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SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 
mistersplinter

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10/02/2012 12:47 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

an uptick in density...


[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

This graph is looking kinda strange in the >=2 MeV lines

cap:
[link to i1165.photobucket.com]
"I have no special talents. I am only passionately curious." -- Albert Einstein

"The Upholder of the Cycles which supports the whole of Life, is water. In every drop of water dwells the Godhead, whom we all serve; there also dwells Life, the Soul of the "First" substance - Water - whose boundaries and banks are the capillaries that guide it and in which it circulates" -- Viktor Schauberger
Isis One

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10/02/2012 03:32 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
GLP Observatory should check out Venus next day or so to see if there are any heat explosions from the plasma clouds due to impact it. (From spaceweather.com)

[link to www.nasa.gov]
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me
Isis One

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10/02/2012 03:39 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Hey all! Been scrub alot over past few weeks, only been able to check up on occasion and not post..what interesting occurances we have had! ive been catching up (phew)...good to see/read you all...i think im back just in time...
Peace to all, and great job on the info sharing guys/Gals.
Nerd
 Quoting: nerdrage88sasr


88, you're BACK!!!!!! It hasn't been the same here without you, I and everyone missed you big time, glad you are OK and just 'scrubby' he he, see you when we see you!
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me
Isis One

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10/02/2012 03:50 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Had a GRB yesterday, here's update, was on SO's vid too.

[link to grb.sonoma.edu]
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me
Isis One

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10/02/2012 03:52 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Here's a nice vid of the sun blowing smoke-rings at Venus, its on spaceweather.com page, click the arrow to watch. Hugh's vid of the smoke-rings the other day was just as good though!!


[link to www.spaceweather.com]



Off to work for a couple hours, catch you all later, solar love to everybodysmile_kiss

Last Edited by Isis One on 10/02/2012 03:54 PM
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 24761195
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10/02/2012 05:02 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Hpokie

hello everyone
hope you are all well.

i have some info for you all,
seeing as your the most intellegent on this site,

i'm just a lone lurker, and love what you are all doing,

check this site out please,
[link to ascendingstarseed.wordpress.com (secure)]

i dont usually post, but i think its time.

bare with me and please understand,

the body has its own magnetic field,

and every major organ is connected to a chakra,

which in turn is connected to a certain thought pattern,

so if you are thinking wrong an organ will start to fail.

now the solar fields are connected to everyones magnetic field,which runs up and down the body, and slowly the suns magnetic fiels is pulling everybodys field up from their perinium, tail bone, its suposed to travel through balanced chakras, but because of the different realities everyones in , theres going to be some problems, unless you have this info,

now if your thoughts are balanced and pure, then it will pass through each balanced chakra with ease,

if your thought patterns are unpure, then you see the problems people are having around the world today,
and they are becoming more crazy. and will eventually
anxiety will set in and hearts will fail.


so when they say jesus is coming for his bride, amongst other things.
the bride or christ energy, spirit soul, whos location is in the tail bone, will start to rise, as it rises up through the chakra system it balances every chakra until it enters the pineal gland, and thats when everyone loses all their sins so to speak, and has the right thoughts.

everyone on earth will go through this , there is no way around it, this in a nut shell is what the end days are all about, the children are pure, they will be fine, but whos going to look after them, we should all take this moment to ask ourself, individually, from our own hearts, does this sound true to me,


i'm just giving you the heds up.
if only one person understands this, it was worth while me taking time to post,

you all know whats happening on the sun, with no explination,
but do you all know why,

theres nothing to worry about if you know why the suns doing what its doing,

now brothers and sisters its time to understand and pass this infomation to our other brothers and sisters,

the people posting everyday on this site are confused, they just need guidance. its our roll.

cause if you dont know this is the cause, of the weird toughts going through your heads, then its going to cause a lot of problems, in the psyche of people.

may the Creator bless you all.

