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SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 
Anonymous Coward
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09/08/2012 05:12 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
and the near side:


 Quoting: mistersplinter


almost looks like hands reaching out there toward the end...
 Quoting: mistersplinter


Nin's hot spot, again!
Hugh M Eye

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09/08/2012 05:21 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
and the near side:


 Quoting: mistersplinter


Thanks, Mr. Splinter, nice close-up shot there. However the title of the vid is misleading.The video shows AR1562, not 1560. The M 1.4 flare was recorded by Solarsoft as coming from 1564.
[link to www.lmsal.com]
In my opinion, the X-ray flux recorded the cumulative x-rays from two C 8 flares (approximately) from both 1564 & 1562, that's why I posted the vids showing both regions erupting. I believe there's a close connection between these two. Maybe we'll see another double-shot soon.

Last Edited by Hugh M Eye on 09/08/2012 05:24 PM
"There is more stupidity than hydrogen in the universe, and it has a longer shelf life."
Frank Zappa

"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the the universe."-Albert Einstein
whiteangel

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09/08/2012 05:37 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
The M 1.4 flare was a one-two punch from both 1564 & 1562. Two nearly simultaneous eruptions can be seen in the Big Bear movie and the SDO close-up movie. Pretty cool.

Big Bear h-alpha movie:

[link to halpha.nso.edu]

SDO/Solarsoft close-up movie:

[link to sdowww.lmsal.com]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


I am not seeing a CME, are you?
"If voting made a difference they wouldn't let us do it" -Mark Twain
El Quisqueyano

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09/08/2012 05:37 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
What you guys think are the chances of there being an like Carrington event within the next 48 hours?
[link to skreened.com]

The path of the righteous man is beset on all sides by the iniquities of the selfish and the tyranny of evil men. Blessed is he who in the name of charity and good will shepherds the weak through the valley of darkness, for he is truly his brother's keeper and the finder of lost children. And I will strike down upon thee with great vengeance and furious anger those who attempt to poison and destroy my brothers! And you will know my name is the Lord when I lay my vengeance upon thee!" Ezekiel 25:17

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Vandetta7

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09/08/2012 05:41 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Anonymous Coward
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09/08/2012 05:47 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
and the near side:


 Quoting: mistersplinter


almost looks like hands reaching out there toward the end...
 Quoting: mistersplinter


Nin's hot spot, again!
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1540313


we all knew this would happen once that sunspot reached that area of the western limb
NiNzrez
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09/08/2012 05:49 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
anyone else getting a odd Error page when trying to access the STEREO images?

this is what i am getting:

Access forbidden!

You don't have permission to access the requested object. It is either read-protected or not readable by the server.

If you think this is a server error, please contact the webmaster.

Error 403

stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov
Sat Sep 8 17:45:42 2012
Apache
mistersplinter

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09/08/2012 05:56 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
and the near side:


 Quoting: mistersplinter


Thanks, Mr. Splinter, nice close-up shot there. However the title of the vid is misleading.The video shows AR1562, not 1560. The M 1.4 flare was recorded by Solarsoft as coming from 1564.
[link to www.lmsal.com]
In my opinion, the X-ray flux recorded the cumulative x-rays from two C 8 flares (approximately) from both 1564 & 1562, that's why I posted the vids showing both regions erupting. I believe there's a close connection between these two. Maybe we'll see another double-shot soon.
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


You are right...I didn't even notice the title of the vid, just the location. I was/am trying to make a vid of the area using the filters shown on yer lmsal vid, but I cannot get it to save to YT. I have had intermittent problems with helioviewer saving to YT in the past, so if'n I can get it saved, I'll share it.

Those filters (131, 171, and 193) are nice because the flares will often show reddish.

Nice catch...I should've caught the vid makers error.

doh
"I have no special talents. I am only passionately curious." -- Albert Einstein

"The Upholder of the Cycles which supports the whole of Life, is water. In every drop of water dwells the Godhead, whom we all serve; there also dwells Life, the Soul of the "First" substance - Water - whose boundaries and banks are the capillaries that guide it and in which it circulates" -- Viktor Schauberger
Anonymous Coward
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09/08/2012 05:58 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
anyone else getting a odd Error page when trying to access the STEREO images?

this is what i am getting:

Access forbidden!

