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SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 
Hugh M Eye

User ID: 22914370
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09/30/2012 10:40 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Someone might want to screen-save this for T-Bar....

Boulder K-index at 6.9! 192.3 nT!!!

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


HAARP Fluxgate Magnetometer near 500 nT!!!!!!!!!

[link to www.haarp.alaska.edu]

drevil
NiNzrez
User ID: 24399306
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09/30/2012 10:43 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Space Weather Message Code: WARK06
Serial Number: 209
Issue Time: 2012 Oct 01 0140 UTC

WARNING: Geomagnetic K-Index of 6 expected
Valid From: 2012 Oct 01 0145 UTC
Valid To: 2012 Oct 01 0600 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G2 - Moderate
Hugh M Eye

User ID: 22914370
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09/30/2012 10:43 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
And Boulder is at K-6.9. I find it strange that the measured disturbance is not matching ACE data.. furthermore the ACE temp, speed and density figures all have an odd structure and patterned behavior that I wouldn't expect from a wad of protons. Just my observation..

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

-Edit- Beat me to it, Hugh!
 Quoting: aaronnoraa711


They should have issued a K-7 warning by now. Watch....if it stays at 6.9 they'll round it off to 6.0. They've done it before.
Tiny Trink

User ID: 24337476
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09/30/2012 10:46 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]
Tiny Trink, Double T, Tink Tink, T x 2

"You are responsible for the Energy you bring into a space" ~ Dr. Jill Bolte Taylor

Shine Brightly as someone is needing your Inner Light to find theirs.
PsycoCandy

User ID: 24708532
Brazil
09/30/2012 10:50 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Space Weather Message Code: WARK07
Serial Number: 40
Issue Time: 2012 Oct 01 0243 UTC

WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 7 or greater expected
Valid From: 2012 Oct 01 0245 UTC
Valid To: 2012 Oct 01 0600 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G3 or greater - Strong to Extreme

Comment: This warning upgrades the previous G2 warning.
Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 50 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power system voltage irregularities possible, false alarms may be triggered on some protection devices.
Spacecraft - Systems may experience surface charging; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites and orientation problems may occur.
Navigation - Intermittent satellite navigation (GPS) problems, including loss-of-lock and increased range error may occur.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio may be intermittent.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as Pennsylvania to Iowa to Oregon.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Last Edited by PsycoCandy on 09/30/2012 10:50 PM
whiteangel

User ID: 1775746
United States
09/30/2012 10:54 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Space Weather Message Code: WARK07
Serial Number: 40
Issue Time: 2012 Oct 01 0243 UTC

WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 7 or greater expected
Valid From: 2012 Oct 01 0245 UTC
Valid To: 2012 Oct 01 0600 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G3 or greater - Strong to Extreme

Comment: This warning upgrades the previous G2 warning.

NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at
www.swpc.noaa.gov/NOAAscales

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 50 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power system voltage irregularities possible, false alarms may be triggered on some protection devices.
Spacecraft - Systems may experience surface charging; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites and orientation problems may occur.
Navigation - Intermittent satellite navigation (GPS) problems, including loss-of-lock and increased range error may occur.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio may be intermittent.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as Pennsylvania to Iowa to Oregon.
WAXmas3WAXmas20WAXmas3
Glory to God in the highest, and on earth peace, good will toward men.
Luke 2:14
whiteangel

User ID: 1775746
United States
09/30/2012 10:54 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Space Weather Message Code: WARK07
Serial Number: 40
Issue Time: 2012 Oct 01 0243 UTC

WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 7 or greater expected
Valid From: 2012 Oct 01 0245 UTC
Valid To: 2012 Oct 01 0600 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G3 or greater - Strong to Extreme

Comment: This warning upgrades the previous G2 warning.

NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at
www.swpc.noaa.gov/NOAAscales

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 50 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power system voltage irregularities possible, false alarms may be triggered on some protection devices.
Spacecraft - Systems may experience surface charging; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites and orientation problems may occur.
Navigation - Intermittent satellite navigation (GPS) problems, including loss-of-lock and increased range error may occur.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio may be intermittent.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as Pennsylvania to Iowa to Oregon.
 Quoting: whiteangel


Psycho Candy beat me, lol
WAXmas3WAXmas20WAXmas3
Glory to God in the highest, and on earth peace, good will toward men.
Luke 2:14
Hugh M Eye

User ID: 22914370
United States
09/30/2012 10:55 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
USAF Wing Prediction Model predicts a Kp 7.75!

