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SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 
Hugh M Eye

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09/23/2012 12:55 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Large filament eruption on east limb producing an LDE.
:9/23erupt:

SOHO C2 image of resulting CME-

:9/23cme:
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Awesome! Morning Hugh!
 Quoting: SpiderJones


Howdy, Mr. Jones!hi It just hit me that this CME is extremely fast. It was visible by SOHO at 15:12z and the eruption began after 14:30z!! That's pretty damn quick! Judging from the equatorial point of origin (just above 1564) this would've been a real worry if this had been Earth-facing.

Look again at the STEREO B EUVI movie. Can you see the sparks/lightning/flaring from AR1564 just prior to the huge filament lift-off. I hadn't noticed that before.

[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
Anonymous Coward
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09/23/2012 12:57 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Hey Hugh- I'm having trouble getting things to load again. I keep updating apps. but still trouble...dcomp
I feel blind when this happens, so much to see, and I can't!
Huge solar prominences like this one have so many different interacting fields, need to look at all of the wave-length pix of the event to see it in it's entirety.
Hugh M Eye

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09/23/2012 01:00 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
at us or indirect?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 24191032


No, it's not Earth-facing.....this time, hehe. Although active region 1564 will be coming Earth-side in a couple of days. There are other filaments on the Earth-facing disk now, but there's no way of telling when or if they'll erupt.
shenue

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09/23/2012 01:03 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
More on Cosmic Rays:

Brief intro for newbies from NASA-
[link to helios.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Another realtime cosmic Ray Monitor from Pisgah (?)-
[link to campus.pari.edu]

And my favorite...the up to the second Cosmic Ray monitor AMS -02 (Alpha Magnetic Spectrometer) aboard the International Space Station-
[link to ams.nasa.gov]

alien11
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


I don't see a chart of real time data on the NASA AMS site. Where is the chart on that NASA AMS site Hugh?
 Quoting: El Quisqueyano


It's not a chart, it's a realtime digital counter at the top of page.
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


I was so busy looking for a chart, that I had missed the counter at the top too....nice. Thanks for that link, Hugh.
I stayed up all night to see where the sun went. Then it dawned on me.
Hugh M Eye

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09/23/2012 01:05 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Hey Hugh- I'm having trouble getting things to load again. I keep updating apps. but still trouble...dcomp
 Quoting: SpiderJones


Try emptying your cache or you may need to update a plug-in on your internet browser. By the way, Germany is banning Internet Explorer due to atrocious security protocols, so you may want to avoid using that, haha.

burnit
shadasonic

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09/23/2012 01:05 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Hey Hugh- I'm having trouble getting things to load again. I keep updating apps. but still trouble...dcomp
I feel blind when this happens, so much to see, and I can't!
Huge solar promenences like this one have so many different interacting fields, need to look at all of the wave-length pix of the event to see it in it's entirety.
 Quoting: SpiderJones


I'm in the same boat spidey!


grumpy2
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
Anonymous Coward
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09/23/2012 01:08 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
This is really pissing me off! I can hardly get anything to load, and slow as a turtle, too. Nothing I try works yet. Now that there is something on the Sun worth watching, I'm half-blind!tissue
Anonymous Coward
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09/23/2012 01:09 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Hey Hugh- I'm having trouble getting things to load again. I keep updating apps. but still trouble...dcomp
 Quoting: SpiderJones


Try emptying your cache or you may need to update a plug-in on your internet browser. By the way, Germany is banning Internet Explorer due to atrocious security protocols, so you may want to avoid using that, haha.

burnit
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Thanks, Hugh- I keep trying.
Hugh M Eye

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09/23/2012 01:19 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
SDO composite #3 shows a glowing dome of plasma growing over 1564 which is south of the eruption zone. This LDE has lasted steady for two hours now.

