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SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 
shadasonic

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09/29/2012 08:28 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Leaving town for a while, I'm sure this will bring about some incredible solar activity as my luck would have it that way. Will try to check in but may be in areas that won't allow it.Much love and peace to the sun family!
See ya soongrouphug

Last Edited by Thinking out loud on 09/29/2012 08:28 AM
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
Anonymous Coward
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09/29/2012 08:36 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Leaving town for a while, I'm sure this will bring about some incredible solar activity as my luck would have it that way. Will try to check in but may be in areas that won't allow it.Much love and peace to the sun family!
See ya soongrouphug
 Quoting: shadasonic


Safe travels Shada hf

Good morning everyone ...

Here's the forecast from Solen

Forecast

The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet on September 29. The CME observed early on Sept.28 will likely reach Earth on Sept.30 and cause active to major storm conditions that day and on October 1.

[link to www.solen.info]
Anonymous Coward
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09/29/2012 08:44 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
ummmmmmmmmmmmm wheres tbarhead,know it all at?
AkivaJeff

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09/29/2012 09:38 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
There's alot of activity going on. I think it will be an eventful day. I hope all the sun-smarties are up and around. I can barely keep up with watching, let alone researching my own stuff. By the time I come up with something I'm as slow as noaa.
Life is short...
But it's WIDE.
AkivaJeff

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09/29/2012 09:45 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Happy early birthday TS!
My grandson, Elijah, turns 3 tomorrow 9/30.
Life is short...
But it's WIDE.
SnakeBite

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Canada
09/29/2012 09:51 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
goodMORNINGall!!imOFFtoWORKSOiWONTbeONuntilLATER,happyHUNTING​everyone,seeYOUallINaFEWhours!
Anonymous Coward
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09/29/2012 09:56 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Happy early birthday TS!
My grandson, Elijah, turns 3 tomorrow 9/30.
 Quoting: AkivaJeff


Aww thanks ... 3 year olds are awesome !!! All my best Elijah hf
Vita
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09/29/2012 10:34 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Dont really understand, which one we will get on 30sep and 1 oct. The one from 27 or 28?
Vita
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09/29/2012 10:34 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Dont really understand, which one we will get on 30sep and 1 oct. The one from 27 or 28?
Vita
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09/29/2012 10:34 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Dont really understand, which one we will get on 30sep and 1 oct. The one from 27 or 28?
Anonymous Coward
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09/29/2012 10:47 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Dont really understand, which one we will get on 30sep and 1 oct. The one from 27 or 28?
 Quoting: Vita 1396192

The filament eruption from early on the 28th will arrive, we estimate, on the 30th and it's impact last through the 1st.

hf
Vita

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Netherlands
09/29/2012 10:52 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Dont really understand, which one we will get on 30sep and 1 oct. The one from 27 or 28?
 Quoting: Vita 1396192

The filament eruption from early on the 28th will arrive, we estimate, on the 30th and it's impact last through the 1st.

hf
 Quoting: TS66


Thanks! but what about the one from 27? there were posts earlier that it will also arrive 30 or 1st... or am I mistaken?
Sol Lucet Omnibus.
Luisport

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Portugal
09/29/2012 10:57 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Updated image of the visible solar disk. Solar activity is low on Saturday morning. The Solar X-Ray background levels are currently at or near the C1 threshold. There will remain the chance for C-Class solar flares and a lower threat of an isolated M-Class event. A Geomagnetic Storm watch will be in effect over the next 48 hours due to an expected incoming Coronal Mass Ejection (CME) impact. [link to twitter.com]
madajs

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09/29/2012 11:03 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Dont really understand, which one we will get on 30sep and 1 oct. The one from 27 or 28?
 Quoting: Vita 1396192

The filament eruption from early on the 28th will arrive, we estimate, on the 30th and it's impact last through the 1st.

hf
 Quoting: TS66


Thanks! but what about the one from 27? there were posts earlier that it will also arrive 30 or 1st... or am I mistaken?
 Quoting: Vita

There's only one earth directed CME

This model [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] would show any additional earth-directed CMEs, if there were any. :)
And always, he fought the temptation to choose a clear, safe course, warning: "That path leads ever down into stagnation."
Anonymous Coward
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09/29/2012 11:11 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
C4.4...
I believe what you are referring to is the C4.4 from the 27th. See below.

