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SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 
AkivaJeff

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09/17/2012 03:35 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Sex around this house usually ends in me saying " YAY, I WIN!"
Life is short...
But it's WIDE.
AkivaJeff

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09/17/2012 03:37 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Sex around this house usually ends in me saying " YAY, I WIN!"
 Quoting: AkivaJeff


just a slow time for the sun. trying to add some levity.
Life is short...
But it's WIDE.
aaronnoraa711

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09/17/2012 03:45 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Sex around this house usually ends in me saying " YAY, I WIN!"
 Quoting: AkivaJeff


LOL

This might explain the closed shutter on SDO, though it really doesn't seem to be of "batten down the hatches" strength, at least enough that should deem SDO to need protection for it's CCD's.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
aaronnoraa711

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09/17/2012 03:47 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Lasco C2 & C3 showing a bubble-like CME

[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]

[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]
aaronnoraa711

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09/17/2012 03:50 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
SDO back up-

[link to sdowww.lmsal.com]
<+MarketSellOff+>
"Amateur Meteorologist"

User ID: 1426914
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09/17/2012 03:51 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
SDO back up-

[link to sdowww.lmsal.com]
 Quoting: aaronnoraa711


She sure looks pretty on the far eastern limb.
AkivaJeff

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09/17/2012 04:00 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
wow. I've been married to Wendy for 32 years. She boinked my brains out at 3 am and then made a buttered sweet potato for dessert. What a wonderful life.
Life is short...
But it's WIDE.
aaronnoraa711

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09/17/2012 04:44 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Extremely interesting structure here-

[link to i1066.photobucket.com]

Last Edited by aaronnoraa711 on 09/17/2012 04:46 AM
Luisport

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09/17/2012 04:48 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
wow. I've been married to Wendy for 32 years. She boinked my brains out at 3 am and then made a buttered sweet potato for dessert. What a wonderful life.
 Quoting: AkivaJeff


Life is beautifull!hf
Vesper33
Silver Pools of Light

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09/17/2012 04:51 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
wow. I've been married to Wendy for 32 years. She boinked my brains out at 3 am and then made a buttered sweet potato for dessert. What a wonderful life.
 Quoting: AkivaJeff


Congratulations!!! Good sex is a main factor to living a healthy life. Having a warm and loving relationship is the cherry on top. Wait, or is that the other way around? Lol. scratching
Perfer et Obdura;Dolor hic tibi proderit olim.Fortes Fortuna Iuvat! (Be Patient & Strong; someday this pain will be useful to you. Fortune favors the brave)
AkivaJeff

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09/17/2012 04:58 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
wow. I've been married to Wendy for 32 years. She boinked my brains out at 3 am and then made a buttered sweet potato for dessert. What a wonderful life.
 Quoting: AkivaJeff


Congratulations!!! Good sex is a main factor to living a healthy life. Having a warm and loving relationship is the cherry on top. Wait, or is that the other way around? Lol. scratching
 Quoting: Vesper33


I am absolutly head over heals in love with Wendy.
Life is short...
But it's WIDE.
Vesper33
Silver Pools of Light

User ID: 23275351
United States
09/17/2012 05:06 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
wow. I've been married to Wendy for 32 years. She boinked my brains out at 3 am and then made a buttered sweet potato for dessert. What a wonderful life.
 Quoting: AkivaJeff


Congratulations!!! Good sex is a main factor to living a healthy life. Having a warm and loving relationship is the cherry on top. Wait, or is that the other way around? Lol. scratching
 Quoting: Vesper33


I am absolutly head over heals in love with Wendy.
 Quoting: AkivaJeff


Seriously, that is beautiful!!! I wish you ever happiness!!!
Perfer et Obdura;Dolor hic tibi proderit olim.Fortes Fortuna Iuvat! (Be Patient & Strong; someday this pain will be useful to you. Fortune favors the brave)
Anonymous Coward
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09/17/2012 07:01 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Can solar wind viscous drag account for CME deceleration?