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Region Summary
SRS Number 267 Issued at 0030Z on 23 Sep 2012
Report compiled from data received at SWO on 22 Sep
I. Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 22/2400Z
Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type
1575 N08E24 181 0320 Eko 12 10 Beta-Gamma
1576 S21E30 175 0050 Dao 06 02 Beta
1577 N08E43 162 0020 Cao 03 04 Beta
IA. H-alpha Plages without Spots. Locations Valid at 22/2400Z Sep
Nmbr Location Lo
1571 S13W72 277
1573 N18W17 222
II. Regions Due to Return 23 Sep to 25 Sep
Nmbr Lat Lo
1564 S11 089
mistersplinter

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09/23/2012 01:23 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Hello all...

I am dealing with some medical issues that have kept me away from home. I am still here, lurking on my phone, whenever I can, but I have difficulty posting from said phone.

I hope to be back in semi-operational condition and back home(and back to my computer!) in a few days.

I've said it before, but I'd really like to thank you all for keeping this thread fresh. Sadly, the highlight of my last few days has been my news reader giving an alert whenever there is a new post here...hehe.

I hope you all are well; love and light to each of you.

rockon
"I have no special talents. I am only passionately curious." -- Albert Einstein

"The Upholder of the Cycles which supports the whole of Life, is water. In every drop of water dwells the Godhead, whom we all serve; there also dwells Life, the Soul of the "First" substance - Water - whose boundaries and banks are the capillaries that guide it and in which it circulates" -- Viktor Schauberger
shadasonic

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09/23/2012 01:28 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Hello all...

I am dealing with some medical issues that have kept me away from home. I am still here, lurking on my phone, whenever I can, but I have difficulty posting from said phone.

I hope to be back in semi-operational condition and back home(and back to my computer!) in a few days.

I've said it before, but I'd really like to thank you all for keeping this thread fresh. Sadly, the highlight of my last few days has been my news reader giving an alert whenever there is a new post here...hehe.

I hope you all are well; love and light to each of you.

rockon
 Quoting: mistersplinter


Glad to see you post , we've been wondering..... hope everything is good, or good as it can be.
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
shadasonic

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09/23/2012 01:37 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

absorption picking up a little maybe part of the last CH.



Still up slightly, no jump as of yet
[link to www.n3kl.org]
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
shadasonic

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09/23/2012 01:49 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Well the chem trailing is back in action , massive trails at all altitudes, nothing for months and the last week everyday???????
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
shenue

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09/23/2012 01:52 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Hello all...

I am dealing with some medical issues that have kept me away from home. I am still here, lurking on my phone, whenever I can, but I have difficulty posting from said phone.

I hope to be back in semi-operational condition and back home(and back to my computer!) in a few days.

I've said it before, but I'd really like to thank you all for keeping this thread fresh. Sadly, the highlight of my last few days has been my news reader giving an alert whenever there is a new post here...hehe.

I hope you all are well; love and light to each of you.

rockon
 Quoting: mistersplinter


I hope you feel better soon Splinter!
I stayed up all night to see where the sun went. Then it dawned on me.
Hugh M Eye

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09/23/2012 02:01 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Well the chem trailing is back in action , massive trails at all altitudes, nothing for months and the last week everyday???????
 Quoting: shadasonic


It's the obligatory pre-election gassing. I've been seeing them here too...far from any commercial air traffic hub.

wtf
Hugh M Eye

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09/23/2012 02:08 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Hello all...

I am dealing with some medical issues that have kept me away from home. I am still here, lurking on my phone, whenever I can, but I have difficulty posting from said phone.

I hope to be back in semi-operational condition and back home(and back to my computer!) in a few days.

I've said it before, but I'd really like to thank you all for keeping this thread fresh. Sadly, the highlight of my last few days has been my news reader giving an alert whenever there is a new post here...hehe.

I hope you all are well; love and light to each of you.

rockon
 Quoting: mistersplinter


May God be with ya, Mr. Splinter. Trust in the higher power and you'll see a full healing soon. Prayers are being offered your way. Be well, my friend.
Hugh M Eye

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09/23/2012 02:19 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I have to admit I was wrong (again!) about the 3rd CH. the Solar wind speed has dropped back to 355 km/s. The IMF polarity model (NOAA) was also wrong as the Bz has steadily tracked north today although the model said it would flip southward.

