SOLAR WATCH * 251 M & 18 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily) | |
| Luisport User ID: 24679176 09/30/2012 08:26 AM ![]() Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | continue to rise... [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] |
| Spittin'Cesium User ID: 14589973 09/30/2012 08:32 AM ![]() Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Yes,it seems that we do have arrival [link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov] . The thing that hath been, is That which shall be; and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun. Ecclesiastes 9:1 |
| Tiny Trink User ID: 24337476 09/30/2012 08:34 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | ... Quoting: TBar1984 I'm not even going to wait. I'm going to caulk this up as another success. It is pretty obvious when you look at the new model [link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov] TheTHINGiDONTgetIShowCANsomethingTHATisEARTHfacingPRODUCEsomethingTHATtravelsINtheCOMPLETEoppositeDIRECTION?? We had a small CME on this side, the large one was on the other side. It's pretty clear isn't it? [link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov] The small one isn't even registering on that model, which is the same model as this one [link to postimage.org] Check it out, it's the same model. The forecast is for a G2 event here on Earth, not impressive at all [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] But you can keep dreaming of catastrophes all you want. Bye now. Listen Tbar - There is no reason to be so Fucking ugly toward posters here who are mostly just interested in Solar activity and the effects this events can have for us back here on our Planet Earth,theres' really no need what-so-ever for your blatant disrespect. Also,you come in here treating everyone you have spoke with as if they are just interested in the potential Doom,sorry brother but you got the wrong thread for that - The majority of posters in here are Solar watchers with a active interest in learning about how it is that our own Star works so please,have a little modicum of respect if you can. One more thing,your preoccupation with 'winning' is a horribly ugly trait. A little decorum would'nt go a-miss. Thats' all I got to say,ok? ![]() Tiny Trink, Double T, Tink Tink, T x 2 "You are responsible for the Energy you bring into a space" ~ Dr. Jill Bolte Taylor Shine Brightly as someone is needing your Inner Light to find theirs. |
| BloodyT3CH User ID: 2148885 09/30/2012 08:36 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | C1 Flare [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] |
| Spittin'Cesium User ID: 14589973 09/30/2012 08:37 AM ![]() Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| Tiny Trink User ID: 24337476 09/30/2012 08:40 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | I sent you a PM a few days ago. lol I am doing well. Hope you are too my friend. Tiny Trink, Double T, Tink Tink, T x 2 "You are responsible for the Energy you bring into a space" ~ Dr. Jill Bolte Taylor Shine Brightly as someone is needing your Inner Light to find theirs. |
| madajs User ID: 24321898 09/30/2012 08:49 AM ![]() Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Neato, catching up on the thread see we had an M flare, an LDE C flare, and the arrival of our CME's sudden impulse. Bz starting to go wonky and density on the rise [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] Btw Spittin' the last of your CME's is currently on the "one at a time" simulation [link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov] It does look like the edge of it will hit Earth so the geoeffective "catch all" model should add it to it's display eventually. I believe the previous earth directed activity was either too small or got vacuumed up by the big halo CME, as geoeffective enlil generally shows all significant geoeffective CMEs during a time period (eventually, it is slow to update). Getting my popcorn out and ready to check in on this CME throughout the day! :) Last Edited by madajs on 09/30/2012 08:53 AM And always, he fought the temptation to choose a clear, safe course, warning: "That path leads ever down into stagnation." |
| Luisport User ID: 24679176 09/30/2012 09:07 AM ![]() Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Big jump in magnetometer now... [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] |
| TS66 User ID: 24266114 09/30/2012 09:09 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| madajs User ID: 24321898 09/30/2012 09:13 AM ![]() Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Bz just dipped to the -10 neighbourhood [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] And always, he fought the temptation to choose a clear, safe course, warning: "That path leads ever down into stagnation." |
| Luisport User ID: 24679176 09/30/2012 09:17 AM ![]() Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Bz just dipped to the -10 neighbourhood [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] Quoting: madajs yes a big deep now... [link to neutronm.bartol.udel.edu] |
| Anonymous Coward User ID: 24674826 09/30/2012 09:19 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Bz just dipped to the -10 neighbourhood [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] Quoting: madajs this could be the impact from the CME |
