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SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 
Hugh M Eye

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09/30/2012 11:09 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
So where's Cesium, SnAkEbItE, TS66, Shada et al? Shouldn't someone be sending mail to T-Bar about now,hehe. This is why we watch, because no one KNOWS what's goin' to happen. NASA is always backtracking to find out WHY things happened the way they did. I had a hunch this could be strong because of the similarities to the Oct. 2011 event which caught everybody off-guard. But now I know better than to make a firm prediction because no 2 CMEs are exactly alike. I hope T-Bar logs in and humbles himself to those he belittled. Knowledge is a double-edged sword.

HERE IT IS:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

peacecool2

Last Edited by Hugh M Eye on 09/30/2012 11:16 PM
Isis One

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09/30/2012 11:10 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
BAZINKA!!!!!.....and thar she blows mateys

[link to www.theusner.eu]

Last Edited by Isis One on 09/30/2012 11:11 PM
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me

One doesn't discover new lands without consenting to lose sight, for a very long time, of the shore. Andre Gide
Thread: How To Raise Your Vibrational Frequency If Interested
Anonymous Coward
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United Kingdom
09/30/2012 11:11 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Has there been a massive solar flare?
whiteangel
A Very Proud AMERICAN!!!!

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09/30/2012 11:11 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Was just wondering where everyone was also, usually they are all on now and there is finally something to really see !!
AMERICA the Beautiful!!!
Isis One

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09/30/2012 11:11 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
 Quoting: Tiny Trink


good catch Tink, do we know the source?
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me

One doesn't discover new lands without consenting to lose sight, for a very long time, of the shore. Andre Gide
Thread: How To Raise Your Vibrational Frequency If Interested
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 24399306
United States
09/30/2012 11:13 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
electrons and protons at ACE
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Anonymous Coward
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09/30/2012 11:13 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
If not im starting to feel that there has been a massive GRB from somewhere. As iv said my 1st guess would be betelgeuse.
NiNzrez
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09/30/2012 11:18 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
So where's Cesium, SnAkEbItE, TS66, Shada et al? Shouldn't someone be sending mail to T-Bar about now,hehe. This is why we watch, because no one KNOWS what's goin' to happen. NASA is always backtracking to find out WHY things happened the way they did. I had a hunch this could be strong because of the similarities to the Oct. 2011 event which caught everybody off-guard. But now I know better than to make a firm prediction because no 2 CMEs are exactly alike. I hope T-Bar logs in and humbles himself to those he belittled. Knowledge is a double-edged sword.

peacecool2
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


i was wondering where they were as well
you pointed out the main thing that should always be said (i bolded)
no one can EVER tell for sure till the entire event has passed. NO ONE
great work Hugh and everyone else
this group has been so on top of this event over the last few days
your all amazing :)
Hugh M Eye

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09/30/2012 11:18 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
 Quoting: whiteangel


Nice, I like this one better tho-

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Isis One

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09/30/2012 11:19 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Real time auroral oval, visibility nearing the northern US border.

[link to solar.uleth.ca]
 Quoting: aaronnoraa711


I'm out lookin!!! Northeast Pa. .....one can always hope, saw them once 5-6 years ago
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me

One doesn't discover new lands without consenting to lose sight, for a very long time, of the shore. Andre Gide
Thread: How To Raise Your Vibrational Frequency If Interested
whiteangel
A Very Proud AMERICAN!!!!

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09/30/2012 11:21 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Space Weather Message Code: ALTK07
Serial Number: 86
Issue Time: 2012 Oct 01 0305 UTC

ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 7
Threshold Reached: 2012 Oct 01 0300 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0000-0300 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G3 - Strong
AMERICA the Beautiful!!!
whiteangel
A Very Proud AMERICAN!!!!