ACE SW data plot:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

The GOES X-ray flux is still in C-territory after 3 hours! The Solarsoft close-up movie is a bit of a disappointment:

[link to sdowww.lmsal.com]

The SDO/AIA 304a movie is much better (go to SDO data page and start at 14:30utc) as well as the STEREO B EUVI movie I posted earlier. I wish IWTB76 was around today to cobble together a video for us. Let's try to contact him telepathically, OK?
shadasonic

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09/23/2012 02:32 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I have to admit I was wrong (again!) about the 3rd CH. the Solar wind speed has dropped back to 355 km/s. The IMF polarity model (NOAA) was also wrong as the Bz has steadily tracked north today although the model said it would flip southward.

ACE SW data plot:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

The GOES X-ray flux is still in C-territory after 3 hours! The Solarsoft close-up movie is a bit of a disappointment:

[link to sdowww.lmsal.com]

The SDO/AIA 304a movie is much better (go to SDO data page and start at 14:30utc) as well as the STEREO B EUVI movie I posted earlier. I wish IWTB76 was around today to cobble together a video for us. Let's try to contact him telepathically, OK?
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Think beer and large.................flares!
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
Anonymous Coward
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09/23/2012 04:13 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Well the chem trailing is back in action , massive trails at all altitudes, nothing for months and the last week everyday???????
 Quoting: shadasonic


It's the obligatory pre-election gassing. I've been seeing them here too...far from any commercial air traffic hub.

wtf
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


They're everywhere today,all over Kansas City.
Hugh M Eye

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09/23/2012 04:20 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
This LDE eruption has lasted for 5 hours now. Some large coronal loops are visible on the SDO/AIA 171a images.

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
SnakeBite

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09/23/2012 04:57 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to cr0.izmiran.rssi.ru]

This is still showing fluctuation.


[link to www.nmdb.eu]
We've got a spike on this chart and rising plot lines.

[link to www.nmdb.eu]
We've got a spike and continued fluctuation.

Not sure what to make of this yet?


This chart showed a large spike also, but has been wiped clear and can be verified by psyoptics

[link to neutronm.bartol.udel.edu]
 Quoting: shadasonic


If the spike is not long duration then it's not as effective. Long duration neutron spikes are the ones we need to worry about, for they are ground penetrating and can induce seismic activity.
 Quoting: El Quisqueyano


[link to www.nmdb.eu]

Fill out form and hit MOSC then submit, this shows increase and definite hold, this is no glitch it seems
 Quoting: shadasonic


BETELGEUSE WENT SUPERNOVA
NEUTRINOS COMING FROM IT
RED SUN NEXT IN THE SKY
BLUE SUN WILL FOLLOW IT

Thread: Moscow Neutron Monitor OFF the chart!!!! (Page 3)

abduct
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 799041


UnINformedPostsLIKEtheseMAKEmeWANTtoPUNCHsomeone..
SnakeBite

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09/23/2012 05:08 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Large filament eruption on east limb producing an LDE.
:9/23erupt:

SOHO C2 image of resulting CME-

:9/23cme:
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Awesome! Morning Hugh!
 Quoting: SpiderJones


Howdy, Mr. Jones!hi It just hit me that this CME is extremely fast. It was visible by SOHO at 15:12z and the eruption began after 14:30z!! That's pretty damn quick! Judging from the equatorial point of origin (just above 1564) this would've been a real worry if this had been Earth-facing.

Look again at the STEREO B EUVI movie. Can you see the sparks/lightning/flaring from AR1564 just prior to the huge filament lift-off. I hadn't noticed that before.

[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


ThatHALOisBEAUTIFUL!
Hugh M Eye

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09/23/2012 05:27 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Two questions:

Did EVE take the weekend off? Does anyone have any info about this?

[link to lasp.colorado.edu]

I notice the purple line is back on the x-ray flux plots. Was the GOES 14 in eclipse all this time?

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

That was 3 questions, I know, LOL.

Last Edited by Hugh M Eye on 09/23/2012 05:29 PM
shadasonic

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09/23/2012 05:59 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Two questions:

Did EVE take the weekend off? Does anyone have any info about this?

