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SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 
whiteangel

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10/01/2012 12:32 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Got to get up in a few hours so be safe all...Blessings
WAXmas3WAXmas20WAXmas3
Glory to God in the highest, and on earth peace, good will toward men.
Luke 2:14
Hugh M Eye

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10/01/2012 12:32 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Recent solar activity has been erupting today as well. The sun has been eruptive and blowing smoke rings of plasma.

STEREO Behind:
[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

STEREO Ahead:
[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

SEEDS is back in action with the LASCO-based CME movies:
[link to spaceweather.gmu.edu]
Isis One

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10/01/2012 12:34 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
------------------------------------

Live cam Yellowknife, Canada

[link to www.asc-csa.gc.ca]

------------------------------------
 Quoting: Fedex12


Where is Northwest Territory, eastern or western side of Canada? The aurora are indicated on the eastern side
 Quoting: Isis One


[link to en.wikipedia.org]
 Quoting: Fedex12


Thanks, ya think I would have heard of google eh?
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me
Hugh M Eye

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10/01/2012 12:35 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Got to get up in a few hours so be safe all...Blessings
 Quoting: whiteangel


Blessings to you as well, Whiteangel! Good night.

hf
Hugh M Eye

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10/01/2012 12:46 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Look at the FOK Ring Current....it's glowing hot-pink now. Earlier it just showed a bit of red on the night side.

[link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]

More on the Magnetotail-

IMAGE, launched March 25, 2000, also revealed some surprising activity during magnetic storms, which occur when the solar wind pummels the Earth's magnetosphere. The night-side region of the magnetosphere, which is stretched out by the solar wind, sometimes snaps back and shoots plasma violently toward Earth. The plasma becomes heated to several hundred million degrees and whirls around Earth in multi-million-amp currents. IMAGE discovered that such plasma occasionally is most dense on the Earth's day side, which was unexpected. Researchers are currently studying the phenomenon.

[link to science.nasa.gov]



[link to www.youtube.com]
Isis One

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10/01/2012 12:49 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Recent solar activity has been erupting today as well. The sun has been eruptive and blowing smoke rings of plasma.

STEREO Behind:
[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

STEREO Ahead:
[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

SEEDS is back in action with the LASCO-based CME movies:
[link to spaceweather.gmu.edu]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Whoa, those first two look a little earth directed, are they Hugh?
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me
TBar1984

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10/01/2012 12:51 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
So where's Cesium, SnAkEbItE, TS66, Shada et al? Shouldn't someone be sending mail to T-Bar about now,hehe. This is why we watch, because no one KNOWS what's goin' to happen. NASA is always backtracking to find out WHY things happened the way they did. I had a hunch this could be strong because of the similarities to the Oct. 2011 event which caught everybody off-guard. But now I know better than to make a firm prediction because no 2 CMEs are exactly alike. I hope T-Bar logs in and humbles himself to those he belittled. Knowledge is a double-edged sword.

HERE IT IS:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

peacecool2
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye

Gee Hugh, that's funny, coming from a guy that had given up on it a few hours ago. I didn't give up, or waffle. I made a prediction over two days ago and stuck to it. As it turns out, it was pretty much correct. Do you really think it'a a big deal if it hits a 7 verses a 6? I don't. It's still listed as a 6 at the stations here [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] only the Estimation is at 7. I really couldn't care less if I was off by one KP, it definitely still isn't a "Big One". So hey, I might have been off by one two days ago. There you go, I'm humbled.

tounge
Isis One

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10/01/2012 12:51 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Look at the FOK Ring Current....it's glowing hot-pink now. Earlier it just showed a bit of red on the night side.

[link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]

More on the Magnetotail-

IMAGE, launched March 25, 2000, also revealed some surprising activity during magnetic storms, which occur when the solar wind pummels the Earth's magnetosphere. The night-side region of the magnetosphere, which is stretched out by the solar wind, sometimes snaps back and shoots plasma violently toward Earth. The plasma becomes heated to several hundred million degrees and whirls around Earth in multi-million-amp currents. IMAGE discovered that such plasma occasionally is most dense on the Earth's day side, which was unexpected. Researchers are currently studying the phenomenon.

[link to science.nasa.gov]



[link to www.youtube.com]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Whoa, again
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me
madajs

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10/01/2012 01:05 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Dst reached -143 nT

[link to wdc.kugi.kyoto-u.ac.jp]

This is some very strong storming.

