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SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 
Anonymous Coward
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07/23/2012 09:17 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
...


Isn't region N24E80 the returning 1513 ?? According to [link to www.ips.gov.au] it rotated back into view yesterday.
 Quoting: TS66


It's the on nearly the same latitude but it didnt survive but old spot 1515 is still there to the south and aproaches also the east limb
 Quoting: IwantToBelieve76


If that's the case, I'm starting to have my doubts about this site. Updated today it says 1513 is still a moderate solar region, moderate activity, and stable condition.

Reg# flares level lat long area mag. state Due on
1513 M-flare(s) MODERATE 17 89 180 ALPHA STABLE 22 7 2012
 Quoting: TS66


hi ts66hf

sry maybe im wrong i know it was/is on that region/latitude
 Quoting: IwantToBelieve76


And maybe not, I've only just been given this site in the last week, nad I haven't seen any changes in the report since I started checking it so .... it doesn't really matter, a C is a C !!! sun
aether

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07/23/2012 09:21 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
well if my "symptoms" are to be believed our suns activity is in at least it`s 2nd to 3rd week of physical effects on some people (me) and it has not gone away. as in:
dropped below a level of noticeable effect
since i began monitoring my effects to our sun effects in feb 2011 this is the longest sustained effect i have detected thus far

Last Edited by aether on 07/23/2012 09:33 AM
Anonymous Coward
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07/23/2012 09:27 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
...


It's the on nearly the same latitude but it didnt survive but old spot 1515 is still there to the south and aproaches also the east limb
 Quoting: IwantToBelieve76


If that's the case, I'm starting to have my doubts about this site. Updated today it says 1513 is still a moderate solar region, moderate activity, and stable condition.

Reg# flares level lat long area mag. state Due on
1513 M-flare(s) MODERATE 17 89 180 ALPHA STABLE 22 7 2012
 Quoting: TS66


hi ts66hf

sry maybe im wrong i know it was/is on that region/latitude
 Quoting: IwantToBelieve76


And maybe not, I've only just been given this site in the last week, nad I haven't seen any changes in the report since I started checking it so .... it doesn't really matter, a C is a C !!! sun
 Quoting: TS66


hehe yep, we noticed some mistakes by locating the source /region) of a flare by lmsal in the past

But this time LMSAL seems to be right^^



Latest SDO AIA 304 Fulldisc (Timeframe latest 3hours)

[link to helioviewer.org]

(notice also the ejecta from old region 1515 (bit to the south after the flare took place from unnumbered Region N24E80)


and a close up:
[link to helioviewer.org]
aether

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07/23/2012 09:29 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
and thinking out it this effect is neither short (few minutes) unbalanced/orientation (earthquake) or immune system (flu type symptoms) of a few days
this effect is throat chakra sustained

Vishuddha
[link to en.wikipedia.org]

Last Edited by aether on 07/23/2012 09:29 AM
Anonymous Coward
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07/23/2012 09:36 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
...


If that's the case, I'm starting to have my doubts about this site. Updated today it says 1513 is still a moderate solar region, moderate activity, and stable condition.

Reg# flares level lat long area mag. state Due on
1513 M-flare(s) MODERATE 17 89 180 ALPHA STABLE 22 7 2012
 Quoting: TS66


hi ts66hf

sry maybe im wrong i know it was/is on that region/latitude
 Quoting: IwantToBelieve76


And maybe not, I've only just been given this site in the last week, nad I haven't seen any changes in the report since I started checking it so .... it doesn't really matter, a C is a C !!! sun
 Quoting: TS66


hehe yep, we noticed some mistakes by locating the source /region) of a flare by lmsal in the past

But this time LMSAL seems to be right^^



Latest SDO AIA 304 Fulldisc (Timeframe latest 3hours)

[link to helioviewer.org]

(notice also the ejecta from old region 1515 (bit to the south after the flare took place from unnumbered Region N24E80)


and a close up:
[link to helioviewer.org]
 Quoting: IwantToBelieve76


Looks like we are in for a very busy week ...
joinca

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07/23/2012 10:38 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Space Weather Message Code: WARPX1
Serial Number: 374
Issue Time: 2012 Jul 23 1101 UTC
WARNING: Proton 10MeV Integral Flux above 10pfu expected
Valid From: 2012 Jul 23 1100 UTC
Valid To: 2012 Jul 23 2300 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
Predicted NOAA Scale: S1 - Minor
Potential Impacts: Radio - Minor impacts on polar HF (high frequency) radio propagation resulting in fades at lower frequencies.

