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SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 13079166
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07/15/2012 12:56 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Is SpaceWeather.com down for anyone else? Cant seem to get on to the site at all.
 Quoting: SnakeBite


I still can't access the site, about 7 hours after your post.
 Quoting: Isis One


Loads for me:

"GEOMAGNETIC STORM: A strong geomagnetic storm is in progress as Earth's magnetic field reverberates from a CME strike on July 14th. At first the CME's impact seemed relatively weak, but conditions in the wake of the CME have become stormy. Analysts at the Goddard Space Weather Lab say that satellites in geosynchronous orbit may have been directly exposed to solar wind plasma. Also, Northern Lights have appeared in the United States as far south as California, Utah, Missouri, Wisconsin, Iowa, Oregon, Illinois, Arkansas and Nebraska."

--
shenue

User ID: 5263313
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07/15/2012 01:02 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Kp just dropped to 7.3 :o)
 Quoting: aaronnoraa711


That's not correct.......

It is in the 5 range.

[link to www.theusner.eu]

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
I stayed up all night to see where the sun went. Then it dawned on me.
coffeePC
shenue

User ID: 5263313
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07/15/2012 01:04 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Kp just dropped to 7.3 :o)
 Quoting: aaronnoraa711


That's not correct.......

It is in the 5 range.

[link to www.theusner.eu]

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: shenue


hmmmmmm but then we have this:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Soooooooo ?
I stayed up all night to see where the sun went. Then it dawned on me.
coffeePC
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 19720771
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07/15/2012 01:05 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Is SpaceWeather.com down for anyone else? Cant seem to get on to the site at all.
 Quoting: SnakeBite


I still can't access the site, about 7 hours after your post.
 Quoting: Isis One


Are you talking about the alert/warnings page ???

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Because that one is "up to date " (so to speak ....)

If not, which one ??? Space Weather has hundreds of pages. hf
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 19523259
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07/15/2012 01:06 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
almost looks like ACE might be reporting wrong data back... The constant negative BZ looks a bit suspicious:

[link to www.solarham.net]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 19815490


flatline..might of got damaged by storm ?
aether

User ID: 1412926
United Kingdom
07/15/2012 01:06 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Raw Video: Aurora Boreals in Time-lapse

[link to www.washingtonpost.com]
NiNzrez (OP)

User ID: 12844841
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07/15/2012 01:06 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
WOW!

Over 1100nT totally reversed H (North) component of the geomagnetic field within a few minutes. For those of you that are not that familiar with the magnetometers, that is the last long black line along the 11:00 UT. line.

hcomponet1

Above pic may take a while to show up as it was just uploaded.

[link to www.haarp.alaska.edu]
 Quoting: tomasgod1


look at the H componant now
set it at the 2000 nt
[link to www.haarp.alaska.edu]


morning everyone
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 19720771
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07/15/2012 01:08 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Kp just dropped to 7.3 :o)
 Quoting: aaronnoraa711


That's not correct.......

It is in the 5 range.

[link to www.theusner.eu]

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: shenue


hmmmmmm but then we have this:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Soooooooo ?
 Quoting: shenue


Shenue ... this is the one I use. All get updated every 15 minutes EXCEPT the est. planetary, which is an average of 3 hours data. It explains further under the chart.

There are MANY different observatories, reporting MANY different readings. This is my source.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Starry eyes

User ID: 13160787
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07/15/2012 01:09 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
WOW!

Over 1100nT totally reversed H (North) component of the geomagnetic field within a few minutes. For those of you that are not that familiar with the magnetometers, that is the last long black line along the 11:00 UT. line.

hcomponet1

Above pic may take a while to show up as it was just uploaded.

[link to www.haarp.alaska.edu]
 Quoting: tomasgod1


look at the H componant now
set it at the 2000 nt
[link to www.haarp.alaska.edu]


morning everyone
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Thankful to see you, NiN..

What is your observation of the charts right now?

Storm ending?
***Earth was once considered to be flat. Anything is possible.***
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 13079166
United States
07/15/2012 01:10 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Kp just dropped to 7.3 :o)
 Quoting: aaronnoraa711


That's not correct.......

It is in the 5 range.

