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SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 
mistersplinter

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08/02/2012 10:38 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
peak after peak just above C all nite, now we gets a little plateau for approx an hour.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: mistersplinter


bumping back up a little now...i`m anxious for 1520 to swing around.
 Quoting: <<LOOK`n thru YOU>>


me too. I have been hogging bandwidth over at helioviewer.org watching the area in every way possible. I've no idea what I'm looking for really, but the activity on the surface has been fierce. SDO is awesome.
rockon
"I have no special talents. I am only passionately curious." -- Albert Einstein

"The Upholder of the Cycles which supports the whole of Life, is water. In every drop of water dwells the Godhead, whom we all serve; there also dwells Life, the Soul of the "First" substance - Water - whose boundaries and banks are the capillaries that guide it and in which it circulates" -- Viktor Schauberger
Anonymous Coward
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08/02/2012 10:54 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
TS....I would take a drive out of town with your family if I were you. They will never report true severity and it sounds toxic. All the best to u.
Anonymous Coward
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08/02/2012 11:01 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
TS....I would take a drive out of town with your family if I were you. They will never report true severity and it sounds toxic. All the best to u.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 18523640


Love to, but I can't reach the grandkid's mother, my sister has to report to work at lowes or be fired, my husband (HVAC) is on the road and I can't reach him . Guess we'd have to come back here eventually anyway, when it's deemed "safe".

Well if this is ain't a fricken travesty of errors of what not to do in an emergency.
Anonymous Coward
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08/02/2012 11:09 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
TS....I would take a drive out of town with your family if I were you. They will never report true severity and it sounds toxic. All the best to u.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 18523640


Love to, but I can't reach the grandkid's mother, my sister has to report to work at lowes or be fired, my husband (HVAC) is on the road and I can't reach him . Guess we'd have to come back here eventually anyway, when it's deemed "safe".

Well if this is ain't a fricken travesty of errors of what not to do in an emergency.
 Quoting: TS66


We all need to have a plan for comminication and mutual tasks etc. with fam and friends for emergency. This should serve as a wakeup ts. Stay safe.
mistersplinter

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08/02/2012 11:11 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
meanwhile, on the side I'm not looking at:

[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]
"I have no special talents. I am only passionately curious." -- Albert Einstein

"The Upholder of the Cycles which supports the whole of Life, is water. In every drop of water dwells the Godhead, whom we all serve; there also dwells Life, the Soul of the "First" substance - Water - whose boundaries and banks are the capillaries that guide it and in which it circulates" -- Viktor Schauberger
mistersplinter

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08/02/2012 11:49 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

some proton uppage

thumbs
"I have no special talents. I am only passionately curious." -- Albert Einstein

"The Upholder of the Cycles which supports the whole of Life, is water. In every drop of water dwells the Godhead, whom we all serve; there also dwells Life, the Soul of the "First" substance - Water - whose boundaries and banks are the capillaries that guide it and in which it circulates" -- Viktor Schauberger
joinca

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08/02/2012 11:54 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Finally some very small action.....
Space Weather Message Code: ALTK04
Serial Number: 1601
Issue Time: 2012 Aug 02 1438 UTC
ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Threshold Reached: 2012 Aug 02 1431 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1200-1500 UTC
Active Warning: Yes
Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.
And this:
Space Weather Message Code: WARK04
Serial Number: 1985
Issue Time: 2012 Aug 02 1433 UTC
WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2012 Aug 02 1432 UTC
Valid To: 2012 Aug 02 1800 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.
The full story is here: [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
applausecheers
"The democracy will cease to exist when you take away from those who are willing to work and give to those who would not." - "I predict future happiness for Americans if they can prevent the government from wasting the labors of the people under the pretense of taking care of them."-- Thomas Jefferson
shenue

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08/02/2012 12:26 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Finally some very small action.....
Space Weather Message Code: ALTK04
Serial Number: 1601
Issue Time: 2012 Aug 02 1438 UTC
ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Threshold Reached: 2012 Aug 02 1431 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1200-1500 UTC
Active Warning: Yes
Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.
And this:
Space Weather Message Code: WARK04
Serial Number: 1985
Issue Time: 2012 Aug 02 1433 UTC
WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2012 Aug 02 1432 UTC
Valid To: 2012 Aug 02 1800 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.
The full story is here: [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
applausecheers
 Quoting: joinca


K up to 5+ now.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
I stayed up all night to see where the sun went. Then it dawned on me.
mistersplinter

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08/02/2012 12:39 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
2Mins addendum


"I have no special talents. I am only passionately curious." -- Albert Einstein

"The Upholder of the Cycles which supports the whole of Life, is water. In every drop of water dwells the Godhead, whom we all serve; there also dwells Life, the Soul of the "First" substance - Water - whose boundaries and banks are the capillaries that guide it and in which it circulates" -- Viktor Schauberger
madajs

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08/02/2012 12:39 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Interesting, I noticed a sudden commencement in the Dst index but there was no incoming cme's or anything so I kind of ignored it. But now here is that spike in geomagnetic activity that often follows a commencement.

