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SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 
whiteangel

User ID: 1775746
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09/29/2012 03:05 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to www.ips.gov.au]

Hot again, 4 separate areas
Just because I am paranoid doesn't mean I am wrong.

Isaiah 5:20 (KJV)
Woe unto them that call evil good, and good evil; that put darkness for light, and light for darkness; that put bitter for sweet, and sweet for bitter!
whiteangel

User ID: 1775746
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09/29/2012 03:21 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
night good folks. drunk and lonely, as the norm. hopefully will see u all on the flip/
 Quoting: mtn_mang


Wish this was a real one. Hang in there.
hug
Just because I am paranoid doesn't mean I am wrong.

Isaiah 5:20 (KJV)
Woe unto them that call evil good, and good evil; that put darkness for light, and light for darkness; that put bitter for sweet, and sweet for bitter!
SnakeBite

User ID: 20003075
Canada
09/29/2012 03:33 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to www.ips.gov.au]

Hot again, 4 separate areas
 Quoting: whiteangel


IdontKNOWanythngREALLYaboutTHSmapBUTimWONDERINGwhatsCAUSINGth​eINTENSEregionsOVERthePASTfewDAYS
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 1595536
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09/29/2012 03:42 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
space weather finally posted about the incoming storm.
INCOMING SOLAR STORM CLOUD:Magnetic fields around sunspot 1577 erupted on Sept. 28th, hurling a coronal mass ejection (CME) almost directly toward Earth. The Solar and Heliospheric Observatory (SOHO) recorded the cloud as it raced away from the sun faster than 2.2 million mph:

[link to www.spaceweather.com]
SnakeBite

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09/29/2012 03:49 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
space weather finally posted about the incoming storm.
INCOMING SOLAR STORM CLOUD:Magnetic fields around sunspot 1577 erupted on Sept. 28th, hurling a coronal mass ejection (CME) almost directly toward Earth. The Solar and Heliospheric Observatory (SOHO) recorded the cloud as it raced away from the sun faster than 2.2 million mph:

[link to www.spaceweather.com]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1595536


JEEZEtookTHEMlongENOUGH!
<+MarketSellOff+>
"Amateur Meteorologist"

User ID: 1497928
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09/29/2012 04:56 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
space weather finally posted about the incoming storm.
INCOMING SOLAR STORM CLOUD:Magnetic fields around sunspot 1577 erupted on Sept. 28th, hurling a coronal mass ejection (CME) almost directly toward Earth. The Solar and Heliospheric Observatory (SOHO) recorded the cloud as it raced away from the sun faster than 2.2 million mph:

[link to www.spaceweather.com]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1595536


Finally. Sheesh
Luisport

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Portugal
09/29/2012 05:39 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
space weather finally posted about the incoming storm.
INCOMING SOLAR STORM CLOUD:Magnetic fields around sunspot 1577 erupted on Sept. 28th, hurling a coronal mass ejection (CME) almost directly toward Earth. The Solar and Heliospheric Observatory (SOHO) recorded the cloud as it raced away from the sun faster than 2.2 million mph:

[link to www.spaceweather.com]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1595536


NOAA forecasters estimate a 50% chance of strong geomagnetic storms around the poles on Sept 30th when the cloud reaches Earth. High-latitude sky watchers should be alert for auroras, which might be intense enough to see in spite of the full moonlight. Aurora alerts
shadasonic

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09/29/2012 05:48 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
space weather finally posted about the incoming storm.
INCOMING SOLAR STORM CLOUD:Magnetic fields around sunspot 1577 erupted on Sept. 28th, hurling a coronal mass ejection (CME) almost directly toward Earth. The Solar and Heliospheric Observatory (SOHO) recorded the cloud as it raced away from the sun faster than 2.2 million mph:

[link to www.spaceweather.com]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1595536


NOAA forecasters estimate a 50% chance of strong geomagnetic storms around the poles on Sept 30th when the cloud reaches Earth. High-latitude sky watchers should be alert for auroras, which might be intense enough to see in spite of the full moonlight. Aurora alerts
 Quoting: Luisport


Thanks Luis. Well spaceweather is finally agreeing its directly towards earth,not up, down, or my favorite , it went backside. We've all been watching and studying this stuff for years and this one was a no brainer. Hugh , thanks for all your work!
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
AkivaJeff

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09/29/2012 08:07 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Good morning all!

Any time the noaa forcasts 10% chance of M flares, there's a 50% chance they are wrong.

Kinda like the Murphy's law of solar activity.

abduct
Life is short...
But it's WIDE.
madajs

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09/29/2012 08:21 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
space weather finally posted about the incoming storm.
INCOMING SOLAR STORM CLOUD:Magnetic fields around sunspot 1577 erupted on Sept. 28th, hurling a coronal mass ejection (CME) almost directly toward Earth. The Solar and Heliospheric Observatory (SOHO) recorded the cloud as it raced away from the sun faster than 2.2 million mph:

[link to www.spaceweather.com]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1595536


NOAA forecasters estimate a 50% chance of strong geomagnetic storms around the poles on Sept 30th when the cloud reaches Earth. High-latitude sky watchers should be alert for auroras, which might be intense enough to see in spite of the full moonlight. Aurora alerts
 Quoting: Luisport

That jives with the geoeffective enlil simulation [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

If things adhere to the model then we only have to wait until 10am EST tomorrow morning. Obviously we all know there's a ton of +/- range on that timing though! Should be fun!

tounge
And always, he fought the temptation to choose a clear, safe course, warning: "That path leads ever down into stagnation."
shadasonic

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09/29/2012 08:28 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Leaving town for a while, I'm sure this will bring about some incredible solar activity as my luck would have it that way. Will try to check in but may be in areas that won't allow it.Much love and peace to the sun family!
See ya soongrouphug

Last Edited by Thinking out loud on 09/29/2012 08:28 AM
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
Anonymous Coward
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09/29/2012 08:36 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Leaving town for a while, I'm sure this will bring about some incredible solar activity as my luck would have it that way. Will try to check in but may be in areas that won't allow it.Much love and peace to the sun family!
See ya soongrouphug
 Quoting: shadasonic


Safe travels Shada hf

Good morning everyone ...