You don't have permission to access the requested object. It is either read-protected or not readable by the server.

If you think this is a server error, please contact the webmaster.

Error 403

stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov
Sat Sep 8 17:45:42 2012
Apache
 Quoting: NiNzrez 12844841


Same thing here too

Access forbidden!

You don't have permission to access the requested object. It is either read-protected or not readable by the server.

If you think this is a server error, please contact the webmaster.
Error 403
stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov
Sat Sep 8 17:57:46 2012
Apache
NiNzrez
User ID: 12844841
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09/08/2012 06:02 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
anyone else getting a odd Error page when trying to access the STEREO images?

this is what i am getting:

Access forbidden!

You don't have permission to access the requested object. It is either read-protected or not readable by the server.

If you think this is a server error, please contact the webmaster.

Error 403

stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov
Sat Sep 8 17:45:42 2012
Apache
 Quoting: NiNzrez 12844841


Same thing here too

Access forbidden!

You don't have permission to access the requested object. It is either read-protected or not readable by the server.

If you think this is a server error, please contact the webmaster.
Error 403
stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov
Sat Sep 8 17:57:46 2012
Apache
 Quoting: TS66


ummm ok WTF?!?!
the timing of this has me worried!
why are they forbidding access to STEREO for us?!?!?!?!
Hugh M Eye

User ID: 22914370
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09/08/2012 06:06 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
anyone else getting a odd Error page when trying to access the STEREO images?

this is what i am getting:

Access forbidden!

You don't have permission to access the requested object. It is either read-protected or not readable by the server.

If you think this is a server error, please contact the webmaster.

Error 403

stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov
Sat Sep 8 17:45:42 2012
Apache
 Quoting: NiNzrez 12844841


Hi, NINzrez! Yes, I've had problems accessing STEREO and SDO today Try the iSWA site for Stereo images, they're pretty up-to-date there. No CME from the M (or dual C) flare...I've been checking SOHO and STEREO A (thru iSWA).

We have another slow simmer ongoing now. [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
"There is more stupidity than hydrogen in the universe, and it has a longer shelf life."
Frank Zappa

"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the the universe."-Albert Einstein
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 23420093
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09/08/2012 06:07 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
anyone else getting a odd Error page when trying to access the STEREO images?

this is what i am getting:

Access forbidden!

You don't have permission to access the requested object. It is either read-protected or not readable by the server.

If you think this is a server error, please contact the webmaster.

Error 403

stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov
Sat Sep 8 17:45:42 2012
Apache
 Quoting: NiNzrez 12844841


Same thing here too

Access forbidden!

You don't have permission to access the requested object. It is either read-protected or not readable by the server.

If you think this is a server error, please contact the webmaster.
Error 403
stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov
Sat Sep 8 17:57:46 2012
Apache
 Quoting: TS66


ummm ok WTF?!?!
the timing of this has me worried!
why are they forbidding access to STEREO for us?!?!?!?!
 Quoting: NiNzrez 12844841


Think that's bad, try loading this .... [link to www.solarham.net]
Hugh M Eye

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09/08/2012 06:12 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
What you guys think are the chances of there being an like Carrington event within the next 48 hours?
 Quoting: El Quisqueyano


I'll say 0.00001 % to 0.0001 %. It could happen, ya never know....

spock
"There is more stupidity than hydrogen in the universe, and it has a longer shelf life."
Frank Zappa

"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the the universe."-Albert Einstein
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 12844841
United States
09/08/2012 06:16 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
anyone else getting a odd Error page when trying to access the STEREO images?

this is what i am getting:

Access forbidden!

You don't have permission to access the requested object. It is either read-protected or not readable by the server.

If you think this is a server error, please contact the webmaster.

Error 403

stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov
Sat Sep 8 17:45:42 2012
Apache
 Quoting: NiNzrez 12844841


Hi, NINzrez! Yes, I've had problems accessing STEREO and SDO today Try the iSWA site for Stereo images, they're pretty up-to-date there. No CME from the M (or dual C) flare...I've been checking SOHO and STEREO A (thru iSWA).