Potsdam has us at just below Kp 5

[link to www-app3.gfz-potsdam.de]

Edit: Oh I see above in splinters post that there was a cme

Last Edited by madajs on 08/02/2012 12:41 PM
And always, he fought the temptation to choose a clear, safe course, warning: "That path leads ever down into stagnation."
shadasonic

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08/02/2012 12:40 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Nothing exciting here,but its interesting to see the energy expenditure difference between the southern and northen hemisphere
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
joinca

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08/02/2012 12:48 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Hot off the press...
Space Weather Message Code: WARK05
Serial Number: 795
Issue Time: 2012 Aug 02 1604 UTC

WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Valid From: 2012 Aug 02 1603 UTC
Valid To: 2012 Aug 02 2100 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor
Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.
Full story is here: [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
dead3
"The democracy will cease to exist when you take away from those who are willing to work and give to those who would not." - "I predict future happiness for Americans if they can prevent the government from wasting the labors of the people under the pretense of taking care of them."-- Thomas Jefferson
shadasonic

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08/02/2012 01:21 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Heres a good listing (for those who don't already haveit), of solar storm levels,categories and their effects
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
Hugh M Eye

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08/02/2012 02:46 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Has anyone noticed a large CME near the west limb today?

[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]
"There is more stupidity than hydrogen in the universe, and it has a longer shelf life."
Frank Zappa

"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the the universe."-Albert Einstein
joinca

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08/02/2012 02:48 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Welcome back Hugh!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

anaanaanabanana
Hope that you had a nice vacation.

Last Edited by joinca on 08/02/2012 02:49 PM
"The democracy will cease to exist when you take away from those who are willing to work and give to those who would not." - "I predict future happiness for Americans if they can prevent the government from wasting the labors of the people under the pretense of taking care of them."-- Thomas Jefferson
++MarketSellOff++
"Amateur Meteorologist"

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08/02/2012 02:49 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
We are currently at a KP 5 Geomagnetic storm right now. 24 hour predictions are showing it holding at a KP 5. So hopefully it goes up for some of us lower states to experience an Aurora, which would need to be an 8+
shadasonic

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08/02/2012 02:52 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Well what do we have here!
[link to www.spaceweather.sflorg.com]

Last Edited by shadahoochie on 08/02/2012 02:53 PM
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
++MarketSellOff++
"Amateur Meteorologist"

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08/02/2012 02:52 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
peak after peak just above C all nite, now we gets a little plateau for approx an hour.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: mistersplinter


bumping back up a little now...i`m anxious for 1520 to swing around.
 Quoting: <<LOOK`n thru YOU>>


That was a huge sunspot. Let's see what it does when it is earth facing again.
shadasonic

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08/02/2012 02:55 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Has anyone noticed a large CME near the west limb today?

[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


[link to www.spaceweather.sflorg.com]
missed this, busy with my silly crop circle thread
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
Hugh M Eye

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08/02/2012 02:59 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Welcome back Hugh!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

anaanaanabanana
Hope that you had a nice vacation.
 Quoting: joinca


Actually I've been going through 7 layers of HELL. Long story....but my computer was hacked as a bonus to other disasters which have overtaken me in an unexpected way. I'm amazed to get internet today; believe it or not I've been trying to get on for 10 days now. Now my battery is going so I won't be here for long.

Thanks for the bananas anyhow. I really miss this thread and watching the Sun in detail. I suppose I missed a lot of action.
peace
"There is more stupidity than hydrogen in the universe, and it has a longer shelf life."
Frank Zappa

"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the the universe."-Albert Einstein
shadasonic

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08/02/2012 03:07 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Welcome back Hugh!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

anaanaanabanana
Hope that you had a nice vacation.
 Quoting: joinca


Actually I've been going through 7 layers of HELL. Long story....but my computer was hacked as a bonus to other disasters which have overtaken me in an unexpected way. I'm amazed to get internet today; believe it or not I've been trying to get on for 10 days now. Now my battery is going so I won't be here for long.