Last Edited by madajs on 10/01/2012 01:08 AM
And always, he fought the temptation to choose a clear, safe course, warning: "That path leads ever down into stagnation."
Isis One

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10/01/2012 01:10 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
The tec is scorching high

[link to www.ips.gov.au]
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me
Waterbug

User ID: 1295673
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10/01/2012 01:11 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Dst reached -143 nT

[link to wdc.kugi.kyoto-u.ac.jp]

This is some very strong storming.
 Quoting: madajs


[link to www.ips.gov.au]
Hugh M Eye

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10/01/2012 01:53 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Satellites were exposed to the solar winds at least for little while.

[link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]

:M-pause10/01:

I saw some aurora on the Alaska cam awhile ago, but it's clouding up some now.

[link to salmon.nict.go.jp]

Spaceweather.com has some pretty photos (I like the red one from Ireland):

[link to spaceweather.com]

Kiruna Magnetometer (oh my):

[link to www.irf.se]

Good night all.
Isis One

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10/01/2012 01:53 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
A 5.1 and a 4.8 EQ off coast of Japan, right where TEC is high

[link to quakes.globalincidentmap.com]
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me
SnakeBite

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10/01/2012 02:26 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
GOOD/evening.all=DI.have.some.beautiful.lights.over.my.head.t​onight:).glad.to.see.it.again

I.am.euphoric.when.i.see.these.lights,this.is.the.reason.i.co​me.here

SolarLoveToALL!

Last Edited by SnakeBite on 10/01/2012 02:29 AM
<+MarketSellOff+>
"Amateur Meteorologist"

User ID: 1426914
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10/01/2012 02:36 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
GOOD/evening.all=DI.have.some.beautiful.lights.over.my.head​.tonight:).glad.to.see.it.again

I.am.euphoric.when.i.see.these.lights,this.is.the.reason.i.co​me.here

SolarLoveToALL!
 Quoting: SnakeBite


You are very lucky to enjoy some of natures lights.
Isis One

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10/01/2012 03:07 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Was out there for about an hour, no luck, I was hoping I might catch them when I saw the live shots from Slippery Rock Pa. and Ohio, but nadda, boo hoo. Did see three meteors (falling stars) which is more than when I sit out for a meteor shower, lol. SB you are soooo lucky. Also, moon was soo bright it almost hurt to look through the binoculars, and Jupiter is magnificent with her moons.
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me
<+MarketSellOff+>
"Amateur Meteorologist"

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10/01/2012 03:09 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Looks to be settling down.


[link to solarham.net]
Anonymous Coward
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10/01/2012 05:21 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
So where's Cesium, SnAkEbItE, TS66, Shada et al? Shouldn't someone be sending mail to T-Bar about now,hehe. This is why we watch, because no one KNOWS what's goin' to happen. NASA is always backtracking to find out WHY things happened the way they did. I had a hunch this could be strong because of the similarities to the Oct. 2011 event which caught everybody off-guard. But now I know better than to make a firm prediction because no 2 CMEs are exactly alike. I hope T-Bar logs in and humbles himself to those he belittled. Knowledge is a double-edged sword.

HERE IT IS:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

peacecool2
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye

Gee Hugh, that's funny, coming from a guy that had given up on it a few hours ago. I didn't give up, or waffle. I made a prediction over two days ago and stuck to it. As it turns out, it was pretty much correct. Do you really think it'a a big deal if it hits a 7 verses a 6? I don't. It's still listed as a 6 at the stations here [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] only the Estimation is at 7. I really couldn't care less if I was off by one KP, it definitely still isn't a "Big One". So hey, I might have been off by one two days ago. There you go, I'm humbled.

tounge
 Quoting: TBar1984


Sorry guys, had stuff going on.

Just for clarification

Space Weather Message Code: ALTK07
Serial Number: 86
Issue Time: 2012 Oct 01 0305 UTC

ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 7
Threshold Reached: 2012 Oct 01 0300 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0000-0300 UTC
Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G3 - Strong
Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 50 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power system voltage irregularities possible, false alarms may be triggered on some protection devices.
Spacecraft - Systems may experience surface charging; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites and orientation problems may occur.
Navigation - Intermittent satellite navigation (GPS) problems, including loss-of-lock and increased range error may occur.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio may be intermittent.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as Pennsylvania to Iowa to Oregon.



So lesson learned, none of us know it all hf

Also, case in point that a C class filament eruption can rival any X flare we've seen so far this maximum.

