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SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 
shadasonic

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08/17/2012 09:08 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
M5.5 1546? We could see some action soon, if it doesn't blow its u know what
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
whiteangel
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
M5.5 1546? We could see some action soon, if it doesn't blow its u know what
 Quoting: shadasonic


Yeah, to M+'s today. Going to be a wild weekend. Look at the link I posted before it started climbing.
AMERICA the Beautiful!!!
shadasonic

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08/17/2012 09:12 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
M5.5 1546? We could see some action soon, if it doesn't blow its u know what
 Quoting: shadasonic


Yeah, to M+'s today. Going to be a wild weekend. Look at the link I posted before it started climbing.
 Quoting: whiteangel


I just finished it when this happened, kinda weird, instant action
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
dettro99

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08/17/2012 09:14 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
It looks like 1546 from EVE:

[link to lasp.colorado.edu]

Last Edited by dettro99 on 08/17/2012 09:16 PM
shadasonic

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08/17/2012 09:19 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Its gonna be interesting to see how the infant SS in the left middle develops,looks alot sharper than it did early morning
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
shadasonic

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08/17/2012 09:20 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
It looks like 1546 from EVE:

[link to lasp.colorado.edu]
 Quoting: dettro99


Yep
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
whiteangel
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
M5.5 1546? We could see some action soon, if it doesn't blow its u know what
 Quoting: shadasonic


Yeah, to M+'s today. Going to be a wild weekend. Look at the link I posted before it started climbing.
 Quoting: whiteangel


I just finished it when this happened, kinda weird, instant action
 Quoting: shadasonic


I watched it, thought you would all like to see it as it is this time period and check GOES and was like that was weird.
AMERICA the Beautiful!!!
shadasonic

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08/17/2012 09:59 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
1546 needs to develop its opposite polarity for ejecta,or its gonna flare itself to death
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
Anonymous Coward
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08/17/2012 10:07 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
1546 needs to develop its opposite polarity for ejecta,or its gonna flare itself to death
 Quoting: shadasonic


Actually all the flares today were from an unnumbered region to the NE of 1546, they are calling it "New AR N19E87"

Take a look

[link to www.lmsal.com]

and the list of today's events

[link to www.lmsal.com]

Again, I can't wait to see what it looks like when it rotates over.
madajs

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08/17/2012 10:09 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
If this thing is giving us M 5.5 readings and it isn't even across the limb yet, holy tamoly! Will be sad if she spends all she's got before she reaches us though~

Last Edited by madajs on 08/17/2012 10:10 PM
And always, he fought the temptation to choose a clear, safe course, warning: "That path leads ever down into stagnation."
Anonymous Coward
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Here it is in action

[link to www.youtube.com]
Anonymous Coward
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08/17/2012 10:13 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
If this thing is giving us M 5.5 readings and it isn't even across the limb yet, holy tamoly! Will be sad if she spends all she's got before she reaches us though~
 Quoting: madajs


ohyeah
Anonymous Coward
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08/17/2012 10:17 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
If this thing is giving us M 5.5 readings and it isn't even across the limb yet, holy tamoly! Will be sad if she spends all she's got before she reaches us though~
 Quoting: madajs


ohyeah
 Quoting: TS66


Looks like (1547?) has only just begun.

I'm off to bed. Happy flare watching, and get good rest hf
nerdrage88sasr

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08/17/2012 10:18 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
If this thing is giving us M 5.5 readings and it isn't even across the limb yet, holy tamoly! Will be sad if she spends all she's got before she reaches us though~
 Quoting: madajs


ohyeah
 Quoting: TS66


Looks like (1547?) has only just begun.