Space Weather Message Code: ALTEF3
Serial Number: 1940
Issue Time: 2012 Jul 23 1250 UTC
ALERT: Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Threshold Reached: 2012 Jul 23 1225 UTC
Station: GOES13
Potential Impacts: Satellite systems may experience significant charging resulting in increased risk to satellite systems.

Space Weather Alerts and Warnings Timeline: [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
"The democracy will cease to exist when you take away from those who are willing to work and give to those who would not." - "I predict future happiness for Americans if they can prevent the government from wasting the labors of the people under the pretense of taking care of them."-- Thomas Jefferson
shenue

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07/23/2012 10:46 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Good morning everyone. Reading posts to get caught up on the last 12 hours.
I stayed up all night to see where the sun went. Then it dawned on me.
coffeePC
Starry eyes

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07/23/2012 10:47 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Good morning everyone. Reading posts to get caught up on the last 12 hours.
 Quoting: shenue


hi

How are you doing this morning?
***Earth was once considered to be flat. Anything is possible.***
nerdrage88sasr

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07/23/2012 10:58 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Good morning everyone. Reading posts to get caught up on the last 12 hours.
 Quoting: shenue


Morning Shenue!
Not much to catch up on really....verysad
"Luck is what happens when preparation meets Oppurtunity"-- Seneca (5BC-65AD)
Anonymous Coward
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07/23/2012 12:28 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Problems staying connected today
NiNzrez (OP)

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07/23/2012 12:46 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
yep, Proton Jump... [link to www.n3kl.org]
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]


Slow increase in background levels.. [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Electron rise... [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Fraggle (SC) ...
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

[link to pixie.spasci.com]

Peace
 Quoting: nerdrage88sasr


this is most likley from the parker spiral combined with this mornings backside CME from sunspot region 1520
check out the speed on this one! wow!

VERY FAST FARSIDE CME: A coronal mass ejection (CME) blasted away from the sun this morning with rare speed: 2930 km/s or 6.5 million mph. CMEs moving this fast occur only once every ~5 to 10 years. The Solar and Heliospheric Observatory recorded the cloud's emergence on July 23rd starting around 0300 UT:
[link to spaceweather.com]
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

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How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
MamaHasAwakened

User ID: 5426767
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07/23/2012 12:50 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
yep, Proton Jump... [link to www.n3kl.org]
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]


Slow increase in background levels.. [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Electron rise... [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Fraggle (SC) ...
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

[link to pixie.spasci.com]

Peace
 Quoting: nerdrage88sasr


this is most likley from the parker spiral combined with this mornings backside CME from sunspot region 1520
check out the speed on this one! wow!

VERY FAST FARSIDE CME: A coronal mass ejection (CME) blasted away from the sun this morning with rare speed: 2930 km/s or 6.5 million mph. CMEs moving this fast occur only once every ~5 to 10 years. The Solar and Heliospheric Observatory recorded the cloud's emergence on July 23rd starting around 0300 UT:
[link to spaceweather.com]
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Geez, I can't even comprehend the speed on that! That's crazy fast but impressive!
psyoptics

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07/23/2012 12:55 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
...


It came from unnumbered region S1812 here... [link to www.solen.info]

or N24E80 on solarsoft...a 'new' region rotating around the western limb.

[link to www.lmsal.com]

Peace
 Quoting: nerdrage88sasr


Isn't region N24E80 the returning 1513 ?? According to [link to www.ips.gov.au] it rotated back into view yesterday.
 Quoting: TS66


It's the on nearly the same latitude but it didnt survive but old spot 1515 is still there to the south and aproaches also the east limb
 Quoting: IwantToBelieve76


If that's the case, I'm starting to have my doubts about this site. Updated today it says 1513 is still a moderate solar region, moderate activity, and stable condition.

