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SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 
SnakeBite

User ID: 20003075
Canada
09/30/2012 03:19 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
OK, good work night shift sun stars!! Its been real. I'm gonna try and get some sleep (full moon usually means up til dawn) so if you see me back, don't be surprised.
 Quoting: Isis One


Get.some.good.rest.Isis!!!
SnakeBite

User ID: 20003075
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09/30/2012 03:19 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Kinda just flat lining instead of dropping back down. Or maybe trying to go back up?
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: whiteangel


and.up.she.goes:P
whiteangel

User ID: 1775746
United States
09/30/2012 03:20 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Kinda just flat lining instead of dropping back down. Or maybe trying to go back up?
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: whiteangel


and.up.she.goes:P
 Quoting: SnakeBite


That's what I thought but you know how it goes when you jump the gun.
newyear2015
whiteangel

User ID: 1775746
United States
09/30/2012 03:23 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Just took a peak at TEC and yes same hot spots in the same areas at the same time it has been for the last couple of nights.

Magnetometer is clear at the moment
[link to www.haarp.alaska.edu]
 Quoting: whiteangel


[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]


Keep.in.mind.i.am.still.learning,i.can.be.wrong.for.sure=)hf
 Quoting: SnakeBite


AND.heres.the.electron.flux
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
looks.to.me.like.some.fraggle
 Quoting: SnakeBite


This graph unless real messed up, I never know what it means.
newyear2015
SnakeBite

User ID: 20003075
Canada
09/30/2012 03:35 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Kinda just flat lining instead of dropping back down. Or maybe trying to go back up?
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: whiteangel


and.up.she.goes:P
 Quoting: SnakeBite


That's what I thought but you know how it goes when you jump the gun.
 Quoting: whiteangel


shhh.we.wont.tell.anyone!
Its.still.holding.high.and.the.drap.is.lit.up.like.a.bulb

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
SnakeBite

User ID: 20003075
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09/30/2012 03:38 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I.am.getting.pretty.tired,gonna.lurk.around.a.bit.and.try.to.​get.some.good.rest.for.tmr
GOOD.JOB.tonight.guys!Much.love.for.you.all
CHEERS!
whiteangel

User ID: 1775746
United States
09/30/2012 03:39 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Kinda just flat lining instead of dropping back down. Or maybe trying to go back up?
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: whiteangel


and.up.she.goes:P
 Quoting: SnakeBite


That's what I thought but you know how it goes when you jump the gun.
 Quoting: whiteangel


shhh.we.wont.tell.anyone!
Its.still.holding.high.and.the.drap.is.lit.up.like.a.bulb

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: SnakeBite


Yeah, we caused the GPL effect, lol

With that said, going to try to sleep, though I doubt it will work. Take care Snake.
newyear2015
SnakeBite

User ID: 20003075
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09/30/2012 03:42 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
...


and.up.she.goes:P
 Quoting: SnakeBite


That's what I thought but you know how it goes when you jump the gun.
 Quoting: whiteangel


shhh.we.wont.tell.anyone!
Its.still.holding.high.and.the.drap.is.lit.up.like.a.bulb

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: SnakeBite


Yeah, we caused the GPL effect, lol

With that said, going to try to sleep, though I doubt it will work. Take care Snake.
 Quoting: whiteangel


Good.Night,and.sweet.dreams.angel!
SC
User ID: 14589973
United Kingdom
09/30/2012 03:57 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Good Day everyone : )

So,we had the M Flare(M Flare no less!)followed by what looks like two separate Mid C Flares - These two appear to be cause by a Filament Channel Eruption(again)from just below the region that kicked out the M,here [link to halpha.nso.edu] <--- You can see the area light up and then flick out a Filament that previously was'nt even really visible,North-West limb.
Spittin'Cesium

User ID: 14589973
United Kingdom
09/30/2012 04:00 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Good Day everyone : )

So,we had the M Flare(M Flare no less!)followed by what looks like two separate Mid C Flares - These two appear to be caused by a Filament Channel Eruption(again)from just below the region that kicked out the M,here [link to halpha.nso.edu] <--- You can see the area light up and then flick out a Filament that previously was'nt even really visible,North-West limb.
 Quoting: SC 14589973


Bloody spelling.
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Spittin'Cesium

User ID: 14589973
United Kingdom
09/30/2012 04:04 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Also [link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov] just how many Halo CMEs' did you count!?