So now, can we be nice to each other on the playground ??? We all stand a chance to learn something wink

Good morning sun
<+MarketSellOff+>
"Amateur Meteorologist"

User ID: 1426914
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10/01/2012 05:31 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
So where's Cesium, SnAkEbItE, TS66, Shada et al? Shouldn't someone be sending mail to T-Bar about now,hehe. This is why we watch, because no one KNOWS what's goin' to happen. NASA is always backtracking to find out WHY things happened the way they did. I had a hunch this could be strong because of the similarities to the Oct. 2011 event which caught everybody off-guard. But now I know better than to make a firm prediction because no 2 CMEs are exactly alike. I hope T-Bar logs in and humbles himself to those he belittled. Knowledge is a double-edged sword.

HERE IT IS:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

peacecool2
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye

Gee Hugh, that's funny, coming from a guy that had given up on it a few hours ago. I didn't give up, or waffle. I made a prediction over two days ago and stuck to it. As it turns out, it was pretty much correct. Do you really think it'a a big deal if it hits a 7 verses a 6? I don't. It's still listed as a 6 at the stations here [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] only the Estimation is at 7. I really couldn't care less if I was off by one KP, it definitely still isn't a "Big One". So hey, I might have been off by one two days ago. There you go, I'm humbled.

tounge
 Quoting: TBar1984


Sorry guys, had stuff going on.

Just for clarification

Space Weather Message Code: ALTK07
Serial Number: 86
Issue Time: 2012 Oct 01 0305 UTC

ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 7
Threshold Reached: 2012 Oct 01 0300 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0000-0300 UTC
Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G3 - Strong
Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 50 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power system voltage irregularities possible, false alarms may be triggered on some protection devices.
Spacecraft - Systems may experience surface charging; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites and orientation problems may occur.
Navigation - Intermittent satellite navigation (GPS) problems, including loss-of-lock and increased range error may occur.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio may be intermittent.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as Pennsylvania to Iowa to Oregon.



So lesson learned, none of us know it all hf

Also, case in point that a C class filament eruption can rival any X flare we've seen so far this maximum.

So now, can we be nice to each other on the playground ??? We all stand a chance to learn something wink

Good morning sun
 Quoting: TS66


Well said, goodnight.
Luisport

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10/01/2012 05:49 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Dst reached -143 nT

[link to wdc.kugi.kyoto-u.ac.jp]

This is some very strong storming.
 Quoting: madajs


Thread: NOW - Large Power-Outage in Large Dutch City after Explosion of Transformer
Luisport

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10/01/2012 06:05 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Dst reached -143 nT

[link to wdc.kugi.kyoto-u.ac.jp]

This is some very strong storming.
 Quoting: madajs


Thread: NOW - Large Power-Outage in Large Dutch City after Explosion of Transformer
 Quoting: Luisport


Power Outage in USA on Monday, 01 October, 2012 at 04:29 (04:29 AM) UTC.

Description
Power has been restored to about 17,000 Xcel Energy customers who were affected Sunday evening by an outage in the Greeley area. Xcel Energy spokeswoman Michelle Aguayo said at least 16,900 customers in Greeley, Garden City, Evans, LaSalle and surrounding areas were affected. She said the outage originated at a Greeley substation at 6:18 p.m. The outage lasted a little more than two hours. As of Sunday night, Aguayo said crews were still trying to determine the cause of the outage, but it did not appear to be weather-related. Xcel Energy’s outage hotline was inundated with calls. Aguayo said the company encourages customers to call and leave messages. Paul Sadd, a mechanic at North Colorado Medical Center, said the hospital was running on emergency power during the outage. He said several people were stuck in elevators, but workers were able to get them out safely. Aguayo said Xcel works closely with large customers like hospitals and law enforcement agencies to ensure that they have back-up power resources.


[link to hisz.rsoe.hu]
Luisport

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10/01/2012 06:06 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
another c is rising... [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Anonymous Coward
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10/01/2012 06:23 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Keep an eye on that filament in the SW ... it has been screaming for attention since it rotated in a couple days ago ...
Anonymous Coward
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10/01/2012 06:48 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
another c is rising... [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: Luisport


I guess they are calling this an LDE ??? Still no end ??

I can't tell where it's coming from, Halpha is not cooperating, but 1538 is non-stop on EVE.
Luisport

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10/01/2012 06:54 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Dst reached -143 nT

[link to wdc.kugi.kyoto-u.ac.jp]

This is some very strong storming.
 Quoting: madajs


Thread: NOW - Large Power-Outage in Large Dutch City after Explosion of Transformer
 Quoting: Luisport


Power Outage in USA on Monday, 01 October, 2012 at 04:29 (04:29 AM) UTC.