| aaronnoraa711 User ID: 4394518 09/30/2012 09:20 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | ... Quoting: TBar1984 I'm not even going to wait. I'm going to caulk this up as another success. It is pretty obvious when you look at the new model [link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov] TheTHINGiDONTgetIShowCANsomethingTHATisEARTHfacingPRODUCEsomethingTHATtravelsINtheCOMPLETEoppositeDIRECTION?? We had a small CME on this side, the large one was on the other side. It's pretty clear isn't it? [link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov] The small one isn't even registering on that model, which is the same model as this one [link to postimage.org] Check it out, it's the same model. The forecast is for a G2 event here on Earth, not impressive at all [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] But you can keep dreaming of catastrophes all you want. Bye now. Listen Tbar - There is no reason to be so Fucking ugly toward posters here who are mostly just interested in Solar activity and the effects this events can have for us back here on our Planet Earth,theres' really no need what-so-ever for your blatant disrespect. Also,you come in here treating everyone you have spoke with as if they are just interested in the potential Doom,sorry brother but you got the wrong thread for that - The majority of posters in here are Solar watchers with a active interest in learning about how it is that our own Star works so please,have a little modicum of respect if you can. One more thing,your preoccupation with 'winning' is a horribly ugly trait. A little decorum would'nt go a-miss. Thats' all I got to say,ok? Word. |
| TS66 User ID: 24266114 09/30/2012 09:24 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Check out the streamer at 06:17, something hit hard on the mag !!! Happy to say it did very well Since my pc crashed, I've only used Solar soft for a list of most recent flares, and I guess they have shut down or something, anyone have one of those other links that I have long since lost ?? Last Edited by TS66 on 09/30/2012 09:38 AM Believe those who are seeking the truth. Doubt those who find it ~ Andre Gide |
| Spittin'Cesium User ID: 14589973 09/30/2012 09:38 AM ![]() Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Check out the streamer at 06:17, something hit hard on the mag !!! Happy to say it did very well Quoting: TS66 Since my pc crashed, I've only used Solar soft for a list of most recent flares, and I guess they have shut down or something, anyone have one of those other links that I have long since lost ?? Hello 66 : ) Thank you for that,yes we are getting quite nicely pummeled at this moment [link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov] (Just the Magnetosphere Sim. the Magnetopause Streamer is shown in 66s' post above ^ ^ ) I'm off out for a little,catch you all in a bit and happy hunting The thing that hath been, is That which shall be; and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun. Ecclesiastes 9:1 |
| Spittin'Cesium User ID: 14589973 09/30/2012 09:43 AM ![]() Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Couple more things,EVE [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] eh? And it looks like a little Flare in the South-East [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] . Rice and Peas : ) Last Edited by Spittin'Cesium on 09/30/2012 09:43 AM The thing that hath been, is That which shall be; and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun. Ecclesiastes 9:1 |
| Tropicalgirl User ID: 1235443 09/30/2012 09:44 AM ![]() Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Good morning everyone, thanks as always for the incredible info that you pass on to the Solar crowd - fascinating times! I'm puzzled about what really happened with the CME that looked so huge from the 28th, after all the input - was the model wrong? I realize from reading this thread everyday that there are glitches but that would've been a BIG glitch! :-) I take it from the updates that the model was accurate and we are feeling the impacts now? I'm a newbie, so forgive the kindergarten questions! |
| TS66 User ID: 24266114 09/30/2012 09:47 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Couple more things,EVE [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] eh? Quoting: Spittin'Cesium And it looks like a little Flare in the South-East [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] . Rice and Peas : ) Another eruption outside a sunspot region ??? That last one looks like it's below 1582 instead of from ??? Last Edited by TS66 on 09/30/2012 10:06 AM Believe those who are seeking the truth. Doubt those who find it ~ Andre Gide |
| TS66 User ID: 24266114 09/30/2012 09:48 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Good morning everyone, thanks as always for the incredible info that you pass on to the Solar crowd - fascinating times! Quoting: Tropicalgirl I'm puzzled about what really happened with the CME that looked so huge from the 28th, after all the input - was the model wrong? I realize from reading this thread everyday that there are glitches but that would've been a BIG glitch! :-) I take it from the updates that the model was accurate and we are feeling the impacts now? I'm a newbie, so forgive the kindergarten questions! It's still scheduled to hit later today and into tomorrow Last Edited by TS66 on 09/30/2012 09:49 AM Believe those who are seeking the truth. Doubt those who find it ~ Andre Gide |