Looks like 2/3 for definite but around 6/7 CMEs' total.

Fnark.
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Spittin'Cesium

User ID: 14589973
United Kingdom
09/30/2012 04:05 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Also [link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov] just how many Halo CMEs' did you count!?

Looks like 2/3 for definite but around 6/7 CMEs' total.

Fnark.
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


Wolf,Fire,Polar Bear!
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Spittin'Cesium

User ID: 14589973
United Kingdom
09/30/2012 04:07 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Also [link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov] just how many Halo CMEs' did you count!?

Looks like 2/3 for definite but around 6/7 CMEs' total.

Fnark.
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


8,make that 8 CMEs' since the 26th - 3 should be Geo-effective as they appear to be Full Halo eruptions.

Now to Enlil.
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Spittin'Cesium

User ID: 14589973
United Kingdom
09/30/2012 04:17 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Magnetosphere/Pause last 100 Updates until around 8:00am UT [link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov] You can see that starting around 6:00am on the Magnetosphere Sim. Earth takes a wallop from something.

The Magnetopause Sim. is there but does'nt appear to be working correctly.
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Luisport

User ID: 22005741
Portugal
09/30/2012 04:19 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] what is this?
Spittin'Cesium

User ID: 14589973
United Kingdom
09/30/2012 04:24 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] what is this?
 Quoting: Luisport

Hello there Luis.

That looks like GOES 15 being eclipsed again - The back-up data is continued in Yellow and Purple from GOES 14.

Hope that helps : )
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Luisport

User ID: 22005741
Portugal
09/30/2012 04:26 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] what is this?
 Quoting: Luisport

Hello there Luis.

That looks like GOES 15 being eclipsed again - The back-up data is continued in Yellow and Purple from GOES 14.

Hope that helps : )
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


Ha ok, thank you my friend!hf
SnakeBite

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09/30/2012 04:27 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
So.There.are.3.almost.full.halo.cmes.i.knew.about.2.not.3.lol​!!
are.there.any.models.for.them??
P.S.HI.SC:D
dettro99

User ID: 9732769
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09/30/2012 04:28 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to helioviewer.org]
Spittin'Cesium

User ID: 14589973
United Kingdom
09/30/2012 04:31 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Did you guys get this Alert -


WATCH: Geomagnetic Storm Category G2 Predicted
Highest Storm Level Predicted by Day:
Sep 29: None (Below G1) Sep 30: G2 (Moderate) Oct 01: G2 (Moderate)
THIS SUPERSEDES ANY/ALL PRIOR WATCHES IN EFFECT
Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

That's a predicted Geo-magnetic Storm of G2,here is the information if you need it of the Space Weather Scales from NOAA [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] .
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Spittin'Cesium

User ID: 14589973
United Kingdom
09/30/2012 04:35 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
So.There.are.3.almost.full.halo.cmes.i.knew.about.2.not.3.l​ol!!
are.there.any.models.for.them??
P.S.HI.SC:D
 Quoting: SnakeBite


Hello there Snakey B : )

I just checked some of the Enlil Models and could only see one that had been updated to the Sim. - It showed a small CME that may just clip Earth - I did'nt bother posting it as it seems pathetically incorrect as I can clearly see at least 7 CMEs' - 3 of which appeared to be Full Halo CMEs' - I'm close to dismissing Enlil.
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Spittin'Cesium

User ID: 14589973
United Kingdom
09/30/2012 04:38 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
 Quoting: dettro99


Thank you for that Dettro,that was awesome!