The forces acting on solar Coronal Mass Ejections
(CMEs) in the interplanetary medium have been evaluated
so far in terms of an empirical drag coefficient CD &#8764; 1 that
quantifies the role of the aerodynamic drag experienced by
a typical CME due to its interaction with the ambient solar
wind. We use a microphysical prescription for viscosity in
the turbulent solar wind to obtain an analytical model for
the drag coefficient CD. This is the first physical charac-
terization of the aerodynamic drag experienced by CMEs.
We use this physically motivated prescription for CD in a
simple, 1D model for CME propagation to obtain velocity
profiles and travel times that agree well with observations
of deceleration experienced by fast CMEs....


ReadMore (nice pdf):
[link to www.godlikeproductions.com]
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 23936841
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09/17/2012 07:16 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
anybody else agree that the Northern Hemisphere is currently at solar maximum? In the last months there have been tell tale signs, which include: a stagnant number of sun spots (and very close to the equator), coronal holes and large prominences both occuring over the N-pole.

here is a good example:

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Perhaps this solar cycle will have two maximums as SC 23?
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 4394518
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09/17/2012 07:19 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Can solar wind viscous drag account for CME deceleration?

The forces acting on solar Coronal Mass Ejections
(CMEs) in the interplanetary medium have been evaluated
so far in terms of an empirical drag coefficient CD &#8764; 1 that
quantifies the role of the aerodynamic drag experienced by
a typical CME due to its interaction with the ambient solar
wind. We use a microphysical prescription for viscosity in
the turbulent solar wind to obtain an analytical model for
the drag coefficient CD. This is the first physical charac-
terization of the aerodynamic drag experienced by CMEs.
We use this physically motivated prescription for CD in a
simple, 1D model for CME propagation to obtain velocity
profiles and travel times that agree well with observations
of deceleration experienced by fast CMEs....


ReadMore (nice pdf):
[link to www.godlikeproductions.com]
 Quoting: IwantToBelieve76


Hi there, the link takes me to a "reply to thread" page.. here's a working link :-)

[link to arxiv.org]
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 23582510
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09/17/2012 08:01 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Can solar wind viscous drag account for CME deceleration?

The forces acting on solar Coronal Mass Ejections
(CMEs) in the interplanetary medium have been evaluated
so far in terms of an empirical drag coefficient CD &#8764; 1 that
quantifies the role of the aerodynamic drag experienced by
a typical CME due to its interaction with the ambient solar
wind. We use a microphysical prescription for viscosity in
the turbulent solar wind to obtain an analytical model for
the drag coefficient CD. This is the first physical charac-
terization of the aerodynamic drag experienced by CMEs.
We use this physically motivated prescription for CD in a
simple, 1D model for CME propagation to obtain velocity
profiles and travel times that agree well with observations
of deceleration experienced by fast CMEs....


ReadMore (nice pdf):
[link to www.godlikeproductions.com]
 Quoting: IwantToBelieve76


link fail 1dunno1
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 1514992
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09/17/2012 08:45 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
That fat filament in the northwest which SC called a "caterpillar" has lifted off between 22:00z and 24:00z. We'll undoubtedly see a CME appear on SOHO soon.

Here's the Big Bear movie of filament liftoff:

[link to halpha.nso.edu]

And here's the SDO images:

22:15z- [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

23:30z- [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

3-wave composite image:

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Nice catch Hugh, although just a small B on GOES at that time stamp ???

Well this morning we have a C1.1 from 1572, and just a about an hour a go a C1.5 from unnumbered region just south of the equator coming over the western limb, S19E87.

[link to www.lmsal.com]

I'm back to the belief there is no rhyme or reason with these SRs.
Anonymous Coward
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09/17/2012 08:51 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I think we should also pay special attention to this filament that crosses the equator in the west.

:boomerang1:
shadasonic

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09/17/2012 09:13 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

We got a new baby spot popping up below 1569
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
mtn_mang

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09/17/2012 09:46 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Good morning, Solar Crew!
peace
NiNzrez (OP)

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09/17/2012 09:56 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I think we should also pay special attention to this filament that crosses the equator in the west.