Description
Power has been restored to about 17,000 Xcel Energy customers who were affected Sunday evening by an outage in the Greeley area. Xcel Energy spokeswoman Michelle Aguayo said at least 16,900 customers in Greeley, Garden City, Evans, LaSalle and surrounding areas were affected. She said the outage originated at a Greeley substation at 6:18 p.m. The outage lasted a little more than two hours. As of Sunday night, Aguayo said crews were still trying to determine the cause of the outage, but it did not appear to be weather-related. Xcel Energy’s outage hotline was inundated with calls. Aguayo said the company encourages customers to call and leave messages. Paul Sadd, a mechanic at North Colorado Medical Center, said the hospital was running on emergency power during the outage. He said several people were stuck in elevators, but workers were able to get them out safely. Aguayo said Xcel works closely with large customers like hospitals and law enforcement agencies to ensure that they have back-up power resources.


[link to hisz.rsoe.hu]
 Quoting: Luisport


Thread: Solar storm causes power outage in Holland?
Luisport

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10/01/2012 07:15 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
another c is rising... [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: Luisport


I guess they are calling this an LDE ??? Still no end ??

I can't tell where it's coming from, Halpha is not cooperating, but 1538 is non-stop on EVE.
 Quoting: TS66


it's rising again...
TBar1984

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10/01/2012 07:30 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
So where's Cesium, SnAkEbItE, TS66, Shada et al? Shouldn't someone be sending mail to T-Bar about now,hehe. This is why we watch, because no one KNOWS what's goin' to happen. NASA is always backtracking to find out WHY things happened the way they did. I had a hunch this could be strong because of the similarities to the Oct. 2011 event which caught everybody off-guard. But now I know better than to make a firm prediction because no 2 CMEs are exactly alike. I hope T-Bar logs in and humbles himself to those he belittled. Knowledge is a double-edged sword.

HERE IT IS:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

peacecool2
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye

Gee Hugh, that's funny, coming from a guy that had given up on it a few hours ago. I didn't give up, or waffle. I made a prediction over two days ago and stuck to it. As it turns out, it was pretty much correct. Do you really think it'a a big deal if it hits a 7 verses a 6? I don't. It's still listed as a 6 at the stations here [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] only the Estimation is at 7. I really couldn't care less if I was off by one KP, it definitely still isn't a "Big One". So hey, I might have been off by one two days ago. There you go, I'm humbled.

tounge
 Quoting: TBar1984


Sorry guys, had stuff going on.

Just for clarification

Space Weather Message Code: ALTK07
Serial Number: 86
Issue Time: 2012 Oct 01 0305 UTC

ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 7
Threshold Reached: 2012 Oct 01 0300 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0000-0300 UTC
Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G3 - Strong
Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 50 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power system voltage irregularities possible, false alarms may be triggered on some protection devices.
Spacecraft - Systems may experience surface charging; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites and orientation problems may occur.
Navigation - Intermittent satellite navigation (GPS) problems, including loss-of-lock and increased range error may occur.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio may be intermittent.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as Pennsylvania to Iowa to Oregon.



So lesson learned, none of us know it all hf

Also, case in point that a C class filament eruption can rival any X flare we've seen so far this maximum.

So now, can we be nice to each other on the playground ??? We all stand a chance to learn something wink

Good morning sun
 Quoting: TS66

Yes, I learned there are some people who think there is some kind of major difference between an estimated value of 6.9 and 7.0. Most people would roll their eyes at that one. Somehow everything changes with that tenth of an estimated point...ok...if you say so. I'm still calling this a normal event, looks pretty normal here [link to umtof.umd.edu] . Looks kinda wimpy really, the speed never got over around 400 km/s? There was only a brief estimation of a 7? [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] Kinda hard to call this a "Big One". I know what I'm going to call it. There were some people throwing some nasty words around here, I wasn't one of them. Go back and check.
Tiny Trink

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10/01/2012 07:30 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Hello everyone ~

Have a great day!



Tiny Trink, Double T, Tink Tink, T x 2

"You are responsible for the Energy you bring into a space" ~ Dr. Jill Bolte Taylor

Shine Brightly as someone is needing your Inner Light to find theirs.
Anonymous Coward
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10/01/2012 07:42 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Loving this thread. Just want to say thanks and ask a wee question.

Whats driving the current rise in x-rays. it hasn't dropped below C level for hours now.
Anonymous Coward
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10/01/2012 07:44 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Loving this thread. Just want to say thanks and ask a wee question.

Whats driving the current rise in x-rays. it hasn't dropped below C level for hours now.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 2975683


This is my best guess :)

[link to lasp.colorado.edu]

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