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SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 
mistersplinter

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09/01/2012 12:32 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to www.haarp.alaska.edu]

same pattern as before...16hrs on, 8hrs off, started back at 1400 utc

cap:
[link to i1165.photobucket.com]
"I have no special talents. I am only passionately curious." -- Albert Einstein

"The Upholder of the Cycles which supports the whole of Life, is water. In every drop of water dwells the Godhead, whom we all serve; there also dwells Life, the Soul of the "First" substance - Water - whose boundaries and banks are the capillaries that guide it and in which it circulates" -- Viktor Schauberger
NiNzrez (OP)

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09/01/2012 12:33 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I know this has been answered on many pages before but I can't recall the info. How far away are these monitors from Earth? How fast after they hit them does this hit us?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 22813360


around 20min
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
NiNzrez (OP)

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09/01/2012 12:35 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
hi Nin

So good to see you back flower
 Quoting: TS66


somewhat back haha
kids are back in school this Tuesday
so lots to do before then to be all organized
but im trying to stay on top of this CME arrival as well as coming conditions :)
hf
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
Anonymous Coward
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09/01/2012 12:38 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I'm not seeing any warnings, looks like they are considering it more of a radio event.

solen states the CME created a weakenhancement in proton levels.

[link to www.solen.info]

It would seem, with what the are giving us, he should be fine. It doesn't look like there has been any issues with GPS, and no warnings in regard to high altitude flights...
 Quoting: TS66


Thank You 66 and thank you Nin...to both of you.
Anonymous Coward
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09/01/2012 12:40 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thanks to you all...

YAY! LOOK AT ME!
 Quoting: AkivaJeff


You have a pretty gold star. Is that what you are saying? :-)
shenue

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09/01/2012 12:41 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Sorry Jeff...that was me in the above post. Had gotten signed out and didn't realize it.
I stayed up all night to see where the sun went. Then it dawned on me.
coffeePC
shenue

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09/01/2012 12:42 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
hi Nin

So good to see you back flower
 Quoting: TS66


somewhat back haha
kids are back in school this Tuesday
so lots to do before then to be all organized
but im trying to stay on top of this CME arrival as well as coming conditions :)
hf
 Quoting: NiNzrez


We all are glad to see you back, even if it is only "somewhat" right now. :-)
I stayed up all night to see where the sun went. Then it dawned on me.
coffeePC
shenue

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09/01/2012 12:43 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I'm not seeing any warnings, looks like they are considering it more of a radio event.

solen states the CME created a weakenhancement in proton levels.

[link to www.solen.info]

It would seem, with what the are giving us, he should be fine. It doesn't look like there has been any issues with GPS, and no warnings in regard to high altitude flights...
 Quoting: TS66


Thank You 66 and thank you Nin...to both of you.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 5263313


Don't ya just hate it when you get logged out and you don't realize it before posting? lol
I stayed up all night to see where the sun went. Then it dawned on me.
coffeePC
mistersplinter

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09/01/2012 12:44 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
hi Nin

So good to see you back flower
 Quoting: TS66


somewhat back haha
kids are back in school this Tuesday
so lots to do before then to be all organized
but im trying to stay on top of this CME arrival as well as coming conditions :)
hf
 Quoting: NiNzrez


We all are glad to see you back, even if it is only "somewhat" right now. :-)
 Quoting: shenue


I am thankful...

rockon
"I have no special talents. I am only passionately curious." -- Albert Einstein

"The Upholder of the Cycles which supports the whole of Life, is water. In every drop of water dwells the Godhead, whom we all serve; there also dwells Life, the Soul of the "First" substance - Water - whose boundaries and banks are the capillaries that guide it and in which it circulates" -- Viktor Schauberger
NiNzrez (OP)

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09/01/2012 12:44 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
heyyyy
check out the solen report for 27 days ago on Aug 5th
that is when this same area of the sun was earth facing last time
[link to www.solen.info]
"The only interesting event during the day was a very long duration C3.5 event beginning just after 11h and peaking at 15:00 UTC. Its source was a large filament eruption in the southeast quadrant from about 40 degrees east to the central meridian and from near the equator in the north to ARs 11539 and 11538 in the south. The event was associated with a full halo asymmetric CME. Earth is probably outside the path of the core CME, however, an impact is likely on August 7."

same area, in the same earth facing position


[link to www.youtube.com]

Last Edited by NiNzrez on 09/01/2012 12:50 PM
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
shadasonic

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09/01/2012 12:49 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
According to Dr Strong's calculation the speed of the CME yesterday (from the filament) was said to be 2000 km/s or 4,473,872.584 MPH

Simply Incredible.

Not quite as fast as that rare event a couple months ago off the west limb at 7 million mph, but when you are calculating speeds by the millions of mph ??? Blows my mind.
 Quoting: TS66


if it is travelling that fast, i got ETA at 21 hrs...!
 Quoting: nerdrage88sasr


Same here
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
AkivaJeff

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09/01/2012 12:52 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thanks to you all...