[link to www.theusner.eu]

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: shenue


I agree. The 7.3 was predicted, 5 observed.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] just dropped predicted to 6.3, still at 5 observed. I think that other site will follow suit soon since their source is NOAA.

--
shenue

User ID: 5263313
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07/15/2012 01:13 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Kp just dropped to 7.3 :o)
 Quoting: aaronnoraa711


That's not correct.......

It is in the 5 range.

[link to www.theusner.eu]

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: shenue


hmmmmmm but then we have this:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Soooooooo ?
 Quoting: shenue


Shenue ... this is the one I use. All get updated every 15 minutes EXCEPT the est. planetary, which is an average of 3 hours data. It explains further under the chart.

There are MANY different observatories, reporting MANY different readings. This is my source.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: TS66


Thanks TS66......
Yes that was my second link, above. I trust that one too. That's why I thought the 7.3 that aaronnoraa711 quoted had to be wrong. both of my links above are usually pretty much in sync.
I stayed up all night to see where the sun went. Then it dawned on me.
coffeePC
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 19756127
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07/15/2012 01:13 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
This ride is over but in the coming days we'll have more sunspots rotating into view with the chance of new flares and it's only going to increase as we get further into the solar maximum. :)
shenue

User ID: 5263313
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07/15/2012 01:16 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Kp just dropped to 7.3 :o)
 Quoting: aaronnoraa711


That's not correct.......

It is in the 5 range.

[link to www.theusner.eu]

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: shenue


hmmmmmm but then we have this:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Soooooooo ?
 Quoting: shenue


Ahhh ok,now that one is showing the 5 - 6 range too.


[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
I stayed up all night to see where the sun went. Then it dawned on me.
coffeePC
Anonymous Coward
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07/15/2012 01:17 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Raw Video: Aurora Boreals in Time-lapse

[link to www.washingtonpost.com]
 Quoting: aether


Wow, that was cool to watch. I didn't realize how low it was(Auroras). Its better watching that than the 4th of July fireworks.
joinca

User ID: 8793176
United States
07/15/2012 01:21 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Good morning Ninz...
over a million views and over 1000 pages!
This thread is as hot as the Sun!

hf

Last Edited by joinca on 07/15/2012 01:26 PM
"The democracy will cease to exist when you take away from those who are willing to work and give to those who would not." - "I predict future happiness for Americans if they can prevent the government from wasting the labors of the people under the pretense of taking care of them."-- Thomas Jefferson
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 13079166
United States
07/15/2012 01:23 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Kp just dropped to 7.3 :o)
 Quoting: aaronnoraa711


That's not correct.......

It is in the 5 range.

[link to www.theusner.eu]

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: shenue


hmmmmmm but then we have this:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Soooooooo ?
 Quoting: shenue


Ahhh ok,now that one is showing the 5 - 6 range too.


[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: shenue


It's showing 5. The solid blue line is keyed as "Observed USAF Estimated Kp" vs. the info above that, written and graphed, showing predicted values.

--
Isis One

User ID: 14343270
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07/15/2012 01:27 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
WOW!

Over 1100nT totally reversed H (North) component of the geomagnetic field within a few minutes. For those of you that are not that familiar with the magnetometers, that is the last long black line along the 11:00 UT. line.

hcomponet1

Above pic may take a while to show up as it was just uploaded.

[link to www.haarp.alaska.edu]
 Quoting: tomasgod1


Am I wrong or is that more extreme than 1989?

[link to upload.wikimedia.org]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 19756127


I don't know the answer (89 still looks worse) but thats an excellent question with a super reference AC, well done!!
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me
NiNzrez (OP)

User ID: 12844841
United States
07/15/2012 01:28 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
yay for 1000 pages of super great information!
can you inagine if someone was to sit and read this thread from page 1 to page 1000 all in one sitting :O

your all awesome! now lets go for 2k ^^
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
Anonymous Coward
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07/15/2012 01:28 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
So are aurora going to persist into tonight for the lower canada/northern US area?
NiNzrez (OP)

User ID: 12844841
United States
07/15/2012 01:29 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Raw Video: Aurora Boreals in Time-lapse

[link to www.washingtonpost.com]
 Quoting: aether


heya aether :)
glad to see you popping in
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
Isis One