:flux927:


[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 24520219





Dont really understand, which one we will get on 30sep and 1 oct. The one from 27 or 28?
 Quoting: Vita 1396192

The filament eruption from early on the 28th will arrive, we estimate, on the 30th and it's impact last through the 1st.

hf
 Quoting: TS66



Thanks! but what about the one from 27? there were posts earlier that it will also arrive 30 or 1st... or am I mistaken?
 Quoting: Vita


I was never clear whether this eruption of C4.4 below 1579 resulted in a CME of any significance as the C3.7 filament eruption superseded it's predecessor with an enormous CME of it's own

hf
Anonymous Coward
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09/29/2012 11:16 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Well that came out a jumbled mess considering my best efforts !!! lol

Hope this clarifies it for you 1dunno1
AkivaJeff

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09/29/2012 11:21 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
@TS66. there's your pm
Life is short...
But it's WIDE.
shenue

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09/29/2012 11:23 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
good morning
I stayed up all night to see where the sun went. Then it dawned on me.
coffeePC
AkivaJeff

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09/29/2012 11:25 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
good morning
 Quoting: shenue


It's 11:30 here! you're just waking?
Life is short...
But it's WIDE.
miabelieves

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09/29/2012 11:26 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Morning y'all, after over 5 years of lurking and posting every so often I have finally upgraded my account to make sure I don't get banned, as I have noticed lots of peeps saying they are being banned??

I would be lost if I could not stay informed from all my "sun-tards" or "solar-stars"

grouphug to you all
Hold on to your undies, it's gonna be a hell of a ride
Anonymous Coward
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09/29/2012 11:27 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
good morning
 Quoting: shenue


It's 11:30 here! you're just waking?
 Quoting: AkivaJeff


because the whole world has the same time zone....

really?
psyoptics

User ID: 11919225
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09/29/2012 11:27 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

well thank the universal powers this was a slow mover and seems to not be packing the density punch we saw yesterday.
still has a nice wall up front.

this might weaken more with time.

remember the fast mover are the true problem ones. almost as if there is now time for the CME to dissipate.
a good video editor can make anyone say anything the editor wants.
Hugh M Eye

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09/29/2012 11:28 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
While looking for more data on the Oct 24, 2011 storm I found this well-put-together page about it w/ some vids. I remember this event vividly. The filament eruption CME almost went unnoticed as we had an M-flare/CME/Proton event from the west limb shortly after the puny li'l filament lifted off.

Anatomy of a Geomagnetic Storm:

[link to www.thesuntoday.org]

This was predicted to be a glancing blow before it arrived. NOAA called for Unsettled to Minor storm conditions if I recall. Looking back over their archived Warnings and Alerts from that day, I notice they never even issued a warning for the K-7/G3 level (maybe pride got in their way,hehe). Anyhoo, we stayed at Storm level (K5,6,&7) for 14-16 hours with entire event lasting about 24 hours. Here's NOAA warnings from 10/2011:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Doc Strong's post-game analysis-



I haven't gone nostalgic yet and used the GLP time machine, but if anyone finds our intuitive rantings from Oct. 22-25, 2011, please post the page numbers for me so I can reminisce about the good-ole-days, LOL.
psyoptics

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09/29/2012 11:29 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
good morning
 Quoting: shenue


It's 11:30 here! you're just waking?
 Quoting: AkivaJeff

I always say good morning til about 6pm ha ha ha
a good video editor can make anyone say anything the editor wants.
mistersplinter

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09/29/2012 11:32 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
While looking for more data on the Oct 24, 2011 storm I found this well-put-together page about it w/ some vids. I remember this event vividly. The filament eruption CME almost went unnoticed as we had an M-flare/CME/Proton event from the west limb shortly after the puny li'l filament lifted off.