Here's the forecast from Solen

Forecast

The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet on September 29. The CME observed early on Sept.28 will likely reach Earth on Sept.30 and cause active to major storm conditions that day and on October 1.

[link to www.solen.info]
Anonymous Coward
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09/29/2012 08:44 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
ummmmmmmmmmmmm wheres tbarhead,know it all at?
AkivaJeff

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09/29/2012 09:38 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
There's alot of activity going on. I think it will be an eventful day. I hope all the sun-smarties are up and around. I can barely keep up with watching, let alone researching my own stuff. By the time I come up with something I'm as slow as noaa.
Life is short...
But it's WIDE.
AkivaJeff

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09/29/2012 09:45 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Happy early birthday TS!
My grandson, Elijah, turns 3 tomorrow 9/30.
Life is short...
But it's WIDE.
SnakeBite

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09/29/2012 09:51 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
goodMORNINGall!!imOFFtoWORKSOiWONTbeONuntilLATER,happyHUNTING​everyone,seeYOUallINaFEWhours!
Anonymous Coward
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09/29/2012 09:56 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Happy early birthday TS!
My grandson, Elijah, turns 3 tomorrow 9/30.
 Quoting: AkivaJeff


Aww thanks ... 3 year olds are awesome !!! All my best Elijah hf
Vita
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09/29/2012 10:34 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Dont really understand, which one we will get on 30sep and 1 oct. The one from 27 or 28?
Vita
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09/29/2012 10:34 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Dont really understand, which one we will get on 30sep and 1 oct. The one from 27 or 28?
Vita
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09/29/2012 10:34 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Dont really understand, which one we will get on 30sep and 1 oct. The one from 27 or 28?
Anonymous Coward
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09/29/2012 10:47 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Dont really understand, which one we will get on 30sep and 1 oct. The one from 27 or 28?
 Quoting: Vita 1396192

The filament eruption from early on the 28th will arrive, we estimate, on the 30th and it's impact last through the 1st.

hf
Vita

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Netherlands
09/29/2012 10:52 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Dont really understand, which one we will get on 30sep and 1 oct. The one from 27 or 28?
 Quoting: Vita 1396192

The filament eruption from early on the 28th will arrive, we estimate, on the 30th and it's impact last through the 1st.

hf
 Quoting: TS66


Thanks! but what about the one from 27? there were posts earlier that it will also arrive 30 or 1st... or am I mistaken?
Sol Lucet Omnibus.
Luisport

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09/29/2012 10:57 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Updated image of the visible solar disk. Solar activity is low on Saturday morning. The Solar X-Ray background levels are currently at or near the C1 threshold. There will remain the chance for C-Class solar flares and a lower threat of an isolated M-Class event. A Geomagnetic Storm watch will be in effect over the next 48 hours due to an expected incoming Coronal Mass Ejection (CME) impact. [link to twitter.com]
madajs

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09/29/2012 11:03 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Dont really understand, which one we will get on 30sep and 1 oct. The one from 27 or 28?
 Quoting: Vita 1396192

The filament eruption from early on the 28th will arrive, we estimate, on the 30th and it's impact last through the 1st.

hf
 Quoting: TS66


Thanks! but what about the one from 27? there were posts earlier that it will also arrive 30 or 1st... or am I mistaken?
 Quoting: Vita

There's only one earth directed CME

This model [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] would show any additional earth-directed CMEs, if there were any. :)
And always, he fought the temptation to choose a clear, safe course, warning: "That path leads ever down into stagnation."
Anonymous Coward
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09/29/2012 11:11 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
C4.4...
I believe what you are referring to is the C4.4 from the 27th. See below.

:flux927:


[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 24520219





Dont really understand, which one we will get on 30sep and 1 oct. The one from 27 or 28?
 Quoting: Vita 1396192

The filament eruption from early on the 28th will arrive, we estimate, on the 30th and it's impact last through the 1st.

hf
 Quoting: TS66



Thanks! but what about the one from 27? there were posts earlier that it will also arrive 30 or 1st... or am I mistaken?
 Quoting: Vita


I was never clear whether this eruption of C4.4 below 1579 resulted in a CME of any significance as the C3.7 filament eruption superseded it's predecessor with an enormous CME of it's own

hf
Anonymous Coward
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09/29/2012 11:16 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Well that came out a jumbled mess considering my best efforts !!! lol

Hope this clarifies it for you 1dunno1
AkivaJeff

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09/29/2012 11:21 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
@TS66. there's your pm
Life is short...
But it's WIDE.
shenue

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09/29/2012 11:23 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
good morning
I stayed up all night to see where the sun went. Then it dawned on me.
coffeePC
AkivaJeff

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09/29/2012 11:25 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
good morning
 Quoting: shenue


It's 11:30 here! you're just waking?
Life is short...
But it's WIDE.
miabelieves

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09/29/2012 11:26 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Morning y'all, after over 5 years of lurking and posting every so often I have finally upgraded my account to make sure I don't get banned, as I have noticed lots of peeps saying they are being banned??

I would be lost if I could not stay informed from all my "sun-tards" or "solar-stars"

grouphug to you all
Supporter of NIN's Solar Watch Thread

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