Thanks for the bananas anyhow. I really miss this thread and watching the Sun in detail. I suppose I missed a lot of action.
peace
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


ALot missing data that you enjoy so much, but its been fairly quiet with 1532 slowing down! [link to www.spaceweather.sflorg.com]
I'm trying to see where this is from
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
NiNzrez (OP)

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08/02/2012 03:19 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Welcome back Hugh!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

anaanaanabanana
Hope that you had a nice vacation.
 Quoting: joinca


Actually I've been going through 7 layers of HELL. Long story....but my computer was hacked as a bonus to other disasters which have overtaken me in an unexpected way. I'm amazed to get internet today; believe it or not I've been trying to get on for 10 days now. Now my battery is going so I won't be here for long.

Thanks for the bananas anyhow. I really miss this thread and watching the Sun in detail. I suppose I missed a lot of action.
peace
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


so glad to see you Hugh
hope your able to get all your issues sorted and no more issues your way
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
NiNzrez (OP)

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08/02/2012 03:23 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
there is now some fast growth in the leading penumbra of sunspot 1532
and we can also see the leading edge of old sunspot 1520 rotating in our direction from the southwestern limb
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]


We have a Kp5 G1 geomagnetic storm in progress
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Ace Solar Conditions:
19:25 UTC July 2, 2012
Solar Wind Speed: 463.7
Density: 32.8
Bz: -2.8

Space Weather Message Code: ALTK05
Serial Number: 697
Issue Time: 2012 Aug 02 1656 UTC


ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2012 Aug 02 1643 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1500-1800 UTC
Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor
Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

Last Edited by NiNzrez on 08/02/2012 03:30 PM
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
mistersplinter

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08/02/2012 04:06 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Welcome back Hugh!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

anaanaanabanana
Hope that you had a nice vacation.
 Quoting: joinca


Actually I've been going through 7 layers of HELL. Long story....but my computer was hacked as a bonus to other disasters which have overtaken me in an unexpected way. I'm amazed to get internet today; believe it or not I've been trying to get on for 10 days now. Now my battery is going so I won't be here for long.

Thanks for the bananas anyhow. I really miss this thread and watching the Sun in detail. I suppose I missed a lot of action.
peace
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Good to see you!

rockon
"I have no special talents. I am only passionately curious." -- Albert Einstein

"The Upholder of the Cycles which supports the whole of Life, is water. In every drop of water dwells the Godhead, whom we all serve; there also dwells Life, the Soul of the "First" substance - Water - whose boundaries and banks are the capillaries that guide it and in which it circulates" -- Viktor Schauberger
joinca

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08/02/2012 05:43 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Welcome back Hugh!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Hope that you had a nice vacation.
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Actually I've been going through 7 layers of HELL. Long story....but my computer was hacked as a bonus to other disasters which have overtaken me in an unexpected way. I'm amazed to get internet today; believe it or not I've been trying to get on for 10 days now. Now my battery is going so I won't be here for long.

Thanks for the bananas anyhow. I really miss this thread and watching the Sun in detail. I suppose I missed a lot of action.
peace
 Quoting: NiNzrez


so glad to see you Hugh
hope your able to get all your issues sorted and no more issues your way


joinca
Sorry about the computer...they either work well or a lot of trouble. If you were closer to calif I could help you with it.
welcome back.
"The democracy will cease to exist when you take away from those who are willing to work and give to those who would not." - "I predict future happiness for Americans if they can prevent the government from wasting the labors of the people under the pretense of taking care of them."-- Thomas Jefferson
shenue

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08/02/2012 06:32 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Hugh..........so glad to see you back!!


5a ohyeah
I stayed up all night to see where the sun went. Then it dawned on me.
Feynmanschild

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08/02/2012 06:44 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Heres a good listing (for those who don't already haveit), of solar storm levels,categories and their effects
 Quoting: shadasonic


Thanks shad,good info
Feynmanschild

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08/02/2012 06:51 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
By the way this thread kicks ass!
madajs

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08/02/2012 08:07 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Looks like the minor geomagnetic storm is over

[link to www-app3.gfz-potsdam.de]
And always, he fought the temptation to choose a clear, safe course, warning: "That path leads ever down into stagnation."
Chic Fil A

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08/02/2012 08:16 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Hey guys, I am a big follower of this thread although I don't have much knowledge on this topic...I rely on you guys.

I posted a thread with a question and a few of you seem extremely knowledgeable about this topic.

Please explain the physics of this to me if you understand...

Thread: Why does a crescent moon now look like a smile?

Thanks!!
Chic Fil A

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