[link to lasp.colorado.edu]

I notice the purple line is back on the x-ray flux plots. Was the GOES 14 in eclipse all this time?

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

That was 3 questions, I know, LOL.
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Eve has been off since last night, TS was asking the same exact questions, about goes also. It started losing its new colors last night and off and on this morning. Allchart lines went down for a little while.It may have been in eclipse, i forget my dates for that
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
Hugh M Eye

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09/23/2012 06:21 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Found this interesting chart showing CMEs detected vs. Sunspot Number for Cycles 23 & 24. It appears the number of CMEs this cycle outnumber the last peak in 2000; but the SS# appears to be about 40% lower in cycle 24. More filaments perhaps?

Chart from CACTus in Belgium:
[link to sidc.oma.be]

On a conspiratorial note, the CACTus CME list "NOT FOUND ON THIS SERVER", although the homepage is accessible. Does this open for anyone else?

[link to www.sidc.oma.be]

And the SEEDS Lasco-based CME list stopped on September 10. WTF? They do have a list from STEREO A & B updated yesterday. They used to have the SOHO image analysis posted within hour or two of a CME and were always well ahead of CACTus. Again, WTF?

[link to spaceweather.gmu.edu]

It's not like fast food joints-a-plenty, these are the only 2 CME lists that I know of which are updated daily. Now EVE disappears with no "calibration mode" excuse posted. Are we heading into Solar Max with blinders on?

wtfIdol1

Last Edited by Hugh M Eye on 09/23/2012 06:23 PM
optimum judgment

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09/23/2012 06:56 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Found this interesting chart showing CMEs detected vs. Sunspot Number for Cycles 23 & 24. It appears the number of CMEs this cycle outnumber the last peak in 2000; but the SS# appears to be about 40% lower in cycle 24. More filaments perhaps?

Chart from CACTus in Belgium:
[link to sidc.oma.be]

On a conspiratorial note, the CACTus CME list "NOT FOUND ON THIS SERVER", although the homepage is accessible. Does this open for anyone else?

[link to www.sidc.oma.be]

And the SEEDS Lasco-based CME list stopped on September 10. WTF? They do have a list from STEREO A & B updated yesterday. They used to have the SOHO image analysis posted within hour or two of a CME and were always well ahead of CACTus. Again, WTF?

[link to spaceweather.gmu.edu]

It's not like fast food joints-a-plenty, these are the only 2 CME lists that I know of which are updated daily. Now EVE disappears with no "calibration mode" excuse posted. Are we heading into Solar Max with blinders on?

wtfIdol1
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Were not supposed to see it coming!
whiteeaglefeather
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09/23/2012 07:45 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
HEY YOU GUYS!!

shadasonic

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09/23/2012 07:56 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
HEY YOU GUYS!!


 Quoting: whiteeaglefeather 14801310


I saw that earlier today and didn't know why the chart stopped. I've had so much trouble with sites the last two days I didn't follow through with it. Very interesting as the moscow site held a line for over five hours today, and the tera site and deleware site had large neutron spikes and then they were wiped off after ten minutes,very interesting and thanks White Eagle Feather!
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
El Quisqueyano

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09/23/2012 08:10 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
HEY YOU GUYS!!


 Quoting: whiteeaglefeather 14801310


Those are from these recent GRB's;

[link to grb.sonoma.edu]
[link to skreened.com]

The path of the righteous man is beset on all sides by the iniquities of the selfish and the tyranny of evil men. Blessed is he who in the name of charity and good will shepherds the weak through the valley of darkness, for he is truly his brother's keeper and the finder of lost children. And I will strike down upon thee with great vengeance and furious anger those who attempt to poison and destroy my brothers! And you will know my name is the Lord when I lay my vengeance upon thee!" Ezekiel 25:17

"Worst come to worst, my PEOPLES come first" Dilated Peoples
whiteeaglefeather
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09/23/2012 08:25 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
HEY YOU GUYS!!


 Quoting: whiteeaglefeather 14801310


Those are from these recent GRB's;

[link to grb.sonoma.edu]
 Quoting: El Quisqueyano


Agreed

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