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SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 
Anonymous Coward
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09/08/2012 06:47 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Stereo and SoHo are both down, and have been for awhile.
Anonymous Coward
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09/08/2012 07:32 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Sdo and stereo
madajs

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09/08/2012 07:32 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
No sign of any CME from the M 1.4 yet. If there was one, it would definitely be geoeffective. However there was a big flare and CME on the far side about 12 hours ago from somewhere beyond the SW limb. This CME may be the x-ray source of the slow C2.8 flare very early today.

Farside eruption caught by STEREO Ahead EUVI:

[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

SOHO C2 image of CME off the western limb:

[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye

Here's the model of Hugh's farside CME

[link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]
And always, he fought the temptation to choose a clear, safe course, warning: "That path leads ever down into stagnation."
whiteangel
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09/08/2012 07:34 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
What you guys think are the chances of there being an like Carrington event within the next 48 hours?
 Quoting: El Quisqueyano


Not unless it is man made.
AMERICA the Beautiful!!!
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"Amateur Meteorologist"

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09/08/2012 07:35 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
What you guys think are the chances of there being an like Carrington event within the next 48 hours?
 Quoting: El Quisqueyano


Not likely.
Anonymous Coward
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09/08/2012 07:50 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Transformer got struck in the storm. Currently (minus the internet connection) I'm experiencing my own local carrington event. Does.that count El Q???
Hugh M Eye

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09/08/2012 07:53 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
No sign of any CME from the M 1.4 yet. If there was one, it would definitely be geoeffective. However there was a big flare and CME on the far side about 12 hours ago from somewhere beyond the SW limb. This CME may be the x-ray source of the slow C2.8 flare very early today.

Farside eruption caught by STEREO Ahead EUVI:

[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

SOHO C2 image of CME off the western limb:

[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye

Here's the model of Hugh's farside CME

[link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]
 Quoting: madajs


I'll throw in the CACTus details while we're at it:

[link to www.sidc.oma.be]

Note: the SEEDS website is down also....this reminds me of the "derecho storm" which shut down the Washington D.C. area a couple of months back. Seems the same websites were affected. Bad weather in the District today???
mistersplinter

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09/08/2012 08:19 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
No sign of any CME from the M 1.4 yet. If there was one, it would definitely be geoeffective. However there was a big flare and CME on the far side about 12 hours ago from somewhere beyond the SW limb. This CME may be the x-ray source of the slow C2.8 flare very early today.

Farside eruption caught by STEREO Ahead EUVI:

[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

SOHO C2 image of CME off the western limb:

[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye

Here's the model of Hugh's farside CME

[link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]
 Quoting: madajs


I'll throw in the CACTus details while we're at it:

[link to www.sidc.oma.be]

Note: the SEEDS website is down also....this reminds me of the "derecho storm" which shut down the Washington D.C. area a couple of months back. Seems the same websites were affected. Bad weather in the District today???
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


TOR:CON shows potential

[link to www.weather.com]

EDIT:

[link to www.nbcwashington.com]

Last Edited by mistersplinter on 09/08/2012 08:20 PM
"I have no special talents. I am only passionately curious." -- Albert Einstein

"The Upholder of the Cycles which supports the whole of Life, is water. In every drop of water dwells the Godhead, whom we all serve; there also dwells Life, the Soul of the "First" substance - Water - whose boundaries and banks are the capillaries that guide it and in which it circulates" -- Viktor Schauberger
mistersplinter

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09/08/2012 08:55 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

"I have no special talents. I am only passionately curious." -- Albert Einstein

"The Upholder of the Cycles which supports the whole of Life, is water. In every drop of water dwells the Godhead, whom we all serve; there also dwells Life, the Soul of the "First" substance - Water - whose boundaries and banks are the capillaries that guide it and in which it circulates" -- Viktor Schauberger
Isis One

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09/08/2012 09:11 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
The M 1.4 flare was a one-two punch from both 1564 & 1562. Two nearly simultaneous eruptions can be seen in the Big Bear movie and the SDO close-up movie. Pretty cool.