YAY! LOOK AT ME!
 Quoting: AkivaJeff


You have a pretty gold star. Is that what you are saying? :-)
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 5263313


Yes. I like this site enough to join/contribute. (thanks to most of the posters on it)
Life is short...
But it's WIDE.
mistersplinter

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09/01/2012 12:54 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thanks to you all...

YAY! LOOK AT ME!
 Quoting: AkivaJeff


You have a pretty gold star. Is that what you are saying? :-)
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 5263313


Yes. I like this site enough to join/contribute. (thanks to most of the posters on it)
 Quoting: AkivaJeff


I'd give ya green for that, but I can't yet...couplamore days.

rockon
"I have no special talents. I am only passionately curious." -- Albert Einstein

"The Upholder of the Cycles which supports the whole of Life, is water. In every drop of water dwells the Godhead, whom we all serve; there also dwells Life, the Soul of the "First" substance - Water - whose boundaries and banks are the capillaries that guide it and in which it circulates" -- Viktor Schauberger
NiNzrez (OP)

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09/01/2012 12:56 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
looking at todays movie on SDO in the gold filter, we can see there is some very active magnetic activity going on around sunspot 1560
also looking at the magnetogram i can see some major fast growth within this region today, as well as connectivity between this region and the sunspots in the southeastern region
if this continues, we could see a good sized flare very soon, as well as a possible CME coming from this area
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

wow, also something else i just noticed
look at the movie for all of today in the Red filter, and watch the entire top right (northwest) section
you can see the wave of plasms that was from the filament ejection in the southeast (bottom left), then a few min later you can see that wave go up over the whole top right
like a wave of plasma went over the whole earth facing side of the sun with this event

Last Edited by NiNzrez on 09/01/2012 01:09 PM
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
mistersplinter

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09/01/2012 01:05 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
radial speed and temp picking up a little

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

cap:
[link to i1165.photobucket.com]
"I have no special talents. I am only passionately curious." -- Albert Einstein

"The Upholder of the Cycles which supports the whole of Life, is water. In every drop of water dwells the Godhead, whom we all serve; there also dwells Life, the Soul of the "First" substance - Water - whose boundaries and banks are the capillaries that guide it and in which it circulates" -- Viktor Schauberger
mistersplinter

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09/01/2012 01:15 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Nothing crazy on magnetosphere.



[link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov]

I like the TEC graph at the bottom here...nice to see it in motion.
"I have no special talents. I am only passionately curious." -- Albert Einstein

"The Upholder of the Cycles which supports the whole of Life, is water. In every drop of water dwells the Godhead, whom we all serve; there also dwells Life, the Soul of the "First" substance - Water - whose boundaries and banks are the capillaries that guide it and in which it circulates" -- Viktor Schauberger
shadasonic

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09/01/2012 01:17 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to www.haarp.alaska.edu]

same pattern as before...16hrs on, 8hrs off, started back at 1400 utc

cap:
[link to i1165.photobucket.com]
 Quoting: mistersplinter


It carries out that pattern for cycles. I remember last year it was doing the same thing
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
shadasonic

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09/01/2012 01:20 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
heyyyy
check out the solen report for 27 days ago on Aug 5th
that is when this same area of the sun was earth facing last time
[link to www.solen.info]
"The only interesting event during the day was a very long duration C3.5 event beginning just after 11h and peaking at 15:00 UTC. Its source was a large filament eruption in the southeast quadrant from about 40 degrees east to the central meridian and from near the equator in the north to ARs 11539 and 11538 in the south. The event was associated with a full halo asymmetric CME. Earth is probably outside the path of the core CME, however, an impact is likely on August 7."

same area, in the same earth facing position


[link to www.youtube.com]
 Quoting: NiNzrez


I remember that filament lifting and reforming , thought several times it was going to 'let go'. It seems it just wasn't ready until now
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
mistersplinter

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09/01/2012 01:22 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)


got this one hanging out near what SC has dubbed Ninz' corner
"I have no special talents. I am only passionately curious." -- Albert Einstein

"The Upholder of the Cycles which supports the whole of Life, is water. In every drop of water dwells the Godhead, whom we all serve; there also dwells Life, the Soul of the "First" substance - Water - whose boundaries and banks are the capillaries that guide it and in which it circulates" -- Viktor Schauberger
Anonymous Coward
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09/01/2012 01:30 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
looking at todays movie on SDO in the gold filter, we can see there is some very active magnetic activity going on around sunspot 1560
also looking at the magnetogram i can see some major fast growth within this region today, as well as connectivity between this region and the sunspots in the southeastern region
if this continues, we could see a good sized flare very soon, as well as a possible CME coming from this area
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

wow, also something else i just noticed
look at the movie for all of today in the Red filter, and watch the entire top right (northwest) section
you can see the wave of plasms that was from the filament ejection in the southeast (bottom left), then a few min later you can see that wave go up over the whole top right
like a wave of plasma went over the whole earth facing side of the sun with this event
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Hi Nin- the Sun continues to amaze us, glad to see you back.hf
I have not been here much due to computer issues, and very busy w/ all kinds of stuff, too.
Hi everyone!I am very glad you all kept this thread going so awesome!
I re-upped just for this SolarWatch thread. Love you guys!
Isis One