I'm off to bed. Happy flare watching, and get good rest hf
 Quoting: TS66


ok, im up, yes indeed TS66, good job overnight mate
Rest Well
Peace
"Luck is what happens when preparation meets Oppurtunity"-- Seneca (5BC-65AD)
shadasonic

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08/17/2012 10:28 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
1546 needs to develop its opposite polarity for ejecta,or its gonna flare itself to death
 Quoting: shadasonic


Actually all the flares today were from an unnumbered region to the NE of 1546, they are calling it "New AR N19E87"

Take a look

[link to www.lmsal.com]

and the list of today's events

[link to www.lmsal.com]

Again, I can't wait to see what it looks like when it rotates over.
 Quoting: TS66


Thanks TS, one should never assume. That makes things alot more interesting!

Yeah it was on solar soft even posted a link, damn I'm getting rusty!

Last Edited by Thinking out loud on 08/17/2012 10:31 PM
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
nerdrage88sasr

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08/17/2012 10:32 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
heya SHad

"INFO FROM SIDC - RWC BELGIUM 17 Aug 2012, 1207UT

Solar activity is expected to reach eruptive levels with C-class flares likely. There are several possible sources: NOAA ARs 1543 and 1546, an active region behind the East limb approximately at the same latitude than AR 1546, and an emerging AR, yet unnumbered at about N07E30. A C4.7 flare occurred today, Aug. 17th peaking at 08:37 UT, but it is not clear yet where the source region is. AR 1543 produced a C3.6 flare on Aug. 16th (peak time 13:16UT). It was associated with a halo CME of moderate velocity (est. < 400 km/s). We do not expect significant geomagnetic incidence from this event, and we foresee that geomagnetic activity will be dominated on Aug. 18 th by the effects of a coronal hole, leading to period of active conditions."

[link to sidc.oma.be]
"Luck is what happens when preparation meets Oppurtunity"-- Seneca (5BC-65AD)
shadasonic

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08/17/2012 10:32 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
If this thing is giving us M 5.5 readings and it isn't even across the limb yet, holy tamoly! Will be sad if she spends all she's got before she reaches us though~
 Quoting: madajs


ohyeah
 Quoting: TS66


Looks like (1547?) has only just begun.

I'm off to bed. Happy flare watching, and get good rest hf
 Quoting: TS66


ok, im up, yes indeed TS66, good job overnight mate
Rest Well
Peace
 Quoting: nerdrage88sasr


Hey Nerd , I'm gonna hang a bit. Good posts earlier today

Last Edited by Thinking out loud on 08/17/2012 10:38 PM
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
shadasonic

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08/17/2012 10:33 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
heya SHad

"INFO FROM SIDC - RWC BELGIUM 17 Aug 2012, 1207UT

Solar activity is expected to reach eruptive levels with C-class flares likely. There are several possible sources: NOAA ARs 1543 and 1546, an active region behind the East limb approximately at the same latitude than AR 1546, and an emerging AR, yet unnumbered at about N07E30. A C4.7 flare occurred today, Aug. 17th peaking at 08:37 UT, but it is not clear yet where the source region is. AR 1543 produced a C3.6 flare on Aug. 16th (peak time 13:16UT). It was associated with a halo CME of moderate velocity (est. < 400 km/s). We do not expect significant geomagnetic incidence from this event, and we foresee that geomagnetic activity will be dominated on Aug. 18 th by the effects of a coronal hole, leading to period of active conditions."

[link to sidc.oma.be]
 Quoting: nerdrage88sasr


We could get busy like the flip of a switch
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
nerdrage88sasr

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
...


ohyeah
 Quoting: TS66


Looks like (1547?) has only just begun.

I'm off to bed. Happy flare watching, and get good rest hf
 Quoting: TS66


ok, im up, yes indeed TS66, good job overnight mate
Rest Well
Peace
 Quoting: nerdrage88sasr


Hey Nerd , I'm gonna hang a bit. Good posts earlier,today(me),night(for you)!
 Quoting: shadasonic


Yeah mate, great info and posts from you as usual, you bring alot to this thread mate, great people, seeking knowledge together, such a pity we couldnt actually sit around a camp fire somewehere (all of us) and just yack about things...