We have another slow simmer ongoing now. [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Hey Hugh :)
yeah i have all those sites saved as well
my point with this is more of the fact that the STEREO and now i see SDO site are both blocking access to traffic to view images
we know that these are the main sites most use to view images for events
for anyone who wants to see the latest SDO images, here is a good working link
[link to sdodata.oma.be]

but this still leaves the question on why access is forbidden to the STEREO site images :/
mistersplinter

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09/08/2012 06:25 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
helio vids cannot be shared by any method right now either. Not youtube or the direct link.

When it rains, it pours I guess...

1dunno1
"I have no special talents. I am only passionately curious." -- Albert Einstein

"The Upholder of the Cycles which supports the whole of Life, is water. In every drop of water dwells the Godhead, whom we all serve; there also dwells Life, the Soul of the "First" substance - Water - whose boundaries and banks are the capillaries that guide it and in which it circulates" -- Viktor Schauberger
NiNzrez
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09/08/2012 06:26 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
and a bit funny how spaceweather posted this morning this post

QUIET WEEKEND: None of the sunspots on the Earthside of the sun poses a threat for strong flares. Solar activity should remain low throughout the weekend
[link to spaceweather.com]

why would they post this when we have some potential sunspots Earth facing
and as we all can see, we did in fact get a M flare this evening
Anonymous Coward
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09/08/2012 06:47 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Stereo and SoHo are both down, and have been for awhile.
Anonymous Coward
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09/08/2012 07:32 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Sdo and stereo
madajs

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09/08/2012 07:32 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
No sign of any CME from the M 1.4 yet. If there was one, it would definitely be geoeffective. However there was a big flare and CME on the far side about 12 hours ago from somewhere beyond the SW limb. This CME may be the x-ray source of the slow C2.8 flare very early today.

Farside eruption caught by STEREO Ahead EUVI:

[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

SOHO C2 image of CME off the western limb:

[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye

Here's the model of Hugh's farside CME

[link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]
And always, he fought the temptation to choose a clear, safe course, warning: "That path leads ever down into stagnation."
whiteangel

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09/08/2012 07:34 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
What you guys think are the chances of there being an like Carrington event within the next 48 hours?
 Quoting: El Quisqueyano


Not unless it is man made.
"If voting made a difference they wouldn't let us do it" -Mark Twain
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"Amateur Meteorologist"

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09/08/2012 07:35 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
What you guys think are the chances of there being an like Carrington event within the next 48 hours?
 Quoting: El Quisqueyano


Not likely.
Anonymous Coward
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09/08/2012 07:50 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Transformer got struck in the storm. Currently (minus the internet connection) I'm experiencing my own local carrington event. Does.that count El Q???
Hugh M Eye

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09/08/2012 07:53 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
No sign of any CME from the M 1.4 yet. If there was one, it would definitely be geoeffective. However there was a big flare and CME on the far side about 12 hours ago from somewhere beyond the SW limb. This CME may be the x-ray source of the slow C2.8 flare very early today.

Farside eruption caught by STEREO Ahead EUVI:

[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

SOHO C2 image of CME off the western limb:

[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye

Here's the model of Hugh's farside CME

[link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]
 Quoting: madajs


I'll throw in the CACTus details while we're at it:

[link to www.sidc.oma.be]

Note: the SEEDS website is down also....this reminds me of the "derecho storm" which shut down the Washington D.C. area a couple of months back. Seems the same websites were affected. Bad weather in the District today???
"There is more stupidity than hydrogen in the universe, and it has a longer shelf life."
Frank Zappa

"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the the universe."-Albert Einstein
mistersplinter

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09/08/2012 08:19 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
No sign of any CME from the M 1.4 yet. If there was one, it would definitely be geoeffective. However there was a big flare and CME on the far side about 12 hours ago from somewhere beyond the SW limb. This CME may be the x-ray source of the slow C2.8 flare very early today.

