in just over a month as a tropical cyclone sweeps closer to the coast.

At 4:00am today (AEST), category one Cyclone Anthony was 910 kilometres east-north-east of Townsville and 810 kilometres east-north-east of Bowen.

It is predicted to cross the coast between Ayr and Bowen late tomorrow or early on Monday.

Weather bureau spokesman David Grant says the system is forecast to intensify and a cyclone watch is in place from Innisfail to St Lawrence, and adjacent inland areas.

"With that we'd probably expect winds getting up to around the 100 kilometres-an-hour mark with some possibly damaging gusts in that," he said.

"[The cyclone watch] extends our range of other possibilities for coastal crossing and damaging gales associated with the system."

The damaging wind gusts should develop along coastal and island parts tomorrow.

Townsville Mayor Les Tyrell says they are preparing for the potentially damaging system.

"Wind gusts that would bring trees down and would bring powerlines down and certainly will bring some rain with it," he said.

He says crews are cleaning the city of debris and other loose items that may cause damage in the cyclonic conditions.

The state's disaster management group was activated in December in response to tropical cyclone Tasha, which crossed the coast south of Cairns on Christmas Day.

Deputy Police Commissioner Ian Stewart says the situation is worrying because forecasters are predicting a tropical low off Fiji could develop into a category four or five cyclone next week.

"The modelling for that event has indicated that it may form into a cyclone and may ultimately move toward the Australian and in particular Queensland area," he said.

"So we are concerned Queensland may be impacted by these two weather events only days apart.

"We know the area is quite saturated so this will have certainly a significant impact if it strikes land in the next couple of days."

Deputy Commissioner Stewart says residents in the danger zone need to be prepared.

"I'd be asking people to think about stocking up on essential items, but there is no need for panic buying," he said.

"Make sure they have fuel in their vehicles, items in their yards and around their houses that could become missiles are put away or tied down."

Meanwhile, authorities along the south-west coast of Western Australia are preparing for possible damage from Cyclone Bianca*.

The weather bureau says there is a significant risk that Bianca, a category three system, could maintain tropical cyclone intensity as it approaches the coast early on Sunday.

Forecasters have issued a cyclone watch for coastal areas from Jurien Bay to Albany, including Perth, Bunbury and Busselton.

The Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre expects the cyclone to weaken significantly before crossing the coast but says residents should prepare for wind gusts of up to 120 kilometres-an-hour, heavy rain and possible localised flooding.

But Bianca is not expected to be as bad as Cyclone Alby, which killed five people in 1978.
* Thread: Cyclone Bianca takes aim on western Australia, new flood disaster possible
<ambiguous>

User ID: 1063570
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01/29/2011 03:50 AM

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Re: Tropical Cyclone Anthony to hit Queensland coast Jan30- 31:Possible Cat3
LOL... I would get an early night and not wait up for it.. it is moving really slow, that could be off by a few hrs at this point ;)

Take care up there mate..this week looks pretty dangerous for the areas affected earlier this month

cheers
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1242850


Not too fussed about it all...might lose power and some yard items but meh. Last one we had crossed about 2.00 am IIRC and the tree in back yard fell against the house. I'd only gotten to sleep 10 mins earlier and the missus wakes me up freaking about the tree.

I asked her if it pierced any walls or broke any windows and she said no so I asked if she expected me to go out and start cutting it up to which she said no aagain. Good I reckons and rolled over and went back to sleep. Flamin' drama queen she was.
Anonymous Coward (OP)
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01/29/2011 04:16 AM
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Re: Tropical Cyclone Anthony to hit Queensland coast Jan30- 31:Possible Cat3
[link to i903.photobucket.com]

Still rather weak and unformed but the in-feed band now getting moisture into the centre from up near New Guinea...Outflow channel runs for nearly 1500 kilometres to the south east. Strengthening with some rapid forming convection tonight into what will look a lot more like a Cat1-2 TC .The possible Cat3 is not that likely due to the presence of dry air due to a weakening upper low ... Slow moving with a lot of warm water so Cat3 is still possible, we will see what happens over the next 24 hrs .
Anonymous Coward (OP)
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01/29/2011 04:47 AM
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Re: Tropical Cyclone Anthony to hit Queensland coast Jan30- 31:Possible Cat3
[link to www.ssec.wisc.edu]

This Geostationary Satellite link from the Bianca thread shows Anthony and the TD behind it and now I am wondering if there's a possibility of Anthony slowing down even more and hovering off the coast while the Tropical Depression behind it speeds up and takes it over forming some sort of supercyclone
damned
<ambiguous>

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01/29/2011 09:03 PM

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Re: Tropical Cyclone Anthony to hit Queensland coast Jan30- 31:Possible Cat3


What a trip at the shops... the nature of panic buying
Anonymous Coward
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01/31/2011 09:43 AM
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Re: Tropical Cyclone Anthony to hit Queensland coast Jan30- 31:Possible Cat3
PIN!

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