Peace
"Luck is what happens when preparation meets Oppurtunity"-- Seneca (5BC-65AD)
shadasonic

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
...


Looks like (1547?) has only just begun.

I'm off to bed. Happy flare watching, and get good rest hf
 Quoting: TS66


ok, im up, yes indeed TS66, good job overnight mate
Rest Well
Peace
 Quoting: nerdrage88sasr


Hey Nerd , I'm gonna hang a bit. Good posts earlier,today(me),night(for you)!
 Quoting: shadasonic


Yeah mate, great info and posts from you as usual, you bring alot to this thread mate, great people, seeking knowledge together, such a pity we couldnt actually sit around a camp fire somewehere (all of us) and just yack about things...

Peace
 Quoting: nerdrage88sasr

shocked
I posted that weird I meant it was day for me when your posts were awesome,Imissed them while at work!
I feel off today, my posts are screwy, can't find info in my favs. We haven't had Trails for weeks, then after lunch it was insane. They were everywhere, I think they react with me in a weird way, always feel sluggish or it could be the energy they are trying to block? All I know its nice to have some solar pick up!

Last Edited by Thinking out loud on 08/17/2012 10:53 PM
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
shadasonic

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08/17/2012 10:45 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
...


Looks like (1547?) has only just begun.

I'm off to bed. Happy flare watching, and get good rest hf
 Quoting: TS66


ok, im up, yes indeed TS66, good job overnight mate
Rest Well
Peace
 Quoting: nerdrage88sasr


Hey Nerd , I'm gonna hang a bit. Good posts earlier,today(me),night(for you)!
 Quoting: shadasonic


Yeah mate, great info and posts from you as usual, you bring alot to this thread mate, great people, seeking knowledge together, such a pity we couldnt actually sit around a camp fire somewehere (all of us) and just yack about things...

Peace
 Quoting: nerdrage88sasr


That would be very cool, my mind might explode!cheers
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
shadasonic

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08/17/2012 10:49 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to www.ips.gov.au]
That thing is going to sit on India and get hot!
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
nerdrage88sasr

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08/17/2012 10:51 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
thanks SHad. ..scheming looking forward to more, when i read last night that they expected 'low activity'...i just had a gut instinct that we were in for some action...

check the spike... [link to www.haarp.alaska.edu]

Space Weather Message Code: SUM10R
Serial Number: 565
Issue Time: 2012 Aug 18 0111 UTC

SUMMARY: 10cm Radio Burst
Begin Time: 2012 Aug 18 0057 UTC
Maximum Time: 2012 Aug 18 0057 UTC
End Time: 2012 Aug 18 0058 UTC
Duration: 1 minutes
Peak Flux: 130 sfu
Latest Penticton Noon Flux: 95 sfu
Description: A 10cm radio burst indicates that the electromagnetic burst associated with a solar flare at the 10cm wavelength was double or greater than the initial 10cm radio background. This can be indicative of significant radio noise in association with a solar flare.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Space Weather Message Code: SUMXM5
Serial Number: 97
Issue Time: 2012 Aug 18 0115 UTC

SUMMARY: X-ray Event exceeded M5
Begin Time: 2012 Aug 18 0024 UTC
Maximum Time: 2012 Aug 18 0102 UTC
End Time: 2012 Aug 18 0107 UTC
X-ray Class: M5.5
Location: N20E90
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate
Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered primarily on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth.
Radio - Limited blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication for tens of minutes.


Space Weather Message Code: ALTXMF
Serial Number: 180
Issue Time: 2012 Aug 18 0103 UTC

ALERT: X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Threshold Reached: 2012 Aug 17 0100 UTC
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate
Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth. Extent of blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication dependent upon current X-ray Flux intensity. For real-time information on affected area and expected duration please see [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Peace
"Luck is what happens when preparation meets Oppurtunity"-- Seneca (5BC-65AD)
nerdrage88sasr

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08/17/2012 10:54 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
that new area has me concerned actually...wheres Tom or Hugh to explain the 'bubble'....