Reg# flares level lat long area mag. state Due on
1513 M-flare(s) MODERATE 17 89 180 ALPHA STABLE 22 7 2012

*note: it hasn't changed it's status of any of the regions since I started monitoring the site last week.
 Quoting: TS66

dang these silly SS numbers
i have been following 1515 and it's friends the whole way around.

now i see this
[link to sidc.oma.be]
it is so dang hard to know when they drop all reference to old numbers.
but i thought we did see 1513 come around and now there is no mistaking 1515 as it comes. it seems connected to the region above it...is that the old 1513?
any way, 1515 it coming around hot and pissed off.
even though it is listed as declining. lot us hope it will.
come hot...
or
decline...
i will leave that up to you.
a good video editor can make anyone say anything the editor wants.
shadasonic

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07/23/2012 12:59 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
well if my "symptoms" are to be believed our suns activity is in at least it`s 2nd to 3rd week of physical effects on some people (me) and it has not gone away. as in:
dropped below a level of noticeable effect
since i began monitoring my effects to our sun effects in feb 2011 this is the longest sustained effect i have detected thus far
 Quoting: aether


Me too!
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
shadasonic

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07/23/2012 01:01 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
We should see coronal hole energy letting up just as the new, 'old' hole comes into view.
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
psyoptics

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07/23/2012 01:01 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
yep, Proton Jump... [link to www.n3kl.org]
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]


Slow increase in background levels.. [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Electron rise... [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Fraggle (SC) ...
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

[link to pixie.spasci.com]

Peace
 Quoting: nerdrage88sasr


this is most likley from the parker spiral combined with this mornings backside CME from sunspot region 1520
check out the speed on this one! wow!

VERY FAST FARSIDE CME: A coronal mass ejection (CME) blasted away from the sun this morning with rare speed: 2930 km/s or 6.5 million mph. CMEs moving this fast occur only once every ~5 to 10 years. The Solar and Heliospheric Observatory recorded the cloud's emergence on July 23rd starting around 0300 UT:
[link to spaceweather.com]
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Geez, I can't even comprehend the speed on that! That's crazy fast but impressive!
 Quoting: MamaHasAwakened


WOW.........freaking fast. that would be almost 1/10th the speed of light....700 million mph so a CME would get here to earth within hours.
a good video editor can make anyone say anything the editor wants.
psyoptics

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07/23/2012 01:03 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
still thinking about the fast CME.....how much does speed have to do with the impact of the CME on our planet?
i would think a lot!
a good video editor can make anyone say anything the editor wants.
Anonymous Coward
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07/23/2012 01:09 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Terrible internet connection today for some reason
Anonymous Coward
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07/23/2012 01:10 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Terrible internet connection today for some reason
Anonymous Coward
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07/23/2012 01:14 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Still having problems with internet connection.grrrr
joinca

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07/23/2012 01:38 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
posted before:
The Sun's Magnetic Field
The electric currents in the Sun generate a complex magnetic field with extends out into interplanetary space to form the interplanetary magnetic field. As the Sun's magnetic field is carried out through the solar system by the solar wind, the Sun is rotating. Its rotation winds up the magnetic field into a large rotating spiral, known as the Parker spiral, named after the scientist who first described it.
The article is here: [link to helios.gsfc.nasa.gov]
"The democracy will cease to exist when you take away from those who are willing to work and give to those who would not." - "I predict future happiness for Americans if they can prevent the government from wasting the labors of the people under the pretense of taking care of them."-- Thomas Jefferson
Anonymous Coward
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07/23/2012 01:48 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
yep, Proton Jump... [link to www.n3kl.org]
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]


Slow increase in background levels.. [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Electron rise... [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Fraggle (SC) ...
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

[link to pixie.spasci.com]

Peace
 Quoting: nerdrage88sasr


this is most likley from the parker spiral combined with this mornings backside CME from sunspot region 1520
check out the speed on this one! wow!