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09/30/2012 11:23 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
 Quoting: whiteangel


Nice, I like this one better tho-

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


[link to s1240.photobucket.com]
AMERICA the Beautiful!!!
Isis One

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09/30/2012 11:23 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
So where's Cesium, SnAkEbItE, TS66, Shada et al? Shouldn't someone be sending mail to T-Bar about now,hehe. This is why we watch, because no one KNOWS what's goin' to happen. NASA is always backtracking to find out WHY things happened the way they did. I had a hunch this could be strong because of the similarities to the Oct. 2011 event which caught everybody off-guard. But now I know better than to make a firm prediction because no 2 CMEs are exactly alike. I hope T-Bar logs in and humbles himself to those he belittled. Knowledge is a double-edged sword.

peacecool2
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


i was wondering where they were as well
you pointed out the main thing that should always be said (i bolded)
no one can EVER tell for sure till the entire event has passed. NO ONE
great work Hugh and everyone else
this group has been so on top of this event over the last few days
your all amazing :)
 Quoting: NiNzrez 24399306


The team did better than the "experts" if you ask me!! Shada said he was on a roadtrip and would try to check in, I put the KP and a hit-the-nail on his thread
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me

One doesn't discover new lands without consenting to lose sight, for a very long time, of the shore. Andre Gide
Thread: How To Raise Your Vibrational Frequency If Interested
Waterbug

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09/30/2012 11:23 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
owned
<+MarketSellOff+>
"Amateur Meteorologist"

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09/30/2012 11:25 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to solarham.net]


Shows a kp7 for october 1st
Fedex12

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Argentina
09/30/2012 11:25 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
------------------------------------

[link to helios.swpc.noaa.gov]

------------------------------------
Fedex
Isis One

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09/30/2012 11:26 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Has there been a massive solar flare?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 24727808


There's been a bunch all day, but mostly a BIG geomagnetic storm is hitting us now Kp 7.5 and rising from a filament lift off event on the the 28th.
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me

One doesn't discover new lands without consenting to lose sight, for a very long time, of the shore. Andre Gide
Thread: How To Raise Your Vibrational Frequency If Interested
Isis One

User ID: 14343270
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09/30/2012 11:27 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
owned
 Quoting: Waterbug






^^^^^^^^^THIS, he he he he he
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me

One doesn't discover new lands without consenting to lose sight, for a very long time, of the shore. Andre Gide
Thread: How To Raise Your Vibrational Frequency If Interested
whiteangel
A Very Proud AMERICAN!!!!

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09/30/2012 11:27 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Everyone probably thought it was over with because the 1st CME that came in was weak and might have forgot that the 2nd one was the one with the punch to it.
AMERICA the Beautiful!!!
Isis One

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09/30/2012 11:27 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to solarham.net]


Shows a kp7 for october 1st
 Quoting: <+MarketSellOff+>


Market, I got my fingers crossed for an aurora....you??
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me

One doesn't discover new lands without consenting to lose sight, for a very long time, of the shore. Andre Gide
Thread: How To Raise Your Vibrational Frequency If Interested
madajs

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09/30/2012 11:28 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
And Boulder is at K-6.9. I find it strange that the measured disturbance is not matching ACE data.. furthermore the ACE temp, speed and density figures all have an odd structure and patterned behavior that I wouldn't expect from a wad of protons. Just my observation..

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

-Edit- Beat me to it, Hugh!
 Quoting: aaronnoraa711


They should have issued a K-7 warning by now. Watch....if it stays at 6.9 they'll round it off to 6.0. They've done it before.
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye

Just FYI, Boulder and NOAA Kp are not the same. So what happens in Boulder does not necessarily happen on NOAA Kp. Boulder is one magnetometer, NOAA Kp is about 8 magnetometers averaged out. (The alerts are tied to NOAA's Kp estimate, not Boulder)

And the reason it's always rounded out at the end of the 3 hour period is because there are no decimals in the K-index. That's why this [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] is always whole numbers too, because NOAA Kp isn't proper Kp and actually is only a K-index average of multiple magnetometers.

Kp has 3 classes per value, -, o, and +. K has just one class per value, that is the number.

In short, NOAA "Kp" is very crude lol.