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
"Luck is what happens when preparation meets Oppurtunity"-- Seneca (5BC-65AD)
shadasonic

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08/17/2012 11:00 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
thanks SHad. ..scheming looking forward to more, when i read last night that they expected 'low activity'...i just had a gut instinct that we were in for some action...

check the spike... [link to www.haarp.alaska.edu]

Space Weather Message Code: SUM10R
Serial Number: 565
Issue Time: 2012 Aug 18 0111 UTC

SUMMARY: 10cm Radio Burst
Begin Time: 2012 Aug 18 0057 UTC
Maximum Time: 2012 Aug 18 0057 UTC
End Time: 2012 Aug 18 0058 UTC
Duration: 1 minutes
Peak Flux: 130 sfu
Latest Penticton Noon Flux: 95 sfu
Description: A 10cm radio burst indicates that the electromagnetic burst associated with a solar flare at the 10cm wavelength was double or greater than the initial 10cm radio background. This can be indicative of significant radio noise in association with a solar flare.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Space Weather Message Code: SUMXM5
Serial Number: 97
Issue Time: 2012 Aug 18 0115 UTC

SUMMARY: X-ray Event exceeded M5
Begin Time: 2012 Aug 18 0024 UTC
Maximum Time: 2012 Aug 18 0102 UTC
End Time: 2012 Aug 18 0107 UTC
X-ray Class: M5.5
Location: N20E90
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate
Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered primarily on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth.
Radio - Limited blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication for tens of minutes.


Space Weather Message Code: ALTXMF
Serial Number: 180
Issue Time: 2012 Aug 18 0103 UTC

ALERT: X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Threshold Reached: 2012 Aug 17 0100 UTC
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate
Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth. Extent of blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication dependent upon current X-ray Flux intensity. For real-time information on affected area and expected duration please see [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Peace
 Quoting: nerdrage88sasr


NICE SPIKE, did you see all the missing data from Haarp yesterday , aggravating. I've got a funny feeling about solar and quaking events picking up at the same time by early next week. We also had two GRBs again this morning?, or last night. I'm quite sleep deprived. Wheres Cesium,having another 2 straight days on , then sleeping for 24 hours!Splinter probably needs a rest to. You guys are awesome!beer2 CHEERS!
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
nerdrage88sasr

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08/17/2012 11:02 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
NICE SPIKE, did you see all the missing data from Haarp yesterday , aggravating. I've got a funny feeling about solar and quaking events picking up at the same time by early next week. We also had two GRBs again this morning?, or last night. I'm quite sleep deprived. Wheres Cesium,having another 2 straight days on , then sleeping for 24 hours!Splinter probably needs a rest to. You guys are awesome!beer2 CHEERS!
 Quoting: shadasonic


yeah, remember to watch for the 2.5 Mhz reading on haarp..the rest is mostly atmospheric stuff...

WHAT!! 2 more GRB's? im going to look for that...AhSheeet

Peace
"Luck is what happens when preparation meets Oppurtunity"-- Seneca (5BC-65AD)
dettro99

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08/17/2012 11:04 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
shadasonic

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08/17/2012 11:05 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
that new area has me concerned actually...wheres Tom or Hugh to explain the 'bubble'....

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: nerdrage88sasr


Thats got me wondering also, seems like it retracted then formed back up a couple times. Looks to be magnetic in nature. Like TS, looking forward to seeing that area!
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
nerdrage88sasr

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08/17/2012 11:07 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 Quoting: dettro99


anyone else find this bloody weird...??
Thanks Dett
Peace
"Luck is what happens when preparation meets Oppurtunity"-- Seneca (5BC-65AD)
shadasonic

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 Quoting: dettro99


Thats the new mystery area D,gonna come around soon!
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan


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