VERY FAST FARSIDE CME: A coronal mass ejection (CME) blasted away from the sun this morning with rare speed: 2930 km/s or 6.5 million mph. CMEs moving this fast occur only once every ~5 to 10 years. The Solar and Heliospheric Observatory recorded the cloud's emergence on July 23rd starting around 0300 UT:
[link to spaceweather.com]
 Quoting: NiNzrez


WOW! Impressive, Nin- glad it wasn't on our side of the Sun!
hiding
Good day to all!

My computer has viral problems, all of a sudden, and I can not seem to clear it up! That's why I haven't been on much.
tantrum
shadasonic

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07/23/2012 01:56 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
yep, Proton Jump... [link to www.n3kl.org]
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]


Slow increase in background levels.. [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Electron rise... [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Fraggle (SC) ...
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

[link to pixie.spasci.com]

Peace
 Quoting: nerdrage88sasr


this is most likley from the parker spiral combined with this mornings backside CME from sunspot region 1520
check out the speed on this one! wow!

VERY FAST FARSIDE CME: A coronal mass ejection (CME) blasted away from the sun this morning with rare speed: 2930 km/s or 6.5 million mph. CMEs moving this fast occur only once every ~5 to 10 years. The Solar and Heliospheric Observatory recorded the cloud's emergence on July 23rd starting around 0300 UT:
[link to spaceweather.com]
 Quoting: NiNzrez


WOW! Impressive, Nin- glad it wasn't on our side of the Sun!
hiding
Good day to all!

My computer has viral problems, all of a sudden, and I can not seem to clear it up! That's why I haven't been on much.
tantrum
 Quoting: SpiderJones


Good to see you spidey!
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
Anonymous Coward
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07/23/2012 02:06 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
yep, Proton Jump... [link to www.n3kl.org]
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]


Slow increase in background levels.. [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Electron rise... [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Fraggle (SC) ...
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

[link to pixie.spasci.com]

Peace
 Quoting: nerdrage88sasr


this is most likley from the parker spiral combined with this mornings backside CME from sunspot region 1520
check out the speed on this one! wow!

VERY FAST FARSIDE CME: A coronal mass ejection (CME) blasted away from the sun this morning with rare speed: 2930 km/s or 6.5 million mph. CMEs moving this fast occur only once every ~5 to 10 years. The Solar and Heliospheric Observatory recorded the cloud's emergence on July 23rd starting around 0300 UT:
[link to spaceweather.com]
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Geez, I can't even comprehend the speed on that! That's crazy fast but impressive!
 Quoting: MamaHasAwakened


WOW.........freaking fast. that would be almost 1/10th the speed of light....700 million mph so a CME would get here to earth within hours.
 Quoting: psyoptics


I remember that Carrington was pretty speedy, too. This looks like interesting doc about extreme events:

ftp://sohoftp.nascom.nasa.gov/pub/oldwww/meetings/RHESSISonom​a/RHESSI/rst/reports/wg3_summary.ppt
Isis One

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07/23/2012 02:22 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Here are two noobee questions.....1)on the X-ray flux graphs, what does the blue line on the bottom represent ?(I always seem to watch only the red line). 2) why do we seem to make B Class flares seem like they are totally inconsequential? I've been watching 1125 and she's thrown out three nice little B flares. I assume they still impact earth's atmoshpere, right?
 Quoting: Isis One


At the bottom of the GOES chart is following explanation:

The GOES X-ray flux plot contains 1 minute averages of solar X-rays in the 1-8 Angstrom (0.1-0.8 nm) and 0.5-4.0 Angstrom (0.05-0.4 nm) passbands. Data from the SWPC Primary GOES X-ray satellite is shown.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Passbands are signals of a range of frequencies or wavelengths that measure x-ray flux.

We use the 1-8 Angstrom (0.1-0.8 nm)of the GOES X-ray flux chart to measure the size of a flare.

A flare whether an A,B,C,M or X's impact on earth is only as great as the size and intensity of the CME (coronal mass ejection)it may or may not produce, not necessarily the size or category of that particular flare.

That being said, it is not "typical" ( nor have I witnessed ) that a B flare would or could produce the same size CME as an M, or X flare is capable of producing. So yes a B flare can and does impact the earth's magnetosphere, again depending on the size and intensity of the CME it produces, however, chances are slim to none it would ever result in a CME as large as a C, M, or X flare, so we tend to not pay as close attention.