Last Edited by madajs on 09/30/2012 11:45 PM
And always, he fought the temptation to choose a clear, safe course, warning: "That path leads ever down into stagnation."
Isis One

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09/30/2012 11:28 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
------------------------------------

[link to helios.swpc.noaa.gov]

------------------------------------
 Quoting: Fedex12


Nice graphic, haven't seen this one, thanks Fede
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me

One doesn't discover new lands without consenting to lose sight, for a very long time, of the shore. Andre Gide
Thread: How To Raise Your Vibrational Frequency If Interested
Anonymous Coward
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09/30/2012 11:29 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I'm sure I'm late to the party but they earlier officially retracted the G2 warning and replaced it with a G1.

So here we are now at G3 lol.

Go GLP sun tards go!
madajs

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09/30/2012 11:30 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Space Weather Message Code: ALTK07
Serial Number: 86
Issue Time: 2012 Oct 01 0305 UTC

ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 7
Threshold Reached: 2012 Oct 01 0300 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0000-0300 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G3 - Strong
 Quoting: whiteangel

Crazy storm guys!
And always, he fought the temptation to choose a clear, safe course, warning: "That path leads ever down into stagnation."
Hugh M Eye

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United States
09/30/2012 11:34 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Real time auroral oval, visibility nearing the northern US border.

[link to solar.uleth.ca]
 Quoting: aaronnoraa711


I'm out lookin!!! Northeast Pa. .....one can always hope, saw them once 5-6 years ago
 Quoting: Isis One


The only time a saw the Northern Lights was from Ricketts Glen, PA (west of Scranton). Totally unexpected and very beautiful, too. Good Luck. I also hope NINz, TS66, Madajs, Cesium, IWTB76 and everybody else up north (or down under) get a glimpse.

Here's a current auroral oval map:

[link to helios.swpc.noaa.gov]

Aurora forecast:

[link to www.gi.alaska.edu]

None of my aurora-cam sites seem to be working or clear tonight so far. If anyone can find one please post a link.
madajs

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09/30/2012 11:39 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Now when's the last time you saw purple on the NOAA Kp estimate? :)

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
And always, he fought the temptation to choose a clear, safe course, warning: "That path leads ever down into stagnation."
Isis One

User ID: 14343270
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09/30/2012 11:44 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Real time auroral oval, visibility nearing the northern US border.

[link to solar.uleth.ca]
 Quoting: aaronnoraa711


I'm out lookin!!! Northeast Pa. .....one can always hope, saw them once 5-6 years ago
 Quoting: Isis One


The only time a saw the Northern Lights was from Ricketts Glen, PA (west of Scranton). Totally unexpected and very beautiful, too. Good Luck. I also hope NINz, TS66, Madajs, Cesium, IWTB76 and everybody else up north (or down under) get a glimpse.

Here's a current auroral oval map:

[link to helios.swpc.noaa.gov]

Aurora forecast:

[link to www.gi.alaska.edu]

None of my aurora-cam sites seem to be working or clear tonight so far. If anyone can find one please post a link.
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


I've got a little cloud cover, but enough break through that if it sneaks down just another 500 miles or so I might luck out. I love Ricketts Glenn, the hike along the waterfall is gorgeous.

P.S. I'm a little distracted watching Housewives of NJ, shit is getting REAL, uh huh

Last Edited by Isis One on 09/30/2012 11:45 PM
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me

One doesn't discover new lands without consenting to lose sight, for a very long time, of the shore. Andre Gide
Thread: How To Raise Your Vibrational Frequency If Interested
whiteangel
A Very Proud AMERICAN!!!!

User ID: 1775746
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09/30/2012 11:45 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Now when's the last time you saw purple on the NOAA Kp estimate? :)

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: madajs


Last fall for sure, it was crazy busy then. Also this past spring was active also, X-flares were the cause then. In fact one of those X-flare back in March? Hugh and I were the only ones up to see it, lol. Kp indexes after that were high with several 8's and even saw a couple of those on here [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] hit a 9 but only once on the 9
AMERICA the Beautiful!!!
Fedex12

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Argentina
09/30/2012 11:51 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
------------------------------------

Live cam Yellowknife, Canada

[link to www.asc-csa.gc.ca]

------------------------------------
Fedex
OVRANALYZE

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09/30/2012 11:51 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
G3 storm underway. here is the scale for anybody who hasnt already seen it.


[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]


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