On the GOES 15 SXI X-ray image it looks like that same area is still quite active [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] .

Hope you are good : )
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Spittin'Cesium

User ID: 14589973
United Kingdom
09/30/2012 04:42 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
EVE is showing a very faint round halo from the region of the two larger Sunspots,1579 and un-numbered 1580(?) [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Spittin'Cesium

User ID: 14589973
United Kingdom
09/30/2012 04:44 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
The entire Western limb is looking pretty complex and to me shows potential for more eruptive action [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] I'll be watching : )

The North-West esp. appears likely to throw some shapes [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] .

Last Edited by Spittin'Cesium on 09/30/2012 04:49 AM
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
aaronnoraa711

User ID: 4394518
United States
09/30/2012 04:53 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Also [link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov] just how many Halo CMEs' did you count!?

Looks like 2/3 for definite but around 6/7 CMEs' total.

Fnark.
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


I counted six halo CME's and one "regular" CME.. though three of the halo CME's were a bit smaller than the other three, perhaps they're not considered halo CME's then? Not sure :o)

Last Edited by aaronnoraa711 on 09/30/2012 04:55 AM
Spittin'Cesium

User ID: 14589973
United Kingdom
09/30/2012 04:57 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
If you watch this closely [link to halpha.nso.edu] you should notice that the majority of bright flashes,usually indicative of flaring are not coming from Sunspot regions but instead from Channel Eruptions around Filaments.

You will need to look at the whole of the disc and watch it a few times over to see the different locations of the small Channel Eruptions,but they are the dominant feature for X-Ray events at present.

This is'nt the 'norm' but nothing really is anymore,eh?

Last Edited by Spittin'Cesium on 09/30/2012 04:58 AM
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Vita

User ID: 15928393
Netherlands
09/30/2012 04:58 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Good morning everyone! Looks like the first one has arrived
[link to ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov]


Strange thing is that this time last week we had nothing, the sun was asleep, but its wide awake now!
Sol Lucet Omnibus.
Spittin'Cesium

User ID: 14589973
United Kingdom
09/30/2012 05:04 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Also [link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov] just how many Halo CMEs' did you count!?

Looks like 2/3 for definite but around 6/7 CMEs' total.

Fnark.
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


I counted six halo CME's and one "regular" CME.. though three of the halo CME's were a bit smaller than the other three, perhaps they're not considered halo CME's then? Not sure :o)
 Quoting: aaronnoraa711


I count a Full Halo CME as one that fills the image completely,there were 3 of them in that Gif.

Full Halo CMEs' like this are usually Geo-effective as the reason we see it fill the image is due to there Sun/Earth direction,sometimes a Halo CME can be traveling away from the farside of the Sun but should appear much fainter than those traveling toward Earth,here is a little about Halo CMEs' [link to solarphysics.livingreviews.org] .
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
aaronnoraa711

User ID: 4394518
United States
09/30/2012 05:05 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Magnetosphere/Pause last 100 Updates until around 8:00am UT [link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov] You can see that starting around 6:00am on the Magnetosphere Sim. Earth takes a wallop from something.

The Magnetopause Sim. is there but does'nt appear to be working correctly.
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


The magnetopause sim is working now, though if you use your link (which have the timestamping already set on the sim for what you had it set at) you will need to change the simulation end time to 08:00 UTC or later, the impact looks mighty impressive on it.. short and fast, like a slap in the face!
Spittin'Cesium

User ID: 14589973
United Kingdom
09/30/2012 05:06 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Good morning everyone! Looks like the first one has arrived
[link to ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov]


Strange thing is that this time last week we had nothing, the sun was asleep, but its wide awake now!
 Quoting: Vita


Thank you for that Vita : )

The better page for those updates is here [link to ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov] although the ACE data appears to be missing completely from there at present?

Does anyone know whether or not ACE is down?
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1

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