ps keep up the good work

ps. love you all.......
mtn_mang

User ID: 23298657
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10/02/2012 05:43 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
slow day for sun doom.
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 1634447
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10/02/2012 06:05 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
it felt like walking through a microwave yesterday, my skin felt hot hours after being inside. if it was due to that partial blow cme, not cool.
Hugh M Eye

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10/02/2012 07:22 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Is that CME arriving now? The ACE solar wind data looks really bizarre...it went DOWN to around 300 km/s and the UP to near 600 km/s. Pretty weird IMO.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Event Issue Date: 2012-09-30 19:51:21.0 GMT
CME Arrival Time: 2012-10-02 22:31:42.0 GMT
Arival Time Confidence Level: ± 6 hours
Disturbance Duration: 11 hours

Disturbance Duration Confidence Level: ± 8 hours
Magnetopause Standoff Distance: 6.1 Re

wtfhiding
Anonymous Coward
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10/02/2012 07:33 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Is that CME arriving now? The ACE solar wind data looks really bizarre...it went DOWN to around 300 km/s and the UP to near 600 km/s. Pretty weird IMO.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Event Issue Date: 2012-09-30 19:51:21.0 GMT
CME Arrival Time: 2012-10-02 22:31:42.0 GMT
Arival Time Confidence Level: ± 6 hours
Disturbance Duration: 11 hours

Disturbance Duration Confidence Level: ± 8 hours
Magnetopause Standoff Distance: 6.1 Re

wtfhiding
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


bump with love hf
Hugh M Eye

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10/02/2012 07:48 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Is that CME arriving now? The ACE solar wind data looks really bizarre...it went DOWN to around 300 km/s and the UP to near 600 km/s. Pretty weird IMO.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Event Issue Date: 2012-09-30 19:51:21.0 GMT
CME Arrival Time: 2012-10-02 22:31:42.0 GMT
Arival Time Confidence Level: ± 6 hours
Disturbance Duration: 11 hours

Disturbance Duration Confidence Level: ± 8 hours
Magnetopause Standoff Distance: 6.1 Re

wtfhiding
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


bump with love hf
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1634447


BUMP is what it just DID, hehe,....AGAIN! I don't recall seeing such a bumpy SW plot. WILD!

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

And the SOHO plot is also weird, but different weird:

[link to umtof.umd.edu]
Anonymous Coward
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10/02/2012 07:51 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Is that CME arriving now? The ACE solar wind data looks really bizarre...it went DOWN to around 300 km/s and the UP to near 600 km/s. Pretty weird IMO.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Event Issue Date: 2012-09-30 19:51:21.0 GMT
CME Arrival Time: 2012-10-02 22:31:42.0 GMT
Arival Time Confidence Level: ± 6 hours
Disturbance Duration: 11 hours

Disturbance Duration Confidence Level: ± 8 hours
Magnetopause Standoff Distance: 6.1 Re

wtfhiding
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


bump with love hf
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1634447


BUMP is what it just DID, hehe,....AGAIN! I don't recall seeing such a bumpy SW plot. WILD!

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

And the SOHO plot is also weird, but different weird:

[link to umtof.umd.edu]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Solar wind looks like it has calmed down.
dettro99

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10/02/2012 07:54 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Have a look at Lasco (C2) GIf images for today:
[link to spaceweather.gmu.edu]

Also here is the Lasco (C2) GIf images of the Big CME from the 28th of September:
[link to spaceweather.gmu.edu]
Hugh M Eye

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10/02/2012 07:54 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Magnetosphere simulation:

[link to ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov]

the Magnetotail is undulating like a jellyfish:

[link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]

spock
Earth Cries

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10/02/2012 07:58 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
TEC is HOT over South America.