:boomerang1:
 Quoting: TS66

agree
i said the same thing yesterday
watch these ones special close
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
NiNzrez (OP)

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09/17/2012 09:57 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Region 11569 [S12W15] decayed slowly and quietly.
Region 11571 [S13E06] decayed slowly and quietly.
New region 11573 [N17E65] rotated into view on September 15 and was numbered the next day by SWPC.
New region 11574 [S25W16] emerged early in the day and could become an interesting region as it currently has reversed polarities

[link to www.solen.info]
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
Anonymous Coward
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09/17/2012 10:08 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I think we should also pay special attention to this filament that crosses the equator in the west.

:boomerang1:
 Quoting: TS66

agree
i said the same thing yesterday
watch these ones special close
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Did you ??? I'm sorry must have missed it. It caught my eye while watching the caterpillar eruption on SDO this morning wink
Anonymous Coward
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09/17/2012 10:09 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Busy in the east this morning sun
Hugh M Eye

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09/17/2012 10:19 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Busy in the east this morning sun
 Quoting: TS66


Agreed, two new regions are passing the 90 degree east limb today; one in the south and one in the north.

STEREO Heliograph:

[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

It's nice to see a few C-flares again,
NiNzrez (OP)

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09/17/2012 10:22 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I think we should also pay special attention to this filament that crosses the equator in the west.

:boomerang1:
 Quoting: TS66

agree
i said the same thing yesterday
watch these ones special close
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Did you ??? I'm sorry must have missed it. It caught my eye while watching the caterpillar eruption on SDO this morning wink
 Quoting: TS66


its all good :) just pointing out how i think its awesome that its not just me saying to watch this area^^

Last Edited by NiNzrez on 09/17/2012 10:26 AM
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
Anonymous Coward
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09/17/2012 10:24 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Busy in the east this morning sun
 Quoting: TS66


Agreed, two new regions are passing the 90 degree east limb today; one in the south and one in the north.

STEREO Heliograph:

[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

It's nice to see a few C-flares again,
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Is the sunspot at the equator an indication of solar max?
NiNzrez (OP)

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09/17/2012 10:25 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Busy in the east this morning sun
 Quoting: TS66


busy in the east of the sun and east of the earth ^^
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
Anonymous Coward
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09/17/2012 10:29 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Busy in the east this morning sun
 Quoting: TS66


busy in the east of the sun and east of the earth ^^
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Very true. sigh
NiNzrez (OP)

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09/17/2012 10:32 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Busy in the east this morning sun
 Quoting: TS66


Agreed, two new regions are passing the 90 degree east limb today; one in the south and one in the north.

STEREO Heliograph:

[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

It's nice to see a few C-flares again,
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Is the sunspot at the equator an indication of solar max?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 23943683

Yes
it is one of the signs we watch for to tell us how far away solarmax is

sunspots get closer and closer to the equator until solar max is reached and the sun's polar fields flip


"After a minimum the first sunspots of the new cycle appear some distance away from the sun’s equator. As the cycle progresses they more close to the equator. This is shown in Figure 2, sometimes called a “butterfly diagram”. The graph also shows sunspot numbers. As can be seen at a solar minimum there are few sunspots, as the cycle progress more and more of the sunspots are nearer to the equator"
[link to www.climatedata.info]

we also watch for northern filaments snaping and lifting off (cant find the article right now, sorry) and large low latitude coronal holes
"The Ultraviolet Coronagraph Spectrometer (UVCS) on SOHO has been used to observe large low-latitude coronalholes during solar maximum that produced fast solar wind streams."
[link to www.sciencedirect.com]

"During solar minimum, coronal holes are mainly found at the Sun's polar regions, but they can be located anywhere on the sun during solar maximum"
[link to en.wikipedia.org]

so watch for sunspots near the equator, filaments in the northern regions lifting off, large low latitude coronal holes, the movement of polar coronal holes moving away from the sun poles, and the magnetics of all this will cause more and more CMEs

Last Edited by NiNzrez on 09/17/2012 10:47 AM
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?


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