User ID: 14343270
United States
07/15/2012 01:32 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Update for the 15th July from Suspicious0bservers,


[link to www.youtube.com]

Hmm,Geo-Storm and penetrating Radiation,who woulda thunk it

: P
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


Thanks SC, I LOVE that guy, he's the best in the world imo
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me
Ollo

User ID: 19739678
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07/15/2012 01:36 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
yay for 1000 pages of super great information!
can you inagine if someone was to sit and read this thread from page 1 to page 1000 all in one sitting :O

your all awesome! now lets go for 2k ^^
 Quoting: NiNzrez


I tried that the other day...finally gave up and asked you guys to fill me in :)
NiNzrez (OP)

User ID: 12844841
United States
07/15/2012 01:36 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
WOW!

Over 1100nT totally reversed H (North) component of the geomagnetic field within a few minutes. For those of you that are not that familiar with the magnetometers, that is the last long black line along the 11:00 UT. line.

hcomponet1

Above pic may take a while to show up as it was just uploaded.

[link to www.haarp.alaska.edu]
 Quoting: tomasgod1


look at the H componant now
set it at the 2000 nt
[link to www.haarp.alaska.edu]


morning everyone
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Thankful to see you, NiN..

What is your observation of the charts right now?

Storm ending?
 Quoting: Starry eyes


charts show a fall on almost all graphs
but the storm is not over at all because the Bz has been remaining at a steady -17
remember Bz is the north south solar wind direction
north/positive and it goes northward and bounces off earths magnetic field, causing no storming
south/negative and it connects with earths magnetic field and stirs up a storm
you can have low winds with not much density and if the Bz is as negative as it is right now (-17) you would still have at least"unsettled" geomagnetic storming conditions
the more density you have and higher wind speeds at a -17 Bz and the stronger the storm in
its like mixing cake ingrediants together... in a way ^^
i will try to find a video that has a animation showing what i have just talked about
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
Isis One

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07/15/2012 01:37 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
what the hell is THAT!
[link to www.meteorscan.com]
 Quoting: SnakeBite


Its gone now cause that simulation is live, but this is my new favorite page, thanks to the OP.
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me
NiNzrez (OP)

User ID: 12844841
United States
07/15/2012 01:38 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Good morning Ninz...
over a million views and over 1000 pages!
This thread is as hot as the Sun!

hf
 Quoting: joinca


glad to see you made it Jonica :)
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
NiNzrez (OP)

User ID: 12844841
United States
07/15/2012 01:39 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
So are aurora going to persist into tonight for the lower canada/northern US area?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 17552144


that is possible
we will have to wait until later in the day to know for sure
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
Anonymous Coward
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07/15/2012 01:44 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I don't know if anyone posted this already but Space Weather has another warning for a potential 6 Kp



Space Weather Message Code: WARK06
Serial Number: 203
Issue Time: 2012 Jul 15 1703 UTC

WARNING: Geomagnetic K-Index of 6 expected
Valid From: 2012 Jul 15 1705 UTC
Valid To: 2012 Jul 15 2100 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence
NOAA Scale: G2 - Moderate
Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Isis One

User ID: 14343270
United States
07/15/2012 01:49 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Serious dancing...

[link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]




:Inan:
 Quoting: Parvati


Ooohhh, this reminds me of the NICT monitor thats not up anymore, I did not know there was a similar one, thanks soooo much for this, saved it to my fav's bar, Yeah!!
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me
Isis One

User ID: 14343270
United States
07/15/2012 01:56 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
as SC would say...were 'Fokked'...check out the Magnetopause..
[link to ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: nerdrage88sasr



Wow!, as much as this may be disruptive to earth, I feel intuitively that its also got an aaahhhh component, like getting sandblasted. Think of the magnificence an old gross building can be restored to once sand blasted. While it is disruptive, maybe dangerous, we've survived it so far so I'm thinking it also helps us evolve, atomically sand blasts the DNA maybe
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 19720771
United States
07/15/2012 02:01 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Looks like Wing Kp got knocked back up with new data stretching almost till midnight.

So sad that it is overcast here ... probably won't see auroras tonight, but that's fine as long as the potential impact is not destructive AND we are actually looking at a potential of a little over 1/2 and inch of rain !!!

[link to www.accuweather.com]

chorus

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