[link to www.ips.gov.au]
Mark 13:20 And except that the Lord had shortened those days, no flesh should be saved: but for the elect's sake, whom he hath chosen, he hath shortened the days.
Anonymous Coward
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10/02/2012 08:00 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Have a look at Lasco (C2) GIf images for today:
[link to spaceweather.gmu.edu]

Also here is the Lasco (C2) GIf images of the Big CME from the 28th of September:
[link to spaceweather.gmu.edu]
 Quoting: dettro99


whats that?
AkivaJeff

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10/02/2012 08:07 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
TEC is HOT over South America.

[link to www.ips.gov.au]
 Quoting: Earth Cries


I hope it doesn't move too far North too fast.
Life is short...
But it's WIDE.
Hugh M Eye

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10/02/2012 08:11 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
IT DID IT AGAIN! Four times the Radial Velocity has spiked over 250 km/s and fell back down. Either very strong pulsations or the ACE detectors are malfunctioning. It's times like these I really miss the NICT simulation.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Anonymous Coward
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10/02/2012 08:24 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
IT DID IT AGAIN! Four times the Radial Velocity has spiked over 250 km/s and fell back down. Either very strong pulsations or the ACE detectors are malfunctioning. It's times like these I really miss the NICT simulation.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


interstellar EDM? moshpit
<+MarketSellOff+>
"Amateur Meteorologist"

User ID: 1497928
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10/02/2012 08:40 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
IT DID IT AGAIN! Four times the Radial Velocity has spiked over 250 km/s and fell back down. Either very strong pulsations or the ACE detectors are malfunctioning. It's times like these I really miss the NICT simulation.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


scratching
Hugh M Eye

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10/02/2012 08:51 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
IT DID IT AGAIN! Four times the Radial Velocity has spiked over 250 km/s and fell back down. Either very strong pulsations or the ACE detectors are malfunctioning. It's times like these I really miss the NICT simulation.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Uh, make that 5 times....so far. Never seen the ACE plot do this before.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

24-hour plot:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

The Bz has been south for some time now, but the density appears quite low for a CME. It may be just an interplanetary shockwave(S). I don't see any spikes up to 550 km/s on the SOHO monitor (in fact it's 350 km/s or less!)- which leads me to believe it's bad data from the ACE sensors. I'm mystified at this point, LOL.

SOHO SW data:

[link to umtof.umd.edu]
NiNzrez
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10/02/2012 09:06 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Is that CME arriving now? The ACE solar wind data looks really bizarre...it went DOWN to around 300 km/s and the UP to near 600 km/s. Pretty weird IMO.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Event Issue Date: 2012-09-30 19:51:21.0 GMT
CME Arrival Time: 2012-10-02 22:31:42.0 GMT
Arival Time Confidence Level: ± 6 hours
Disturbance Duration: 11 hours

Disturbance Duration Confidence Level: ± 8 hours
Magnetopause Standoff Distance: 6.1 Re

wtfhiding
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


good catch!
check out these min to min fluctuations
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
at one time it went from 293 at 23:32 and one min later was at 591, then again 1 min later back down to 434

at another point it went from 661 to 559 to 444 to 626 to 443
all 1 minute apart
Hugh M Eye

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10/02/2012 09:12 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Is that CME arriving now? The ACE solar wind data looks really bizarre...it went DOWN to around 300 km/s and the UP to near 600 km/s. Pretty weird IMO.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Event Issue Date: 2012-09-30 19:51:21.0 GMT
CME Arrival Time: 2012-10-02 22:31:42.0 GMT
Arival Time Confidence Level: ± 6 hours
Disturbance Duration: 11 hours

Disturbance Duration Confidence Level: ± 8 hours
Magnetopause Standoff Distance: 6.1 Re

wtfhiding
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


good catch!
check out these min to min fluctuations
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
at one time it went from 293 at 23:32 and one min later was at 591, then again 1 min later back down to 434

at another point it went from 661 to 559 to 444 to 626 to 443
all 1 minute apart
 Quoting: NiNzrez 24399306


Hiya, NINz! hiworship4454 I hope the ACE satellite isn't doing a death-rattle dance. It's almost been pronounced dead several times before. Could be a software glitch in the data decoders or something. Whatever the reason it sure makes those models look funny, haha.