Farside eruption caught by STEREO Ahead EUVI:

[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

SOHO C2 image of CME off the western limb:

[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye

Here's the model of Hugh's farside CME

[link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]
 Quoting: madajs


I'll throw in the CACTus details while we're at it:

[link to www.sidc.oma.be]

Note: the SEEDS website is down also....this reminds me of the "derecho storm" which shut down the Washington D.C. area a couple of months back. Seems the same websites were affected. Bad weather in the District today???
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


TOR:CON shows potential

[link to www.weather.com]

EDIT:

[link to www.nbcwashington.com]

Last Edited by mistersplinter on 09/08/2012 08:20 PM
"I have no special talents. I am only passionately curious." -- Albert Einstein

"The Upholder of the Cycles which supports the whole of Life, is water. In every drop of water dwells the Godhead, whom we all serve; there also dwells Life, the Soul of the "First" substance - Water - whose boundaries and banks are the capillaries that guide it and in which it circulates" -- Viktor Schauberger
mistersplinter

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09/08/2012 08:55 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

"I have no special talents. I am only passionately curious." -- Albert Einstein

"The Upholder of the Cycles which supports the whole of Life, is water. In every drop of water dwells the Godhead, whom we all serve; there also dwells Life, the Soul of the "First" substance - Water - whose boundaries and banks are the capillaries that guide it and in which it circulates" -- Viktor Schauberger
Isis One

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09/08/2012 09:11 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
The M 1.4 flare was a one-two punch from both 1564 & 1562. Two nearly simultaneous eruptions can be seen in the Big Bear movie and the SDO close-up movie. Pretty cool.

Big Bear h-alpha movie:

[link to halpha.nso.edu]

SDO/Solarsoft close-up movie:

[link to sdowww.lmsal.com]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


I have a feeling that was the X I forecasted, fell short, oh well.
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me
shadasonic

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09/08/2012 11:10 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
The M 1.4 flare was a one-two punch from both 1564 & 1562. Two nearly simultaneous eruptions can be seen in the Big Bear movie and the SDO close-up movie. Pretty cool.

Big Bear h-alpha movie:

[link to halpha.nso.edu]

SDO/Solarsoft close-up movie:

[link to sdowww.lmsal.com]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


That solarsoft vid is awesome; a great representation of both flares.

rockon
 Quoting: mistersplinter


Yes it is splinter,and the cosmic rays are going to pick up even more in the coming months. Good work MS!
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
mistersplinter

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09/09/2012 12:04 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
The M 1.4 flare was a one-two punch from both 1564 & 1562. Two nearly simultaneous eruptions can be seen in the Big Bear movie and the SDO close-up movie. Pretty cool.

Big Bear h-alpha movie:

[link to halpha.nso.edu]

SDO/Solarsoft close-up movie:

[link to sdowww.lmsal.com]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


That solarsoft vid is awesome; a great representation of both flares.

rockon
 Quoting: mistersplinter


Yes it is splinter,and the cosmic rays are going to pick up even more in the coming months. Good work MS!
 Quoting: shadasonic


Hugh gets the credit for that vid.

thumbs

Since heliovidder is saving again, here is the one I wanted to post before:



It looks like there may have been a small filament that set off the double-barrel flare earlier.

Can you see it between the AR's??? Or is it just me?
"I have no special talents. I am only passionately curious." -- Albert Einstein

"The Upholder of the Cycles which supports the whole of Life, is water. In every drop of water dwells the Godhead, whom we all serve; there also dwells Life, the Soul of the "First" substance - Water - whose boundaries and banks are the capillaries that guide it and in which it circulates" -- Viktor Schauberger
mistersplinter

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09/09/2012 02:52 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Check out this hit!

[link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov]
"I have no special talents. I am only passionately curious." -- Albert Einstein

"The Upholder of the Cycles which supports the whole of Life, is water. In every drop of water dwells the Godhead, whom we all serve; there also dwells Life, the Soul of the "First" substance - Water - whose boundaries and banks are the capillaries that guide it and in which it circulates" -- Viktor Schauberger
mistersplinter

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09/09/2012 03:00 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to grb.sonoma.edu]

another grb
"I have no special talents. I am only passionately curious." -- Albert Einstein

"The Upholder of the Cycles which supports the whole of Life, is water. In every drop of water dwells the Godhead, whom we all serve; there also dwells Life, the Soul of the "First" substance - Water - whose boundaries and banks are the capillaries that guide it and in which it circulates" -- Viktor Schauberger

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