| Tropicalgirl User ID: 1235443 09/30/2012 09:56 AM ![]() Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| TS66 User ID: 24266114 09/30/2012 10:05 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | I did thank you so much :) Protons are still on a steady rise [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] Believe those who are seeking the truth. Doubt those who find it ~ Andre Gide |
| aaronnoraa711 User ID: 4394518 09/30/2012 10:05 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Some useful links for the next 24-48 hours for all the solar sluts ;-) [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] - ACE 2 hour solar wind/magnetic plasma SWEPAM [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] - USAF 1 and 4 hour prediction/current observed KP index [link to mms.rice.edu] - Simple to read, green/yellow/red dial format, real-time solar wind data with measured and derived figures. Cake. [link to sprg.ssl.berkeley.edu] - Real time DST storm level on a cute meter. [link to pixie.spasci.com] - Real time magnetopause and bow shock model (a different one than I usually see linked here) [link to solar.uleth.ca] - Hourly auroral activity plots, including an ultra useful "visible auroral plot", as the usual blue/yellow/red plot does not make it clear where the visible boundary actually exists. [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] - SWPC real time monitor displays. [link to hfspectrum.net] - Awesome high frequency RF 1-30 MHz spectrum monitor with instant audio feed on any chosen frequency. Sort of like the HAARP RF waterfall chart but much, much higher resolution and you get to hear it to boot :o) Fun listening to the interference during space weather turbulence! [link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080] - Link for the latest model run of the iswa magnetopause position sim.. a long watch to get to all the way through it to the current time but no need to set any time frame. [link to www.ssd.noaa.gov] - Satellite operations bulletin, lists up to date standby/malfunctioning/feed loss information along with a statement relating to known reason for said states + lists satellites returning back to service. There's more but these seem to cover most of the bases, hope this helps :o) btw 32mb SDO FITS images rule! |
| Luisport User ID: 24679176 09/30/2012 10:15 AM ![]() Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Bz solid deep now... [link to neutronm.bartol.udel.edu] |
| psyoptics User ID: 11919225 09/30/2012 10:18 AM ![]() Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| zariel User ID: 22774755 09/30/2012 10:20 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| AkivaJeff User ID: 19183578 09/30/2012 10:26 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| Luisport User ID: 24679176 09/30/2012 10:29 AM ![]() Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| aaronnoraa711 User ID: 4394518 09/30/2012 10:39 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Check out the streamer at 06:17, something hit hard on the mag !!! Happy to say it did very well Quoting: TS66 Since my pc crashed, I've only used Solar soft for a list of most recent flares, and I guess they have shut down or something, anyone have one of those other links that I have long since lost ?? [link to sdowww.lmsal.com] - Only source for current data 32mb raw uncompressed level-0 FITS images for all SDO wavelengths, plus the usual 1 & 4k JPEGs. [link to umbra.gsfc.nasa.gov] - Another SDO source but they use different color gradients than the usual (sometimes with a huge benefit in visible detail) plus HINODE and SOLIS images. [link to proba2.oma.be] - high quality PNG SWAP/PROBA 171 images. [link to sdodata.oma.be] - Secondary, backup use SDO data source for when NASA servers are down (LMSAL, UMBRA/SDAC and SDO homepage sometimes all go offline at once) |
| Hugh M Eye User ID: 22914370 09/30/2012 10:41 AM ![]() Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | For the record, the M-flare (and several C-flares) was attributed to new active region AR1583. At midnight UTC the visible solar disk had 12 spotted active regions (in 2K resolution SDO images). Region 11575 [N07W73] was quiet and stable. The flares that SWPC attributes to this region occurred in AR 11583. Region 11577 [N08W55] produced a few minor C flares and appears less interesting than a day ago. Region 11579 [S10E07] was quiet and stable. Region 11580 [N18E17] was quiet and stable. Region 11582 [S12E29] was quiet and stable. New region 11583 [N12W77] emerged on September 27 and was noticed by SWPC two days later. The group developed slowly and was the most active region on the visible disk producing 5 minor C flares. [link to www.solen.info] Also check on Solar Monitor and click on events for SWPC flare list (updated every 30 mins.): [link to www.solarmonitor.org] I must say I'm disappointed that with pages of chatter here, no one noticed that new active regions had formed. And only one poster noticed the arrival of the CME. Tsk,tsk,tsk. Please stop worrying about the Total Vertical Electron Count, it's pretty much meaningless except to HAM radio operators anyway. "There is more stupidity than hydrogen in the universe, and it has a longer shelf life." Frank Zappa "Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the the universe."-Albert Einstein |
| Luisport User ID: 24679176 09/30/2012 10:44 AM ![]() Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] what is this big fall in protons? |