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Space Weather Message Code: WARK07
Serial Number: 40
Issue Time: 2012 Oct 01 0243 UTC

WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 7 or greater expected
Valid From: 2012 Oct 01 0245 UTC
Valid To: 2012 Oct 01 0600 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G3 or greater - Strong to Extreme


Comment: This warning upgrades the previous G2 warning.
Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 50 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power system voltage irregularities possible, false alarms may be triggered on some protection devices.
Spacecraft - Systems may experience surface charging; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites and orientation problems may occur.
Navigation - Intermittent satellite navigation (GPS) problems, including loss-of-lock and increased range error may occur.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio may be intermittent.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as Pennsylvania to Iowa to Oregon.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Hugh M Eye

User ID: 22914370
United States
09/30/2012 10:57 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
USAF Wing Prediction Model predicts a Kp 7.75!

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Space Weather Message Code: WARK07
Serial Number: 40
Issue Time: 2012 Oct 01 0243 UTC

WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 7 or greater expected
Valid From: 2012 Oct 01 0245 UTC
Valid To: 2012 Oct 01 0600 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G3 or greater - Strong to Extreme


Comment: This warning upgrades the previous G2 warning.
Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 50 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power system voltage irregularities possible, false alarms may be triggered on some protection devices.
Spacecraft - Systems may experience surface charging; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites and orientation problems may occur.
Navigation - Intermittent satellite navigation (GPS) problems, including loss-of-lock and increased range error may occur.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio may be intermittent.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as Pennsylvania to Iowa to Oregon.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


siren2siren2siren2siren2
PsycoCandy

User ID: 24708532
Brazil
09/30/2012 10:58 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Space Weather Message Code: WARK07
Serial Number: 40
Issue Time: 2012 Oct 01 0243 UTC

WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 7 or greater expected
Valid From: 2012 Oct 01 0245 UTC
Valid To: 2012 Oct 01 0600 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G3 or greater - Strong to Extreme

Comment: This warning upgrades the previous G2 warning.

NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at
www.swpc.noaa.gov/NOAAscales

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 50 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power system voltage irregularities possible, false alarms may be triggered on some protection devices.
Spacecraft - Systems may experience surface charging; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites and orientation problems may occur.
Navigation - Intermittent satellite navigation (GPS) problems, including loss-of-lock and increased range error may occur.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio may be intermittent.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as Pennsylvania to Iowa to Oregon.
 Quoting: whiteangel


Psycho Candy beat me, lol
 Quoting: whiteangel

hf
aaronnoraa711

User ID: 4394518
United States
09/30/2012 10:59 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Real time auroral oval, visibility nearing the northern US border.

[link to solar.uleth.ca]
whiteangel

User ID: 1775746
United States
09/30/2012 11:04 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Someone might want to screen-save this for T-Bar....

Boulder K-index at 6.9! 192.3 nT!!!

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Good thing I copied it to paint, seems to have disappeared, I will put a photobucket on here in a few
WAXmas3WAXmas20WAXmas3
Glory to God in the highest, and on earth peace, good will toward men.
Luke 2:14
whiteangel

User ID: 1775746
United States
09/30/2012 11:06 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to s1240.photobucket.com]
WAXmas3WAXmas20WAXmas3
Glory to God in the highest, and on earth peace, good will toward men.
Luke 2:14
PsycoCandy

User ID: 24708532
Brazil
09/30/2012 11:06 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
G3:
[link to www.theusner.eu]

Last Edited by PsycoCandy on 09/30/2012 11:07 PM
Hugh M Eye

User ID: 22914370
United States
09/30/2012 11:09 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
So where's Cesium, SnAkEbItE, TS66, Shada et al? Shouldn't someone be sending mail to T-Bar about now,hehe. This is why we watch, because no one KNOWS what's goin' to happen. NASA is always backtracking to find out WHY things happened the way they did. I had a hunch this could be strong because of the similarities to the Oct. 2011 event which caught everybody off-guard. But now I know better than to make a firm prediction because no 2 CMEs are exactly alike. I hope T-Bar logs in and humbles himself to those he belittled. Knowledge is a double-edged sword.