Anatomy of a Geomagnetic Storm:

[link to www.thesuntoday.org]

This was predicted to be a glancing blow before it arrived. NOAA called for Unsettled to Minor storm conditions if I recall. Looking back over their archived Warnings and Alerts from that day, I notice they never even issued a warning for the K-7/G3 level (maybe pride got in their way,hehe). Anyhoo, we stayed at Storm level (K5,6,&7) for 14-16 hours with entire event lasting about 24 hours. Here's NOAA warnings from 10/2011:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Doc Strong's post-game analysis-



I haven't gone nostalgic yet and used the GLP time machine, but if anyone finds our intuitive rantings from Oct. 22-25, 2011, please post the page numbers for me so I can reminisce about the good-ole-days, LOL.
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


man, I miss that nict sim....
"I have no special talents. I am only passionately curious." -- Albert Einstein

"The Upholder of the Cycles which supports the whole of Life, is water. In every drop of water dwells the Godhead, whom we all serve; there also dwells Life, the Soul of the "First" substance - Water - whose boundaries and banks are the capillaries that guide it and in which it circulates" -- Viktor Schauberger
AkivaJeff

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09/29/2012 11:33 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
good morning
 Quoting: shenue


It's 11:30 here! you're just waking?
 Quoting: AkivaJeff

I always say good morning til about 6pm ha ha ha
 Quoting: psyoptics


All in jest. Love to see you all climbing on for an eventful day!
Peace,
Jeff
Life is short...
But it's WIDE.
MamaHasAwakened

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09/29/2012 11:33 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
While looking for more data on the Oct 24, 2011 storm I found this well-put-together page about it w/ some vids. I remember this event vividly. The filament eruption CME almost went unnoticed as we had an M-flare/CME/Proton event from the west limb shortly after the puny li'l filament lifted off.

Anatomy of a Geomagnetic Storm:

[link to www.thesuntoday.org]

This was predicted to be a glancing blow before it arrived. NOAA called for Unsettled to Minor storm conditions if I recall. Looking back over their archived Warnings and Alerts from that day, I notice they never even issued a warning for the K-7/G3 level (maybe pride got in their way,hehe). Anyhoo, we stayed at Storm level (K5,6,&7) for 14-16 hours with entire event lasting about 24 hours. Here's NOAA warnings from 10/2011:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Doc Strong's post-game analysis-



I haven't gone nostalgic yet and used the GLP time machine, but if anyone finds our intuitive rantings from Oct. 22-25, 2011, please post the page numbers for me so I can reminisce about the good-ole-days, LOL.
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


man, I miss that nict sim....
 Quoting: mistersplinter


Me too! I feel kinda lost without it!
NiNzrez
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09/29/2012 11:33 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Morning y'all, after over 5 years of lurking and posting every so often I have finally upgraded my account to make sure I don't get banned, as I have noticed lots of peeps saying they are being banned??

I would be lost if I could not stay informed from all my "sun-tards" or "solar-stars"

grouphug to you all
 Quoting: miabelieves


hf
AkivaJeff

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09/29/2012 11:35 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Morning y'all, after over 5 years of lurking and posting every so often I have finally upgraded my account to make sure I don't get banned, as I have noticed lots of peeps saying they are being banned??

I would be lost if I could not stay informed from all my "sun-tards" or "solar-stars"

grouphug to you all
 Quoting: miabelieves


hf
 Quoting: NiNzrez 24399306


Good to see you NiN. Glad you won't miss out on today.
All my love to you for bringing the sunstars together.
Life is short...
But it's WIDE.
Anonymous Coward
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United Kingdom
09/29/2012 11:37 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Morning y'all, after over 5 years of lurking and posting every so often I have finally upgraded my account to make sure I don't get banned, as I have noticed lots of peeps saying they are being banned??

I would be lost if I could not stay informed from all my "sun-tards" or "solar-stars"

grouphug to you all
 Quoting: miabelieves


hf
 Quoting: NiNzrez 24399306


Agreed and it's good to see this thread back to *normal*, a place where ideas are shared without mockery or disdain.
hf


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