Hope that makes sense ??? I tried.
 Quoting: TS66


Hi TS, thanks for the info and yes it helped a lot! I did not know that the flare's potency is determined by it's CME.
I guess that gives me another question....is there no effects from a flare devoid of a CME. It looks like a pretty big flash of electromagnetic activity that could propagate far and wide to me (even without a CME). Thanks again.
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me
Isis One

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07/23/2012 02:39 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
and thinking out it this effect is neither short (few minutes) unbalanced/orientation (earthquake) or immune system (flu type symptoms) of a few days
this effect is throat chakra sustained

Vishuddha
[link to en.wikipedia.org]
 Quoting: aether


Hi aether, I love that you are integrating the solar effects on your body within your analysis.
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me
Anonymous Coward
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07/23/2012 02:41 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Hi, Shadasonic!sun
Isis One

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07/23/2012 02:48 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
yep, Proton Jump... [link to www.n3kl.org]
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]


Slow increase in background levels.. [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Electron rise... [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Fraggle (SC) ...
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

[link to pixie.spasci.com]

Peace
 Quoting: nerdrage88sasr


this is most likley from the parker spiral combined with this mornings backside CME from sunspot region 1520
check out the speed on this one! wow!

VERY FAST FARSIDE CME: A coronal mass ejection (CME) blasted away from the sun this morning with rare speed: 2930 km/s or 6.5 million mph. CMEs moving this fast occur only once every ~5 to 10 years. The Solar and Heliospheric Observatory recorded the cloud's emergence on July 23rd starting around 0300 UT:
[link to spaceweather.com]
 Quoting: NiNzrez


WOW! Impressive, Nin- glad it wasn't on our side of the Sun!
hiding
Good day to all!

My computer has viral problems, all of a sudden, and I can not seem to clear it up! That's why I haven't been on much.
tantrum
 Quoting: SpiderJones


Spider, did you check to see that you've run all the current updates, especially microsoft? I found a few months ago when I did this (all the ones I kept deferring til another time), it started running MUCH better, just a thought.
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me
Anonymous Coward
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07/23/2012 03:12 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Hi Isis, yes, I have done everything! This is beyond my abilities- I have run a lot of anti-viral programs ,too.scratching
I found a backdoor hack- I think someone did this to me on purpose. I must have stepped on someone's toes....
If I find out who did it ...bash

gaah I have to go now- see ya later!
NiNzrez (OP)

User ID: 12844841
United States
07/23/2012 04:34 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
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Isn't region N24E80 the returning 1513 ?? According to [link to www.ips.gov.au] it rotated back into view yesterday.
 Quoting: TS66


It's the on nearly the same latitude but it didnt survive but old spot 1515 is still there to the south and aproaches also the east limb
 Quoting: IwantToBelieve76


If that's the case, I'm starting to have my doubts about this site. Updated today it says 1513 is still a moderate solar region, moderate activity, and stable condition.

Reg# flares level lat long area mag. state Due on
1513 M-flare(s) MODERATE 17 89 180 ALPHA STABLE 22 7 2012

*note: it hasn't changed it's status of any of the regions since I started monitoring the site last week.
 Quoting: TS66

dang these silly SS numbers
i have been following 1515 and it's friends the whole way around.

now i see this
[link to sidc.oma.be]
it is so dang hard to know when they drop all reference to old numbers.
but i thought we did see 1513 come around and now there is no mistaking 1515 as it comes. it seems connected to the region above it...is that the old 1513?
any way, 1515 it coming around hot and pissed off.
even though it is listed as declining. lot us hope it will.
come hot...
or
decline...
i will leave that up to you.
 Quoting: psyoptics


i believe the status on them is listed as they were when they rotated off the western limb
and not as they are right now
this is why the status (as Declining" for 1515) would remain that same status the entire time it is on the backside in rotation
this does not mean it is declining right now, but as it was when it was last earth facing
it looks big, maintaind in size and ready to give us another show in the coming days

suntards get your rest and you needed things around home! cause we will have old region 1515 coming back in a few days
and once its ready to rotate over the western limb, we will have old sunspot region 1520 back again
busy time ahead!!!
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

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