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09/01/2012 01:42 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Looking at several observatories to view this release, I noticed that the PROBA2/SWAP 174 angstrom imager exhibits something that no other source appears to display. Immediately prior to the event, material can be seen scattering about as usually seen in a detector following a CME.. perhaps this is of some use. To view the sequence without compiling a video, open the link and change the time step to 1 minute then step forward with the arrows to see the following frames.

[link to helioviewer.org]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 4394518


Thanks for bringing this to my attention and explaining how to use it, I will be back there a LOT!!!
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me
Anonymous Coward
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09/01/2012 01:44 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)


got this one hanging out near what SC has dubbed Ninz' corner
 Quoting: mistersplinter


Ninz corner- awesome!
Isis One

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09/01/2012 01:44 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I've got a feeling about 1560, lets see if it goes BGD!
 Quoting: shadasonic


I believe it did and we got a C flare right? Good call Shad
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me
Isis One

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09/01/2012 01:49 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
According to Dr Strong's calculation the speed of the CME yesterday (from the filament) was said to be 2000 km/s or 4,473,872.584 MPH

Simply Incredible.

Not quite as fast as that rare event a couple months ago off the west limb at 7 million mph, but when you are calculating speeds by the millions of mph ??? Blows my mind.
 Quoting: TS66


Mine too 66! and yet you can clearly see the event in real time via the satellites. It seems like something that is going to speed away that fast would happen equally as fast and be undetectable except through a very slow motion replay. What is the mechanism by which the mass ejecta picks up that kind of speed? Also, how does it travel in a straight line? Doesn't everything kind of have a curve to it, especially over those kinds of distances?
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me
Isis One

User ID: 14343270
United States
09/01/2012 01:50 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Guys can you tell me the energy of solar photons, when accelerated by a flare or a CME??

COULD achieve an energy of 150-200 MeV??




besides do you know a link in the web where monitoring the gamma ray burst ?????


thanks guys
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 22606270


Hey Italy, did you find some answers? You should hang out here its fun.
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me
mistersplinter

User ID: 12261497
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09/01/2012 01:55 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
CACTus has the filament liftoff rated at IV--halo greater than 270 degrees.

It is interesting to watch the CACTus vid, because it shows just how much ejecta kept coming even after the filament had cleared out.

[link to www.sidc.oma.be]
"I have no special talents. I am only passionately curious." -- Albert Einstein

"The Upholder of the Cycles which supports the whole of Life, is water. In every drop of water dwells the Godhead, whom we all serve; there also dwells Life, the Soul of the "First" substance - Water - whose boundaries and banks are the capillaries that guide it and in which it circulates" -- Viktor Schauberger
Anonymous Coward
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09/01/2012 01:57 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
According to Dr Strong's calculation the speed of the CME yesterday (from the filament) was said to be 2000 km/s or 4,473,872.584 MPH

Simply Incredible.

Not quite as fast as that rare event a couple months ago off the west limb at 7 million mph, but when you are calculating speeds by the millions of mph ??? Blows my mind.
 Quoting: TS66


Mine too 66! and yet you can clearly see the event in real time via the satellites. It seems like something that is going to speed away that fast would happen equally as fast and be undetectable except through a very slow motion replay. What is the mechanism by which the mass ejecta picks up that kind of speed? Also, how does it travel in a straight line? Doesn't everything kind of have a curve to it, especially over those kinds of distances?
 Quoting: Isis One


All good questions. What I wonder about is magnetic influence of other bodies on our Sun- do the planets have any effect, does something extrasolar have effect?? Do magnetic fields disconnect, allowing the plasma to leave the surface of the Sun?
shadasonic

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09/01/2012 01:58 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I've got a feeling about 1560, lets see if it goes BGD!
 Quoting: shadasonic


I believe it did and we got a C flare right? Good call Shad
 Quoting: Isis One


Thanks Isis, its got a good magnetic look to it and was expanding this morning
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
Anonymous Coward
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09/01/2012 02:00 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
TEC going high over Canaries worries me...
shadasonic

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09/01/2012 02:02 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
CACTus has the filament liftoff rated at IV--halo greater than 270 degrees.

It is interesting to watch the CACTus vid, because it shows just how much ejecta kept coming even after the filament had cleared out.

[link to www.sidc.oma.be]
 Quoting: mistersplinter


Thats a crazy amount of energy,good find splinter! I've only used that site a couple times, need to check that out more often
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan

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