Big Bear h-alpha movie:

[link to halpha.nso.edu]

SDO/Solarsoft close-up movie:

[link to sdowww.lmsal.com]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


I have a feeling that was the X I forecasted, fell short, oh well.
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me

One doesn't discover new lands without consenting to lose sight, for a very long time, of the shore. Andre Gide
Thread: How To Raise Your Vibrational Frequency If Interested
shadasonic

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09/08/2012 11:10 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
The M 1.4 flare was a one-two punch from both 1564 & 1562. Two nearly simultaneous eruptions can be seen in the Big Bear movie and the SDO close-up movie. Pretty cool.

Big Bear h-alpha movie:

[link to halpha.nso.edu]

SDO/Solarsoft close-up movie:

[link to sdowww.lmsal.com]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


That solarsoft vid is awesome; a great representation of both flares.

rockon
 Quoting: mistersplinter


Yes it is splinter,and the cosmic rays are going to pick up even more in the coming months. Good work MS!
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
mistersplinter

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09/09/2012 12:04 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
The M 1.4 flare was a one-two punch from both 1564 & 1562. Two nearly simultaneous eruptions can be seen in the Big Bear movie and the SDO close-up movie. Pretty cool.

Big Bear h-alpha movie:

[link to halpha.nso.edu]

SDO/Solarsoft close-up movie:

[link to sdowww.lmsal.com]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


That solarsoft vid is awesome; a great representation of both flares.

rockon
 Quoting: mistersplinter


Yes it is splinter,and the cosmic rays are going to pick up even more in the coming months. Good work MS!
 Quoting: shadasonic


Hugh gets the credit for that vid.

thumbs

Since heliovidder is saving again, here is the one I wanted to post before:



It looks like there may have been a small filament that set off the double-barrel flare earlier.

Can you see it between the AR's??? Or is it just me?
"I have no special talents. I am only passionately curious." -- Albert Einstein

"The Upholder of the Cycles which supports the whole of Life, is water. In every drop of water dwells the Godhead, whom we all serve; there also dwells Life, the Soul of the "First" substance - Water - whose boundaries and banks are the capillaries that guide it and in which it circulates" -- Viktor Schauberger
mistersplinter

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09/09/2012 02:52 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Check out this hit!

[link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov]
"I have no special talents. I am only passionately curious." -- Albert Einstein

"The Upholder of the Cycles which supports the whole of Life, is water. In every drop of water dwells the Godhead, whom we all serve; there also dwells Life, the Soul of the "First" substance - Water - whose boundaries and banks are the capillaries that guide it and in which it circulates" -- Viktor Schauberger
mistersplinter

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09/09/2012 03:00 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to grb.sonoma.edu]

another grb
"I have no special talents. I am only passionately curious." -- Albert Einstein

"The Upholder of the Cycles which supports the whole of Life, is water. In every drop of water dwells the Godhead, whom we all serve; there also dwells Life, the Soul of the "First" substance - Water - whose boundaries and banks are the capillaries that guide it and in which it circulates" -- Viktor Schauberger
mistersplinter

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09/09/2012 03:04 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Seems to have maxed at C 3.7
"I have no special talents. I am only passionately curious." -- Albert Einstein

"The Upholder of the Cycles which supports the whole of Life, is water. In every drop of water dwells the Godhead, whom we all serve; there also dwells Life, the Soul of the "First" substance - Water - whose boundaries and banks are the capillaries that guide it and in which it circulates" -- Viktor Schauberger
whiteangel
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09/09/2012 03:10 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I thought it would going to go higher...oh well.

Now, to show my complete lack of knowledge about GRB's....isn't it normal for Earth to get these from time to time?
AMERICA the Beautiful!!!
mistersplinter

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09/09/2012 03:19 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I thought it would going to go higher...oh well.

Now, to show my complete lack of knowledge about GRB's....isn't it normal for Earth to get these from time to time?
 Quoting: whiteangel


It is completely normal to get grbs. I add them just to note yet another type of ray hitting us.

They are linked, theoretically, to some pretty nasty stuff like this:

[link to en.wikipedia.org]
"I have no special talents. I am only passionately curious." -- Albert Einstein

"The Upholder of the Cycles which supports the whole of Life, is water. In every drop of water dwells the Godhead, whom we all serve; there also dwells Life, the Soul of the "First" substance - Water - whose boundaries and banks are the capillaries that guide it and in which it circulates" -- Viktor Schauberger
++MarketSellOff++
"Amateur Meteorologist"

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09/09/2012 03:34 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Check out this hit!