[link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]
TBar1984

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10/02/2012 10:08 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
The New Solar Cycle Prediction came out today here [link to solarscience.msfc.nasa.gov]
"The current prediction for Sunspot Cycle 24 gives a smoothed sunspot number maximum of about 75 in the Fall of 2013. The smoothed sunspot number (for 2012/02) is already nearly 67 due to the strong peak in late 2011 so the official maximum will be at least this high. We are currently well over three years into Cycle 24. The current predicted and observed size makes this the smallest sunspot cycle since Cycle 14 which had a maximum of 64.2 in February of 1906..."

To see just how low it is, see this chart [link to satdat.ngdc.noaa.gov]
That article the other day "Solar maximum? Oh, you just missed it" here [link to www.newscientist.com] was talking with Richard Altrock, who was also one of the ones in this article last year "Sun's Fading Spots Signal Big Drop in Solar Activity" [link to www.space.com]

Looks like even quieter times ahead, it's already been quieter than even I predicted a couple years ago. I'm starting to think we may not get that second higher spike upwards a lot of people are waiting for. Oh well.
nerdrage88sasr

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10/02/2012 10:15 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
The New Solar Cycle Prediction came out today here [link to solarscience.msfc.nasa.gov]
"The current prediction for Sunspot Cycle 24 gives a smoothed sunspot number maximum of about 75 in the Fall of 2013. The smoothed sunspot number (for 2012/02) is already nearly 67 due to the strong peak in late 2011 so the official maximum will be at least this high. We are currently well over three years into Cycle 24. The current predicted and observed size makes this the smallest sunspot cycle since Cycle 14 which had a maximum of 64.2 in February of 1906..."

To see just how low it is, see this chart [link to satdat.ngdc.noaa.gov]
That article the other day "Solar maximum? Oh, you just missed it" here [link to www.newscientist.com] was talking with Richard Altrock, who was also one of the ones in this article last year "Sun's Fading Spots Signal Big Drop in Solar Activity" [link to www.space.com]

Looks like even quieter times ahead, it's already been quieter than even I predicted a couple years ago. I'm starting to think we may not get that second higher spike upwards a lot of people are waiting for. Oh well.
 Quoting: TBar1984


thanks Tbar, good info.
Peace

Last Edited by nerdrage88sasr on 10/02/2012 10:15 PM
"Luck is what happens when preparation meets Oppurtunity"-- Seneca (5BC-65AD)
nerdrage88sasr

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10/02/2012 10:23 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
TEC is HOT over South America.

[link to www.ips.gov.au]
 Quoting: Earth Cries


I hope it doesn't move too far North too fast.
 Quoting: AkivaJeff


Wow, going back over last few weeks...damn..that TEC has been crazy...ALOT more getting in of late..
[link to www.ips.gov.au]
thetec
"Luck is what happens when preparation meets Oppurtunity"-- Seneca (5BC-65AD)
<+MarketSellOff+>
"Amateur Meteorologist"

User ID: 1426914
United States
10/02/2012 10:32 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
The New Solar Cycle Prediction came out today here [link to solarscience.msfc.nasa.gov]
"The current prediction for Sunspot Cycle 24 gives a smoothed sunspot number maximum of about 75 in the Fall of 2013. The smoothed sunspot number (for 2012/02) is already nearly 67 due to the strong peak in late 2011 so the official maximum will be at least this high. We are currently well over three years into Cycle 24. The current predicted and observed size makes this the smallest sunspot cycle since Cycle 14 which had a maximum of 64.2 in February of 1906..."