HERE IT IS:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

peacecool2

Last Edited by Hugh M Eye on 09/30/2012 11:16 PM
Isis One

User ID: 14343270
United States
09/30/2012 11:10 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
BAZINKA!!!!!.....and thar she blows mateys

[link to www.theusner.eu]

Last Edited by Isis One on 09/30/2012 11:11 PM
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 24727808
United Kingdom
09/30/2012 11:11 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Has there been a massive solar flare?
whiteangel

User ID: 1775746
United States
09/30/2012 11:11 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Was just wondering where everyone was also, usually they are all on now and there is finally something to really see !!
WAXmas3WAXmas20WAXmas3
Glory to God in the highest, and on earth peace, good will toward men.
Luke 2:14
Isis One

User ID: 14343270
United States
09/30/2012 11:11 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
 Quoting: Tiny Trink


good catch Tink, do we know the source?
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 24399306
United States
09/30/2012 11:13 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
electrons and protons at ACE
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 24727808
United Kingdom
09/30/2012 11:13 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
If not im starting to feel that there has been a massive GRB from somewhere. As iv said my 1st guess would be betelgeuse.
NiNzrez
User ID: 24399306
United States
09/30/2012 11:18 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
So where's Cesium, SnAkEbItE, TS66, Shada et al? Shouldn't someone be sending mail to T-Bar about now,hehe. This is why we watch, because no one KNOWS what's goin' to happen. NASA is always backtracking to find out WHY things happened the way they did. I had a hunch this could be strong because of the similarities to the Oct. 2011 event which caught everybody off-guard. But now I know better than to make a firm prediction because no 2 CMEs are exactly alike. I hope T-Bar logs in and humbles himself to those he belittled. Knowledge is a double-edged sword.

peacecool2
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


i was wondering where they were as well
you pointed out the main thing that should always be said (i bolded)
no one can EVER tell for sure till the entire event has passed. NO ONE
great work Hugh and everyone else
this group has been so on top of this event over the last few days
your all amazing :)
Hugh M Eye

User ID: 22914370
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09/30/2012 11:18 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
 Quoting: whiteangel


Nice, I like this one better tho-

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Isis One

User ID: 14343270
United States
09/30/2012 11:19 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Real time auroral oval, visibility nearing the northern US border.

[link to solar.uleth.ca]
 Quoting: aaronnoraa711


I'm out lookin!!! Northeast Pa. .....one can always hope, saw them once 5-6 years ago
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me
whiteangel

User ID: 1775746
United States
09/30/2012 11:21 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Space Weather Message Code: ALTK07
Serial Number: 86
Issue Time: 2012 Oct 01 0305 UTC

ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 7
Threshold Reached: 2012 Oct 01 0300 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0000-0300 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G3 - Strong
WAXmas3WAXmas20WAXmas3
Glory to God in the highest, and on earth peace, good will toward men.
Luke 2:14
whiteangel

User ID: 1775746
United States
09/30/2012 11:23 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
 Quoting: whiteangel


Nice, I like this one better tho-

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


[link to s1240.photobucket.com]
WAXmas3WAXmas20WAXmas3
Glory to God in the highest, and on earth peace, good will toward men.
Luke 2:14
Isis One

User ID: 14343270
United States
09/30/2012 11:23 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
So where's Cesium, SnAkEbItE, TS66, Shada et al? Shouldn't someone be sending mail to T-Bar about now,hehe. This is why we watch, because no one KNOWS what's goin' to happen. NASA is always backtracking to find out WHY things happened the way they did. I had a hunch this could be strong because of the similarities to the Oct. 2011 event which caught everybody off-guard. But now I know better than to make a firm prediction because no 2 CMEs are exactly alike. I hope T-Bar logs in and humbles himself to those he belittled. Knowledge is a double-edged sword.

peacecool2
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


i was wondering where they were as well
you pointed out the main thing that should always be said (i bolded)
no one can EVER tell for sure till the entire event has passed. NO ONE
great work Hugh and everyone else
this group has been so on top of this event over the last few days
your all amazing :)
 Quoting: NiNzrez 24399306


The team did better than the "experts" if you ask me!! Shada said he was on a roadtrip and would try to check in, I put the KP and a hit-the-nail on his thread
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me
Waterbug

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09/30/2012 11:23 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
owned
<+MarketSellOff+>
"Amateur Meteorologist"

User ID: 1426914
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09/30/2012 11:25 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to solarham.net]


Shows a kp7 for october 1st
Fedex12

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Argentina
09/30/2012 11:25 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
------------------------------------

[link to helios.swpc.noaa.gov]

------------------------------------
Fedex

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