[link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: mistersplinter


Wow. What happened?
mistersplinter

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09/09/2012 03:36 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Check out this hit!

[link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: mistersplinter


Wow. What happened?
 Quoting: ++MarketSellOff++


No idea. That was around 10 UTC on the 8th.

I don't recall anything that was supposed to hit us around that time.
"I have no special talents. I am only passionately curious." -- Albert Einstein

"The Upholder of the Cycles which supports the whole of Life, is water. In every drop of water dwells the Godhead, whom we all serve; there also dwells Life, the Soul of the "First" substance - Water - whose boundaries and banks are the capillaries that guide it and in which it circulates" -- Viktor Schauberger
Gabriel

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09/09/2012 09:50 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
vewy vewy qwiet in hewr... r there waskaly wabbits awound???
shenue

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09/09/2012 10:28 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
vewy vewy qwiet in hewr... r there waskaly wabbits awound???
 Quoting: Gabriel


Good Morning Gabe....

Good Morning All
I stayed up all night to see where the sun went. Then it dawned on me.
coffeePC
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09/09/2012 10:33 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Good morning all hf

Powers back, feeling human again. I'm sure if there would be an actual Carrington event I would adjust accordingly, but for now, I very much appreciate the luxuries of this life :)
shenue

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09/09/2012 10:46 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Good morning all hf

Powers back, feeling human again. I'm sure if there would be an actual Carrington event I would adjust accordingly, but for now, I very much appreciate the luxuries of this life :)
 Quoting: TS66



Good Morning 66...

We lost power yesterday/last night also. Nasty storms came rolling through late yesterday afternoon.

Last Edited by shenue on 09/09/2012 10:47 AM
I stayed up all night to see where the sun went. Then it dawned on me.
coffeePC
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09/09/2012 10:51 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I thought it would going to go higher...oh well.

Now, to show my complete lack of knowledge about GRB's....isn't it normal for Earth to get these from time to time?
 Quoting: whiteangel


It is completely normal to get grbs. I add them just to note yet another type of ray hitting us.

They are linked, theoretically, to some pretty nasty stuff like this:

[link to en.wikipedia.org]
 Quoting: mistersplinter


hiding

Never heard of this !
Anonymous Coward
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09/09/2012 11:06 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Looks like 62 & 64 both just popped off together again for that last C1.7 ???

[link to lasp.colorado.edu]

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Anonymous Coward
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09/09/2012 02:09 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
vewy vewy qwiet in hewr... r there waskaly wabbits awound???
 Quoting: Gabriel


I'm here- did everyone remember to take meds. today?tounge
mistersplinter

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09/09/2012 02:11 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
vewy vewy qwiet in hewr... r there waskaly wabbits awound???
 Quoting: Gabriel


I'm here- did everyone remember to take meds. today?tounge
 Quoting: SpiderJones


Me, too. Doing what Spider's sig says...
"I have no special talents. I am only passionately curious." -- Albert Einstein

"The Upholder of the Cycles which supports the whole of Life, is water. In every drop of water dwells the Godhead, whom we all serve; there also dwells Life, the Soul of the "First" substance - Water - whose boundaries and banks are the capillaries that guide it and in which it circulates" -- Viktor Schauberger
Anonymous Coward
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09/09/2012 02:27 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Looks like 62 & 64 both just popped off together again for that last C1.7 ???

[link to lasp.colorado.edu]

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: TS66


I don't know WTF is up- I can't load anything that's posted today.burnit
Waaaaah- wimper and moan, computer has been so messed-up lately that I can hardly use it! Wish I could see all of your great links...tissue
Anonymous Coward
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09/09/2012 02:39 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
1564 came thru-w/an M- Nin's Sweet Spot, happens over and over, Nin- still waiting for Nasa reply to your questions re: your hororary-named spot on the eastern limb??

We here at Solar watch called it when Nasa said 1564 was declining and was going to remain "Quiet". LOL
Anonymous Coward
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09/09/2012 02:46 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Am I a thread killer, or what? I get on and everyone vanishes. Poof- you're gone!dribble


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