To see just how low it is, see this chart [link to satdat.ngdc.noaa.gov]
That article the other day "Solar maximum? Oh, you just missed it" here [link to www.newscientist.com] was talking with Richard Altrock, who was also one of the ones in this article last year "Sun's Fading Spots Signal Big Drop in Solar Activity" [link to www.space.com]

Looks like even quieter times ahead, it's already been quieter than even I predicted a couple years ago. I'm starting to think we may not get that second higher spike upwards a lot of people are waiting for. Oh well.
 Quoting: TBar1984


Ugh I hope this isn't true.
Hugh M Eye

User ID: 22914370
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10/02/2012 11:00 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
The New Solar Cycle Prediction came out today here [link to solarscience.msfc.nasa.gov]
"The current prediction for Sunspot Cycle 24 gives a smoothed sunspot number maximum of about 75 in the Fall of 2013. The smoothed sunspot number (for 2012/02) is already nearly 67 due to the strong peak in late 2011 so the official maximum will be at least this high. We are currently well over three years into Cycle 24. The current predicted and observed size makes this the smallest sunspot cycle since Cycle 14 which had a maximum of 64.2 in February of 1906..."

To see just how low it is, see this chart [link to satdat.ngdc.noaa.gov]
That article the other day "Solar maximum? Oh, you just missed it" here [link to www.newscientist.com] was talking with Richard Altrock, who was also one of the ones in this article last year "Sun's Fading Spots Signal Big Drop in Solar Activity" [link to www.space.com]

Looks like even quieter times ahead, it's already been quieter than even I predicted a couple years ago. I'm starting to think we may not get that second higher spike upwards a lot of people are waiting for. Oh well.
 Quoting: TBar1984


Ugh I hope this isn't true.
 Quoting: <+MarketSellOff+>


Get ready for ICE AGE DOOM!

Don't worry, we have nukes to keep us warm.

uhohdddd
SnakeBite

User ID: 20003075
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10/02/2012 11:01 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I have SPACES!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!But.i.dont.w​ant.them.now.lol
Whats.up.everyone:),That.ACE.data.is.weeeeeiiiiirrrrddd.
AkivaJeff

User ID: 21899688
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10/02/2012 11:09 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
The New Solar Cycle Prediction came out today here [link to solarscience.msfc.nasa.gov]
"The current prediction for Sunspot Cycle 24 gives a smoothed sunspot number maximum of about 75 in the Fall of 2013. The smoothed sunspot number (for 2012/02) is already nearly 67 due to the strong peak in late 2011 so the official maximum will be at least this high. We are currently well over three years into Cycle 24. The current predicted and observed size makes this the smallest sunspot cycle since Cycle 14 which had a maximum of 64.2 in February of 1906..."

To see just how low it is, see this chart [link to satdat.ngdc.noaa.gov]
That article the other day "Solar maximum? Oh, you just missed it" here [link to www.newscientist.com] was talking with Richard Altrock, who was also one of the ones in this article last year "Sun's Fading Spots Signal Big Drop in Solar Activity" [link to www.space.com]

Looks like even quieter times ahead, it's already been quieter than even I predicted a couple years ago. I'm starting to think we may not get that second higher spike upwards a lot of people are waiting for. Oh well.
 Quoting: TBar1984


I'll have to disagree with you on this. I don't think that the prolonged minimum has any influence whatsoever on the the coming maximum. The 11 year cycle has demonstrated time and again to fluctuate. I'm not saying that I am predicting a higher maximum, I'm asserting that you have no way of predicting "quieter times ahead" with any accuracy or data to back it up. Bottom line... we don't have a clue what the sun is going to do within the next week, let alone the next year. If you have some substatiating evidence, please, we would absolutely LOVE to see it for our own digestion.
Personally, I predict that solar activity will continue to increase throughout 2012 and into the spring of 2013. The basis of my prediction is "puckering".

edit: I recall that I called the "big pussy" X-flare within one hour.

Last Edited by AkivaJeff on 10/02/2012 11:12 PM
Life is short...
But it's WIDE.

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